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$30.74 -0.19 (-0.61%) At close · Jul 28
Market Cap
$4.13B
Shares
133.62M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$30.74 Open$31.04 Day$30.55–31.10 52W$12.51–32.25 Avg vol 30d2.0M Short int10.4M · 7.8% float · 5.7d Short vol28% Last earningsAug 6, 2026 DataJan 2020–Jul 2026 Filing10-Q · May 7

Up next

Next earnings call
Aug 6, 2026 Scheduled · in 1 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed May 7, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Neutral
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Strong Quant / Vol Very High
      Market backdrop VIX 18.2 · elevated Equity put/call 0.71
      Technical
      price trend
      Buy
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +58%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +11%
      above
      RSI (14) 62
      neutral
      MACD trend Negative
      52-week position 92%
      near high
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Strong
      1-month return +1%
      trailing
      6-month return +94%
      trailing
      YTD return +91%
      this year
      Relative strength +87%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Neutral
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $28 › 200d $19 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      51 of 262 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +1.5M sh shares · +15 new
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      7.77% of float · ▲ +12.9% MoM · 5.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      262 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Squeeze score 76
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Strong
      Revenue growth +4%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth +727%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $-124.9M
      Valuation P/E 15.7
      below peers
      Buyback $359.0M
      remaining
      Balance sheet $1.6B
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      Very High
      Volatility 51%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −49%
      past year
      ATR 3.2%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed May 6, 2026
      Revenues · full year 2026 Initiated $2.95B – $3.1B
      prior FY $2.63B midpoint +15.0% Y/Y
      Net Income Attributable to GEO Operations Per Diluted Share · full year 2026 Initiated $1.15 – $1.25
      prior FY $1.82 midpoint −34.1% Y/Y
      Adjusted EBITDA · full year 2026 Non-GAAP Initiated $525M – $545M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
      1 · 2 · 3
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +58% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +11% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      62 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Negative Bearish
      52-week position
      92% Bullish
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Mixed
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $28 › 200d $19 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      51 of 262 funds reported for Jun 30 · net +1.5M sh shares · +15 new
      Insider flow Flat
      No net insider activity over 90 days
      Short interest Rising
      7.77% of float · ▲ +12.9% MoM · 5.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Steady
      262 holders — mid 3-yr range
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      52-wk low $13 Now $31 · 92% 52-wk high $32
      vs 200-day avg +58% vs 50-day avg +11%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from its earnings releases, calls, and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $131.4M first quarter 2026
      Adjusted Net Income non-GAAP $38.6M first quarter 2026
      Shares repurchased 3.6M 1Q26
      Adjusted Net Income per diluted share non-GAAP $0.86 Full Year 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "call" marks figures stated on the earnings call, "filing" figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs the prior-year figure on file

      Versus peers

      Security & Protection Services — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      GEO
      Geo Group Inc
      this stock
      $4.13B +90.7% +9.0% 15.7 7.8%
      ALLE
      Allegion plc
      $13.71B +1.6% +7.6% 21.2 5.5%
      MSA
      MSA Safety Inc
      $6.94B +12.5% +3.7% 24.3 3.6%
      ADT
      ADT Inc.
      $5.66B -8.3% +4.7% 4.7%
      BCO
      Brinks Co
      $4.86B +1.2% -5.7% 27.6 11.6%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      275
      % held
      97.6%
      Reported
      51 of 262
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      201
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      10.4M
      Days to cover
      5.7d
      Change
      +1.2M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      28%
      As of
      Jul 28, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      47
      Value
      $1.4K
      As of
      Jun 26, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      46.4%
      Week of
      May 4, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $2.6B
      Net income (FY)
      $254.4M
      EPS diluted
      $1.82
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $500.0M
      Remaining
      $359.0M
      Spent Remaining
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      May 7, 2026
      This year
      9
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $101.1K
      Shares
      6.6K
      Filed
      Mar 4, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls Upcoming
      Next call
      Aug 6, 2026
      Last call
      May 6, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Upcoming events
      1
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      GEO +0.5% +1.3% +94.1% +4.0% +90.7%
      SPY -1.0% 0.0% +7.4% -0.8% +8.6%
      vs SPY +1.5% +1.3% +86.6% +4.8% +82.1%

      Capital returns

      Buyback program · as of Mar 31, 2026
      Authorized
      $500.00M
      Spent (derived)
      $141.00M
      Remaining
      $359.00M
      Spent Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 923796 CUSIP 36162J106 13F (30d) 49 filings 49 filers Visit website Investor relations