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Equibles

VALE · Vale S.A. · Short Interest

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$11.77 -0.24 (-1.96%)
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$50.09B
Shares
4.26B
Volume · Oct 27 36.48M Avg daily vol (3M) 30.31M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

VALE Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 56,959,716 VALE shares sold short as of the October 15, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 1,580,811 shares. Days to cover was 1.41 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

VALE Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 53,726,207 shares sold short for the October 30, 2026 settlement, -5.7% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 45,181,723 to 62,527,320 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through October 26, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected November 10, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Oct 30 short interest

as of Oct 26 Low confidence 63% chance it falls
53,726,207 -5.7% vs reported
Likely range 45,181,723 to 62,527,320 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Nov 10. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
45/100
Short interest 1.3% of shares — P42 Days to cover 1.4 — P30 Price vs VWAP -15.0% — P30 Short-volume trend +6.2% — P75 Short interest change +2.9% — P62 Worst FTD 0.01% of shares — P48

Positioning score 45.5 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-10-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-27 17:27 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

1M 3M 6M 1Y 5Y All
Dimensions
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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-11-13 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 24
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-15 56,959,716 55,378,905 +1,580,811 1.41
    2026-09-30 55,378,905 46,146,978 +9,231,927 2.02
    2026-09-15 46,146,978 43,893,134 +2,253,844 1.43
    2026-08-31 43,893,134 46,429,068 -2,535,934 1.61
    2026-08-14 46,429,068 52,484,890 -6,055,822 1.92
    2026-07-31 52,484,890 58,497,355 -6,012,465 2.58
    2026-07-15 58,497,355 61,521,242 -3,023,887 2.55
    2026-06-30 61,521,242 62,245,458 -724,216 2.75
    2026-06-15 62,245,458 67,224,951 -4,979,493 2.59
    2026-05-29 67,224,951 49,833,671 +17,391,280 3.14
    2026-05-15 49,833,671 64,382,036 -14,548,365 1.90
    2026-04-30 64,382,036 70,429,636 -6,047,600 2.69
    2026-04-15 70,429,636 59,196,387 +11,233,249 2.63
    2026-03-31 59,196,387 57,537,849 +1,658,538 2.10
    2026-03-13 57,537,849 57,869,181 -331,332 1.48
    2026-02-27 57,869,181 63,614,747 -5,745,566 1.94
    2026-02-13 63,614,747 82,773,334 -19,158,587 1.38
    2026-01-30 82,773,334 93,178,408 -10,405,074 1.69
    2026-01-15 93,178,408 71,802,360 +21,376,048 2.31
    2025-12-31 71,802,360 76,483,471 -4,681,111 3.34
    2025-12-15 76,483,471 66,848,593 +9,634,878 1.91
    2025-11-28 66,848,593 71,584,985 -4,736,392 2.40
    2025-11-14 71,584,985 73,901,028 -2,316,043 2.33
    2025-10-31 73,901,028 77,090,972 -3,189,944 2.07

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–24 of 24 settlements
    Key facts CIK 917851 CUSIP 91912E105 13F (30d) 117 filings 114 filers Visit website Investor relations