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NEO · Neogenomics Inc
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$18.47 +0.69 (+3.88%) At close · Oct 2
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Earnings call · FY2024 Q2

Neogenomics Inc (NEO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Jul 29, 2024
Jul 29, 2024 91 turns
Period
FY2024 Q2
Runtime
—
Sources
3 artifacts

Read the call

Transcript

Read the speaker-labelled prepared remarks and analyst questions.

Operator

Welcome to the NeoGenomics Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Please note this call is being recorded and an audio replay will be available on the Company's website. Kendra Sweeney, Vice President of Investor Relations, you may begin your conference.

Kendra Sweeney Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, John. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the NeoGenomics second quarter 2024 financial results call. With me today to discuss the results are Chris Smith, Chief Executive Officer; and Jeff Sherman, Chief Financial Officer. Additional members of the management team are available for Q&A, including Warren Stone, Chief Commercial Officer; Melody Harris, Chief Operations Officer and President of Informatics; Dr. Nate Montgomery, Head of Medical, and Karim Saad, Head of Strategy and Transformation. This call is being simultaneously webcast. We'll be referring to a slide presentation that has been posted to the investors tab on our website at ir.neogenomics.com. Starting on Slide two, during this call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding our anticipated future performance. We caution you that such statements reflect our best judgment based on factors currently known to us and that actual events or results could differ materially. Please refer to our most recent forms 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K we filed with the SEC to identify important risks and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of the original date of the call, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of these statements. During this call, we refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that involve adjustments to GAAP results. The non-GAAP financial measures presented should not be considered an alternative to the financial measures required by GAAP and are unlikely to be comparable to non-GAAP financial measures provided by other companies. Any non-GAAP financial measures referenced on this call are reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in a table available in a press release we issued this afternoon. I will now turn the call over to Chris Smith, Chief Executive Officer of NeoGenomics.

