MGY · Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
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AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 6, 2026TL;DR. Magnolia posted strong Q2 results with record production and more than doubled earnings year-over-year, and raised standalone full-year 2026 production growth guidance to 6% from 5% while progressing the $4.06 billion Wildfire Energy acquisition funded approximately half equity and half debt.
- + Raised standalone full-year 2026 production growth guidance to 6% from 5%
- + Q2 total production grew 8% year-over-year to a record 106.1 Mboe/d and oil production grew 5% to 41.9 Mbbls/d
- + Adjusted net income of $184.3 million and adjusted EBITDAX of $370.3 million, both more than doubling year-over-year
- + Generated $235 million of free cash flow with a 34% capital reinvestment rate and 51% pre-tax adjusted operating income margin
- + Announced $4.06 billion Wildfire acquisition adding ~810,000 net acres and ~53 Mboe/d in Giddings, expected to be immediately accretive to per-share metrics
- + Quarterly dividend increased 9% to $0.18/share ($0.72 annualized) in conjunction with the Wildfire announcement
- − Wildfire acquisition adds more leverage than historically carried, requiring post-close debt reduction
- − Diluted share count will increase to ~269 million post-Wildfire close, materially expanding the share base
- − Q2 transaction related costs of $3.2 million incurred in connection with the Wildfire deal
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shares repurchased | 2.3M | third quarter 2026 | — |
| Total shares outstanding | 267M | third quarter 2026 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Oil & Gas E&P — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MGY
this stock
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
|
$5.71B | +7.3% | -0.3% | 13.6 | 10.6% |
|
COP
Conocophillips
|
$150.96B | +33.7% | +7.7% | 16.6 | 1.3% |
|
CNQ
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES Ltd
|
$98.26B | +39.1% | — | — | 8.9% |
|
EOG
Eog Resources Inc
|
$73.62B | +31.2% | -4.5% | 10.9 | 3.0% |
|
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/
|
$56.84B | +34.5% | -1.9% | 8.7 | 2.2% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY | -3.8% | -15.1% | -20.8% | -12.5% | +7.3% |
| SPY | -0.7% | +0.1% | +12.2% | -0.6% | +11.8% |
| vs SPY | -3.1% | -15.2% | -33.0% | -11.9% | -4.5% |
Capital returns
Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.