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Equibles

TAL · TAL Education Group · Short Interest

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$9.91 -0.07 (-0.70%) Play latest call Q2 2027 earnings call transcript
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$5.54B
Shares
554.70M
Volume · Nov 4 5.99M Avg daily vol (3M) 4.79M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

TAL Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 21,121,424 TAL shares sold short as of the October 15, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 660,857 shares. Days to cover was 6.92 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

TAL Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 21,294,531 shares sold short for the October 30, 2026 settlement, +0.8% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 18,524,416 to 24,328,862 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through October 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected November 10, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Oct 30 short interest

as of Oct 30 Low confidence 56% chance it rises
21,294,531 +0.8% vs reported
Likely range 18,524,416 to 24,328,862 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Nov 10. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
56/100
Short interest 3.8% of shares — P63 Days to cover 6.9 — P79 Price vs VWAP -14.1% — P30 Short-volume trend -2.9% — P38 Short interest change +3.2% — P63 Worst FTD 0.01% of shares — P49

Positioning score 56.2 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-10-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-11-04 23:00 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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Dimensions
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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-11-13 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 24
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-15 21,121,424 20,460,567 +660,857 6.92
    2026-09-30 20,460,567 20,267,186 +193,381 6.78
    2026-09-15 20,267,186 21,590,540 -1,323,354 3.20
    2026-08-31 21,590,540 20,496,585 +1,093,955 4.17
    2026-08-14 20,496,585 18,523,389 +1,973,196 4.07
    2026-07-31 18,523,389 18,782,496 -259,107 3.48
    2026-07-15 18,782,496 21,993,928 -3,211,432 6.59
    2026-06-30 21,993,928 21,356,053 +637,875 5.18
    2026-06-15 21,356,053 21,601,293 -245,240 7.72
    2026-05-29 21,601,293 21,149,152 +452,141 4.64
    2026-05-15 21,149,152 20,621,399 +527,753 6.38
    2026-04-30 20,621,399 19,376,808 +1,244,591 3.96
    2026-04-15 19,376,808 20,041,625 -664,817 7.87
    2026-03-31 20,041,625 21,519,128 -1,477,503 7.49
    2026-03-13 21,519,128 22,246,579 -727,451 5.77
    2026-02-27 22,246,579 22,210,572 +36,007 4.86
    2026-02-13 22,210,572 20,448,421 +1,762,151 5.56
    2026-01-30 20,448,421 23,056,387 -2,607,966 3.67
    2026-01-15 23,056,387 23,968,461 -912,074 6.48
    2025-12-31 23,968,461 25,391,551 -1,423,090 10.81
    2025-12-15 25,391,551 27,229,825 -1,838,274 9.20
    2025-11-28 27,229,825 26,740,750 +489,075 7.37
    2025-11-14 26,740,750 27,321,258 -580,508 8.13

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1499620 CUSIP 874080104 13F (30d) 54 filings 51 filers Visit website Investor relations