Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Good day, and welcome to NOVA's first quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on a touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Miri Sehgol, CEO of MSIR. Please go ahead.

Thank you, Operator, and good day, everyone. I would like to welcome all of you to NOVA's first quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. With us on the line today are Gabby Weissman, President and CEO, and Guy Kisner, CFO. Before we begin, I would like to remind our listeners that certain information provided on this call may contain forward-looking statements, and the safe harbor statement outlined in today's earnings release also pertains to this call. If you have not received a copy of the release, please view it in the Investor Relations section of the company's website. Gabby will begin the call with a business update, followed by Guy with an overview of the financials. We will then open the call for the question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Gabi Weissman, NOVA's President and CEO. Gabi, please go ahead.

Thank you, Miri, and thank you all for joining us today. I will start the call by summarizing our first quarter performance highlights. Following my commentary, Guy will review the quarterly financial results in detail. Nova delivered another record quarter, exceeding guidance across financial and operational metrics. First quarter revenue reached $235.3 million with record profitability. This performance was supported by record revenue from memory devices, driven by robust demand for advanced DRAM alongside strong momentum in advanced packaging and gate-all-around applications. We achieved multiple customer wins and record sales in several of our product lines. Our focus on meaningful partnerships with our customers, operational excellence, differentiated solutions, and investment in innovative technology are key building blocks in our continuous outstanding results. The latest Gartner market share report further attests to the resilience of our long-term strategy, showing an additional 400 basis points share gain in film film and critical dimension metrology. This is the second consecutive year of significant share growth, cementing NOVA's position as this market's second-largest vendor. AI investments remain the fundamental driver of industry growth with a shift towards agentic AI models increasing computing and memory requirements. This is accelerating capacity expansion across logic, memory, and advanced packaging while also introducing greater manufacturing complexity and yield challenges, driving higher process control and metrology intensity. These dynamics reinforce the relevance of Novot's portfolio and positions as well to support production ramps, yield improvement, and demanding time-to-market requirements. Capacity expansion across all segments and tighter alignment with our customers' planning are improving our visibility and supporting our momentum. Our customers understand the importance of early engagement, and we are working closely with them to plan capacity and inventory levels to meet their demand. As part of this planning, we are making strides in expanding our global manufacturing footprint with the construction of the new facility in Asia. This investment is designed to increase our production capacity, optimize our cost structure, and improve load balancing across regions while positioning us closer to key customers and supply chain partners. The new facility is expected to become operational toward the end of 2026. Now let me turn to some business highlights for the quarter. In memory, we delivered record revenue this quarter driven by strong demand for advanced DRAM applications, which accounted for approximately two-thirds of our memory business. This momentum was reflected in record sales of our Metreon platform, including repeat purchases by a leading memory customer for both advanced 3D NAND and DRAM devices as the platform continues to move from initial adoption into broader deployment. Our front-end chemical metrology solution, Nova Ancosium, also achieved record sales and we gained additional market share at a leading memory customer in Asia with multiple tool deliveries expected over the course of the year. At the same time, capacity expansions supported continued demand for XPS and dimensional metrology solutions. Looking ahead, we also see robust HBN-related bookings for our NOVA WMC and Semdex standalone platforms. In logic, increasing market demand and ramp-up of advanced device production led to record revenue from NOVA's integrated metrology product line, driven by gable around and new customer penetrations in mature nodes and advanced packaging. A great indicator of our strength in the logic segment is the recent recognition we received from Intel when Nova was awarded the Intel Epic Supplier Award, the highest honor in Intel's global supply chain. Out of thousands of suppliers Intel works with, Nova is included in a select list of companies to receive this award in 2026. This recognition underscores the scale and depth of our engagement and collaboration with Intel. In advanced packaging, the strong demand drove yet another record quarterly revenue. Our portfolio is well-matched with the evolving demands in 2.5 and 3D packaging production. One such example is the NOVA WMC that addresses the critical issue of increased warpage and non-uniform surfaces introduced by new advanced packaging schemes that bring forth new material and structural challenges. AI and broader scaling limitations are among the drivers of hybrid bonding processes. Adoption is progressing faster than expected in several advanced device segments. Because the process depends on direct copper-to-copper interfaces and ultra-fine pitch interconnects, it is highly metrology-intensive, requiring tight control of surface planarity, alignment accuracy, and interface integrity throughout multiple process steps. Our portfolio positions us well to support this transition. This has already translated into strong positioning of our optical and chemical metrology platforms across top-tier manufacturers. Turning to services, we delivered record service revenue this quarter, marking the 13th consecutive quarter of sequential growth. This consistent performance reflects the expanding scale and increasing utilization of our install base and the deep operational engagements our teams have with customers worldwide. To summarize my part, Nova delivered an all-round record quarter highlighting the value of our tools and services. Customer schedule considerations are expected to have a positive impact on the first half of the year, and we expect the second half to run higher. We are setting the stage and solidifying our investments in technology and infrastructure towards the anticipated industry growth. Now, for some more details on our financials, let me hand over the call to Guy.

