FLY · Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Track FLY — free

$19.27 +0.24 (+1.26%) At close · Jul 17

Market Cap

$3.09B

160.24M

Up next

Next earnings call

Aug 11, 2026 Scheduled · in 3 wks

FQ3-26 quarter ends

~Sep 30, 2026 Est

Latest filing: 10-Q

filed May 4, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish

Bearish

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice

Overall

Sell

SellHoldBuy

Technical Strong Sell Momentum Very Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Very High

Market backdrop VIX 18.8 · elevated Equity put/call 0.73

Technical

price trend

Strong Sell

50 / 200-day cross No cross

Price vs 200-day avg −31%

below

Price vs 50-day avg −44%

below

RSI (14) 29

oversold

MACD trend Negative

52-week position 6%

near low

Volume (OBV) Confirms

volume backs price

Momentum

relative strength

Very Weak

1-month return −38%

trailing

6-month return −34%

trailing

YTD return −14%

this year

Relative strength −42%

vs S&P · 6-mo

Sentiment

smart money

Neutral

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $34 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Accumulating

20 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +8 new

Insider flow Distributing

Net -$384.2M over 90 days · 100% sells

Short interest Rising

8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Steady

218 holders — 13F breadth

Squeeze score 56

elevated · 0–100

Fundamentals

Excellent

Revenue growth +163%

Y/Y

Gross margin 19%

expanding

EPS growth +77%

Y/Y

Free cash flow $-237.8M

Balance sheet $785.9M

net cash

Quant / Vol

risk profile

Very High

Volatility 114%

annualized · 1-yr

Max drawdown −72%

past year

ATR 14.2%

of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Equibles Research

All FLY research

Research Thesis July 16, 2026

Rocket Lab: Backlog is converting, but the $39B market cap is paying for a Neutron debut the company has yet to validate

Rocket Lab enters Q2 2026 with record backlog of $2,219.8M and guided revenue of $225.0M–$240.0M, yet the stock trades at -55.2% from its $150.23 high on a $39.0B market cap against $679.6M of trailing revenue — a gap the equity-funded growth model and the un-flown Neutron debut have to close.

Guidance & track record what management promised — and delivered

Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 4, 2026

Revenue · full-year 2026 Initiated $420M – $450M

prior FY $159.86M midpoint +172.1% Y/Y

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell

4 · 3 · 0

50 / 200-day cross

No cross Neutral

Price vs 200-day avg

−31% Bearish

Price vs 50-day avg

−44% Bearish

RSI (14)

29 Neutral

MACD trend

Negative Bearish

52-week position

6% Bearish

Volume (OBV)

Confirms Neutral

Market signals — smart money & positioning

Bearish · 2 of 6

Trend (MA cross) No cross

50d $34 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d

Institutional flow Accumulating

20 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +8 new

Insider flow Distributing

Net -$384.2M over 90 days · 100% sells

Short interest Rising

8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover

Volume signal Normal

Volume near normal

Institution breadth Steady

218 holders — 13F breadth

Price context

position in its 52-week range

52-wk low $16 Now $19 · 6% 52-wk high $74

vs 200-day avg -31% vs 50-day avg -44%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Versus peers

Aerospace & Defense — same industry group

Open screener →

Company	Mkt cap	YTD	Rev growth Y/Y	P/E	Short % shares
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. this stock	$3.09B	-13.9%	—	—	8.2%
SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp	$1.63T	—	—	—	0.8%
GE General Electric Co	$361.93B	+13.6%	+18.5%	41.1	1.2%
RTX RTX Corp	$260.60B	+6.3%	+17.1%	36.3	1.2%
EADSF Airbus SE/ADR	$173.19B	-4.8%	—	—	0.0%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section

Ownership

Institutional Holders Accumulating

Holders

223

% held: 46.8%
Reported: 20 of 218
Top holder: AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP

Held Float

View

Held by Funds

Fund positions

155

View

Short & Settlement

Short Interest Rising

Shares short

13.2M

Days to cover: 1.7d
Change: +1.4M sh

View

Short Volume

Short vol %

47%

As of: Jul 17, 2026

Short Total

View

Fails to Deliver

FTD shares

89.2K

Value: $2.6M
As of: Jun 30, 2026

View

Off-Exchange

Off-exchange %

47.7%

Week of: May 4, 2026

Off-exch Lit

View

Smart Money

Insider Trades Net selling

Net (90d)

-$384.2M

Buyers / Sellers: 0 / 2

Buyers Sellers

View

Financials

Revenue (FY)

$159.9M

Net income (FY): $-298.3M
EPS diluted: $-4.83

View

Filings

SEC Filings

Latest

Investor Event Transcript

Filed: Jun 30, 2026
This year: 12

View

Proposed Sales

Value

$6.1M

Shares: 153.4K
Filed: May 13, 2026

View

Exempt Offerings

Offering

$22.0M

Filed: Jul 8, 2026

View

Earnings & Events

Earnings Calls Upcoming

Next call

Aug 11, 2026

Last call: May 4, 2026

View

Investor Relations

Upcoming events

View

Performance

	5D	20D	120D	MTD	YTD
FLY	-20.0%	-38.1%	-33.9%	-34.5%	-13.9%
SPY	-1.5%	+0.3%	+7.8%	-0.5%	+9.0%
vs SPY	-18.5%	-38.5%	-41.7%	-34.0%	-22.9%

Key facts CIK 1860160 CUSIP 31816X106 13F (30d) 19 filings 19 filers Visit website Investor relations

FLY · Firefly Aerospace Inc.

Price & Indicators

Equibles Research

Technicals

Versus peers

At a glance

Performance