METC · Ramaco Resources, Inc.
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AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 5, 2026TL;DR. Ramaco released the Hatch conceptual study for its Brook Mine critical minerals/rare earth project showing potential NPV up to $8 billion and average adjusted EBITDA up to $1.3 billion, but with higher capital cost ($3.2B) and a delayed 2031 initial production timeline. Met coal results showed $99/ton cash cost for the fourth consecutive sub-$100 quarter alongside a Q2 net loss of $15.4M; the company lowered 2026 production and sales guidance on weak high-vol markets while raising capex for a new $25M low-vol Maben expansion.
- + Hatch conceptual study projects Brook Mine potential NPV of $8 billion and average adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion, with ~75% of revenue tied to semiconductor-driven critical minerals.
- + 2026 sales of 3.8 million tons effectively committed at the top end of revised production guidance, with 2.5 million tons fixed at a $121/ton blended price.
- − Lowered full-year 2026 production guidance to 3.6–3.9 million tons and sales guidance to 4.0–4.3 million tons on continued high-vol market weakness.
- − Hatch report materially increased Brook Mine capital cost to $3.2 billion (+$0.8B contingency) and pushed initial production to 2031 versus prior Fluor study expectations.
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.
Versus peers
Coking Coal — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
METC
this stock
Ramaco Resources, Inc.
|
$571.76M | -54.1% | -19.5% | — | 21.4% |
|
HCC
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
|
$4.73B | -0.1% | -14.1% | 21.6 | 7.2% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
$2.23B | -15.8% | -28.0% | — | 10.2% |
|
SXC
SunCoke Energy, Inc.
|
$812.25M | +31.0% | +10.3% | — | 4.8% |
|
CODQL
Coronado Global Resources Inc.
|
$28.95M | -19.7% | -22.2% | — | 2.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| METC | -10.9% | -41.0% | -39.9% | -41.9% | -54.1% |
| SPY | -0.7% | +0.1% | +12.2% | -0.6% | +11.8% |
| vs SPY | -10.2% | -41.1% | -52.1% | -41.3% | -65.9% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.