Thank you for standing by. My name is Jessica, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Rocket Lab First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Update and Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Thank you. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Muriel Baker, Senior Communications Manager. Muriel, you may begin.

Thank you. Hello and welcome to today's conference call to discuss Rocket Lab's first quarter 2025 financial results. Before we begin the call, I'd like to remind you that our remarks may contain forward-looking statements that relate to the future performance of the company, and these statements are intended to qualify for the safe harbour protection from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Any such statements are not guarantees of future performance, and factors that could influence our results are highlighted in today's press release, and others are contained in our filings with the Security and Exchange Commission. Such statements are based upon information available to the company as of the date hereof and are subject to change for future developments. Except as required by law, the company does not undertake any obligation to update these statements. Our remarks and press release today also contain non-GAAP financial measures within the meaning of Regulation G enacted by the SEC. Included in such release and our supplemental materials are reconciliations of these historical non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. This call is also being webcast with a supporting presentation and a replay and copy of the presentation will be available on our website. Our speakers today are Rocket Lab founder and chief executive officer, Sir Peter Beck, as well as chief financial officer, Adam Spice. They will be discussing key business highlights, including updates on our launch three systems programs, and we will discuss financial highlights and outlook before we finish by taking questions. So with that, let me turn the call over to Sir Peter.

Thanks, Marielle, and thanks everybody for joining us today. Well, we had a very strong start for 2025 across the business i want to provide a bit of an update as we build towards our future as a constellation owner and operator as we take you through our achievements for the quarter keep this in mind how every milestone and every mission brings us closer to that more lucrative piece of the space value chain we continue to launch and book more and more electron missions proving we hold the keys to space with regular launch access as neutron around as close as the pad, we also get closer to having a 13-ton reusable launch vehicle that can deploy our own satellites with speed and cost efficiency, while also generating revenue through the missions we'll fly for our national security and commercial customers. Having gone after the full space ecosystem with satellites, launch vehicles, and everything in between, a deep vertical integration is one of our distinct competitive advantages. And while it's bringing us closer to our strategic end goal, this quarter it's also served us well against a backdrop of dynamic international trade environments ensuring that we have the supply chain lock with secure and predominantly us-based manufacturing so with that let me move on to some more specifics for the quarter we've posted a near record quarterly revenue of 122.6 million nudging to the top end of our prior guidance and 32 percent up 32 compared to last year we have another strong looking quarter on the horizon with the midpoint of our guidance range for Q2 pointed to another record-sending quarter for the business, and I'll let Adam go into those details a little bit later. On the launch side, demand is soaring. We booked eight new Electron and HACE missions for Q1, and at the same time launched five missions with 100% mission success. Three of those took flight within just 13 days of each other, and there is demand from our customers for more than 20 launches this year. The Neutron, our selection to the DoD's High Value Launch Contract NSSL program is really the headline for the quarter. I'll go into more detail about what this means and how we plan to deliver against it in the later slides. And in Space Systems, it only took 15 days to bring back the second in-space manufacturing mission for VADA before our third spacecraft was launched to space and began its operation. A real demonstration of the speed and capability we've developed to deliver consistently reliable spacecraft for our customers. So there's lots to get excited about this past quarter so without further ado let's dig in first up turning to small launch so electron continues to prove why it's the global leader with five missions in the quarter all across only six and a half weeks proving that when even when our customers are ready to go with their payloads so are we looking ahead next weekend's mission for the multi-launch customer iqps will be the first of six in a row that are flying back to back out of launch complex one electron makes frequent and reliable launch look easy but if we take a look back over a past decade it really shows that electron has really cemented itself as the preeminent small launch provider electron really has scaled to provide the majority of American commercial small launch a focus on execution smart use of capital to scale launch cadence and production and a solid and reliable product is what it takes to succeed a few others have been able to achieve that in the same way we have with electron that really goes to show what an impact electron has had and continues to have on the industry and delivering trusted and reliable access to space for small satellite operators and neutron is except set to do exactly the same obviously moving on to haste and a hypersonic test vehicle continues to be a sought-after capability both domestically and internationally both the US and the United Kingdom have picked haste to develop sovereign hypersonic technology for their multi-billion dollar defense programs we've been selected to participate within the US Air Force's EWAAC program a 46 billion dollar indefinite delivery and definite quantity program the second program we've been on ramp to is a 1.3 billion dollar framework by the United Kingdom's Ministry of Defense as it works to shore up its hypersonic capabilities. This is HACE's first international call-up and a proud moment for the team to be able to contribute to the collective security of the United States and its allies. We've also landed another HACE launch contract through Kratos for the Department of Defence's Mark TB program. So that's seven missions now with HACE for Mark TB, making us one of the most prolific commercial launch providers on that flagship DoD program. Regular hypersonic flight tests are critical to developing the technology and infrastructure needed to keep countries safe and haste is right at the center of that effort now onto Neutron momentum is building for Neutron on the back of a really significant progress we made in 2024 the big news item in this quarter has been on-ramp to the Pentagon's high-value launch contract national security space launch program this is the most competitive launch program in the industry to fly the DOD's highest priority and most critical missions our selection to it is a huge vote of confidence by the Pentagon and neutron and affirms us as one of the most capable American launch providers we're also the only publicly traded company to even onboard to NSSL once we're clear of neutrons first launch we'll be bidding for task orders under the phase three line one program which has a total value of five point six billion dollars and an ordering period through to June 2029. We've already completed a kick-off meeting with the full contingent of future mission partners, including the US Space Force Assured Access to Space, NRO Office of Space Launch, and other stakeholders from across the government. This was part of a $5 million task order for a mission assurance showcase that came with Neutron's selection. Our entry into NSSL is the type of disruptive competition the US government and the industry has been asking for. Missions for defense and intelligence satellites used to be dominated by legacy launch