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FLY

Firefly Aerospace Inc.
$22.27 -1.82 (-7.56%) At close · Jul 13
Market Cap
$3.57B
Shares
160,235,217

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$22.27 Open$23.62 Day$22.06–23.80 52W$16.00–73.80 Avg vol 30d7.3M Short int13.2M · 8.2% float · 1.7d Short vol45% Last earningsMay 4, 2026 DataAug 2025–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 4
Up next
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 4, 2026
AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Equibles Rating blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Sell
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Strong Sell Momentum Very Weak Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Excellent Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 16.5 · calm Equity put/call 0.62
      Technical
      price trend
      Strong Sell
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg −22%
      below
      Price vs 50-day avg −37%
      below
      RSI (14) 33
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 11%
      near low
      Volume (OBV) Confirms
      volume backs price
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Weak
      1-month return −43%
      trailing
      6-month return −33%
      trailing
      YTD return 0%
      this year
      Relative strength −42%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $36 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      15 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +7 new
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$384.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      218 holders — 13F breadth
      Squeeze score 57
      elevated · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Excellent
      Revenue growth +163%
      Y/Y
      Gross margin 19%
      expanding
      EPS growth +77%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-237.8M
      Balance sheet $785.9M
      net cash
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 115%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −72%
      past year
      ATR 13.5%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record
      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 4, 2026
      Revenue · full-year 2026 Maintained $420M – $450M
      prior FY $159.86M midpoint +172.1% Y/Y

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Sell
      4 · 3 · 0
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      −22% Bearish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      −37% Bearish
      RSI (14)
      33 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      11% Bearish
      Volume (OBV)
      Confirms Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bearish · 2 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $36 › 200d $28 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      15 of 218 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +2.2M sh shares · +7 new
      Insider flow Distributing
      Net -$384.3M over 90 days · 100% sells
      Short interest Rising
      8.23% of float · ▲ +11.4% MoM · 1.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      218 holders — 13F breadth
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $16 Now $22 · 11% 52-wk high $74
      vs 200-day avg -22% vs 50-day avg -37%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Versus peers

      Aerospace & Defense — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      FLY
      Firefly Aerospace Inc.
      this stock
      $3.57B -0.4% 8.2%
      SPCX
      Space Exploration Technologies Corp
      $1.83T 1.5%
      GE
      General Electric Co
      $368.74B +15.0% +18.5% 43.5 1.2%
      RTX
      RTX Corp
      $264.48B +7.9% +17.1% 36.9 1.2%
      EADSF
      Airbus SE/ADR
      $175.36B -4.6% 0.0%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      223
      % held
      46.8%
      Reported
      15 of 218
      Top holder
      AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      155
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      13.2M
      Days to cover
      1.7d
      Change
      +1.4M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      45%
      As of
      Jul 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      9.8K
      Value
      $385.7K
      As of
      Jun 12, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      47.7%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Net selling
      Net (90d)
      -$384.3M
      Buyers / Sellers
      0 / 2
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $159.9M
      Net income (FY)
      $-298.3M
      EPS diluted
      $-4.83
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      Investor Event Transcript
      Filed
      Jun 30, 2026
      This year
      12
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $6.1M
      Shares
      153.4K
      Filed
      May 13, 2026
      View
      Exempt Offerings
      Offering
      $22.0M
      Filed
      Jul 8, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      May 4, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      FLY -20.5% -43.4% -33.3% -24.3% -0.5%
      SPY -0.3% +1.6% +8.3% +0.3% +9.9%
      vs SPY -20.2% -45.0% -41.7% -24.6% -10.3%
      Key facts CIK 1860160 CUSIP 31816X106 13F (30d) 14 filings 14 filers Visit website Investor relations