Thanks, Kendra. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. On today's call, we'll discuss the highlights of our strong second quarter performance and provide an update on the progress made in accelerating profitable revenue growth. Before we discuss our financial results, I want to thank all of our Neo teammates for their continued commitment to our mission and vision. Together, we are serving patients and saving lives. Let's get into the highlights on the next slide. We continue to execute on our goal to deliver double-digit year-over-year growth. In Q2, revenue grew 12% as compared to the second quarter last year. To achieve this result, we grew both volume and revenue per test and expanded gross margin. NGS continues to be a key driver for growth, increasing approximately 40% and representing 30% of our total clinical revenue. We are also proud that we have delivered the fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and are generating even more leverage in the business. On the operational front, the alignment of our clinical and pharma teams into a single commercial group is taking hold as pharma business begins to stabilize. Our LIMS project reached a key milestone this quarter and is on track to support several aspects of lab automation and improved efficiencies as we grow volumes with new product launches in the second half of this year and into 2025. All of this puts us in a great position to raise our revenue guide for the year and to significantly increase our adjusted EBITDA guide. Turning now to our progress on our strategic priorities, these priorities are directly aligned with our goal to grow revenue double digits, expand gross margins, and generate long-term sustainable earnings growth. Today, I'm going to focus on our three financial pillars, profitably grow the core business, accelerate advanced diagnostics and innovation, and drive value creation. Our clinical business continues to execute on our commercial strategy to deliver volume growth, increase AUP, and improve mix driven by strength in NGS. We continue to increase our presence in market leadership in HEIM. We will launch a rapid AML test in the second half of the year and this, combined with our exceptional customer service, continues to position us well in this space. Through RCM initiatives, we're continuing to expand our commercial coverage and having success in reducing denials to ensure we're getting paid for the work that we do. The combination of the large cancer market opportunity with our continued commercial success enables us to accelerate our investment in the commercial team to capitalize on this opportunity in the upcoming years. Our January 24 expansion is beginning to show positive return on our investment. And as we look to 2025 with the launch of new products and our goal to further expand our reach deeper into the community oncology segment, we will continue to expand our commercial resources before year-end. The effectiveness of our sales force, meaning the time they spend on high-impact selling activities, continues to improve quarter over quarter through the use of digital tools and strategic targeting informed by proprietary CRM data. Productivity will continue to increase over the next few years as we incorporate guided selling, AI tools, and other enabling investments. The advanced diagnostics and innovation pillar looks to the future of the industry with new technologies and data. Utilizing our current resources and executing on the right opportunities position us well for long-term sustainable growth. We believe innovation is a turbocharger for growth, so we'll continue to focus on bringing in new innovative products to the market to enhance patient care. We operate in a growing attractive market. We know cancer incidence and prevalence are on the rise. Statistically, one in two men and one in three women will develop cancer in their lifetime. They will become part of a patient population that is seeking answers from oncology testing that will give them the best opportunity for positive outcomes. We are focused on developing innovative tests in diagnostic and therapy selection markets that will provide actionable insights to inform the patient cancer journey. Our breadth of menu with over 600 tests is a key differentiator for the oncology customer segments that we serve, and we are committed to expanding our product offering by adding new tests to help deliver innovative care for patients and a more seamless experience for physicians that care for these patients. We have three innovative NGS tests in late-stage development and are targeting to launch two of these tests over the next six months. If you turn to slide 10, the heme segment comprises approximately 20% of the opportunity and is growing approximately 11% annually. NIO has traditionally been viewed as a market leader in this segment, and we intend to continue leading with a differentiated suite of products in the integrated superior customer experience, which our customers have come to expect from us. A liquid biopsy CTP test will launch commercially for pharma this quarter, and a rapid AML test will launch by year-end. Let me take a minute to talk about why I think these tests are important. There are over 20,000 cases of acute myeloid leukemia that will be diagnosed this year, and we have a strong presence in this market. Our new NIO AML Express is an enhanced NGS panel that detects DNA and RNA biomarkers for AML that are most relevant to diagnosis, therapy selection, and critical clinical trial options. Most importantly, NIO AML Express has a rapid two to three-day turnaround time, up to two days faster than any other tests on the market, including our own industry-leading test. This means an AML patient who is admitted to the hospital and waiting for their diagnosis could be tested using AML Express, and begin their treatment up to 48 hours sooner than with other tests. In a pharma setting, AML Express delivers rapid and detailed insights that may stratify patients by prospective clinical trials within 72 hours. We anticipate this test will launch in both clinical and pharma segments in Q4. The Neo PanTracer liquid biopsy is a large panel NGS assay for genomic profiling from whole blood samples. The panel detects all major variant classes as well as signatures, including MSI and TMB. It provides genomic profiling results from ctDNA, even when sufficient tissue samples are unavailable. We believe this assay has the potential to be a differentiator for pharma because of its large panel size, minimal sample input and highly competitive sensitivity and specificity. In the clinical setting, Neo PanTracer will be one of the most comprehensive and highly sensitive liquid biopsy panels on the market, complementing traditional tissue testing for therapy selection in advanced state solid tumors. The results will be available in a few of seven days, which is appealing to providers as it accelerates the speed at which they can treat their patients. We are targeting the clinical early access launch for lung in late Q4 and the Pan-Cancer in Q1 2025. Beyond providing insights to optimize patient care in the clinical setting, these new tests will help improve operating margins in our pharma business as well as continue the transformation of that business, as well as deliver more robust and valuable real-world data to fuel our informatics business. Speaking of the informatics business, let me give you a quick update on where we are today. If you take a step back and think about the number of tests we've run over the last few years across the cancer continuum for over 0.5 million patients annually, you see we are sitting on a valuable asset of oncology diagnostic data. Even more so, we are using multiple testing modalities with digitized images for most solid tumor samples and creating depth in that data. Pharma uses our diagnostic results in combination with raw data to enhance biomarker discovery, expand R&D to drive their pipeline, support regulatory filings, and ultimately, advance our commercialization. So as we increase the volume of our testing from our clinical business, we likewise expand the breadth and depth of our data assets, which increases our monetization capacity for our informatics data customer. To further drive operating efficiencies, we continue to optimize our lab footprint and invest in productivity. Our lab in La Jolla has been decommissioned, and other sites have been validated for testing specimens that were historically routed there. Meanwhile, the expansion of our Raleigh Lab is well underway. Automation and increased productivity are leading to improvements in turnaround time and margin expansion. Our digital transformation is well underway through the implementation of our new LIMS system, which will include a customer digital portal and enhanced enterprise-wide technical architecture. This enables us to further improve stickiness and increase our focus on integrations with our customers' EMRs. Finally, our new LIMS and digital transformation are being implemented in a way that positions us well to comply with future regulations of lab-developed tests. From a legal perspective, we remain committed to ensuring patients will, once again, have access to our RaDaR technology. On June 6, MolDX granted approval for recurrence monitoring and resectable HPV-negative head and neck cancer. RaDaR is currently the only MRD test with MolDX approval for this indication. On July 12, the appeals court upheld the preliminary injunction against RaDaR, but did lay out the possibility for Neo to go back to the District Court to modify the injunction to carve out head and neck cancer. With this news, we are evaluating our options. We will continue to vigorously defend our technology in the district court for the benefit of all cancer patients. Beyond the litigation pathway, we continue to develop new MRD assays as well as evaluate opportunities for in-licensing or strategic partnership arrangements to enhance and bolster our efforts to drive innovation and bring optionality to patients who can benefit from MRD testing. As we've stated in the past, we are committed to being in the MRD market and supporting patients through their cancer journey from diagnosis to monitoring. Now let me hand it over to Jeff so he can go through a little more detail on our financial results.