Thanks, Gabi. Good day, everyone. I will begin by reviewing our financial achievements for the first quarter of this year, and then provide guidance for the second quarter. We delivered record revenue of $235.3 million in the first quarter of 2026, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. Revenue grew 6% quarter-over-quarter and 10% year-over-year, demonstrating the strength of customer demand and the momentum of our product portfolio. Revenue mix was approximately 66% from Logic and Foundry customers and 34% from Memory customers, reflecting a broad-based contribution across our end markets. We also continue to benefit from a diversified customer and geographic footprint, with four customers and five geographic regions, each contributing more than 10% of total product revenue. In the first quarter, blended gross margins were 57.7% on a gap basis and 59.4% on a non-gap basis, in the upper end of our target model range of 57% to 60%. The strong gross margin performance was driven by a favorable product mix, alongside continued growth in our services business, which contributed positively to overall gross margin performance. Operating expenses in the first quarter totaled $64.9 million on a gap basis and $59.4 million on a non-gap basis. We continue to invest strategically in R&D and go-to-market capabilities to accelerate innovation, support our expanding product roadmap, and capture future growth opportunities. Operating margins in the first quarter reached 30% on a gap basis and 34% on a non-gap basis, exceeding the upper end of our target model range of 28% to 33%. This performance highlights the strength of our operating model and our continued focus on profitable growth. The effective tax rate in the first quarter was approximately 17%, modestly above our guidance, primarily reflecting the geographic and entity mix of income in the quarter. We expect this dynamic to normalize as the year progresses. Earning per share in the first quarter on a gap basis were $2.04 per diluted share, and earning per share on a non-gap basis were $2.33 per diluted share, exceeding the high end of our first quarter guidance and driven by record quarterly performance. Next, I would like to share the details of our guidance for the second quarter of 2026. We currently expect revenue for the quarter to be between $245 million and $255 million. Gap earning per diluted share to range from $2.10 to $2.24. Non-gap earning per diluted share to range from $2.34 to $2.48. At the midpoint of our second quarter 2026 estimates, we anticipate the following. Gross margins of approximately 57% on a gap basis and approximately 59% on a non-gap basis. Operating expenses on a gap basis to increase to approximately $72 million. Operating expenses on a non-gap basis to increase to approximately $66 million. dollars. Financial income on a non-gap basis is expected to be approximately 16 million dollars. Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 15 percent. As we conclude, we are pleased with our strong start to 2026, delivering record revenue and record profitability for the quarter. The continued momentum across our business reflect healthy customer demand, the value of our product portfolio, and discipline execution across the organization. Looking ahead, we remain focused on investing in innovation, supporting our customers' evolving needs, and driving sustainable long-term growth while continuing to deliver strong financial results. With that, we will be pleased to take your questions. operator.

