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KRMN · Karman Holdings Inc.

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$62.01 +1.51 (+2.50%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$8.02B
Shares
132.53M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Karman Holdings Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Karman Holdings Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 24, 2026 Audio replay Verified speakers
Mar 24, 2026 49:59 67 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
49:59
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Karman delivered record Q4 and full-year 2025 results, including Q4 revenue of $134 million (+47% YoY) and full-year revenue of $472 million (+37%), with backlog reaching an all-time high of $801 million. CEO leadership transitioned from Tony Koblinski to new CEO Jon Rambeau, while the company completed four acquisitions since its February 2025 IPO.

M&A and integration 25 Backlog growth 16 Hypersonics and strategic missile defense 16 Capacity expansion 9 Space and launch 9 Missile defense demand and production ramps 7

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +78 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “Our team delivered another quarter of record performance, driven by outstanding execution across the business and strong momentum following our February 2025 IPO.”
  • “backlog reached an all-time high of $801 million”
  • “For the full year, we also delivered record financial results, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA ahead of the updated guidance we gave 2 months ago as part of our Seemann and MSC acquisition announcement.”
  • “multiple prime contractors have recently outlined significant planned annual production increases across key missile programs we support, including approximately 100% growth in AIM-9X, 200% in THAAD and Standard Missile and 300% for PAC-3”

Forward guidance

2 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $134.49M +47.4% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 39.9% +1.8 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $7.71M +358.3% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 revenue grew 47% YoY to a record $134 million, with growth across all three end markets
  • Full-year revenue rose 37% to $472 million, ahead of updated guidance given two months prior
  • Backlog reached an all-time high of $801 million, up 38% YoY
  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA hit a record $42 million, up 59% YoY; adjusted EPS more than tripled to $0.11
  • Completed four acquisitions since the IPO (MTI, ISP, Five Axis, and Seemann/MSC), expanding capabilities in composites, energetic systems, liquid rocket engines, and maritime defense
  • Primes have outlined significant production increases on key missile programs Karman supports, including ~100% (AIM-9X), 200% (THAAD/Standard Missile), and 300% (PAC-3)

Risks & pressure points

  • Existence of customer second-source initiatives on sole-sourced work is a stated consideration, though none are currently known
  • Acquisitions such as Seemann and MSC are subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals, with no assurance they will be satisfied, and integration may face unforeseen challenges
  • Significant portion of revenue depends on U.S. military spending and the U.S. defense budget
  • Terminology was updated from 'funded backlog' to 'backlog' to align with industry practice, potentially changing how comparability is perceived

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Taken together, these actions position Karman exceptionally well to meet what we believe is a generational increase in demand across missiles, interceptors, hypersonics, UAS, counter-UAS, Maritime Defense, as well as Space and Launch. For example, multiple prime contractors have recently outlined significant planned annual production increases across key missile programs we support, including approximately 100% growth in AIM-9X, 200% in THAAD and Standard Missile and 300% for PAC-3. We expect these programs to achieve their production rate goals over the coming years.” Anthony Koblinski, CEO
“Earlier this month, we increased our revolving credit facility from $50 million to $150 million to provide added flexibility as we expand capacity to meet anticipated surge in demand. Looking ahead, we expect a statutory tax rate for fiscal year '26 of 25.5% and now expect CapEx to be approximately 5% of revenue, equivalent to approximately $36 million.” Michael Willis, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 25, 2026.

Metric Guided
Total revenue
full fiscal year 2026
$715M – $730M
Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA
full fiscal year 2026
$207M – $218M
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