Thanks, Chris. I'll start with a little more detail on our operating results for the quarter. We delivered a strong overall performance in Q2, led by yet another quarter of double-digit revenue growth, increasing 12% over the prior year to $165 million. The combination of clinical test volume growth, the ongoing shift to higher value tests and improvements in revenue per test due to RCM initiatives continue to drive revenue growth. Adjusted gross profit was up 20% to $78 million and adjusted gross margins improved by 320 basis points to 47.3%. Adjusted EBITDA improved 630% from prior year to positive $11 million. As Chris said, Q2 was our fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. Clinical Services revenue of $141 million was an increase of 15% over the prior year, driven by a 9% increase in revenue per test due to mix and pricing and a 6% increase in volume. Sales force penetration into the community oncology setting is increasing adoption of NGS testing and driving higher volume growth. The strong demand for NGS testing and the insights it provides continue to fuel revenue growth and earnings. As a reminder, we saw rapid growth in our NGS business in 2023, including the introduction of the large panel Neo comprehensive solid tumor at the end of Q1 and myeloid disorders tests in Q3 last year. While we continue to expect strong growth in our NGS business in the back half of this year, the annualization effect of these tests will result in tougher comparisons as the year progresses. We delivered the 13th consecutive quarter of improvement in revenue per test, up 9% over the prior year to $454. NGS testing and RCM initiatives, including improved pricing, remain the biggest contributors to these improvements. Last quarter, we announced the restructuring of our commercial organization, leveraging the success of the clinical business as a blueprint for the pharma commercial business. Under Warren's leadership, this segment is stabilizing and delivered a quarter better than we forecasted. With Melody taking the reins for informatics, the business is developing a comprehensive plan to further expand the monetization opportunity of our data assets. With pharma and informatics combined into advanced diagnostics, revenue declined 3% over the prior year to $23.1 million but did increase sequentially by $1.4 million or 6.5% over Q1. The year-over-year decline was primarily driven by international site closures, restructuring activities, and other macro pharma market conditions. However, our plan to optimize margins continues to improve ADX adjusted gross margins by 470 basis points over the prior year, and we believe the business is now on the right track towards resuming year-over-year growth. Looking at the income statement. Adjusted gross profit increased by 20% over the prior year as a result of revenue growth and operating leverage, generating higher adjusted gross profit and margins. Adjusted gross margin was 47.3%, an improvement of 320 basis points over the second quarter of last year. Regarding operating expenses, sales and marketing expenses were $22 million, R&D expense was $8 million, and G&A expense was $63 million. As a highlight, adjusted EBITDA improved 630% or $13 million versus the prior year to $11 million as we work to generate additional leverage in the business. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the second quarter with cash and marketable securities of $388 million. Cash flow from operations was a positive $14 million, an improvement of $15 million or 997%, as we recovered from payment delays, primarily driven by the Change Healthcare data breach in the first quarter. Our May 2025 convertible notes, with the principal balance of $201 million, are now presented as current liabilities on our balance sheet. Given our strong cash position and liquidity profile, we plan to use our existing cash and marketable securities to retire the 2025 notes in May. Now let's move on to our revised guidance. Given our strong performance in the first half of the year with revenue growth of 13% and our expectations for continued momentum, along with our sales force expansion and new product launches later this year, we are in a position to raise our revenue guide for the year and significantly increase our adjusted EBITDA guide. Previously, the revenue guide was $650 million to $660 million. We are now expecting revenue in the range of $655 million to $667 million, representing 11% to 13% growth. The pacing of the second half revenue growth will be more heavily weighted in the fourth quarter, with new product introductions, securing new business in the final stages of closing, and the continued success of our sales force optimization and expansion efforts. The previous adjusted EBITDA guide was $21 million to $24 million. We are now completely resetting that range with our revised guidance range of $33 million to $37 million, representing growth of over 1,000% versus last year and a 55% improvement from the original guidance at the midpoint. And with that, I'll hand it back to Chris to wrap up.