providers, and the DoD has been up front about wanting new partners with innovative approaches that bring increased competition. That's exactly what we've set out to achieve with Neutron, and I'm excited to deliver it once we start flying later this year. I'm also pleased to announce our latest contract for Neutron. We've been selected to fly a U.S. Air Force research lab mission that supports point-to-point cargo transportation in a multi-manifest mission. It's all part of a program by the AFRL to create rapid delivery systems for defence cargo using commercial launch vehicles in a multi-year effort. Since the mission is all about bringing things back to Earth, AFRL will fly on a return-to-Earth neutron no earlier than 2026. We know re-entry and rocket usability is a critical advancement in space tech that the DoD is highly supportive of, which is why Neutron has been designed from the get-go for reuse and frequency. And the latest contract is a show of confidence from the DOD and our ability to deliver that. Moving on to some technical updates, it's a big green tick for Neutron's second stage qualification campaign, proving out the stage's design, operations and readiness for launch later this year. We ran launch-like operations across its full combination of flight software, hardware, avionics, guidance navigation control systems, and we also proof-tested it to more than 125% of its design point. Some of that including applying more than 1.3 million pounds of force in tension across the carbon composite structure. Now the second stage is one of the more novel pieces of Neutron, so it was important that we retire that risk first. The added benefit of that, of course, is that the structure of Stage 2 is largely similar to Stage 1. So by completing this qualification campaign first, we brought down a lot of the same risks that we may have seen in Stage 1. Having passed with flying colours, Neutron Stage 2 is now going through final assembly and will be shipped to the launch site in the next few months in preparation for stage testing with the engine. Now Neutron's pointy end, the Stage 1 upper module is also close to completion as well. This is obviously more than what you saw last quarter with just the hungry hippo fairings. This is the full module and it includes all the major Stage 1 elements like canards, interstage, along with all of its mechanical systems like actuators, locks, avionics systems and running all the flight software. The full assembly represents some of the most complex mechanical systems that exist on the vehicle and they all perform seamlessly during testing. We're just a few small finishing touches away from another big tick on the road to launch for Neutron for that whole section. All of the rocket puzzle pieces are really starting to come together now and look if we can ship them around the country we can also fly them and I think everybody knows how much I like helicopters but even at their size, Neutron's carbon composite material makes them light enough to move large pieces around by helicopter which is what we did earlier this quarter to help bring Neutron Stage 1 hardware together and place it all at our facility in Baltimore. While the majority of the rocket is assembled here given the size of the rocket and the road it has to travel on to launch Complex 3, Neutron is shipped in stages before it's fully integrated as an entire rocket. Over at Launch Complex 3 in Virginia, we're on schedule and close to finishing Neutron's launch pad. With everything in its place, the team is working around the clock to complete all the integration and activate the pad. One of those more recent campaigns was the water deluge test. Turns out there is water on Wallops Island because we pumped thousands of gallons of it through our pipes. The flow rate was the equivalent to an Olympic-sized swimming pool every 40 seconds. And event planning is underway for the ribbon cutting there soon as well. So because Launch Complex 3 really is an important new addition, not just for the state, but for the whole nation, with Neutron's on-ramp T-NSSL, our rocket will be the first to fly for the program out of Virginia. And that really highlights the importance of the pad as a critical national security asset. At the engine test site in Mississippi, at the engine test site in Mississippi, the propulsion team is doubling down on Archimedes. We're hot firing flat out as you would expect with flight avionics and full software stacks and the team is busy tuning the engine through a barrage of tests. We've also just completed the build of a second engine test cell that's now up and running to enable testing two engines at the same time. So as you can see, we're steadily making our way along the path to the pad. We've ticked off some big wins recently and every element of the vehicle has been worked simultaneously. Yes, it's an aggressive schedule that we have ahead of us, but that's how we've delivered new rockets to the pad before. And a reminder that the schedule that you see here is not sequential. Actually, everything is happening at once and in parallel. A good example of this is the launch licence to fly. There's a strong possibility that the paperwork will only come in days before launch, just like it did for our first Electron flight from Virginia. But that doesn't mean we stop everything else from taking place that needs to be done before we get that. And with no major issues, we're really still targeting the first launch by the second half of this year. Now let's turn to updates across space systems. Just before the quarter closed, we announced our intent to acquire Menarik, a German company specialising in laser-based satellite communications. This intended acquisition still has to make its way through all the approvals, but otherwise is progressing well. And so I want to take this opportunity to get into the details behind why we decided to pursue this acquisition and its strategic importance to the growth of our business. A key piece of any large constellation is the ability to communicate between spacecraft with high-speed and secure connections. Often that's laser-based, and the technology that Minarik has developed is some of the best in the world. Beyond the technology, this deal also sees us set down our first European footprint in Munich. With extensive production assets, intellectual property, product inventory, and a committed backlog for future constellations, there's a clear line of sight to European growth opportunities in this deal. And we'll be looking to expand the existing team of talented engineers and staff to meet international demand. Now, by bringing them in-house, the terminals in-house, we will add a new element to our spacecraft supply chain that improves our product line and strengthens our position in commercial, national security and defence contracts. Menarch terminals are already being supplied for a half a billion dollar contract with the Space Development Agency along with many other companies, making this even more of a logical integration. We've proven across all of our acquisitions to date that we can take a highly sought after product, scale it and make it available in high volume. It's our full intention to do the same here again by expanding into Europe and to bring Monarch's terminals to the world and potentially for our own constellation too. So I'm excited about the potential of this deal and we'll be sure to keep you updated on its progress. Turning to our VADA missions, and very soon we'll be bringing their third in-space manufacturing capsule back to Earth with our Pioneer spacecraft. This mission launched in Q1 just two weeks after the return of the second capsule. And since then, our spacecraft has been providing power, communications, propulsion, attitude control, and to keep VADA's capsule in orbit. The process has now begun to position Pioneer and VADA for Earth re-entry over Australia, so keep an eye out for updates on the mission in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the team is working hard at wrapping up the integration and testing for our fourth and final Pioneer spacecraft in the VADA contract in Long Beach. Our suite of space systems components and mission software is constantly under development, allowing us to consistently produce.