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question today comes from Elizabeth Sun with Citi. Please go ahead.

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. This is Elizabeth for Atif. I guess my first question is, Gabby, in your prepared remarks, you talked about you had multiple customers in several products lines. So I was wondering if you could elaborate a little bit on that. Is it more on memory or Foundry Logic customers and is it driven mostly by new products or like really like overall strength across the portfolio? Thanks.

Thank you so much, Elizabeth, for the question. So it's across logic and memory and across several of our product lines. I believe I mentioned they are chemical metrology solutions. And I also indicated the fact that we have a broader adoption of our N-line sims, the Metreon solution. But we see some wins across our product portfolio and definitely across segments. got it on the and then on the uh share gain perspective this year um are you expecting like similar out performance compared versus last two years and uh where do you see the most share gain opportunities this year is it more from i don't know front end or packaging side so in terms of the share gain i indicated the fact that based on the governor report recently published uh we We grew about 400 basis points in 2025 compared to 2024, and this is the second consecutive year of growth, making us the second-last largest vendor in this space. We definitely aim to continue and drive market share. This is the primary objective that we have value that we offer to our customers. And we look at all segments. Advanced packaging is definitely one of them. We have good traction with advanced packaging customers across the board, top-tier customers, as well as growth in the Chinese advanced packaging realm. We also see some initial good traction and adoption in hybrid bonding, also with top-tier customers and a higher metrology intensity there, which gives us good opportunity to grow our market share as a result of the metrology challenges such as flatness or interconnect yield. So we see good opportunities across the board, and definitely advanced packaging in particular is a growth area for us.

Thanks, Gabby.

Next question comes from Michael Manny with Bank of America.

Please go ahead. hi thanks so much for taking my question um to start uh could you give us uh your sense of where you think um nova's growth could end up for the full year maybe relative to wc and maybe in context of some of the um systems uh revenue guides and full-year wc guides that some of your peers have given and um you know very strong memory mix uh this quarter um you know how do you expect the mix between Foundry and Logic and Memory to kind of look for this year for you relative to prior years? Thank you.

Thank you, Michael, for the question. So first of all, in terms of WFeed, the way we read the market today, we expect WFeed to reach mid-thins growth, and this is higher than what we were looking at back in February. We are expecting to outperform this number. The growth is driven by both logic, memory, advanced packaging, and within memory, of course, its primary DRAM. We did give a target as part of our strategic plan to reach $1 billion in revenue by 2027, and we are on track, of course, to reach this number. As you know, we are not providing guidance beyond that, but we're definitely on track. In terms of the memory versus logic, we saw a growth in the memory share this quarter compared to last year. And I expect memory to become more dominant this year compared to last one on the backdrop of investments in advanced DRM.

Great, thank you. And for my follow-up, I just want to ask about gross margin. So, you know, nice strength there in the first half of this year, the upper end of your target. You know, what were the drivers that kind of led to you being able to sustain at this 59% level? And do you think staying at these levels is possible through the second half? Just what are the puts and takes there? Thank you very much.

Yeah, so our target model, as I mentioned, is 57% to 60%. Currently based on the business dynamic and obviously based on the first half results, we see gross margins for 2026 will be within the same rate that we're giving the guidance for the first half of the year. I would say this will be sustainable during the year.

The next question comes from Shane Brett with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Thank you for letting me ask a question. I want to follow up on the WFE growth benchmark for this year. Mid-teens is a little bit lower than what the process tool companies have talked about this year because they're talking about growth well into the 20s. Some of the drivers for WFE this year are just, you know, Greenfield DRAM and 3 nanometer logic where I perceive the process control intensity to be a little bit lower than 2 nanometer where the process control intensity is quite high. But just how should we think about your ability to outperform WFE in what can be perceived as a little bit of a challenging year for a process controller.