Thanks, Jeff. It's been a great quarter, and I'm proud of our teammates for working so hard to sustain performance that delivers these results. We plan on launching three exciting products over the next 12 months to further strengthen our strong position in hospitals with pathologists and better position us with community oncologists. In addition, we continue to gain operating leverage on the business as we execute priorities. With all these things, we're confident in the remainder of 2024 and therefore, are raising guidance. We'll end our prepared remarks there and open it up for questions and turn it back over to the operator.

Operator

And our first question comes from Andrew Brackman with William Blair. Please proceed.

Speaker 4

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe if we could start, just on the NGS side of things. Obviously, another nice quarter of growth there in Q2. But I guess as we sort of think about the growth levers there, is there any color that you can share on the mix of that business between solid tumor and heme today? And I guess related to that, how are you sort of thinking about the strength in heme creating a bit of halo effect across not just solid tumor, but the entire rest of the testing menu here as we move forward?

Yes, we definitely consider it a portfolio. Without a doubt, heme has allowed us to enhance our presence in solid tumors due to our market leadership. I'll turn it over to Warren and Jeff, but we don’t separate the data by heme or solid. Warren, would you like to elaborate?

Speaker 5

So Andrew, great question. So I would say the following: Certainly, we've had a presence from an NGS perspective, heme, obviously, a significant amount of time, and that has a much larger revenue base associated with it. Certainly, a product that we use as an entry strategy into the community and using that as a basis to drive growth into solid tumor NGS. I'd say that's working very effectively for us. And as a percentage growth, obviously, we see solid tumor growing at a faster rate than we do heme. But in absolute terms, heme still is growing at a positive rate.

Yes. And I think we've seen good uptick throughout 2023 in the solid tumor panel I noted at the end of Q1. And then the myeloid panel, we introduced in Q3, we saw a good uplift as well. So I think those new products are helping to drive more NGS growth.

Speaker 4

Great. I’ll keep it at one. Thanks guys.

Operator

The next question comes from Dan Brennan with TD Cowen. Please proceed.

Speaker 6

Great. Thanks for taking the questions here. Maybe one on the margins and the guide. So obviously, as I think you discussed, Jeff, kind of just a complete reset of the EBITDA outlook here, so well, like mid-single-digit margin versus, I think, we had you guys somewhat barely profitable. Just kind of what you discussed a lot what's driving it, like better payments, sales force traction, maybe top line growth? Can you just speak to kind of the durability of that? And how we think about the pace of improvement that's possible as we look out beyond 2024 now that you've had this big acceleration?

Yes. I think it's been multifaceted. And we always talk about we have multiple drivers to drive the business. Certainly, the volume growth in the mix and revenue per test are all helping to drive gross margin improvement and adjusted EBITDA improvement. I would also say we've done a lot of work with lab optimization in terms of our footprint, how we're operating. And we've done a lot of work on productivity as well, just how we're staffing the business. As both the clinical and pharma operations have fallen under Melody, I think we have optimized the lab and how we're working there. The LIMS, we believe, is going to further help us do that as well. And then I'd say on the IT side, I think we've done a lot of work as well, rationalizing IT systems. And again, I think the LIMS will allow us to retire some redundant systems as well. And so I think there's a lot of activity. Finally, I would say on the procurement side, we really, I think, been more rigorous and disciplined on the procurement side over the last year, and that would include logistics as well. So I think we have teams of people kind of looking at cost infrastructure across the company and are using technology to get better. And so as we think about durability, we still think that's a multiyear opportunity to continue to get better and see margin improvement over the next couple of years continuing to improve and getting operating leverage, therefore, on the gross margin and the adjusted EBITDA line.

And I think the other thing is we continue to shift our mix more towards NGS, that's obviously a big driver for that as well.

Speaker 6

Got it. And then maybe as a follow-up, just on NGS. Just on the PanTracer, can you speak a little bit to how like you size that opportunity? I'm sure you've got a pretty good handle on what the market dynamics are and what your customers are currently using today. So what kind of impact do you think PanTracer could have? And you talked about turnaround time as a key differentiator. Any other color you can give about the product profile?

Yes. Dan, I'll let Warren take that one.

Speaker 5

Yes. So I mean, as Chris articulated, Dan, certainly a product that we believe will be very competitive. It's a panel sized over 500 genes. And it's got indels, SMBs, CMBs, TMB and certainly, limited detection are very, very competitive. And coupled with less than seven days turnaround time, we feel that it will be very well placed in the market to compete with competitors out there. It will be a big upgrade over the panel we have today, the IVF, which is just a lung panel. So we feel that we can leverage the expertise and knowledge that we believe from IDFL to an expanded pan-cancer solution. It will also allow us to sort of play into what's becoming more and more popular in terms of concurrent testing and especially as we launch our PanTracer solid tumor, which is slated for next year. That will really allow us to offer sort of a pan-tumor testing solution from a concurrency perspective as well. We recognize that there are other players in the market, but we still feel with our footprint, both within the hospital setting, but also as it's growing in the community setting, through the expanded sales force that we feel we can make a significant growth from this product.

