Allied Gold Corp (AAUC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Thank you for standing by. My name is Kathleen and I will be your conference operator for today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Allied Gold 2nd Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. So if you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. And if you would like to withdraw your question, press the star one again. And now I would like to turn the call over to Peter Maroni, CEO. Please go ahead.

Thank you very much, operator, and thank you to all who are participating on this call. As some of our management is remote and for efficiency and also for the cadence of this call, I will present our formal presentation, but management is available on the call to address any questions. We're happy to be back with these conference calls, and given that we have had a hiatus on these calls, we thought it would be helpful to provide a recap of who we are and what we are and where we are going as part of our quarterly results. We are in Mali, we're in Cote d'Ivoire, and we are in Ethiopia. I begin with a discussion about the jurisdictions in which we operate as there has been much said about these jurisdictions but again we hope to give you comfort that these are jurisdictions that are high quality for mining Mali is prolific certainly for precious metals mining we can't think of a jurisdiction in which within several hundred kilometers there would be a handful of mines that produce between a couple of hundred thousand ounces of production and as much as half a million ounces of production and it is very supportive of mining, and it has infrastructure for the support of mining. Cote d'Ivoire is new to the mining circle. However, it is one that has advanced very quickly with significant opportunities, and certainly our Cote d'Ivoirean complex with Bonacro and Agbao add to the successes in the country relating to mining. And Ethiopia is very new to mining, certainly precious metals mining. We are the first mechanized mine of scale that will be in production in the country but it is on the bottom end of the arabian nubian shield much has been said about the arabian nubian shield and its potential and here we are with millions of ounces already in inventory and literally on the cusp of the startup of operations i begin with a discussion about jurisdictions mostly as an admonition to the laziness and over penalization of these jurisdictions particularly for companies that have Tier 1 assets, as we do, but I also want to make sure that it is clear that this is also a recommendation of the value proposition for discerning investors that are comfortable that we, along with many other companies in these jurisdictions, can manage the geopolitical concerns, manage our operations effectively. And in the context of operations, Here we are with Satiola, a tier one generational mine that for two decades has been in production, producing more than 8 million ounces in steady state without any interruption. We have a production platform that carries more than 10 million ounces in resources. It's a large mineral inventory with a production platform presently of approximately 200,000 ounces with a plan to take that to closer to 350,000 ounces over the next several years on a sequential basis. Cote d'Ivoire is two mines roughly 17, 18 kilometers apart that we treat as a complex. We are targeting a mine life of 200,000 ounces per year for at least a 10-year period. And in the case of Ethiopia, our next mine, the Kremok mine, we expect to produce at least 250,000 ounces per year, and we expect that production to begin this quarter. So let me put a fine point to it. When we say this quarter, we're in commissioning in the month of August. We expect to be in production in the month of September. What I think is the true value proposition here is not just the particular assets, but the fact that we are unique in that we are a mid-tier gold producer, but we are underpinned by high-quality assets, and in particular on the opposite sides of the continent, in Mali, in the case of Seriola, and in Ethiopia, in the case of Kermok, by two tier one generational mines. So a unique mid-tier gold producer with two tier one mines in the portfolio. for the second quarter then we had strong performance that carries the momentum into the second half of the year with higher production expected from operational improvements and of course the startup of kermuk we are on track to achieve annual guided guidance from our producing minds the drivers for sadiola will be higher feed grade and throughput increases in the case of bonnie crow we're ahead in the sequencing in the first half of the year so we expect to see the feed grade to a level that is higher in the second half of the year. And the throughput will vary quarter to quarter, but production will exceed our annual guidance with a fourth quarter production that exceeds the third quarter and the third quarter slightly better than Q1 and Q2. And AgBow is now at a steady state of production, and we expect its production to be consistent with the first and second quarter for the second half of the year. And with that, then, we expect to see cost improvements on what has already been seen as a cost improvement from Q1 to Q2 and from last year to this year. We're advancing our growth project, which is Kermuk. That's advancing as planned. As I mentioned a moment ago, we are in commissioning and we expect that to be in production before the end of this quarter. We have a strong financial position. And while we show in this presentation a pro forma cash balance of just under half a billion dollars after giving effect to the ZG and Gold strategic investment, we do end the quarter with more than $190 million in the treasury, more than sufficient to fund the business of this company. And we have impressive exploration potential with a budget that is $36 million. We just increased the budget to the second half of the year because of the exploration successes that we experienced in the first half of the year. In terms of our operations, just over 97,000 ounces for the second quarter, just over 193,000 ounces for the first half of the year, and an all-in sustaining cost that is below $2,200 per ounce sold. In the case of Sadiola, production is expected to increase, as I mentioned, in the second half that is driven by increased feed grade and throughput. but we're targeting to meet our annual guidance. Costs are expected to trend down, driven by higher production and lower expenditures. We continue to progress improvements to lower costs, and we're advancing several strategies, one of which will lead to the improvements to costs, which is a power solution that makes us less reliant on older diesel generators, a refresh of those generators, but also applying a solar power solution that will represent a significant portion of power at that operation. In the case of Bonacro in Côte d'Ivoire, our production exceeded our plant for the first half of the year due to higher grades and throughput. We took on a challenge in 2023 and 2024 through 2025 of waste removal and stripping to get to higher grade material at Bonacro. And we said that by 2026, we would be in a position to be meeting our goals of getting that higher level of production and we have demonstrated that we have done that. And the same is true for Agba, where production is expected to remain constant for the second half of the year, fracking to meet guidance, but at better costs than we had been experiencing in the first half of the year and last year. For the Cote d'Ivoire platform, we've increased mine life that is supported by a new area of mineralization that is now in development. We are advancing