High Probability Advisors, LLC

Registered adviser

CIK

2039415

Location

Pittsford, NY

Portfolio Value

Small $611,489,676

Diversification

Moderately concentrated

Filing Date

Global Rank

#2,514 / 8,811 ▲ 532 · as of Jun 2026

Top Industry

Consumer Electronics 17.0%

3Y Alpha vs SPY

-6.3%

Period ended 21 days ago

Filed Oct 19, 2026 · 2d

24 quarters · since Dec 2020

Regulatory profile

From Form ADV, the SEC filer profile, 13D/13G type codes and N-CEN, never from the name.

Holder type

Registered adviser

Form ADV roster, Oct 1, 2026

Form ADV adviser

CRD 289541

Roster of Oct 1, 2026

Regulatory AUM

$1,046,309,873

Main clients

Individuals and high net worth (85% of AUM)

Form ADV history

Monthly rosters from Dec 2019; each row is a run with the same figures, newest first.

Rosters	Regulatory AUM	Main clients
Apr 2026 to Oct 2026	$1,046,309,873	Individuals and high net worth (85%)
Mar 2025 to Mar 2026	$813,429,881	Individuals and high net worth (86%)
Mar 2024 to Feb 2025	$679,936,130	Individuals and high net worth (89%)
May 2023 to Feb 2024	$542,074,725	Individuals and high net worth (90%)
Apr 2023	$542,074,725	Individuals and high net worth (90%)
Apr 2022 to Mar 2023	$458,828,339	Individuals and high net worth (93%)

3 earlier changes not shown.

Portfolio style

Measured from the filed 13F common-share book for Jun 30, 2026, the newest measured quarter, never from the firm's own description.

Style

Concentrated

The top 10 positions are 98.7% of the book (60%+)

Turnover

Low turnover

3.4% over the last four quarters (under 30%)

Horizon

Long horizon

Value-weighted holding period 19.1 quarters (12+)

Closest benchmark: every 13F filer's combined book, active share 96.0%; sector active share 89.6% against the combined 13F book's sector weights.

Over time 23 measured quarters

How the bands are measured

Style bands measure the filed 13F common-share book each closed quarter, tested in this order. Unknown: under $10,000,000 of valued equity or 5 stocks. Index-like (100+ stocks): active share of 20% or less against the closest benchmark, which is the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600, Russell 1000, Russell 2000, Nasdaq-100 or Dow Jones Industrial Average (weighted by an index-tracking fund's reported holdings or the index's constituents nearest the quarter end, over the names resolved to companies, and only when those are 90%+ of its weight) or every 13F filer's combined book, or index series holding 80%+ of the registered fund assets it advises (N-CEN) and equal to 50%+ of its book. Systematic-like: 500+ stocks, 100%+ annual turnover and a top 10 weight of 25% or less. Concentrated: a top 10 weight of 60%+ or 12 or fewer effective positions. Diversified active: none of these. Turnover is the smaller of buys and sells over average equity value, summed over four quarters: low under 30%, high 100%+. Horizon is the value-weighted number of quarters each position has been held: short under 4, long 12+.

Clone Performance

Build a hypothetical price-return history from this filer's public 13F holdings.

View clone backtest

Portfolio Concentration

71 tracked positions · as of Sep 30, 2026 · Δ vs Jun 30, 2026

Top Position

31.2%

+1.5 pts

Top 5

79.8%

+1.0 pts

Top 10

98.6%

−0.1 pts

HHI

1,726

Moderately concentrated+43

Portfolio Trend

24 quarters · across all stocks

Sector Breakdown

As of Sep 30, 2026

Sector	% Portfolio	Value	Positions
Unclassified	98.4%	$601,981,420	50
Technology	0.7%	$4,430,571	7
Industrials	0.2%	$1,248,205	3
Financial Services	0.2%	$1,111,773	4
Communication Services	0.2%	$957,780	2
Real Estate	0.1%	$845,783	1
Consumer Cyclical	0.1%	$664,588	3
Healthcare	0.0%	$249,556	1