Speaker 6

Great. I’ll keep it at two. Thanks a lot.

Operator

The next question comes from Tejas Savant with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed.

Speaker 7

This is Madison on for Tejas. Thanks for taking the question. I just want to start out, congrats on the quarter. It looks like the top line guide has been raised for the B plus, an additional a couple like maybe $3 million. So I was just wondering there if you could kind of parse out what are the main drivers you're seeing playing out better in the second half than you had initially expected when you set the guide?

Yes, I believe the continued volume performance is strong, as Chris mentioned earlier. We're benefiting from good leverage on the NGS growth we're experiencing. Additionally, we're effectively managing costs. I don't think it's due to a single factor; rather, it's a combination of elements that gives us confidence in sustaining improved performance in the latter half of the year.

Speaker 7

Awesome. Okay. If I could just squeeze one more in. I know you mentioned NGS mix, and the quarter was about, I think, 30%. I was just wondering how much of that growth is being driven by adoption in the community setting versus hospital setting?

Yes. I believe the growth is coming from both segments, but we do not specify which segment is contributing to which market.

Speaker 7

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Mike Matson with Needham & Company. Please proceed.

Speaker 7

Hey everyone, this is Joseph standing in for Mike. I appreciate you taking our questions. Regarding AML Express, you mentioned a two-day turnaround. I'm curious if that turnaround time can also apply to other tests, or is it unique to AML that allows for such a quick turnaround? Additionally, what are the factors influencing that? Can we expect any improvements in turnaround times for other tests?

Yes. I'm going to bring in Dr. Nate Montgomery. You guys, I don't think have met him, but he runs medical, and let him talk a little bit about that test.

Speaker 8

So I think in the near term, we expect this to be specific to AML. Longer term, the sort of technologies that we're talking about here will apply to other tumor types. Today where we are, speed usually means a little bit smaller of a footprint of the assay in terms of how many genes we're testing. So if this isn't something immediate that would be applicable to all hematologic malignant solid tumor, but we do see opportunities growing in the rapid panel format for many indications.

Speaker 7

Okay, that’s helpful. Yes, I think we’ll just keep it to one this time. But thank you for taking the question.

Operator

The next question comes from David Westenberg with Piper Sandler. Please proceed.

Speaker 9

I’m going to shift the conversation. Jeff, you talked about the three products you're launching. Was that mentioned in your previous guidance, or did you receive any updates on the timing? Also, I believe you mentioned a new customer win. Can you provide some details about what that new customer win entails? And don’t worry, we won't go overboard with modeling for next year, but shouldn’t these products also be drivers for next year?

Yes, I'll clarify that. We've primarily discussed the large solid tumor area. While I wouldn't say we've provided specific guidance, we have been transparent about the products. We received numerous questions between Q1 and Q2, so we felt it was important to offer additional clarity now that we're further along in the development process of those products. We have three significant products expected to launch over the next year, one in Q3, one in Q4, and another at the end of Q1 moving into Q2. We anticipate all three will be key products for us, although we hadn't shared as much detail about them until today. Regarding customer wins, it's important to note that onboarding new accounts takes time, as is common in this industry. Jeff can elaborate on this, but what he meant was that many developments related to these accounts are expected in the second half of the year, with a heavier focus on Q4 compared to Q3.

Yes. I would add that we had some initial product launches in the original guide, which were always planned for the end of the year. This will mean that new business wins will contribute to revenue in Q4 as well. Therefore, we expect Q3 to be higher than Q2, with a slight increase in Q2, and more of the earnings growth anticipated in the fourth quarter, especially as we look at the second half of the year, which we feel confident about.

Speaker 9

Got it. And I know from a volume standpoint, NGS is not that high, but you did cite 30% revenue. Where do we kind of think that could peak at in terms of percent of revenue? And again, I know you have a long-term guidance of 10%. You can't keep going with these teams forever in that clinical growth business, but just trying to get a sense for that peak.

Yes. Well, look, look, a couple of things, I think, to think about it. It's 30% of the clinical business, and the base business of that clinical side is still growing as well outside of NGS. But if you look at a lot of our competitors, 80% of their revenues, 90% of the revenue is coming from NGS. So we think there's a ton of runway. Now I'm not saying that we're going to be at that level. But you can see this going significantly more than 50% of the clinical revenue. So we think that, again, there continues to be a lot of runway. Yes, best as we go into community oncology.

