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GEO · Geo Group Inc

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$32.53 +0.31 (+0.96%) At close · Nov 13
S&P 600 member Russell 2000 member Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$4.31B
Shares
132.37M
Volume · Nov 13 2.61M Avg daily vol (3M) 2.53M

Price & Indicators

Drag to pan · scroll to zoom
Indicators
Price
Panels
Event markers
20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$32.53 Open$32.23 Day$31.06–32.66 52W close$13.26–32.77 Avg vol 30d2.7M Short int11.2M · 8.4% of shares · 5.0d Short vol45% Last earningsNov 5, 2026 DataJan 2020–Nov 2026 Filing10-Q · Nov 6

Up next

Next earnings call
Feb 11, 2027 Est · unconfirmed · in 13 wks
Q3 2026 earnings call transcript
call held Nov 5, 2026
Play latest call

Latest documents

2026
Nov 6
Quarterly report 10-Q FY2026 Q3, ended Sep 30
Revenue rises 11.5%; asset sale and debt redemption completed

GEO reported third-quarter revenue of $761,062 thousand, up 11.5%, sold ICE processing centers for $950 million, and redeemed all $650 million of 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2029.

Revenue $761.06M ▲ 11.5% Net income $49.21M ▼ 71.7% Diluted EPS $0.37 ▼ 70.2%
Read from the MD&A section
4 source passages
Total | 761,062 | | 100.0% | 682,341 | | 100.0% | 78,721 | | 11.5% | On October 2, 2026 we entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement and closed on the sale of our Adelanto West, Adelanto East and Desert View ICE Processing Centers located in Adelanto, California to the United States of America and its assigns, by and through the Department of Homeland Security, for an aggregate gross sales price of $950 million. On October 15, 2026 we completed the redemption of all of the $650 million in outstanding aggregate principal amount of our 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2029. The plaintiffs claim that State of Washington minimum wage laws should be enforced with respect to detainees who volunteer to participate in a VWP administered by GEO at the Northwest ICE Processing Center (the "Center") as required by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security under the terms of GEO’s contract. Open the document at this passage
Nov 5
Earnings call
Record third quarter drives raised guidance and growth outlook

GEO Group reported record quarterly revenues and adjusted EBITDA, raised 2026 guidance, projected strong 2027 growth, and said up to four additional facility sales could close this year.

5 source passages
Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today's discussion of the GEO Group's third quarter, 2026 earnings results. The third quarter of 2026 set all-time highs for GEO in quarterly revenues and adjusted EBITDA We have increased our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $568 million to $573 million, representing a 23% increase at the midpoint of $570.5 million. We have also increased full year 2027 adjusted net income guidance to a range of $185 million to $190 million, or a range of $1.40 to $1.44 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.975 billion to $3.025 billion, and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 28% inclusive of known discrete items. We believe that our current active negotiations could result in additional sales before the end of 2026 for up to four additional facilities. Open the document at this passage
Nov 5
Current report 8-K
Revenue rose 12%, full-year guidance increased

The GEO Group, Inc. reported third-quarter revenue of $761.1 million, up 12%, and increased full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $568 million to $573 million. The board expanded the share repurchase authorization to $1.25 billion through December 31, 2029.

Financial results
4 source passages
3Q26 Revenues Increased 12% to $761.1 Million On November 5, 2026, The GEO Group, Inc. (“GEO” or the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026 and updating its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2026. For the full year 2026, we increased full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $568 million to $573 million. On October 5, 2026, we announced that our Board of Directors approved a $750 million increase to our share repurchase program, from $500 million to $1.25 billion, which is effective through December 31, 2029. Open the document at this passage
Oct 30
Registration statement S-3ASR
Registration statement

The GEO Group, Inc. established an automatic shelf registration for future sales of common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, guarantees of debt securities, warrants and units, with offering terms and prices to be determined later.

Read from the first part of this long document
All documents

Metrics snapshot

Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.