further exploration targets. In the case of Agbao, we've increased proven and probable reserves by 60%. We have advanced our projects to the point where, whereas initially we were saying that we expect to get production of 180,000 ounces per year for 10 years, we're now at a point where we can demonstrate that we can get that 10 years of production, but at 200,000 ounces per year. a little bit more on each of the operations. Satiola, again, a generational asset with significant mine life and mineral endowment. We are in transition from a mine that was reliant on oxide ores to fresh ore. That first-base expansion now allows us to take more than 60%, as much as 70% of fresh ore through that plan. We're advancing a process of control upgrades, pre-leach thickener to increase efficiency and reduce operating costs. I mentioned the solar power strategy to further improve costs. And we have an organic expansion plan that takes us initially to that 200,000 ounces, as I mentioned, which is where we are now, and then to a production level that is expected to be closer to 250,000 to 275,000 ounces, and ultimately to a goal of between 300,000 and 350,000 ounces. We are making new oxide discoveries. We are making new discoveries on a platform that's already 10 million ounces of resources, of which more than 7 million ounces is proven in probable reserves. So short-term, 200,000 to 230,000 ounces of production, including this year, that will progressively increase within the next year and a half. And we average our production in excess of 300,000 ounces to 350,000 ounces as an average, with several years at closer to 400,000 ounces. With all the sustaining costs that are expected to decline significantly, and we estimate in the range of about $1,200 per ounce. So, we are transitioning from oxide mine to fresh ore. We're putting automation and processes in place. We're upgrading this operation, this plant that is worthy of the Tier 1 inventory of ounces that we have. and we expect just to give a bit more clarity the next step to be to go to 7 million ounces per year we're working on the engineering for that is expected to continue through this year we expect to be in construction on a permanent second stage crushing and larger ball mill that will proceed through 2027 and 28 with the start of production in 2029 so we expect then that by 2029 for several years to follow to be at least at 275 000 ounces per year before we undertake the next modular expansion to 8 million tons and then above that that drives that production to its ultimate goal of above 300 000 ounces in the average of 250 000 ounces with several years above 400 000 ounces in the case of kremok we're in commissioning we continue that through this quarter. We expect to be in production, as I mentioned, in September. We are progressing as planned. Our stockpiles are building, and we're ahead of operations. Our project costs are tracking to budget, with over 90% of those costs committed as of the end of the second quarter, and we expect to be on budget and on time with this operation. This makes meaningful improvements to cash flow. It is a prolific land package that will increase the number of ounces that is inventory. We presently look at 240 to 270,000 ounces of production with the average over the next several years, 2027 to 2030, that is closer to 300,000 ounces, with all the sustaining costs that are expected to be below $1,200 per ounce. And indeed, we expect that to be below $1,000 per ounce, given the low power costs that we have at this operation. Moving to Cote d'Ivoire, Agbao and Bonicro, we treat it as a complex. They're roughly 17, 18 kilometers apart. They offer synergies. We have begun a process of optimizations. As I mentioned at the beginning of this call, we are now targeting 200,000 ounces per year from this complex with a production profile of at least 10 years. Now, one of the things that drives all of this, then, is this very significant optionality that we have in the exploration opportunities of the company. I hope I can say that the MD&A provides a fulsome description of what we have done with exploration and what we continue to do. We're happy to address any further questions in our Q&A. But what are our objectives? Well, in the case of Stadiola, we have a possible super pit. we're extending mine life. We're allowing for an increase in production. We're finding more oxide ounces. We're finding more fresh ore. In the case of Cote d'Ivoire, what started as a two to three and a half year mine life is now extended, in the case of Bonacro, in excess of 10 years. And Agbao is now already at approximately six years, going toward our goal of 200,000 ounces of production for at least a 10-year period and in the case of curb up we start with two open pits dish and usher sharing but we have many areas of exploration that will represent their own open pits the objective is to extend mine life to provide operational flexibility with more mining areas and to take advantage of that plant capacity that we said in our earlier calls is in excess of what we need at present time so in terms of second quarter financial performance Adjusted at earnings of $0.44, operating cash flow of $133 million, adjusted EBITDA of just under $167 million, all in sustaining costs of just under $2,200 per ounce, and cash in the Treasury of $192 million, and pro forma with the completion of the Zigen transaction, expected to be just shy of half a billion dollars. we are an established mid-tier producer we have large-scale long life assets those generational assets to which i referred we have a project pipeline that creates a notable very significant production growth that contributes more handsomely to cash flow growth because because all these nuances are coming in at significantly lower costs we take a disciplined approach to development and production growth with operational improvements that have that drives this sustainable value creation so just to conclude the presentation we are on the cusp of that notable growth we have strengthened the operational performance of the company we have delivered and are delivering on our growth projects we have improved the sustainability framework of the company we're in a strong financial position we have increased mine life at Cote d'Ivoire which was the lowest mine life that we had but of course at the other operations as well. And we have further growth initiatives that will be supported by the exploration successes that we are achieving. We're trading at a very attractive valuation. We received an offer to sell the company in January for $44 per share. Today, many months later, we're more advanced and a better company. We have delivered on our plans that improve the company and increase that value. I'm comfortable saying to everyone on this call that we present a unique and strong value proposition. So in terms of upcoming milestones, the startup of operations at Kermuk, a further exploration update in the fourth quarter, further advancement and what we will say about the next phase expansion by the first quarter of next year. We expect a site visit of our Kermuk operation for sure in the first quarter of 2027 and we're completing the steps that are required at satiola including the installation of the pre-leach pre-leach thickener and the power solution including solar that will improve that operation for the next phase of our modular expansion and finally the startup of operations and ramp up at Kermuk no I did not make a mistake there. I duplicated the point for a reason. We're at the startup of operations at Kermuk, which transforms this company in terms of production and in terms of cash flows. And with that, ladies and gentlemen, let me open the call to questions.