And I think it's a focus of ours. It's a higher revenue, higher margin profile. We're clearly from a sales perspective focusing on it as well. And we're seeing the results of that focus drive through from a revenue perspective and from a margin and earnings perspective.

Yes, that’s why we’re expanding the field sooner than previously discussed. We're enhancing our sales force efficiency and optimization. However, our sales force size is still relatively small compared to the available opportunity. We need to keep investing, which is why we're going to accelerate that investment.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Matt Sykes with Goldman Sachs. Matt, please proceed.

Speaker 10

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Congrats on the quarter. Maybe just two quick ones. I'll ask them both upfront. Just on revenue per test, you guys have had a pretty impressive back record of being the revenue per test up. And I know you've cited focus on higher-value test price mix and also revenue cycle management. I know the answer is all of the above, but would love to hear like of those areas, where is the most runway for you guys? Do you feel to continue to drive that revenue per test up? And then second question is just, Jeff, a quick one. OpEx, for the balance of the year, you've been kind of growing at, I think, mid-single digits. Is that what we should be assuming for the balance of the year on the OpEx side? Thanks.

I'm going to let Jeff take both of those, Matt.

Yes. I think on the OpEx side, that's a reasonable assumption, Matt, for the back half of the year.

Revenue per test is influenced significantly by the NGS mix, which continues to represent over 60 percent. We introduced several new tests in 2023, and we are starting to see the impact of those. In both Q1 and Q3, we launched new tests. While we anticipate continued growth, the rate of revenue per test percentage increase may slow down, although we still expect it to rise. On the revenue cycle aspect, there are still many opportunities to explore. Our main challenge remains with large panel tests. There is positive movement regarding state biomarker legislation, with more states approving it. However, even with state approval, it doesn't immediately translate to payers initiating payments. We have significant work ahead to ensure payers fulfill their obligations, even when states or Medicare are aligned. We view this as a multiyear opportunity to enhance payments for the services we currently provide. We're focusing our efforts in this area, and although it is challenging to liaise with payers for payments, we are witnessing ongoing success.

Speaker 10

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Michael Ryskin with Bank of America. Please proceed.

Speaker 11

Hey, good afternoon. This is John Kim for Michael. So the sales force, you guys obviously, made a lot of investments, and you guys are starting to bear the fruit of your labor there. But are you looking to expand that further? And should we think about incremental costs in the second half in '25? And separately, I think you guys talked about the 40% of the sales force time being focused on the community oncology setting versus the balance in the hospital setting, how is that looking? Has that balance shifted at all?

Yes. So we did talk about that we're expanding the field organization. So that's kind of in the slides and in the script. And when you think about it, we are getting a return, and so we're going quicker. So there would definitely be costs though associated with it in the back half of the year as well as into '25, but that is built into the guide. Yes. And as far as we've never said specifically the amount of time that we're spending really in one place or the other. We have two separate sales forces. One group focuses primarily on the hospital pathologists and the other group focuses primarily on the community oncologists. And so both of those are continuing. But we see the big growth opportunity with the Community Oncology segment.

Yes. And I would say we are having success with this commercial expansion, and it has been a growth driver. And our adjusted EBITDA growth has been faster than we expected, both last year and this year. So we look at that as enabling us to continue to invest in the sales force expansion and optimization efforts really to drive growth over the next several years. So I think that's the way we're thinking about it. We've said we're going to be measured and measure investment with revenue and earnings growth. And as we do better, we have the opportunity to invest more, and that is how we're thinking about it as we go into the back half of this year and into 2025.

Speaker 11

Got it. Thank you for that. If I could just ask one more question. Regarding RaDaR, I believe you mentioned that you would pursue both the legal strategy and the internal R&D. Are you still considering any form of tech transfer, licensing, or a full acquisition?

Yes. I’m going to introduce Karim, who manages the meeting with Ali and will discuss the strategy. The answer to the first part is definitely R&D. Would you like to add something?

Speaker 12

Yes. John. So as we mentioned, we are looking at the full spectrum of potential partnerships and in-licensing opportunities. So more on that to come, but we're not leaving any sort of stone unturned, both internal development but also in-licensing on partnerships.

Speaker 11

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Mark Massaro with BTIG. Please proceed.

Speaker 13

Hey, how’s it going Chris? Thanks for taking the questions. And Karim, welcome to Neo. Good to hear from you again.

Speaker 12

Thank you, Mark.