Hey, Operator, until we can get Pete back on the line, I'll just pick up where he left off.

Okay, that would be great. Thank you so much.

Great. Thanks, everybody. Yeah, this is Adam Spice, CFO at Rocket Lab. So I'll pick up where Pete was discussing our product expansion. And, you know, our suite of space systems components and mission software is constantly under development, allowing us to consistently produce and release new products that really move the needle for the industry and for us. I'll quickly take you through a couple of our latest releases. With StarRay, we've introduced a line of modular solar arrays for satellites that are customizable to meet all their power needs. With multiple different panel dimensions that small satellite operators can choose from, it's a plug-and-play solution at a low cost that helps to speed up small satellite development for our customers. And we've got contracts all ready to supply these customizable wings to constellations under development right now. We've also expanded our suite of Frontier satellite radios that are compatible with the industry's most important global ground stations. And on the software side, we've introduced the next-gen versions of our highly popular Mac software packages for satellite guidance and control. The software behind Intermission for ground data and space operations and Max Constellation for software control of satellite constellations is the same that helped land a commercial lunar lander on the moon earlier this year, supported NASA's Capstone mission, DARPA's Blackjack program, and which commands our Pioneer spacecraft for our VARTA missions. Next, we've also had an extremely active quarter pursuing new opportunities for space systems that further scales our vertical integration. We're pursuing several large government and commercial contracts that would see us building entire constellations of satellites, not just individual spacecraft. These are industry scaling and shaping constellation builds that would tap our full space systems value chain and realize significant value that reshapes our business. And on the M&A side, we have a half dozen deals in the pipeline as we continue to expand our vertical integration. There's high potential in all of this, and we've expanded a lot as a company. With our eyes set on Europe and international expansion, as well as the deepening national security work that we're taking on through space systems and launch, time is right for a new company structure that makes it simpler and more efficient to manage the business and our growth, particularly when it comes to U.S. government classified programs. Our new parent company, Rocket Lab Corporation, will replace Rocket Lab USA, Inc. as the public company listed on the NASDAQ. Existing shares of Rocket Lab will automatically convert on a one-for-one basis into shares of common stock of Rocket Lab Corporation, which will keep the RKLB ticker symbol. Trading is expected to continue uninterrupted on the NASDAQ, and there will be no impact to shareholders, ownership, or rights. We should have the new company structure wrapped up by the end of the month. And with that, I'll transition over to the review of the financial highlights for the quarter. The first quarter 2025 revenue was $122.6 million, which was at the high end of our prior guidance range and reflects significant year-over-year growth of 32.1 percent, driven by strong contribution to both business segments, but led by space systems. First quarter revenue declined 7.4 percent sequentially, primarily due to the mix of lower-priced electron missions in the quarter, paired with an aggregate reduction in our components businesses, with both of these headwinds expected to reverse and convert into tailwinds in Q2. Our launch services segment delivered revenue of $35.6 million, reflecting a slight step down in average selling price. However, our current backlog for Electron and Haste backlog continues to support an increasing ASP, with some variability quarterly tied to volume purchase commitments, launch location, and mission assurance requirements. Although variable quarter-to-quarter, we expect ASP for the calendar year 2025 to materially expand when compared to 2024, and with that continued gross margin expansion. Our space system segment delivered 87 million dollars in the quarter, reflecting a sequential decline of 3.4 percent, driven by our attitude determination and control systems and separation systems businesses. Now turning to gross margin. Gap gross margin for the first quarter was 28.8 percent, above our prior guidance range of 25 to 27 percent. Non-gap gross margin for the first quarter was 33.4 percent, which was also above our prior guidance range of 30 to 32 percent gap gross margin improved sequentially owing to an improved mix in satellite manufacturing partially offset by a decline in launch margin segment primarily related primarily to lower average selling price non-gap gross margin was down slightly sequentially due to a lower stock-based compensation adjustment under our eac program accounting Relatedly, we ended Q1 with production-related headcount of 1,088, up 84 from the prior order. Turning to backlog, we ended Q1 2025 with $1.067 billion of total backlog, with launch backlog of $422.2 million and space systems backlog of $644.8 million. While overall backlog growth has been modest, launch backlog nearly doubled year-over-year with strong underlying trends as we convert a very strong pipeline of neutron, electron, and haste opportunities. Space systems bookings remain lumpy given the timing of increasingly larger needle-living customer program opportunities, but remain at a healthy level despite a step up in revenue run rate over the last few quarters. We continue to cultivate a healthy pipeline, including multi-launch deals and large satellite manufacturing contracts. That, as mentioned earlier, can create lumpiness in backlog growth given the size and complexity of the opportunities. Relatedly, in Pete's earlier comments, he referenced being on-ramped recently to some very large and strategic procurement programs, including the very large and exciting NSSL program, in addition to a few multi-billion dollar hypersonics programs domestically and abroad, which now set the stage for exciting backlog-expanding task order bidding. Getting on-ramped was the required milestone to unlock this potential, so we're very excited about what's to come we expect approximately 56 percent of current backlog to be recognized as revenues within 20 months and we continue to get relatively quick turns business that drive top line growth beyond current 12-month backlog conversion turning to operating expenses gap operating expenses for the first quarter of 2025 were 94.4 million dollars within our guidance range of 93 to 95 million dollars non-GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter were 76.8 million dollars up 2.3 million dollars sequentially which was just below our guidance range of 77 to 79 million dollars the sequential increases in both GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses were primarily driven by continued growth in prototype and headcount related spending to support our neutron development program specifically investment has increased to support neutron propulsion as we continue to qualify Archimedes, and mechanical and composite structures supporting the ferry and tank fabrication ahead of the first flight this year. In R&D specifically, GAAP expenses increased $6.9 million quarter-on-quarter due to the ramping up of the Archimedes production, paired with increased expenses related to mechanical systems and composites, as just mentioned. Non-GAAP R&D expenses were up $4 million quarter-on-quarter, driven similarly to the GAAP expenses. Q1 ending R&D headcount was 923, representing an increase of 95 from the prior quarter. In SG&A, GAAP expenses decreased $800,000 quarter-on-quarter due to a decrease in outside services. Within that GAAP spend, we reported non-recurring transaction costs of $1.4 million in Q1 due to continued corporate development activities, including advancing a robust pipeline of M&A opportunities. Non-GAAP SG&A expenses decreased modestly by $1.7 million, due primarily to a decrease in software licenses. Q1 ending SG&A headcount was 332, representing an increase of 3 from the prior quarter. In summary, total first quarter headcount was 2,343, up 182 heads from the prior quarter. Turn to cash. Purchases of property, equipment, and capitalized software licenses were $28.7 million in the first quarter of 2025, an increase of $7.2 million from the $21.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 as we accelerated our LC3 construction activities and expanded our additive manufacturing capacity to support Archimedes scaling. As we continue to invest in neutron R&D, testing, and scaling production, we expect increased capital expenditures to continue leading up to Neutron's first flight. Gap operating cash flow was a negative $54.2 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to a negative $2.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. The sequential growth in negative gap operating cash flow of $51.8 million was driven primarily by materially lumpy cash receipts from our largest satellite programs, paired with continued Neutron investment and long-leaf procurement supporting SDA, as well as subsequent Neutron vehicle bill of materials and related infrastructure, including the recovery landing barge, to scale Neutron's cadence beyond its initial test flight. Overall, non-gap-free cash flow, defined as gap operating cash flow, less purchases of property equipment and software in the first quarter of 2025 was a use of $82.9 million compared to a use of $23.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, again driven by lumpy cash receipts and disbursements. The ending balance of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketless securities was $517 million at the end of the first quarter of 2025. The sequential increase in liquidity is due to the at-the-market equity offering that we announced earlier in the quarter, which generated $92.8 million in gross proceeds through quarter end, which is intended to fund growth, including future acquisitions, such as the Menardek acquisition, along with general corporate purposes. As such, we exited Q1 in a strong position to execute on our organic expansion initiatives, as well as inorganic options to further vertically integrate our supply chain with strategic capabilities and expand our addressable market, consistent with what we have done successfully in the past. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $30 million in the first quarter of 2025, better than our guidance range of $33 to $35 million loss. Sequential increase of $6.8 million of adjusted EBITDA loss was driven by a slight decline in revenue growth paired with an increase in neutron R&D during the quarter. And with that, let's turn to our guidance for the second quarter of 2025. We expect revenue in the second quarter to range between $130 and $140 million, representing slightly greater than 10% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth at the midpoint. We expect meaningful expansion in both GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins in the second quarter, with GAAP gross margins to range between 30% to 32% and non-GAAP gross margins to range between 34% to 36%. These forecasted GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins reflect improvement in launch ASP and overhead absorption. We expect second quarter GAAP operating expenses to range between $96 and $98 million and non-GAAP operating expenses to range between $82 and $84 million. The quarter-on-quarter increase is to be driven primarily by continued neutron investment across staff costs, prototyping, and materials. We expect second-quarter GAAP and non-GAAP net interest expense to be $3.1 million. We expect second-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss to range between $28 million and $30 million, and basic weighted average common shares outstanding to be approximately 514 million shares, which includes convertible preferred shares of approximately $51 million. Lastly, consistent with last quarter, we believe negative non-GAAP free cash flow in the second quarter will remain at an elevated level in the range of $40 million to $80 million, excluding any potential offsetting effects of financing under our existing equipment lending facility. And with that, we'll hand the call over to the operator for questions.

