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GEO · Geo Group Inc

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$31.22 +0.85 (+2.80%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$4.11B
Shares
131.62M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q3

Geo Group Inc Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call

Geo Group Inc Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Nov 6, 2025
Nov 6, 2025 62 turns
Period
FY2025 Q3
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

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Government shutdown & contracting delays 13 ISAP 5 electronic monitoring contract 13 ICE facility activations & capacity expansion 9 Secure transportation growth 9 Federal detention scaling objective 6 New contract wins and revenue growth 6

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +55 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we believe we've made significant progress towards meeting our financial and strategic objectives”
  • “the largest amount of new business that we have won in a single year in our company's history”
  • “our current census is over 22,000, which is the highest ICE population we've ever had”
  • “However, we cannot provide definitive assurance of future ISAP participation levels, which are determined by ICE management.”

Forward guidance

11 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue $682.34M +13.1% YoY
Diluted EPS $1.24 +552.6% YoY
Net income $173.94M +560.9% YoY

Research materials

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Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Nov 6, 2025.

Metric Guided Actual
Quarterly revenues Initiated
fourth quarter 2025
$651M – $676M $707.7M derived above
GAAP Net Income Initiated
fourth quarter 2025
$0.23 – $0.27
Adjusted EBITDA Initiated
fourth quarter 2025
$117M – $127M
GAAP Net Income Initiated
full year 2025
$1.81 – $1.85 $1.82 within
Adjusted Net Income Initiated
full year 2025
$0.84 – $0.87
Annual revenues Initiated
full year 2025
$2.6B $2.63B above
Adjusted EBITDA Initiated
full year 2025
$455M – $465M
Adjusted EBITDA Initiated
fourth quarter 2025
$117M – $127M
Adjusted EBITDA Initiated
full year 2025
$455M – $465M
Capital Expenditures Initiated
full year 2025
$200M – $205M
Effective tax rate Initiated
full year 2025
25%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Revenue · regions

United States$634.82M +15.2% YoY
Australia$42.37M -10.4% YoY
South Africa$5.15M +8.2% YoY

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$41.63M
Full-screen source Call document