Speaker 13

Yes. So I guess the first question, you guys continue to grow really in a robust way in NGS. And so I have to imagine you are taking share in NGS. Can you just maybe touch on any specific indications where you're getting the strongest traction from? And then outside of NGS, in areas like flow, fish, IHC, how do you see those sort of sub-segments growing over the next couple of years?

Yes. Let’s start by discussing the back end and then move to the front. Our diagnostic business is growing at approximately 5%. Historically, we have indicated growth of 2% to 4%, but we are currently experiencing significant growth that exceeds the market in several modalities. This brings us to your next point about potential market share movement. A key difference between us and some of the larger reference labs and hospitals is our ability to offer comprehensive solutions for cancer patients and conduct testing. We haven't specified any particular company in terms of market share because each territory varies based on geography and the strength of our competitors. However, our team has undoubtedly accelerated our entry into various modalities more quickly than we anticipated in the early stages.

Speaker 13

Okay. For my follow-up, can you give us an update on when we can expect data on PanTracer liquid? I know you mentioned a turnaround time of less than seven days, which seems in line with the market leader. Could you provide a timeline for when we might see this data? Additionally, can you share your expectations regarding Medicare and your strategies for securing Medicare coverage in the clinic?

Yes. So look, I think we're doing a couple of different things there. I would say that we're running what I would consider more traditional clinical trials with head-to-head to be able to come out and show some data. And obviously, I mentioned this on the call, we're going to start with lung and then move into pan-cancer. But I think you'll start seeing early data in Q1. Obviously, this is a process from MolDx what we've got to go through clinical trial, and that is already underway. And so I think, again, I would say maybe late Q1, I think the question becomes is how we release that product at some point into Q1, whether we wait from MolDx or just we're seeing traction in the early kind of clinical release. We'll do kind of a soft market launch to get early clinical data with key customers and then depending on that will make it a bigger decision as far as the timing of MolDx and that data. But I say market is probably going to be the latter part of Q1.

Speaker 13

Okay, great. Thanks guys.

Operator

Next, we have Matt Hewitt with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please proceed.

Speaker 14

Good afternoon. And thanks for taking the questions. Maybe first up, last quarter, you had mentioned that there was some disruptions because of the change in the healthcare situation. I'm just curious if that has all been reconciled at this point? You've gotten caught up there?

We estimated a $5 million impact from collection shortfalls coming out of Q1. We have collected most of that in Q2, with an additional $1 million to $1.5 million flowing into Q3. As of now, we are caught up on that shortfall.

Speaker 14

Got it. Regarding the PanTracer test that you plan to launch, what will be the key differentiator compared to the Illumina panel? Is it the turnaround time? Any differentiation you can provide would be helpful. Thank you.

Yes. So look, we are using the Illumina platform, but it's really the bioinformatics, which would be the big key differentiator that we're developing internally. And so I think the turnaround time, think about that more against other competitors, and that's where we're kind of targeting that seven-day to make sure that we're at or better than the other competitors on the market.

Speaker 14

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Mike Matson with Needham. Please proceed.

Speaker 15

I have a follow-up question for Warren. It seems that much of the increase in the commercial team has been focused on the clinical side. Warren, you mentioned that ADX is on the right track to resume year-over-year growth. I apologize if you already addressed this, but did you add any sales representatives on the pharma side and the ADX side during the quarter? What are your plans for increasing headcount in those areas? I believe the last we heard it was around 10, but I may be mistaken.

Speaker 5

Yes, I believe your estimates are correct. We've managed to stabilize the pharma business at this point. In the short term, we do not plan to add any new staff to that segment. Instead, we're taking a more focused approach. My closer examination of the business revealed that our previous strategy was somewhat fragmented. Moving forward, we aim to leverage our existing resources more effectively. As we begin to see progress in that area, we will consider further investments. However, for the remainder of this year, we do not plan to make any additional investments.

But we can capitalize, as we said in our prepared remarks, on the commercial enablement infrastructure that was built on the clinical team is now being also utilized for the pharma team as well.

Speaker 15

Okay, great. That makes sense. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Puneet Souda with Leerink Partners. Please proceed.

Speaker 16

Chris, thanks for the questions here. So first one is on the headcount increase. Can you provide us a little bit more into that? And where do you think the headcount needs to be eventually? And how long will it take for some of these reps to be fully productive?

Yes. When considering headcount, the initial thought often relates to operational expenses. However, in our review of the business, it became clear that the key factor was not the total spending but rather the allocation of those funds. We're achieving efficiencies in various areas, allowing us to redirect some of these resources to the commercial organization, which we believe has been under-resourced. Therefore, as we pursue this strategy, we anticipate seeing positive results in the latter part of the year. Would you like to add anything more?

