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MTH · Meritage Homes CORP

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$73.08 -0.54 (-0.73%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$4.75B
Shares
65.17M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Meritage Homes CORP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Meritage Homes CORP Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Jan 29, 2026 Audio replay Verified speakers
Jan 29, 2026 57:08 65 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
57:08
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Meritage Homes reported Q4 2025 results in line with guidance, with adjusted home closing gross margin of 19.3% and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.67, but saw softer orders and a 51% decline in net earnings year-over-year amid affordability challenges and weaker buyer confidence. The company grew community count 15% to a record 336, returned ~$180M to shareholders, and committed $400M to share buybacks in 2026.

Market demand and sales pace 25 Incentives and pricing discipline 21 Community count growth 14 Margins and cost structure 9 Land portfolio strategy 8 Mortgage rates and macro headwinds 4

Management tone

Cautious

Net tone -15 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “The fourth quarter of 2025 ended the year marked by much softer-than-anticipated market conditions as affordability challenges persisted and buyer confidence deteriorated.”
  • “We anticipate that in the near term, market conditions will continue to be impacted by elevated mortgage interest rates, job security concerns, and greater macroeconomic geopolitical uncertainties.”
  • “However, it's still early to determine if this trend is sustainable or just a temporary rebound after a significant market retreat in the fourth quarter.”
  • “it's just a lot of still unknowns right now. And then the number one headwind that everyone knows about is consumer confidence, which is ultimately, I think, a bigger deal than affordability right now.”

Research coverage

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Net income · derived Q4 $84.03M -51.3% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year sales orders of 14,650 homes were essentially flat year-over-year, beating broader market absorption trends
  • Ending community count grew 15% year-over-year to an all-time high of 336, with 5%-10% further growth expected in 2026
  • Backlog conversion rate of 221% in Q4, with ~63% of deliveries from intra-quarter sales
  • Returned nearly $180 million to shareholders in Q4 via $150 million in buybacks and dividends, with $400 million committed to buybacks in 2026
  • Repurchased shares at an average 12% discount to 2025 year-end book value per share, with 6% of outstanding shares repurchased for the full year
  • Direct costs declined approximately 4% year-over-year and rate buy-down costs are moderating, providing potential margin tailwinds

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 home orders declined 2% year-over-year, with average absorption pace falling 18% to 3.2 per month
  • Q4 net earnings fell 51% year-over-year to $84.0 million and diluted EPS declined 49% to $1.20
  • Q4 home closing gross margin (GAAP) compressed 670 bps year-over-year to 16.5%, including $38.9M of non-recurring charges from terminated land deals and impairments
  • Q4 home closing revenue declined 12% year-over-year to $1.4 billion; full-year revenue fell 9% to $5.76 billion
  • Ending backlog units dropped 24% year-over-year to 1,168 and backlog value fell 30% to $440.6 million
  • Q4 cancellation rate rose to 14%, ASP on orders fell 6% to $374,000, and management cited elevated mortgage rates, job security concerns, and weak consumer confidence as ongoing headwinds

Key moments

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“We anticipate that in the near term, market conditions will continue to be impacted by elevated mortgage interest rates, job security concerns, and greater macroeconomic geopolitical uncertainties. However, long-term housing demand remains supported by favorable demographics and the undersupply of affordable homes in the United States.” Steven Hilton, Chairman
“as announced in Q4, we are committed to redeploying $400 million towards share buybacks in 2026, highlighting our view that the stock remains significantly undervalued. We repurchased approximately 2.2 million shares this quarter at an average discount of 12% to the 2025 year-end book value per share.” Phillippe Lord, CEO

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$150.00M
Dividend / share
$0.48
Full-screen source Call document