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. So if you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and raise your hand to join the queue. But if you would like to withdraw your question simply press the star one again if you are called upon to ask your question and listening via loudspeaker on your device please pick up your handset and ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question again please press star one to join the queue and your first question comes from the line of ralph roferi of stifol please go ahead Thank you, Operator.

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Peter, can I ask about some of your recent experience in Mali on the ability to repatriate capital in and out of the country and how, if any, has there been influence on sort of in-country capital allocation decisions?

The in-country capital allocation decisions, Ralph, have been based on prudent business practices and prudent business decisions. It is not the result of restrictions on our ability to repatriate capital. None of that. Again, I'm glad you're asking the question, because that goes to the fundamental theme of the quality of jurisdiction. There are no restrictions on repatriating capital. We have flexibility in how we mine. We have a large-volume business. Mining is a large-volume business. Some of you on the call have heard me say that when you're bringing to site more than 100 fuel tankers per month for our fuel requirements, that's a big volume business. And a big volume business like that cannot function if we were to accept what is said about the country on the headlines. The headlines are not correct. This is a functioning country with functioning businesses, and one of those businesses is ours. To answer your specific question, we have no restriction in terms of repatriating of capital, but we have a business plan to invest back into the country, to invest back into Sadiola, to demonstrate that this is a Tier 1 mine.