Speaker 5

I believe there are several factors at play. As someone in a commercial role, I wouldn't try to predict the exact figures. We're not entirely certain. However, we have executed several field expansions in the last 18 months, and I feel we now have the necessary back office infrastructure established, including in learning development and tools. This has led to a faster productivity ramp-up after hiring. Additionally, I think the labor market is becoming more favorable, which is reducing the time it takes to hire. We are confident that we can significantly shorten the time it takes from decision-making to when a new hire becomes productive compared to 18 months ago. We are likely now within that six-month range.

Speaker 16

Got it. That's helpful. Can you elaborate on how you're using AI and informatics to gain deeper insights into the accounts? There seems to be increasing competition or perceptions of it, along with new products that are integrating more with oncology EMRs and other strategies. I would like to understand your overall approach to informatics and how it integrates with the NGS assays.

Yes. I think when I talked about that we were talking about the new LIMS system, which I think is going to enhance or even better enable us to create that pathway with hospitals during the EMR. Do you want to talk a little bit about what's happening and how we've accelerated that?

Speaker 5

Yes. To answer your question, there are several points to discuss, and I would also like Melody to address informatics in general. Integrating with customers through the EMR system is a strategic focus for us. This integration allows for order placements, report transfers, and data access, enabling efficient data interrogation. It is a critical part of our strategy, applicable in both hospital and community settings. The benefit lies in providing a seamless experience and enhancing patient care by quickly delivering information, whether it's a report or data, to practicing physicians. This has become a significant demand from our customers, and we are investing to accelerate this process. Additionally, there is a growing desire for access to raw data, allowing customers to analyze trends within their patient populations. We see this as an increasing daily request. Neo-access offers solutions that allow oncologists to investigate data and recognize trends among their patients. Melody, would you like to share anything from an informatics perspective?

Speaker 17

On the informatics side, that's our revenue-producing licensing of data into the pharma industry. And so there we're growing productizing a little bit better and expect to see some good growth on that in the back half. But different than the digital transformation piece that Warren was just referring to on the clinical side.

But the mix of our business into more large panel NGS testing is going to give us more data ultimately to capitalize on from an informatics side over time.

Speaker 16

Got it. Helpful guys, that’s great. Thank you.

Operator

Up next is Tom DeBourcy with Nephron.

Speaker 18

Thanks for taking the question. I just had a follow-up. I guess your MRD strategy at RaDaR in the context of, I guess, the preliminary junction being upheld, I realized HPV negative head and neck cancer might be carved out. But I guess, what concern of ours is really, I guess, the size of the potential liability that I realized you can't really articulate, but how do you think about making an additional acquisition? Obviously, this is before your time, but Nevada was acquired 450 million. So doing an additional acquisition in MRD with, I guess, maybe the size of the potential legal liability around RaDaR still may not be node?

Yes. So for a couple of things. So as a company, we don't publicly discuss any ongoing lawsuits. But Ali is here who's our GC and can kind of maybe provide some more information. But do you want to?

Alicia Olivo General Counsel

Yes. I mean I'm not sure I understand your question, if it's around goodwill impairment or something like that, which we're not going to address.

Speaker 18

I can clarify. I mean my question is really around how do you justify making an additional acquisition when you still don't know the size of potential liability that RaDaR may be owed to the tariff?

Alicia Olivo General Counsel

We have not indicated any plans for additional acquisitions. Our current focus is on tech transfer, such as licensing and strategic partnerships. Regarding our R&D, we have several MRD products in development, including one entering the validation phase early next year and another that is progressing closely behind it. We are continuing to develop MRD products using the resources we obtained from Nevada.

In our prepared comments, we said we had multiple pathways, and that's basically one of the multiple pathways we have.

Yes. I think that's the way to think about it, right? There's really three avenues. One is litigation, which we're in the middle of, and we feel very strong about our position. We continue to go down that path. Second is, we've always been doing R&D around MRD, knowing that RaDaR from a sensitivity perspective, we beat that we would need a next generation. And third is we probably have one of the best distribution systems in the country for cancer, and there's a lot of innovative technologies from a licensing perspective, they are looking for avenues. So look, we're going down three paths, but we're really not disclosing much more than that at this point. Thank you. I think we're near the end of time. So operator, I appreciate it. Everybody on the call, thanks for taking the time today to catch up. It was a great quarter, really happy with how things turned out, and we'll look forward to catching up with everybody soon. Take care.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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