Great. Thank you so much. Again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to enter your question into the queue. And our first question comes from the line of Edison Yu with Deutsche Bank. Edison, your line is open.

Hey, good afternoon, team. Thank you for taking our questions. First one, I want to ask about Ineric. It's a public company, so we've obviously seen some of the struggles that they've had. After you're doing your analysis of due diligence on it, what do you think is the biggest issue they've had and the plan to address that so you can scale it up?

I can take that one if you want, Adam. And at this point, I think it's appropriate to make the statement that we can go to the moon but can't secure a telephone line. So my apologies for that. But the biggest issue there is just production. And that's an area that obviously we're very, very strong in. So as we look at them as a company, they've got a great product. There's been a tremendous amount of capital invested in the business to scale, but there's just a few fundamentals there that we really feel we can we can jump in and and fix and and would you expect that ultimately ultimately to be a quite a high margin how to cut or or silly similar to some of the the merchant business that you do now yeah i mean we we we said go ahead pete no you go adam you better dance there yeah no i think when we look at how it folds into our overall portfolio of subsystems we think it's going to be very consistent.

You know, probably, you know, again, I would say that, you know, scale is important to that business, too, the number of terminals that get made. So as we ramp up into these programs, you know, the ability to absorb the overhead, you know, will improve. So I think, you know, probably starts kind of, you know, I would say, you know, kind of, I would say more towards the average of our program and probably, you know, gets to be hopefully one of our better margin programs, you know, product lines in the portfolio. But I don't see it being vastly different in totality. It's going to be pretty consistent with our overall kind of blended margin for our components business. Gotcha.

And then kind of in relation to that, you mentioned in the slide deck in the remarks that you still have several, I think half a dozen potentially quite large opportunities in the pipeline. I'm wondering if you could maybe comment, are you considering looking at actual operator assets so not just kind of tuck in for components but but other operators out there given there are some i would say fairly distressed assets and um would you kind of consider working with them or or acquiring them in some in some way yeah i mean we we look at everything right um and you know some some things like minorica nice little tuck-ins to um you know to kind of bolster our end vision and then we'll look across a range of things including much more needle-moving opportunities.

And I would say that, to your point, the opportunities right now to do interesting things are quite high. There's quite a lot of opportunity out there. Hence the reason why we've made sure we're in a strong position to act on some of those opportunities.

Understood. Good. And just quick housekeeping. The space system margin was quite good in the first quarter. Is that a good run rate for going forward?

Sir, you broke up a little bit there, Edson. It was quite what? Sorry.

It was quite high. It was quite good. It was very strong performance in space systems margin in the quarter. Gross margin.

Is that a good run rate? I think it is, right? I think we're kind of now getting to the point in scale in the business where we're starting to deliver those better gross margins. So we do expect to continually expand our gross margins for the business in its entirety as we progress through 2025, probably actually be more pronounced on the launch side than it will be on the space system side, but to almost certainly be more pronounced on the launch side, because we just know that given the healthier mix on the ASP side, along with an increase in cadence in the back half of the year, sets that part of our business up quite well for significant margin expansion. and we think pretty much we're on track to kind of get to where we've been talking about, where we've wanted to be for the last few years as we exit 2025. So good news on the margin front for sure across both space systems and launch.

Fantastic. Thank you.

Your next question comes from the line of Gautam Kanna with TD Securities. Gautam, your line is now open.

Yes, thanks. Good afternoon, guys. I was wondering, could you just elaborate on the launch margins in the quarter, what may have drove that variability down a little bit? And if you could give us an update on your pre-cash expectations, the cadence through the year, that'd be very helpful.

So yeah, so the launch margins are, we've said consistently that our experience in ramp this launch business is it's very, there's a lot of fixed overhead and fixed expenses that go along with running this business. You have things like, you know, the standing cost of a launch range in New Zealand, which is incredibly strategic, but when it's underutilized, it burdens the business with a lot of fixed costs that have to be absorbed. So cadence really is everything. And even though, you know, the cadence is relatively consistent, you know, for example, Q1 versus where we see the business in Q2, and we do see an uptick in cadence in the back half of the year, it's really a combination of cases which is the number one driving factor and I'd say second you know factor would be the ASP and ASP can skew quite a bit I mean we've got volume launch deals that you know we price relatively aggressively because people are making long-term volume commitments to the business and once and there's actually some some synergies and efficiencies when you're doing kind of a rinse and repeat for launches because a lot of the GNC work is is kind of done and we can We use things like, you know, adapter plates and so forth for the payloads. So you get efficiency through scale and through cadence, but also the ASPs can be quite different. Some of these missions that require more mission assurance and data delivery and so forth after the launch garner a higher ASP. So really we're looking in the back half of the year to be a combination of both of those positive factors. More cadence, so more overabsorption, and a significantly better ASP as a result of some of the higher emission deliverables that we have to perform. So it's all goodness on that front. And when it comes to kind of the cash flow dynamics as we progress through the year, again, it's all about getting the first launch of Neutron off. That's why, you know, that's such an important thing. It's got all hands to the pump internally to make sure that we hit our objective of getting that off in the second half. And then, you know, it's also paired with a lot of the cash flow dynamics are tied to getting that first launch off. But there's also some things that we're doing in parallel to getting the first launch off, which is kind of priming the business to be able to scale kind of efficiently and rapidly after that first launch, including things like investing in this return on investment barge. And then also kind of purchasing long lead inventory items for the subsequent neutrons. vehicles um so you know some of those things you have to buy components you know 12 months or or greater in advance so we're leaning forward we're purchasing those long lead items uh so that we'll be ready to kind of scale production quickly so i'd say that you should expect these elevated levels of kind of negative free cash flow that we posted in q1 to kind of continue in q2 and you know certainly in q in in the second half of the year until we get that first launch off and then we expect things to moderate. And we can provide more color on that as we get closer to that milestone.