Last Quarter's Activity

Export CSV

Sep 30, 2026 vs Jun 30, 2026

Added To

Positions the filer increased

25 positions

Ticker	Company	Δ Shares	Shares	Value
SCHR	Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury ETF	+139,217	1,713,565	$40,611,490
NYF	iShares New York Muni Bond ETF	+110,658	1,066,801	$0
SCHO	Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF	+80,783	1,839,651	$43,894,072
DIHP	Dimensional International High Profitability ETF	+62,047	1,369,650	$46,143,508
GSIE	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) International Equity ETF	+47,406	1,111,089	$50,932,319
DYNF	iShares U.S. Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF	+44,616	926,100	$64,141,686
SPIB	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF	+42,870	981,970	$31,697,991
SPTL	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF	+32,725	487,111	$11,617,597
GSLC	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF	+32,648	859,665	$124,685,811
SHYG	iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF	+28,574	597,162	$0
USMV	iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF	+19,623	436,792	$0
FVAL	Fidelity Value Factor ETF	+16,781	460,446	$37,185,618
FQAL	Fidelity Quality Factor ETF	+13,744	355,494	$29,594,875
FNDC	Schwab Fundamental International Small Equity ETF	+12,530	318,564	$15,874,044
AVEM	Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF	+11,087	300,928	$28,293,250
AVUV	Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF	+10,426	305,991	$36,036,560
IVLU	iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF	+10,249	391,131	$0
MTUM	iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF	+9,513	331,536	$0
IUSV	iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF	+7,890	197,213	$0
GSSC	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF	+4,752	173,981	$14,924,090
SPYM	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio S&P 500(R) ETF	+3,233	61,971	$5,562,516
SPMD	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio S&P 400(TM) Mid Cap ETF	+1,167	19,418	$1,224,110
IXUS	iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF	+1,053	21,762	$0
VTEB	VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND	+873	96,751	$4,582,127
—		+398	7,375	$0
No positions match the current search.

Trimmed

Positions the filer reduced

4 positions

Ticker	Company	Δ Shares	Shares	Value
BNL	Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.	−1,296	45,718	$845,783
GBIL	Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	−1,197	3,516	$351,986
SUB	iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF	−55	1,916	$0
VXUS	Vanguard Total International Stock ETF	−7	2,534	$215,288
No positions match the current search.

New Positions

Positions the filer opened this quarter

3 positions

Ticker	Company	Shares	Value
DELL	Dell Technologies Inc.	463	$249,070
META	Meta Platforms, Inc.	303	$219,729
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices Inc	335	$204,939
No positions match the current search.

Sold Out

Positions the filer fully exited

7 positions

Ticker	Company	Shares	Value
DUHP	Dimensional US High Profitability ETF	1,609,605	$67,168,816
COHR	Coherent Corp.	675	$266,267
CRDO	Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd	895	$243,395
ASML	Asml Holding NV	108	$214,859
AMAT	Applied Materials Inc /De	289	$208,947
HWM	Howmet Aerospace Inc.	777	$208,904
—		905	$200,186
No positions match the current search.

Portfolio Positions

Compact Export CSV View 13F filing

71 tracked positions · $611,489,676 total · filing declares 71 positions · $892,178,961 · as of Sep 30, 2026

All sectors Communication Services Consumer Cyclical Financial Services Healthcare Industrials Real Estate Technology

