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HCC · Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

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$98.20 +3.82 (+4.05%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$5.19B
Shares
52.80M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2026 Q1

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Concluded Apr 30, 2026
Apr 30, 2026 31 turns
Period
FY2026 Q1
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Warrior Met Coal delivered record Q1 2026 sales of 3.0 million short tons (+38% YoY) and production of 3.5 million tons (+55% YoY) on the completion of the Blue Creek mine, driving adjusted EBITDA of $143.4 million (+263% YoY) and net income of $72.3 million, with full-year guidance reaffirmed.

Sales Volumes and Mix 36 Blue Creek Mine Completion 26 Pricing and Market Conditions 18 Capital Returns / Shareholder Returns 14 Demand and Global Steelmaking 9 Macro and Geopolitical Risks 6

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “The first quarter marked a defining milestone for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. We completed the final construction and project spending associated with the development of our transformational Blue Creek mine, delivering the project ahead of schedule and fully in line with our capital expenditure guidance.”
  • “Warrior Met Coal, Inc. achieved a record high quarterly sales volume in the first quarter of 3 million short tons compared to 2.2 million tons in the same quarter of 2025.”
  • “Our first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $143 million was 54% higher than 2025”
  • “Steelmaking coal prices have remained strong as inflationary cost pressures from the rise in oil and diesel prices have asserted a firmer floor despite soft seaborne demand, especially in the spot market.”

Research coverage

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Revenue $458.59M +52.9% YoY
Diluted EPS $1.37
Net income $72.34M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Completed Blue Creek construction ahead of schedule on budget with final $66.1M investment bringing total project spend to $1,022.9M
  • Record quarterly sales volume of 3.0 million short tons, up 38% YoY
  • Record quarterly production volume of 3.5 million short tons, up 55% YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $143.4 million, up 263% from $39.5 million in Q1 2025
  • Net income of $72.3M ($1.37 diluted EPS) vs. net loss of $8.2M in Q1 2025
  • Cash cost per ton reduced 14% YoY to $96.17, aided by Blue Creek's lower cost structure and 45X tax credit

Risks & pressure points

  • Gross price realization fell to 72% from 83% in Q1 2025, with relativity vs. PLV hitting an all-time low of 62%
  • High Vol A segment underperformed expectations and U.S. East Coast HVA index only rose 6% to $144/ton
  • Cash cost per ton was $2 higher YoY due to higher transportation and royalties
  • Coal inventories grew to 1.9 million tons from 1.6 million tons, requiring unwind through the year
  • Global pig iron production declined 2.1% in the first two months of 2026, including a 2.7% decline in China
  • Middle East conflict is adding inflationary pressure and freight rate spikes (mid-$50s), with tungsten and other supply cost pressures emerging

Key moments

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“The first quarter marked a defining milestone for Warrior Met Coal, Inc. We completed the final construction and project spending associated with the development of our transformational Blue Creek mine, delivering the project ahead of schedule and fully in line with our capital expenditure guidance.” Speaker 2, CEO
“Warrior Met Coal, Inc. achieved a record high quarterly sales volume in the first quarter of 3 million short tons compared to 2.2 million tons in the same quarter of 2025. This represents a 38% increase, primarily due to the additional sales volume from the new Blue Creek mine.” Speaker 2, CEO

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Revenue · segments

Mining Segment$448.47M +52.1% YoY
All Other Segments$10.12M +102% YoY

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.08
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