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AGO · Assured Guaranty Ltd

Track AGO — free
$68.47 +0.20 (+0.29%) At close · Oct 2
Market Cap
$3.04B
Shares
43.98M
Volume · Oct 2 486.08K Avg daily vol (3M) 413.55K

Price & Indicators

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20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$68.47 Open$68.47 Day$67.90–68.99 52W close$67.72–92.18 Avg vol 30d512K Short int2.3M · 5.2% float · 5.7d Short vol56% Last earningsAug 7, 2026 DataJan 2020–Oct 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 7

Up next

Next earnings call
Oct 27, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 3 wks
filed Aug 7, 2026
call held Aug 7, 2026

Metrics snapshot

Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.

Revenue (TTM)
$940.00M
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
$351.00M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
-30.6%
Year over year
Operating margin
—
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
9.1
Trailing earnings · reciprocal yield 11.0%
FCF yield
—
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
—
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
—
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
-9.7%
Year over year · fewer shares
Price change (1Y)
-18.5%
Trailing year
Short interest
5.2%
Latest settlement · 5.7 days to cover
View all 115 metrics

AI Brief

Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 7, 2026
Q2 FY26

TL;DR. AGO reported record per-share valuation metrics and a 22% increase in Q2 adjusted operating income per share, with first-half PVP up 48% year-over-year driven by U.S. public finance and global structured finance, while alternative investments took a $19 million CLO mark-to-market loss.

Bullish
  • + Adjusted operating income per share rose 22% year-over-year in Q2 2026, driven by higher premium income and lower loss expense.
  • + Record per-share valuation metrics reached in Q2 2026, with adjusted book value per share at $189.72.
  • + Loss expense declined sharply to $4 million in Q2 2026 from $28 million in Q2 2025.
  • + Returned $62 million to shareholders in Q2 through $45 million of buybacks and $17 million of dividends.
Bearish
  • − Alternative investments posted a $19 million mark-to-market loss on a CLO equity fund in Q2 2026.
  • − Brightline continues to experience liquidity pressure and remains a material credit exposure with risk of further loss development.
  • − Equity in earnings of investees swung to a $10 million loss in Q2 2026 from a $2 million gain in Q2 2025 due to CLO losses.

AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

Equibles Rating

blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical Strong Sell Momentum Very Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Low
Market backdrop VIX 15.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.58
Technical
price trend
Strong Sell
50 / 200-day cross No cross
Price vs 200-day avg −15%
below
Price vs 50-day avg −9%
below
RSI (14) 32
neutral
MACD trend Negative
52-week position 3%
near low
Volume (OBV) Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
Very Weak
1-month return −10%
trailing
6-month return −17%
trailing
YTD return −24%
this year
Relative strength −29%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Neutral
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $75 › 200d $81 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow Accumulating
2 of 371 funds reported for Sep 30 · net +1.1K sh shares · +1 new
Insider flow Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest Rising
5.18% of float · ▲ +0.8% MoM · 5.7 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
371 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score 58
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Strong
Revenue growth +27%
Y/Y
EPS growth +49%
Y/Y
Valuation P/E 9.2
in line
Buyback $121.0M
remaining
Balance sheet $1.3B
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Low
Volatility 24%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown −27%
past year
ATR 2.2%
of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record

Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Apr 18, 2024
Insurance securitizations net exposure · 2026 $1.2B

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell
4 · 3 · 0
50 / 200-day cross
No cross Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−15% Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−9% Bearish
RSI (14)
32 Neutral
MACD trend
Negative Bearish
52-week position
3% Bearish
Volume (OBV)
Confirms Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $75 › 200d $81 — 200d above 50d
Institutional flow Accumulating
2 of 371 funds reported for Sep 30 · net +1.1K sh shares · +1 new
Insider flow Flat
No net insider activity over 90 days
Short interest Rising
5.18% of float · ▲ +0.8% MoM · 5.7 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Multi-yr high
371 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $68 Now $68 · 3% Range high $92
vs 200-day avg -15% vs 50-day avg -9%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
Metric Latest Period YoY
Adjusted operating income (loss) non-GAAP $55M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Adjusted operating income (loss) - Corporate Division non-GAAP -$28M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Adjusted operating income (loss) per diluted share non-GAAP $1.23 Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Adjusted operating income per diluted share non-GAAP $1.23 Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Fixed-maturity securities for Assured Life Re's own account $22M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Funds withheld receivable (MYGA) $296M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Gross par written $8.35B Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Gross written premiums (GWP) $81M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
MYGA policyholder account value $256M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Penetration of all municipal issuance 3.3% second quarter 2026 filing —
Primary par written as a percentage of total U.S. municipal market insured par sold 51% second quarter 2026 filing —
PRT reserves $484M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
Total Financial Guaranty segment loss expense (benefit) $5M Second Quarter 2026 filing —

Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

Versus peers

Insurance - Specialty — same industry group
Open screener →
Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
AGO
Assured Guaranty Ltd
this stock
$3.04B -23.8% +27.3% 9.2 5.2%
FNF
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.
$11.11B -28.1% +5.6% — 3.9%
AXS
Axis Capital Holdings Ltd
$7.02B -11.4% +10.2% 7.1 2.7%
FAF
First American Financial Corp
$6.77B +1.7% +21.6% 9.2 5.9%
ACT
Enact Holdings, Inc.
$6.45B +14.2% +2.8% 9.9 2.0%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section
Ownership
Institutional Holders Accumulating
Holders
372
% held
94.2%
Reported
2 of 371
Top holder
BlackRock, Inc.
Held Float
View
Held by Funds
Fund positions
137
View
Short & Settlement
Short Interest Rising
Shares short
2.3M
Days to cover
5.7d
Change
+17.6K sh
View
Short Volume
Short vol %
56%
As of
Oct 2, 2026
Short Total
View
Fails to Deliver
FTD shares
26
Value
$2.2K
As of
Jul 21, 2026
View
Off-Exchange
Off-exchange %
50.2%
Week of
Aug 24, 2026
Off-exch Lit
View
Smart Money
Congressional Trades Sell
Member
Donna Shalala
Amount
$1.0K–$15.0K
Traded
Mar 6, 2019
View
Financials
Financials
Revenue (FY)
$1.1B
Net income (FY)
$503.0M
EPS diluted
$10.26
View
Buybacks
Authorized
$300.0M
Remaining
$121.0M
Spent Remaining
View
Filings
SEC Filings
Latest
8-K
Filed
Aug 7, 2026
This year
14
View
Proposed Sales
Value
$10.1M
Shares
123.8K
Filed
Mar 30, 2026
View
Earnings & Events
Webcasts
Last webcast
Aug 7, 2026
View

Performance

5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
AGO -1.5% -9.7% -17.0% +1.1% -23.8%
SPY -0.2% -0.5% +12.2% +0.9% +12.9%
vs SPY -1.3% -9.2% -29.2% +0.2% -36.7%

Capital returns

Buyback program · as of Aug 5, 2026
Authorized
$300.00M
Spent (derived)
$179.00M
Remaining
$121.00M
Spent Remaining

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 1273813 CUSIP G0585R106 13F (30d) 7 filings 7 filers Visit website Investor relations