Showing 1–50 of 71 positions by value · page 1 of 2

Ticker	Company	Type	Shares	Δ Shares	Value (USD)	% Δ Value	% of Portfolio
GSLC	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF	Added	859,665	+32,648	$124,685,811	+6.3%	20.39%
DYNF	iShares U.S. Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF	Added	926,100	+44,616	$64,141,686	+7.0%	10.49%
GSIE	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) International Equity ETF	Added	1,111,089	+47,406	$50,932,319	+4.8%	8.33%
DIHP	Dimensional International High Profitability ETF	Added	1,369,650	+62,047	$46,143,508	+3.4%	7.55%
SCHO	Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF	Added	1,839,651	+80,783	$43,894,072	+3.4%	7.18%
SCHR	Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury ETF	Added	1,713,565	+139,217	$40,611,490	+4.6%	6.64%
FVAL	Fidelity Value Factor ETF	Added	460,446	+16,781	$37,185,618	+7.5%	6.08%
AVUV	Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF	Added	305,991	+10,426	$36,036,560	−2.3%	5.89%
SPIB	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF	Added	981,970	+42,870	$31,697,991	+0.9%	5.18%
FQAL	Fidelity Quality Factor ETF	Added	355,494	+13,744	$29,594,875	+6.4%	4.84%
AVEM	Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF	Added	300,928	+11,087	$28,293,250	+1.2%	4.63%
FNDC	Schwab Fundamental International Small Equity ETF	Added	318,564	+12,530	$15,874,044	+6.8%	2.60%
GSSC	Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta(R) U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF	Added	173,981	+4,752	$14,924,090	−3.4%	2.44%
SPTL	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF	Added	487,111	+32,725	$11,617,597	−2.5%	1.90%
SPY	Spdr S&P 500 ETF Trust	Held	12,724	0	$9,703,704	+2.1%	1.59%
SPYM	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio S&P 500(R) ETF	Added	61,971	+3,233	$5,562,516	+7.8%	0.91%
VTEB	VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT BOND INDEX FUND	Added	96,751	+873	$4,582,127	−5.5%	0.75%
AAPL	Apple Inc. Technology	Held	4,848	0	$1,614,480	+15.1%	0.26%
DFAC	Dimensional U.S. Core Equity 2 ETF	Held	29,474	0	$1,310,119	+0.2%	0.21%
SPMD	State Street(R) SPDR(R) Portfolio S&P 400(TM) Mid Cap ETF	Added	19,418	+1,167	$1,224,110	−0.7%	0.20%
MSFT	Microsoft Corp Technology	Added	2,167	+100	$1,111,454	+44.2%	0.18%
SCHB	Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF	Added	37,555	+200	$1,100,737	+1.8%	0.18%
BNL	Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. Real Estate	Reduced	45,718	-1,296	$845,783	−13.0%	0.14%
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc. Communication Services	Held	2,145	0	$738,051	−3.7%	0.12%
VEA	Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF	Held	9,286	0	$655,684	−0.9%	0.11%
TT	Trane Technologies plc Industrials	Held	1,360	0	$614,692	−8.0%	0.10%
DFAT	Dimensional U.S. Targeted Value ETF	Held	8,672	0	$576,167	−4.9%	0.09%
ETN	Eaton Corp plc Industrials	Held	1,226	0	$526,824	+0.8%	0.09%
NVDA	Nvidia Corp Technology	Held	2,135	0	$487,591	+14.1%	0.08%
MU	Micron Technology Inc Technology	Held	432	0	$460,127	−7.7%	0.08%
DFUV	Dimensional U.S. Marketwide Value ETF	Held	6,646	0	$365,530	−0.0%	0.06%
GBIL	Goldman Sachs ETF Trust	Reduced	3,516	-1,197	$351,986	−25.4%	0.06%
HIG	Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Financial Services	Held	2,750	0	$336,490	−7.7%	0.06%
TSM	Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd Technology	Held	664	0	$302,910	−4.5%	0.05%
V	Visa Inc. Financial Services	Held	828	0	$297,525	+4.7%	0.05%
SCHA	Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF	Held	8,840	0	$288,449	−9.7%	0.05%
HD	Home Depot, Inc. Consumer Cyclical	Held	976	0	$277,662	−19.3%	0.05%
AMZN	Amazon Com Inc Consumer Cyclical	Held	1,096	0	$273,068	+4.5%	0.04%
JPM	Jpmorgan Chase & Co Financial Services	Held	824	0	$272,603	+1.1%	0.04%
ABBV	AbbVie Inc. Healthcare	Held	954	0	$249,556	+4.0%	0.04%
DELL	Dell Technologies Inc. Technology	NEW	463	NEW	$249,070	NEW	0.04%
META	Meta Platforms, Inc. Communication Services	NEW	303	NEW	$219,729	NEW	0.04%
VXUS	Vanguard Total International Stock ETF	Reduced	2,534	-7	$215,288	−0.9%	0.04%
DFUS	Dimensional U.S. Equity Market ETF	Held	2,501	0	$207,658	+1.3%	0.03%
BRK-B	Berkshire Hathaway Inc Financial Services	Held	412	0	$205,155	−0.5%	0.03%
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices Inc Technology	NEW	335	NEW	$204,939	NEW	0.03%
DFSU	Dimensional US Sustainability Core 1 ETF	Added	4,334	+9	$204,434	+1.4%	0.03%
NIO	NIO Inc. Consumer Cyclical	Held	33,195	0	$113,858	−32.2%	0.02%
KODK	Eastman Kodak Co Industrials	Held	11,160	0	$106,689	+3.4%	0.02%
		Added	7,375	+398	$0	−100.0%	0.00%

Showing the top 50 of 71 positions. Create a free account to see every position, past quarters, search, filters and CSV export.

Covers the securities this platform tracks: U.S.-listed common stock and the put/call positions reported on it. A 13F can also report security types outside that coverage — preferred shares, bonds, warrants, untracked share classes — so the filing's own declared total can exceed the figures above. The source filing is linked at the top of this table.