FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
$20.94
-0.61 (-2.83%)
At close · Jul 15
Market Cap
$3.05B
Shares
160,235,217
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$20.94
Open$21.73
Day$20.70–22.30
52W$16.00–73.80
Avg vol 30d6.2M
Short int13.2M · 8.2% float · 1.7d
Short vol58%
Last earningsAug 11, 2026
DataAug 2025–Jul 2026
Filing10-Q · May 4
Up next
Next earnings call
Aug 11, 2026
Scheduled
· in 4 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026
Est
filed May 4, 2026
AI Brief
TL;DR.
Bullish
Bearish
From the call
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Sell
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Strong Sell
Momentum
Very Weak
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Excellent
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 16.7 · calm
Equity put/call 0.67
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−26%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−40%
below
RSI (14)
31
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
9%
near low
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
−37%
trailing
6-month return
−28%
trailing
YTD return
−6%
this year
Relative strength
−38%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $35 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
18 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +8 new
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$384.2M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
218 holders — 13F breadth
Squeeze score
56
elevated · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+163%
Y/Y
Gross margin
19%
expanding
EPS growth
+77%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$-237.8M
Balance sheet
$785.9M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
114%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−72%
past year
ATR
13.5%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the 8-K filed May 4, 2026
Revenue
· full-year 2026
Maintained
$420M – $450M
prior FY $159.86M
midpoint +172.1% Y/Y
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell
50 / 200-day cross
No cross
Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
−26%
Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−40%
Bearish
RSI (14)
31
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
9%
Bearish
Volume (OBV)
Confirms
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bearish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
No cross
50d $35 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
18 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +8 new
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$384.2M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Steady
218 holders — 13F breadth
Price context
position in its 52-week range
52-wk low $16
Now $21 · 9%
52-wk high $74
vs 200-day avg -26%
vs 50-day avg -40%
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Versus peers
Aerospace & Defense — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FLY
this stock
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
|
$3.05B | -6.4% | — | — | 8.2% |
|
SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp
|
$1.73T | — | — | — | 0.8% |
|
GE
General Electric Co
|
$358.72B | +17.3% | +18.5% | 40.7 | 1.2% |
|
RTX
RTX Corp
|
$261.74B | +7.6% | +17.1% | 36.5 | 1.2% |
|
EADSF
Airbus SE/ADR
|
$175.55B | -4.0% | — | — | 0.0% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLY | -19.1% | -37.2% | -27.5% | -28.8% | -6.4% |
| SPY | +1.3% | -0.2% | +10.1% | +1.1% | +10.7% |
| vs SPY | -20.4% | -37.1% | -37.7% | -29.9% | -17.1% |
Key facts
CIK
1860160
CUSIP
31816X106
13F (30d)
16 filings
16 filers
Visit website
Investor relations