Thank you, Shane, for the question. So it's too early to call how process control specifically will look like this year, but NOVA capitalizes the growth vectors of both process and process control, which is a factor in driving growth. So in process, for example, where our integrated products are embedded in dimensional, as well as chemical metrology that are correlative to the growth in the process sector. Process control, where our dimensional metrology, such as our standalone products, our well-positions, and obviously material metrology portfolio plays. And also the lab-to-fab growing factor in terms of adoption, where we address emerging critical applications for advanced nodes. All in all, whether it's going to be the mid-tanes or the higher numbers, This is continuously updated, as you know, over the last few months. We do expect to outperform, but it's too early to say how our process control looks like versus process. And as I mentioned, we tap into both.

Understood. That's very clear. And for my follow-up, so we're seeing a broadening of leading-edge logic investment with one of the players you actually mentioned in your prepared remarks talking a lot more about increasing process control, intensity in-line inspection. But we're also seeing just a lot more investment in 3 nanometer. Just how are you looking at the dynamics right now in leading-edge logic, just given the breadth of players expanding, but maybe a little bit more investment on N plus 1?

Thank you for that. So, yes, we are well positioned across all Gatel around the players, and we're very, of course, honored to take part of their growth growth in providing them support on process control, and we continue to invest in R&D in order to maintain our differentiation and provide the value as we did as within the We are seeing a growing investment in areas such as free nanometers. Obviously, the metrology intensity in the gate all around is higher, but we do tap into the growth of those advanced inset technologies as well. And obviously that would intensify once investment shifts or continues to grow on the gate all around as well.

Thank you very much.

The next question comes from Matthew Prisco with Cantor. Please go ahead.

Thanks for taking the questions. First, maybe could you give us an update on where lead times stand today and how we should think about your visibility both in terms of kind of customer orders and how those customer conversations are going and those extending into kind of 2027, 2028 at this point?

Thank you, Matthew. So first we do have improved visibility towards next year. Customers are definitely planning further ahead and we're working closely with them to, I would say, plot capacity and inventory levels. We do see some pull-ins, by the way, driving the first half higher than originally forecasted, as you've seen from our guidance. And in some cases, we are already receiving orders and planning the 2027 deliveries. Our lead times are still shorter than some of our peers, but we do have higher visibility, as I mentioned, than before, and more confidence in our annual performance. I would also say that in terms of timing of the deliveries, this is definitely driven by the customers based on their demand structure.

Okay, that's helpful. And then for a follow-up on the supply side, given this robust demand backdrop, how are you thinking about that capacity today? Are any constraints arising on your side? And if we're in kind of a $180 billion plus WFE world next year, is that something you can support and continue outgrowing the market? Thanks.

So I did indicate the fact that we're launching a new production center in Asia that is going to be operational towards the end of this year. This is part of our answer to the growing demand, making sure that we have the right capacity to support our customers. We see, I would say, some pressure on the supply chain, and we're mitigating that by working with a few suppliers in order to have the agility and flexibility to support the demand. We're also seeing, by the way, some cost pressure at the supplier level, mainly tied to the higher chip prices and other factors. But we have been able to manage and mitigate by applying active cost management and leveraging long-term relationships. And the bottom line and the most important is that we are managing suppliers to meet demand.

Thanks, guys.

The next question comes from Sharos Chi with Needham and Company. Please go ahead.

Thanks for taking my question. Maybe the first one, Gabby, can you talk a little bit about your positioning in X-ray technology? And we are hearing from your peers, there seems to be expanding opportunities for X-ray. There are things like CD measurement, as well as things like a void detection, hybrid bonding. And we know NOVA is a leader in X-ray, especially XPS. What's your view on the latest, let's say, market landscape in X-ray? And how does ANOVA view those opportunities we're hearing, and how do you plan to capture those opportunities?

