Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX) research
Equibles Research on Space Exploration Technologies Corp — analysis and original studies grounded in disclosed primary sources and documented methods.
Who Is Actually Locked Up After an IPO?
We read the lock-up terms in 440 IPO prospectuses from 2024 to 2026. Six months is still the norm, but the biggest deals now release shares early, in most small Nasdaq IPOs only insiders and the largest holders sign, and on the day a lock-up ends the typical stock doesn't fall.
Anthropic's S-1 Explains the Unnamed Deals in Google, Broadcom and SpaceX Filings
Alphabet, Broadcom and SpaceX each report a large deal with a private company or customer they don't name. Read against Anthropic's S-1, the amounts, dates and terms match Anthropic's own. Amazon, which does name it, valued the same Anthropic notes $10.7 billion below Anthropic's figure at June 30, and $15.7 billion above it at September 30.
SpaceX's $1.8T cap is a two-customer AI bet, with $14.1B in CSAs carrying the entire $100B ARR claim
A Q2-print read on SpaceX as a public company: how $15.8B of the $18.4B Q2 capex flowed into the AI segment, why Customer B at 19.5% and Customer A at 18.3% of revenue sit between the $47.5B backlog and the $100B December ARR target, and how the Cursor close reframes the same concentration risk.
Rocket Lab's $2.2B backlog makes the bull case bigger than Neutron
Rocket Lab's record Q1 and $2.2B backlog show the bull case no longer rests on Neutron alone. The proposed Iridium merger could add a recurring-services engine, while financing, dilution and execution remain the price of that upside.
Rocket Lab: Backlog is converting, but the $39B market cap is paying for a Neutron debut the company has yet to validate
Rocket Lab enters Q2 2026 with record backlog of $2,219.8M and guided revenue of $225.0M–$240.0M, yet the stock trades at -55.2% from its $150.23 high on a $39.0B market cap against $679.6M of trailing revenue — a gap the equity-funded growth model and the un-flown Neutron debut have to close.