I appreciate it. And one last one on tariffs. Can you size your exposure where you have the exposure, if at all, how it impacts the business? Thank you.

Yeah, we can. I will say, of course, we're in a very dynamic situation. Who knows what the tariff environment is going to be like tomorrow or two weeks from now or two months from now. But based on what we see today, we're pretty fortunate in the fact that if you look at our Electron launch business you know much of the cost for that is really New Zealand born right and where the product is manufactured New Zealand and launches out of New Zealand very few of our launches actually take place outside of New Zealand on Electron and on our space systems business we're pretty fortunate that again we're very I say domestically source intensive so much of of what we manufacture on the space system side are manufactured in the United States. Where they're not manufactured in the United States, they involve a high U.S. content on the materials or bill of materials that go into those non-U.S. produced parts. You can think of things like our reaction wheels that come out of Toronto. When you actually look at those reaction wheels, there's a significant amount of U.S. content in the electronics that go into those things like bearings and so forth. So I think overall we're pretty fortunate in the fact that we've got our manufacturing intensity largely kind of lined up where we don't have a lot of exposure. But, again, things could change. We don't, you know, I think, you know, we don't have a crystal ball as to where things are going to be, you know, in the future. But we think we're, you know, positioned better than most given the current environment.

I appreciate it, guys. Thanks and good luck.

Thank you.

Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Koontz with VEDEM.

Ryan, your line is open. great thanks uh i want to ask a little bit about the new products and kind of the pipeline of opportunities for that maybe starting with yeah hey ryan um uh sure so on the on the the star rays in particular we had a lot of customers coming to us um with uh you know quick turn opportunities where where they need to get on orbit super quick um and you know the salero business had built a, you know, a very nice way of building, you know, cells and panels and, you know, produce high quality things, but the like super quick, here's a complete array, you know, it's not really a product that's readily available in the US right now in the market. So we saw that as an opportunity, you know, given kind of what customers are asking for and it's a very modular thing so you can add multiple panels to the array and it just gets our customers on orbit much faster. The total opportunity for that product, we'll have to wait and see. We can only go off on what we see customers asking for but we're very commercial in these things. We need a certain number of evidence of inquiry before we make those investments. But it also enables the company as a complete array manufacturer. Typically, Solero, or historically, Solero has just made cells and some panels. But, you know, since the integration with Rocket Lab, now we're able to add all of the other elements, you know, deployment mechanisms, hinges, and whatnot, to produce these entire arrays.

Well, Peter, thank you. And you mentioned opportunities in Europe.

Yeah, so Europe, we've been thinking about how we get into Europe for quite some time because Europe is a very protected market, especially with the government programs through ESA. And, you know, having a business that's able to work in those programs and having a footprint on the ground really does not just open us up to be able to provide solutions of the satellite terminals, communication terminals, but basically a lot of our products. So it's actually a pretty exciting TAM expansion opportunity for us because, like I said, it's typically very, very difficult to get involved with these large European programs unless you have a footprint there.

And Peter, is that mostly from the space systems perspective or are you thinking a lot?

Mostly space systems. I mean, yes, that's the prominent opportunity for us here.

Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

Cheers.

And your next question comes from the line of Andre Madrid with BTIG. Andre, your line is now open.

Peter, Adam, thanks for the question. You know, real quick, touch on Solero. I understand, you know, maybe an update on the backlog there. how are things progressing in terms of working through some of that lower margin work that you guys still had? I know it was targeted to be done already, and you guys are continuing to work towards that, so maybe just a status update.

Yeah, I can take that one. So, we actually have done really well in driving the margin improvement in that business. When we acquired it, was it maybe two and a half years ago. It was about almost three years ago now. Time flies. It was about a high single-digit gross margin business. And if you look at actually the results this quarter, we've gotten it to pretty much the model that we said we were going to get it to. So I think we've kind of, maybe we were a couple quarters later than we thought, maybe two or three quarters later. But I think overall, we've gotten it to where we want it to be. and I think more importantly it's been a very strategic addition to the portfolio and lets us be much much more competitive when bidding on these on these these uh these solutions to be a prime supplier into these these uh these growing consolation opportunities so yeah I'm very happy kind of where we've been able to kind of drop the gross margin progression on that business and I think we've you know hopefully we have more upside to come on that but you know I think we can kind of check the box that we've that we've gotten into into that neighborhood that we had originally promised we would.

Yeah, yeah, no, I'd agree. I'm glad to hear that, you know, you guys have achieved that target. On Minorik, maybe just touching on the supply chain, I think when you guys announced the acquisition, you mentioned that sourcing some key components due to shortages was somewhat difficult, you know, some semis and some semi impact there.

And that was kind of barring your ability to get or their ability then to get product out of the door um is that still an issue is you know uh or or you know measures looking to be taken to i guess improve things on that front yeah i mean i think some of the supply chain issue was obviously you know the the company's um distress uh you know if you're a supplier into into that you know that that's a That's a kind of a challenging place to supply into and make investments against. Obviously, that goes away with Rocket Lab's ownership. So at least some of those supply chain issues get resolved.

Got it. Got it. And then I could just squeeze in one more. I mean, you guys talked at length about neutron reusability and the value of that, which was super helpful. But can we get another update maybe on electron reusability, the milestones to look forward to?

So Electron reusability is, you know, we've kind of paused that to put all efforts and all team on Neutron. You know, we had an extremely talented reusability team on Electron, and as we look across the business and where the priorities lie, it's really, really is we can get a much bigger bang for our buck with all of those engineers working Neutron and taking their experience over there. So it was just a priorities decision that we've made within the company. It's, you know, obviously a Neutron sticker price is $55 million. So if you can get the majority of that back, it's a much bigger impact than a rocket with a sticker price of $8.5 million. So, yeah, it's just a priority call within the company that we'll put that on pause until we get Neutron to the pad and flying. And as Adam said before, it's, you know, it's all hands to the pump.

Yeah, yeah, no, definitely. So those engineers were just moved over from one program to the other. They're no loss there, right, to put on a headcount basis?

No, correct, yeah. Yeah, no, no, no. They've, yeah. Excellent, excellent.