Okay, thank you for that. And as a follow-up, Peter, when I look at the 2027, I guess, preliminary guidance for Kremok, it looks to be a very efficient flow sheet with that type of production target. And I'm just wondering, what's been your team's experience and what can we expect on their feedback on how long it's going to take to substantially reach long-term target recoveries and things like operating costs? You know, that initial six to nine months of ramp up, what does that look like in terms of quality and grade of that initial feed into the plant to get us to that target or somewhere near it?

Ralph, there's nothing unconventional in the design here. It is an open pit. We've opened up to ore. We have stockpiles at surface. We're meeting the great expectations. We don't see any challenges on recoveries. And while the ramp up is within that range of four to six months, we're also blessed with higher grade up front. One of the reasons why we have not said what we expect the production level to be this year is a positive, not a negative. We expect to produce, because of grade, 30,000 ounces per year. That's why in the first handful of years we have a production platform that is at or close to 300,000 ounces per year, not the average of 240 000 ounces per year but that also means that if we're in production in early september to mid-september to late september we expect to be in that range of early to mid september that will make a difference in terms of what the production is for this year but not to the value and not to the number of ounces of production next year and in the years to follow So we are blessed with grade that is higher, closer to surface. We have a ramp-up that I believe to be on the conservative side. And the result of grade, the result of what we see in recoveries, the result of that gradual ramp-up gives us a high confidence level that will meet the production goals that we expect, that we've indicated for next year and the years to follow.

Okay.

Okay, that looks impressive, and thank you for those important answers.

Your next question comes from the line of Luke Bertazzi of CIBC. Please go ahead.

Thank you, operator, and good morning, Peter and team. Congrats on the quarter, a really standout job in Cote d'Ivoire. I just had a question on Kermak. Can you provide a bit of an update on how the mining activities are going in particular? How is it reconciling with the block model? and perhaps if you could give a little bit of details on the grade and quantity of your stockpile.

Hi, Luke. This is Gerardo. Yeah, in terms of reconciliation, we're doing really well. We updated that model several months ago in anticipation of the start of operations. We did delineation drilling, and we're really pleased with the results in terms of great control and reconciliation. We're tracking well also on the volumes. We have reached the high-grade zones of both at Tish and at Shashire, and we're quickly building the stockpile on high-grade. We have three categories, our main categories of grade, and that we will be using, as Peter was describing, for the run path as we are increasing the throughput through the plant.

Thanks. Thanks, Gerardo. And then just a follow-up question there. Previously, you guys had identified the state-build transmission line as a key milestone for the startup timeline. Can you comment on the status of that grid power connection today?

Yeah, Luke, we mentioned that not as a gating item or as a critical path item. We mentioned it because we have a 20-year power purchase agreement at $0.04 per kilowatt hour. For the benefit of those on the call, that's one-half of what one pays in Quebec. It is one quarter of what one pays in Canada, all of which is hydroelectric power. So we were trying to highlight that this is one of the factors that allows us to be able to get production at the very low cost that we're anticipating. The power line will be up and running for us to be in production. But we want to make sure that it's clear. We need full power by November, not by September. And so we're perfectly on track to be with power by September. So whatever we need by November is not expected to be a gating item, not expected to be a critical path item, because we expect to have power in September. We also have backup with power generators. And so the result of all of that is that we do expect to be in production in September. This is not a gating item for us.

Yep. Great. Thanks, Peter. Appreciate it. the clarification there. Looking forward to the next quarter. Thanks guys.

And we're looking forward to having you and others, if your time permits, on our mine tour that we're planning sometime, as I mentioned, in the first quarter.

I think this asset will show very well.

And your next question comes from the line of Kerry McCreary of Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Hi, good morning, Peter.

Just wondering if you can come back to Kermuk and just if you can talk a little bit about sort of what the major items left are to complete there yeah I care is there are again we are busy on C1 and that's in C2 and then getting as you probably saw on the pictures on also wet commissioning some units so there is some instrumentation on mostly terminals and cable to pull in certain areas as we are moving through those we're also advancing the commission. And so big focus on that. All the auxiliary items are finished or substantially finished. I'm talking about the TSA that was finished, Waterdam finished, whole nine-hole road is almost finished. It's usable now and we have other access, as you know. Yeah, so all key things are coming together. Crashing will be operational pretty soon and I think it's substantially complete and we expect to start crashing rock in the next few days, few weeks.

