HCC · Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Price & Indicators
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Metrics snapshot
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AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 5, 2026TL;DR. Warrior reported record Q2 sales volumes (3.7M short tons, +65% YoY) driven by Blue Creek, generating $103M of free cash flow and $157M of adjusted EBITDA (+193% YoY); the company raised its full-year sales and production volume guidance by 0.5M short tons, while management expects softer H2 pricing and lower gross price realizations.
- + Cash cost per ton fell 9% YoY to $92.53, expanding cash margin per ton to $45.29 (+57% YoY), aided by Blue Creek's lower-cost structure and the 45X credit.
- + Company raised full-year sales and production volume guidance by 0.5M short tons to 13.0-14.0M tons sold, with Blue Creek contracted volumes of 5M tons already 90% under contract.
- − Gross price realization fell to 66% of the PLV index (vs. 80% YoY), pressured by a 21% higher high-vol A mix, elevated Pacific freight rates, and persistently low second-tier index relativities.
- − Management expects a lower range-bound pricing environment in H2 2026, with the PLV above 2025 lows but below H1 2026 highs and continued pressure on net selling prices, profitability, and free cash flow.
- − U.S. East Coast HVA index price fell 7% YoY to $143/ton, dropping relativity to PLV to 66% from 92%, materially compressing Atlantic Basin netbacks.
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
Earlier KPI extraction records exist, but do not meet the current evidence-completeness requirements. No current verified series is available. Earlier figures remain withheld until revalidated; this is not evidence that the company reports no KPIs.
Versus peers
Coking Coal — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HCC
this stock
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
|
$4.73B | +1.0% | -14.1% | 21.6 | 7.2% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
$2.23B | -14.8% | -28.0% | — | 10.2% |
|
SXC
SunCoke Energy, Inc.
|
$812.25M | +35.3% | +10.3% | — | 4.8% |
|
METC
Ramaco Resources, Inc.
|
$571.76M | -53.7% | -19.5% | — | 21.4% |
|
CODQL
Coronado Global Resources Inc.
|
$28.95M | -19.7% | -22.2% | — | 2.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCC | +0.2% | -17.9% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| SPY | -0.4% | -0.2% | +12.4% | +0.2% | +12.0% |
| vs SPY | +0.6% | -17.8% | -11.6% | +1.0% | -11.0% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.