All right, I'll leave it there. Peter, Adam, thanks so much.

Thanks, Andre.

All right, your next question comes from the line of Matt Acres with Wells Farco. Matt, your line is now open.

Hey, guys, good afternoon. Thanks for the question. i i wanted to ask a couple on um on the federal budget i i guess i guess one um on golden dome uh just if you guys are involved in some of the discussions there is there maybe an opportunity uh on kind of the space layer there um and then i i guess i guess the nasa budget was proposed to be cut pretty substantially i don't think you guys have a ton of kind of direct exposure there I'm just curious if that's a risk, if that does end up going through Congress.

Yeah, hey, Matt, good question. So firstly, on the Golden Dome, yes, we intend to be a significant player in there. I mean, we've already established ourselves as a prime contractor into national security programs. And as Adam mentioned, part of the reason to change the structure of the company into the corporation better enables us to address some of these very important national security programs. So I would think we feel very good about Golden Dome and the capabilities we have, not just in space systems, but within launch and across the full gambit of opportunities there, for sure. And then on the NASA side, you kind of, you called it, right? We don't have a tremendous amount of NASA work. I personally have a bit of a soft spot for those interplanetary missions, so we always like to go after those. And we continue to be a trusted launch provider for NASA. But yeah, so NASA doesn't form a tremendous amount of our pipeline nor our backlog. Yeah, got it. All right. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Suji De Silva with Roth Capital. Suji, your line is now open.

Hi, Peter. Hi, Adam. Adam, maybe on the financial, maybe a depicting question, but the percent of backlog that's recognizable in the next 12 months seems to be trending up on a secular basis. I would have thought if you had more multi-year contracts that would trend down. Am I thinking about that correctly or maybe you could clarify something?

Yeah, well, the backlog is, you know, it's a bit dynamic. I would say that, you know, if you look at the duration of a program, like take the big, like, let's pick, you know, the SDA program, for example, and the Global Star MDA program before that, they typically have a, call it the meat of the revenue curve for three years. A little bit of a tail, you know, kind of on the front and back end of that, but the bulk of the revenue recognition is within a three-year window. So and even more so, if you kind of look where the area under the curve, even more, you know, it's really concentrated at about 18 months. And this really comes down to, you know, you earn some revenue as you're doing the work to kind of finalize the platform design and get through some of the early milestones of design reviews and so forth. But the real REVREC bulk comes when you're actually taking possession of materials, like bill of materials, because that's where the majority of the cost, and under the EAC methodology of REVREC, you know, that's really where we get the majority of the revenue recognition. So you'd think, like, you know, it would be, like, stretchy, a little more stretchy than it is, but it's really not. It's much more compressed than you think. So, kind of, when you think about where we are right now on, for example, SDA, where we announced that program at the, I believe it was the end of Q4 of 2023, you know, we're, like, call it almost six quarters into that, and now we're really kind of heading into the real meat of that REVREC cycle, right? So think of the majority of that revenue recognition is really going to happen now over the next six quarters at most. The next four quarters are going to be pretty heavy. And then they start to trend down, which is why we talk about a lot of focus on backlog, which is appropriate. And we have all of our focus right now. We've talked the last few quarters about the importance of putting the next big piece of backlog on the books. And that's what we're focused on. And there are several, as Pete mentioned, that we're chasing, including ones that are pretty well-known. Like, you know, obviously the next tranche of SDA is due for submission really, really soon. And we think we're well-positioned to participate in that, as well as some other programs, you know, commercial and government. So, look, we, you know, we think we're in really good shape there on the space system side. The components business is largely less – it's not the really multi-year deals. It's much more kind of in the near term, say, 12 to 18 months. And when you look at the launch business, you know, I mentioned earlier, getting through some of these kind of program OMRAT gates was really the milestone or the prerequisite to really opening up some really big, meaningful opportunities, particularly for Neutron, right? So I think you're going to start – we've kind of knocked down all the barriers to start really kind of building that backlog in a more meaningful way. I mean, a billion dollars is nothing to be ashamed of, but we think that that has potential to grow significantly now as we've kind of gotten to the next phase of these big satellite programs that we think we're in good shape on and also being on-ramp for neutron exposure. So, yeah, I think it requires a little bit of patience, but I think people, when they look back over history, have seen, you know, we've been successful in converting opportunities into backlog, and we think we're even more confident now than we've ever been able to do that.

Okay, Adam, that's very helpful. And then this question is maybe a little further out. Thinking about sort of Neutron and sort of the landing infrastructure strategy longer term, I wouldn't have thought about this for a few years, but it's this AFRL announcement you had today about being a global logistics provider for them. I'm curious, you know, is it more than one ROI barge globally, or what are the elements of kind of reentry and landing for Neutron that require investment, potentially?

Yeah, good question. So it's primarily just a barge. It does have return-to-launch-like capabilities as well. And as cadence increases, then there could be further assets needed to be deployed in the forms of additional barges. The point-to-point cargo, that program is really at the very beginning of its development within the US government. So I think we're very much in the experimental phase. and it'll be interesting to see if that turns into a full requirement for an operational capability. But it's good to be on that program and working on it early. Fair enough. Appreciate that, Peter. Thanks.

Your next question comes in the line of Jason Gerstie with Citi. Jason, the line is now open.

Great. Thanks. Hey, Peter. You mentioned in your comments about Minarik that They've got quite a bit of backlog and are struggling with getting shipments out. But what I thought was more interesting about your comments, though, was how you might utilize that technology in future constellations that you plan to build and operate on your own. So I'm just kind of curious, the strategic rationale behind purchasing Minorik, was it more for that purpose in enabling your future constellation, or was it more to be a merchant supplier?

Yeah, hey, Jason, to be honest, both. And you can see that being consistent across all of our components businesses, solar, reaction wheels. You know, we build good merchant businesses, profitable merchant businesses, and we're happy to supply to everybody in the world. But also, when it comes to building our own thing, we need a reliable scale, scaled supply of components for our own aspirations. So, you know, the space industry, as you well know, is full of, you know, subscale manufacturing shops for these space components. And, you know, as we see, many of our customers struggle to build, you know, volume and build quickly because of that. So we're really trying to solve two problems here. One is provide, be that merchant supplier at scale for the industry. And then, as you point out, when it comes time for us to build our own stuff, then we already have that capability at scale. And we're just methodically going through every element of the satellite that we're going to need now and in the future. and when opportunities present themselves, we take advantage of that.