Thank you, Charles, for that question. So, first of all, there are multiple challenges and inflection points, both the front end and in advanced packaging for X-ray applications. And there's also a broad spectrum of technologies that can address these challenges. And, of course, X-ray is one of them. We believe that X-ray could play out in a very significant role in addressing those challenges. We have a strategy that taps into hybrid metrology. This is something that was at our cornerstone of the strategy that we have for years now. And we do have a broad portfolio, both optical and X-ray, both homegrown. We have engaged in collaboration with customers on those aspects or those challenges. And as an example, we published several papers, one with Samsung on hybrid OCD plus Raman plus machine learning with IBM on hybrid OCD with X-ray and machine learning. And we also see emerging XPS and material metrology in other spheres, both in the front end, as I mentioned, including advanced packaging. We are also seeing emerging XPS and material metrology competition, and we have it from both a local vendor in China as well as other potential growing competition in years to come. So we are investing in our roadmap to broaden our competitive advantage and provide value to our customers in order to maintain our dominant position in this space.

Thanks, Gabby. Can you talk about your China expectations for this year? I recall last time you talked about maybe flat to slightly up, but has anything changed and how you view your China growth this year? Thank you.

So China is a significant part of our business and also from the overall WFE spending. As a result of advanced nodes growth, China's share of our revenue is expected to decrease, as we've already seen last year compared to 2024. In the long term, we expect China to stabilize in the range of 25% to 30% of our business. We see also an increase in demand in China for packaging with a multitude of new customer engagements around advanced packaging and high bandwidth memory. China is also a very competitive market, as you know, and we focus on ensuring and reassuring our customers with offering the best of breed products and the best possible value and cost of ownership as a differentiating factor, we are encouraged to see some potential growth in China this year. So there is some positive momentum in the business in China compared to last quarter.

Thank you. I appreciate that.

The next question comes from Vedvadi Shrotre with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. The first one I have is, you know, you're seeing your Logic customers sort of put their roadmap together. How are you thinking about the $500 million gate-all-around revenue target? And what do you think happens to the gate-all-around revenues next year?

Thank you, Vidwadi. So we're on track for the forecasted $500 million, the cumulative gate-all-around revenue that we provided. and we are very well positioned with all gate-of-the-round manufacturers across the portfolio. We do see growth in gate-of-the-round investments in 2027 compared to this year as well.

Understood. And also on a similar line, what are you thinking about advanced packaging growth this year or into the second half versus the first half this year?

I would say that advanced packaging for Nova is edging towards the mid-20s of product revenue this quarter, with the majority coming from Logic. Looking forward, we also see healthy hybrid burst memory bookings. And for the year in general, we see similar levels of growth in advanced packaging to what our peers have already mentioned.

Understood. Thank you.

Again, if you have a question, please press star, then one. The next question comes from Thomas O'Malley with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Hi, this is Trip Smith on for Tom O'Malley. Thank you for the question today. I just wanted to step back to gross margins. Gross margins are coming down sequentially in the guide in your range. Just curious the drivers there and why a bit of the step down.

We guided the gross margins for the second quarter for a non-gap for 59%. Usually when we are guiding, it's plus-minus 1%, so it's within the same magnitude, I would say.

Okay, thank you. And then just as a follow-up, I was curious about the timeline around hybrid bonding. You guys have talked about it being a driver there, so just curious what you're seeing in that market and any color there.

Yeah, so we're very encouraged by the traction that we see in hybrid bonding. We have already good positioning with top-tier customers. We see a higher metrology intensity in hybrid bonding. I indicated the fact that we see challenges such as flatness, such as CMPU uniformity within wafer and within dye, work pitch, edge roll of interconnect yield, and the multitude of challenges that are emerging. Obviously, this is providing higher intensity on top of the advanced packaging, which already seen incremental metrology steps compared to the past. We do see some pull-ins for hybrid bonding with some customers, especially memory. So there is definitely an opportunity for us to continue and tap into this part of advanced packaging.

Thank you. this concludes our question and answer session I would like to turn the conference back over to Gabby Weissman thank you operator and thank you all for joining our call today the conference has now concluded thank you for attending today's presentation you may now disconnect