Revenue (TTM)
$2.91B
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
$166.82M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
+11.5%
Year over year
Operating margin
13.0%
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
26.0
Trailing earnings · reciprocal yield 3.8%
FCF yield
5.0%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
9.2%
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
−$1.31B
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
-5.7%
Year over year · fewer shares
Price change (1Y)
+123.1%
Trailing year
Short interest
8.4%
Latest settlement · 5.0 days to cover
View all 125 metrics

Quarterly results

Revenue Net income Net loss
▼0.1% $607.72M $15.49M '24 Q4* ▼0.2% $604.65M $19.56M '25 Q1 ▲4.8% $636.17M $29.11M '25 Q2 ▲13.1% $682.34M $173.94M '25 Q3 ▲16.6% $708.39M $31.77M '25 Q4* ▲16.6% $705.21M $38.33M '26 Q1 ▲15.1% $732.07M $47.50M '26 Q2 LATEST ▲11.5% $761.06M $49.21M '26 Q3

* Q4 derived as the full year minus Q1 to Q3.

Equibles Research

our published analysis of this company

Equibles Rating

blended score · not investment advice
Overall
Buy
SellHoldBuy
Technical Strong Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Neutral Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol Very High
Market backdrop VIX 19.3 · elevated Equity put/call 0.63
Technical
price trend
Strong Buy
50 / 200-day cross No cross
Price vs 200-day avg +31%
above
Price vs 50-day avg +8%
above
RSI (14) 62
neutral
MACD trend Positive
52-week position 99%
near high
Volume (OBV) Confirms
volume backs price
Momentum
relative strength
Very Strong
1-month return +14%
trailing
6-month return +43%
trailing
YTD return +102%
this year
Relative strength +43%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Neutral
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $30 › 200d $25 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Accumulating
242 of 295 funds reported for Sep 30 · net +5.1M sh shares · +27 new
Insider flow Distributing
Net -$911.9K over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest Rising
8.43% of shares out · ▲ +12.8% MoM · 5.0 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Steady
295 holders — mid 3-yr range
Squeeze score 82
high risk · 0–100
Fundamentals
Fair
Revenue growth +4%
Y/Y
EPS growth +727%
Y/Y
Free cash flow $-124.9M
Valuation P/E 26
in line
Buyback $1.3B
authorized
Balance sheet $1.6B
net debt
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Very High
Volatility 51%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown −29%
past year
ATR 4.6%
of price · 14-day

Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

Guidance & track record

Beat or met 8 of last 8
Latest guidance · from the Earnings Call filed Aug 6, 2026
full year 2026
GAAP net income Raised $168M – $175M
May 6, 2026 $153M – $166M changed to Aug 6, 2026 $168M – $175M
Per diluted share Raised $1.27 – $1.32
May 6, 2026 $1.15 – $1.25 changed to Aug 6, 2026 $1.27 – $1.32
prior FY $1.82 midpoint −28.8% Y/Y
Adjusted EBITDA Raised $550M – $560M
May 6, 2026 $525M – $545M changed to Aug 6, 2026 $550M – $560M
Total unreimbursed capital expenditures $135M – $145M
Annual revenues Lowered $2.95B – $3.05B
May 6, 2026 $2.95B – $3.1B changed to Aug 6, 2026 $2.95B – $3.05B
prior FY $2.63B midpoint +14.0% Y/Y
fourth quarter of 2026
GAAP net income $37M – $41M
Per diluted share $0.28 – $0.31
prior qtr $0.37 midpoint −20.3% QoQ
Adjusted EBITDA $137M – $142M
Quarterly revenues $758M – $808M
prior qtr $761.06M midpoint +2.9% QoQ
Previous outlook earlier release · from the Earnings Call filed May 6, 2026

Still-open targets the latest release did not restate under the same label.

Effective tax rate · full year of 2026 30%
Total capital expenditures · full year of 2026 $137.5M – $162.5M
Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Aug 6, 2026
GAAP net income · third quarter of 2026 $45M – $48M
Adjusted EBITDA · third quarter of 2026 $140M – $145M
Per diluted share · third quarter of 2026 $0.35 – $0.37
Quarterly revenues · third quarter of 2026 $755M – $805M
Guided vs delivered · last 8 settled
Per diluted share third quarter of 2026
guided $0.35 – $0.37
$0.37 In line
Quarterly revenues third quarter of 2026
guided $755M – $805M
$761.06M In line
Per diluted share second quarter of 2026
guided $0.25 – $0.29
$0.36 Beat +33.3%
Quarterly revenues second quarter of 2026
guided $715M – $725M
$732.07M Beat +1.7%

Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

Technicals

trend & momentum for long-term holders Strong Buy
0 · 3 · 4
50 / 200-day cross
No cross Neutral
Price vs 200-day avg
+31% Bullish
Price vs 50-day avg
+8% Bullish
RSI (14)
62 Neutral
MACD trend
Positive Bullish
52-week position
99% Bullish
Volume (OBV)
Confirms Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bearish · 2 of 6
Trend (MA cross) No cross
50d $30 › 200d $25 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow Accumulating
242 of 295 funds reported for Sep 30 · net +5.1M sh shares · +27 new
Insider flow Distributing
Net -$911.9K over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest Rising
8.43% of shares out · ▲ +12.8% MoM · 5.0 days cover
Volume signal Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth Steady
295 holders — mid 3-yr range
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $13 Now $33 · 99% Range high $33
vs 200-day avg +31% vs 50-day avg +8%

Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

Key metrics

the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
Metric Latest Period YoY
Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $273.4M first six months of 2026 —
average occupancy in U.S. Secure Services facilities 91% Second Quarter 2026 filing —
beds (worldwide operations) 76,000 Q2 2026 —
compensated mandays in U.S. Secure Services facilities 4.4M Second Quarter 2026 filing —
EBITDA non-GAAP $136.09M Q2 2026 —
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliation
GAAP Net income 47.46M
+19.11M Income tax provision
+35.33M Interest expense, net of interest income
+34.2M Depreciation and amortization
= EBITDA 136.09M
employees (worldwide operations) 20,000 Q2 2026 —
facilities (worldwide operations) 97 Q2 2026 —

Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

Versus peers

Security & Protection Services — same industry group
Open screener →
Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
GEO
Geo Group Inc
this stock
$4.31B +101.8% +3.9% 26.0 8.4%
ALLE
Allegion plc
 $16.19B +20.6% +7.6% 23.9 3.0%
ADT
ADT Inc.
 $7.23B +22.7% +4.7% — 2.8%
MSA
MSA Safety Inc
 $6.71B +8.8% +3.7% 22.4 2.9%
BCO
Brinks Co
 $4.81B +0.1% -5.7% 30.7 13.1%

Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

At a glance

key data from every section
Ownership
Institutional Holders Accumulating
Holders
302
% held
104.0%
Reported
242 of 295
Top holder
BlackRock, Inc.
Held Float
View
Held by Funds
Fund positions
221
View
Short & Settlement
Short Interest Rising
Shares short
11.2M
Days to cover
5.0d
Change
+1.3M sh
View
Short Volume
Short vol %
45%
As of
Nov 13, 2026
Short Total
View
Fails to Deliver
FTD shares
1.6K
Value
$51.5K
As of
Oct 14, 2026
View
Off-Exchange
Off-exchange %
58.4%
Week of
Oct 5, 2026
Off-exch Lit
View
Smart Money
Insider Trades Net selling
Net (90d)
-$911.9K
Buyers / Sellers
0 / 2
Buyers Sellers
View
Financials
Financials
Revenue (FY)
$2.6B
Net income (FY)
$254.4M
EPS diluted
$1.82
View
Buybacks
Authorized
$1.3B
View
Filings
SEC Filings
Latest
10-Q
Filed
Nov 6, 2026
This year
19

GEO reported third-quarter revenue of $761,062 thousand, up 11.5%, sold ICE processing centers for $950 million, and redeemed all $650 million of 8.625% Senior Secured Notes due 2029.

View
Proposed Sales
Value
$370.9K
Shares
11.8K
Filed
Sep 11, 2026
View
Earnings & Events
Webcasts
Last webcast
Nov 5, 2026
View
Investor Relations
Latest news
THE GEO GROUP REPORTS THIRD QUART…
Published
Nov 5, 2026
View

Performance

5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
GEO +17.0% +13.5% +43.4% +14.1% +101.8%
SPY +2.6% -1.2% +0.5% -0.2% +10.6%
vs SPY +14.4% +14.7% +42.9% +14.2% +91.2%

Capital returns

Latest dividend
$0.25 / share · ex Jan 22, 2021
Cut 26.5%
Paid (TTM)
$0.00 / share · 0 payouts
Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
— · no payout in the trailing year
Full dividend history
Buyback program · as of Oct 8, 2026
Authorized
$1.25B
Spent (derived)
—
Remaining
—

Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

Key facts CIK 923796 CUSIP 36162J106 13F (30d) 238 filings 210 filers Visit website Investor relations