Okay. Yeah, fair enough. Thank you. Another one for you, Peter. I'm just kind of curious on transport. Maybe you could step back and provide some context for us all and what you think the unique features of the SDA transport layer, kind of envisioned by your customer and the way that you understand it. What's unique about it relative to what the customer there might be able to go and buy from the commercial market today? So you've got commercial communications providers out there today. Maybe just provide some context on why they need to continue on and go do SDA tranches, you know, additional tranches on the transport layer versus just going and buying commercial? Yeah, yeah, yeah, good question. Fair question.

So you have to think about what SDA is trying to do as a holistic thing. So as you point out, it's broken up into transport layers and track layers and custody layers and a whole bunch of different layers. But when you stand back and you go, okay, what is trying to be achieved here and what elements are critical and what elements are not? So you have to think about it not just as a particular satellite, but as a system. And that system needs to be interoperable between all of the current existing infrastructure and all of the future infrastructure. So look, it's a fair question to say, well, can transport be done commercially? But the thing is that it has to be completely interoperative with all of the DOD standards and security, all of the spacecraft that are both on orbit now and plan to be on orbit in the future, and meet all the requirements of the entire program. And, you know, often with a lot of space technology, like everything's a trade, so you end up, you know, having a pretty tight requirement set that you have to solve for. So it's not unreasonable to think that commercial providers may be able to provide, you know, a transport or some of the transport layer. And I think that's the question that SDA and the Pentagon are trying to answer right now. But the important thing is that it's one layer of many layers. So our focus here, although we have a transport layer and we'll continue to bid on transport layers, our real focus is on things like the track layers and the other layers that are out for tender right now. because we think that those are – well, certainly those are not being able to provide from commercial assets. And there's a lot more to the SDA program than just that one transport layer.

Right. And that's a perfect segue into my final question, which was about the pipeline. As you look at your pipeline for Constellation builds, and I would consider this transport layer that you're working on now to be a Constellation build, do you think you're more likely to see government Constellation builds? The next announcement comes along. Are we likely to see more government wins from you all, or are you trying to balance this out and we could very well see a commercial one? I'm just kind of curious how you're going to market at this point. Thanks.

Yeah. Well, I mean, so not to sound at all arrogant, but we have the luxury of picking and choosing the kind of work that we want to go after and the things that we think are strategic for us as we think about our future. and that is a mix of both government and commercial both in kind of either smaller numbers of satellites or small volume constellations that we think are strategic technologies or things that we want to do but also large scale and I would say that the majority of the effort within the BD team and within the senior management team are really focused on these much, much larger constellations partly because that's where we want to go, but also we've kind of reached the maturity and the scale now that we really can competitively go after those. You know, as we've talked about on this call, we're very, very vertically integrated with a lot of the really pain point satellite components at scale. And we've demonstrated we can do really, really technically difficult missions and we've demonstrated that we can be a prime for national security projects. So I'd say that we've really kind of moved up a flight of stairs on all of that and the opportunities that we're looking for are much more larger and needle-moving opportunities, but both across commercial and government. So I hope that answers your question. Great. That's helpful. I appreciate it.

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Leshock from KeyBank Capital Markets. Michael, your line is now open.

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. I want to stick with the satellite constellation topic, and you had mentioned the potential for government contracts that could be to build the entire satellite constellation. How do you think about prioritizing that type of work versus building your own constellation first?

Yeah, well, I mean, that is a good question and something that we talk about a lot. But, you know, the most important thing for us is to build a large, scalable, profitable company. So, you know, we're not about to embark on huge R&D projects that kind of, you know, would make that a much more far-out goal. So the answer to the question is probably not a very good answer, is that we balance that, right? We look at those opportunities, and I can say that everything we've done to date leads us to that point. And when we have a full conviction and thesis that we can talk about around what kind of constellation that we intend to go after, you really have to have that extremely well-baked because, you know, at that point, you know, you're committing significant resource to, you know, to go after those kinds of things. So, yes, I mean, like I say, the focus is on strengthening the company and, you know, we're moving as rapidly as we can into constellations and where we think is important, but we're not going to do that at the cost of, you know, the security of the business.

And then shifting to Archimedes, how long are you targeting that engine to burn for a full launch? And maybe what's the duration of the hot fires that you're doing today relative to that full burn expectation?

Yeah, so, I mean, a full duration, second stage, you know, upper, you know, burn profile is on the order of sort of five minutes. and where we're targeting the testing right now, it's really all about all of the start-up and shut-down transients and all of those things. Once you reach thermal equilibrium, when the engine's just running at thermal equilibrium, you're not learning anything because everything is in a steady state. You're just burning propellant at that point. So our focus has not been on big, long durations. Our focus has been on all the operating conditions that we need to meet. Especially on a reusable launch vehicle, when you come in for landing, one of the more challenging things are, you know, your propellants are hot and they're at different pressures. So that's a far more challenging environment to be able to reignite an engine than, you know, a steady state burn. So that's really been our focus.

All right. Thank you. I appreciate the color.

Your next question comes from the line of Eric Rasmussen with Sifil.

Eric, your line is now open. yeah thank you for uh taking the questions um maybe just circling back with mine eric um i remember um in the press release or um it seemed like um you know the deal was um uh contingent on i guess acceptable terms to rocket lab and it sounds like uh in your prepared remarks you seem a lot more comfortable on closing that transaction so what are there any sort of sticking points remaining to closing this deal at this point?

Yeah, hey, Eric. I'll make a few comments, and Adam will probably have better ones. But, you know, you have to go through a whole process in Germany, and, you know, that process can take some time. And, you know, that's probably the longer pole in the tent, And it's not really a process that we have much kind of control over. The bankruptcy laws and stuff are different in Germany than in the States. But I don't know, Adam, you might have a better comment.

No, you're exactly right. It all comes down to regulatory. And there's a couple of regulatory processes that you've got to get through. But the first one is really to get through the bankruptcy process over there in Germany, which there's a court date that's scheduled. and so things are progressing i think we've always had you know confidence where kind of with our deal that we have with the you know with the the primary lender here um and that's why we you know we have confidence to kind of leading forward and announcing the deal so we everything seems to be on track i mean i think the difficult thing now is trying to predict kind of how the regulatory process will you know the timeline for that um but you know we we feel we feel good about we're at because we have a committed plan to, as Pete mentioned earlier, to invest in that business in Germany. There's great technology. There's great initial property. We're going to continue to invest in it. We're going to have what we believe to be a thriving merchant business supplying the broader ecosystem. So, yeah, we have no reason to be concerned at this point.

Great. And then maybe on the final light, since I guess announcing that spacecraft, What sort of feedback or interest have you received? And then maybe any updates on progress thus far, maybe timing of bringing that spacecraft to market?

Yeah, I mean, we have strong interest from commercial and government constellation providers. And the Flatelite really is the gold standard for high-volume, high-cadence kind of deployments of constellations. Also useful for ourselves, of course. But, you know, that was really a product that was developed and driven by a set of customers.