And then just coming back to grade, you mentioned the three categories of grade. Just wondering, just for our benefit, how you classify high grade at Kermak?

Well, I think we are over 1.5, if I record correctly, and between 1 and 1.5. If you look at the Life of Mind profile and the technical report, you will see what grade is available in the beginning and how that changes. We're following that profile with respect to follow that profile quite closely.

Okay, great. And then maybe one for Jason, if he's on the line. You had a big cash tax bill in the quarter.

Just wondering how we should think about cash taxes for the back half of the year.

Yeah, Q2 is always our big cash payable quarter, Ralph.

It's just the profile of the jurisdictions that we operate in. So, you know, that's 75% of our total cash tax for the year was in Q2.

So, I don't know, maybe it's $15, $20 million per quarter going out here. Okay, that's it for me. Thanks, guys.

And Jason, our cash taxes were at the level that they were at because we were profitable last year, and so we were paying more taxes for the profitability.

Exactly, yeah.

And once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 to join the queue. And the next question comes from the line of Mohamed Sirebe of National Bank. Please go ahead.

Hi, Peter and Tim. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe just a follow-up on the comment you made on Great Theater. Did I understand correctly that the potential update on Krumu could be actually on the positive due to the higher grade that we could be expected compared to plan? Or did I misunderstand that? Thank you.

What we are saying is that because the production profile on the month-to-month basis because of the higher grade closer to surface addition, the two initial deposits, it's difficult to say to the end of the year if we expect to produce 80,000 ounces, 100,000 ounces, or 120,000 ounces. If we are in production in early September, Then 30,000 ounces per month gets us to a point of 120,000 ounces. That's what we were trying to say, and nothing more than that.

Perfect. Thank you. And then just to follow up on Chromebook there, understanding that the power line is not critical. Should we assume, I think you noted in your MD&A that the power line should effectively meet the start of the ramp up, the asset there, but should we assume that you have enough diesel, gensets and fuel capacity at site to mitigate any potential delay there?

We have sufficient supplies for us to be in production this quarter.

Okay. And final question on your balance sheet, you know, following the investments from DeGene. When we're looking at your balance sheet in Q3, how should we think about your capital allocation priorities into 2027. Is this more of a potential acceleration to phase two as a JOLA or maybe initiatives in Ivory Coast, or is it potentially to free up capital towards some capital return program? But how should we think about this?

Look, think of it as all of the above. With the balance sheet that we have organically, then the expectation is that cash flows will have to build into cash balances before we're in a position, and deploying that capital in 2027 for what we expect to do at Sadiola for 2029 to 2032, as I mentioned, that 275,000 ounces plus production. So we expect to deploy capital, and we will build up the cash balances. And with the excess of cash flows above what we are spending, we would expect, as we have done before, as we've said before, we're implementing a dividend policy. But the best way to look at the supercharge that comes from this transaction is that the cash balances have built up before we build them up organically. Any prudent board of directors will want to build up cash balances and demonstrate cash flow and the sustainability of that cash flow before it will concede to providing a dividend. I'm a big believer in dividends. I'm a big believer, as you know, in the provision of cash returns to investors, and dividends are an excellent way to do that, and it attracts the type of investor that we want to have in our business and in our company. So the result of all of that is that we're actually, this acts as an accelerant, all I cannot say to you that we will advance the projects more quickly, because that requires the discipline of making sure that we've done the detailed engineering, as we said in our MD&A we're doing. Once we've completed that engineering, then we're in a better position to be able to say, this is what we intend to do. It's more sustainable. It's more precise. So I don't think that we would be advancing the projects that we have as a result, and particularly the Sadiola second phase modular expansion. But it gives us the flexibility to look at other things. And one of which, as you mentioned, is cash returns investors sooner.

That's great, Colin. Thanks a lot for answering my question.

And there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the conference back over to Peter Maroney for closing remarks.

So, ladies and gentlemen, my apologies for my voice. I am suffering a little bit of the back end of a cold, but thank you very much for the time. We are happy to be back on these conference calls, and we look forward to further updates throughout the course of the rest of the year. clearly the most important as i mentioned on the formal presentation being the startup of operations at kermuk and we do look forward to seeing you with our q3 conference call and then with the end of year thank you again ladies and gentlemen that concludes today's call thank you all for joining you may now disconnect