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Rocket Lab shifted Neutron’s inaugural launch to 2027 as the team continues development, incorporates process improvements and progresses through key manufacturing and testing milestones.
Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.
* Q4 derived as the full year minus Q1 to Q3.
We forecast Q3 2026 revenue of $260.3M for Rocket Lab, 1.2% above the $257.2M consensus and in the top half of its $250M to $265M guidance, on six full-value Electron launches. We expect a loss of $0.073 a share, wider than the $0.066 consensus.
Rocket Lab's record Q1 and $2.2B backlog show the bull case no longer rests on Neutron alone. The proposed Iridium merger could add a recurring-services engine, while financing, dilution and execution remain the price of that upside.
Rocket Lab enters Q2 2026 with record backlog of $2,219.8M and guided revenue of $225.0M–$240.0M, yet the stock trades at -55.2% from its $150.23 high on a $39.0B market cap against $679.6M of trailing revenue — a gap the equity-funded growth model and the un-flown Neutron debut have to close.
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | -20.58M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Cost per launch | $4.4M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Non-GAAP Gross margin non-GAAP | 42.2% | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Gross profit non-GAAP | 183.13M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Operating expenses non-GAAP | 220.82M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Operating loss non-GAAP | -37.69M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Research and development, net non-GAAP | 150.16M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Selling, general and administrative non-GAAP | 70.66M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Non-GAAP Total other income (expense), net non-GAAP | 24.52M | Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Record backlog | 2.36B | Q2 2026 | — |
| Revenue per launch | $9.1M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RKLB
this stock
Rocket Lab Corp
|
$31.54B | -24.9% | +38.0% | — | 7.6% |
|
SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp
|
$1.82T | — | — | — | 1.2% |
|
GE
General Electric Co
|
$331.36B | +7.0% | +18.5% | 37.0 | 1.1% |
|
RTX
RTX Corp
|
$266.33B | +8.2% | +17.1% | 32.0 | 1.0% |
|
EADSF
Airbus SE
|
$169.89B | -7.8% | — | — | 0.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
Rocket Lab shifted Neutron’s inaugural launch to 2027 as the team continues development, incorporates process improvements and progresses through key manufacturing and testing milestones.
View| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKLB | -10.6% | -27.2% | -60.5% | -4.3% | -24.9% |
| SPY | -0.7% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +12.5% |
| vs SPY | -9.9% | -25.8% | -63.0% | -5.8% | -37.4% |