And maybe switching gears, on the NSSL program, obviously, you know, a big opportunity there. You received a $5 million task order, but at what point, I think you've gone through a pretty rigorous process just to be on-ramp for that but um at what point can we expect to see um or are you expecting to be able to book a backlog for that um is it contingent on that first flight or or what are the milestones that you know we can potentially look for that maybe get more excited about that that program yeah totally so um you know the team now works with us uh for the next um you know few years on on all of the the elements of mission assurance and everything that they need uh for these critical missions uh and yes um you know we're eligible for task orders

after the first flight um and uh but but between now and then as you can see there's already task orders that that that um that occur for for you know various elements of of um you know getting mission assurance and mission ready to be able to to fly these kinds of payloads but um you know So truly, after first flight, we're eligible to bid for those task orders. The phase three set of task orders go through to 2029.

Great. So really, getting to the pad is an OT milestone. And then maybe just finally on Electron, I think, Adam, you talked about higher ASPs. Q1 obviously was lower, but you expect to see an improved cadence. would you expect though um the year to end at a much higher rate or just slowly pick up from here uh in terms of an asp so uh and obviously there's some lumpiness you know that you've talked about with some of these volume deals yeah right now the the backlog would basically imply a step up in both cadence and asp progressively as we move through the year so i would expect a high watermark on ASP um would be in would be in the q4 period so we'll see a progression it's better in q2 than

it was in q1 it'll be better again in q3 and be you know we'll kind of hit a high watermark in q4 and i expect that to be both case for both the ASP and for cadence and that's really what kind of gets us gets us to that target margin that we talked about i mean just to be clear you know when we we've talked over the past several years like well when we get to a certain point where we're approaching, you know, a couple launches per month or six per quarter, that's kind of our goal to get to our target margins in the 40s. And I think everything that we're seeing right now is consistently kind of playing, you know, getting us towards that. I think we're pretty pleased with how things have progressed. It's pretty much almost exactly the plan.

Great. And that's still 20 plus launches for the year.

Correct. thank you your next question comes in the line of andre schilder with canter fitzgerald andre your line is now open hey everyone uh good afternoon this is andre's uh shepherd sorry about that um hey peter hey adam congratulations on the quarter and all of the accomplishments um i think most of our questions have been asked by now wanted to maybe get your thoughts um you You know, with the international space budgets growing, how do you expect this can benefit Rocket Lab? You know, where do you see the most demand from international coming across launch satellites and components?

Yeah, hey, Andre. So primarily Europe and, you know, Electron has done incredibly well in Japan. So, you know, the Japanese market is like a second biggest market for Electron. But as we think about, you know, larger opportunities and programs, I think it really, you know, sits with allies in Europe.

Got it. Okay, that's helpful. And maybe just as a quick follow-up, and again, a lot of our questions have been asked, and I realize I think we touched on this last quarter as well, But as we're getting closer and closer to Neutron, do you have maybe a better sense now how you foresee your revenue mix shifting? You know, as I look at the backlog, there seems to have been an increase in launch systems over space systems from the last reported backlog. Doc, as we're getting closer to Neutron, you know, how quickly do you foresee that shifting towards launches over space systems, or how long would that transition take, I guess, in your opinion?

I'll take a pass at that, Pete. I mean, if you look at our back, I mean, we're dealing with such large opportunities right now that it's going to be very volatile. I don't think you're going to be able to predict a smooth line or extrapolate a smooth line. And one large constellation will skew everything much more quickly and dramatically back to a balance of maybe more than two-thirds of our revenue from space systems. But you'll also see, as we've now been on-ramped to some of these programs, every neutron launch that we book, if you look at our target price for neutron in the $50 million to $55 million ASP range, that's going to move the needle as well. And if you can get some bulk buys going on that, that could also skew things so that we could be more than 50 percent of our backlog to be launched at some period of time. So it really depends. It's so hard to predict. And the good thing is we've got, you know, multiple irons in the fire. And both launch and space systems have almost, you know, equal opportunity to kind of really move the needle, I think, because right now space systems has become a dominant piece of the revenue mix because of the size of those programs we've been chasing and the breadth of that business versus today having Electron, which is a phenomenal product, getting to our target margins. That's really gone well. But, you know, at $8 million, $8.5 million, $9 million, it takes a lot more to kind of skew things and it's in the launch's favor. But now Neutron resets that table. So I think it's hard to call and it's going to be very volatile. But the good thing is, you know, we see that trying to see which one's going to grow faster and move the needle the most is a great problem to have. because they both have strong tailwinds to them.

That's very helpful, Adam. Really, really appreciate that color, and congrats again to the team. I'll pass it on.

And your final question comes from the line of Ron Epstein with Bank of America. Ron, your line is now open.

Hey, guys. This is Alex Preston on for Ron.

Hey, Alex.

Just one quick one for me to close us out. I'm thinking about the NSSL on-ramp for Neutron. I'm curious how you're thinking about potentially transitioning to lane two awards in the future, the more demanding launches. Is it a matter of just demonstrating flight heritage over a number of missions, or do you see incremental capabilities you'll need Neutron to demonstrate?

Yeah, thanks for the question, Alex. I wish it was that easy. So, you know, the other lane requires you to have a launch site at both Vandenberg and at the Cape. It's very explicit about that and be able to meet all of the mission requirements for all of the space launch, meaning that you have to have a vehicle that can lift, you know, sort of over 30 tonnes. So the cost of admission to get into that lane is extremely high, hence the reasons why historically all of those programs have been quite heavily subsidised in R&D contracts and whatnot and sustaining contracts because you have to hold and maintain a tremendous amount of infrastructure, two pads and a heavy lift vehicle. So unless the rules change, I don't think we'll graduate up into there. But to be honest with you, this is one of the reasons why NSSL and Space Force created this extra lane, is they saw that there's a huge lost opportunity with some medium launch vehicles in development and wanting to make sure they take advantage of those. And it'll be really interesting to see in time how many of those missions fall from the various lanes, drop down into the lower lanes that are much faster and much more affordable to deliver. Got it. Really appreciate it.

Thank you so much. This does conclude our Q&A section for today. With that, I will hand it back over to Peter Beck for our closing remarks.

Cheers. Thanks very much, everybody. And before we close out for today, here are some of the upcoming events and conferences that the team will be attending. We look forward to sharing more exciting news and updates with you there. Otherwise, thank you very much for joining us. That wraps up today's call, and we look forward to speaking with you about the exciting progress we're making at Rocket Lab again soon. Thanks, bye.

Thank you so much for joining us today. This does conclude our conference call. You are now free to disconnect. Thank you.