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AAON · Aaon, Inc.

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$87.80 +0.13 (+0.15%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$7.25B
Shares
82.45M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Aaon, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Aaon, Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 2, 2026
Mar 2, 2026 48 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
Sources
3 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

AAON delivered strong 2025 growth with net sales up 20.1% to $1.44 billion and a record $1.83 billion year-end backlog, but gross margin compressed to 26.7% from 33.1% due to ERP rollout and refrigerant transition headwinds, guiding 2026 to 18–20% revenue growth and ~29–31% gross margin.

Data Center / AI Demand 83 Capacity Expansion / Manufacturing Ramp 58 ERP Upgrade 48 2026 Guidance / Revenue Growth 44 Supply Chain 16 Margin Expansion / Temporary Headwinds 10

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +75 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “In 2025, Basics branded sales increased 143% to $548 million while backlog grew 141% to $1.3 billion.”
  • “Bookings and backlog remained strong in the fourth quarter. Basics branded bookings again reached record levels, driving backlog to $1.3 billion, up 45% sequentially and 141% year over year.”
  • “That demand strength, paired with actions to improve execution, set the stage for a strong 2026.”
  • “we have clear visibility into growth drivers and a well-defined plan that positions us for improved operating performance and margin expansion as temporary headwinds fade.”

Forward guidance

5 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

3 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $424.22M +42.5% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 25.9% -0.2 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $32.03M +29.7% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Record year-end backlog of $1.83 billion, up 110.9% year-over-year
  • Q4 net sales increased 42.5% to $424.2 million year-over-year
  • Full-year 2025 net sales grew 20.1% to $1.44 billion
  • Basics branded sales increased 143% to $548 million with backlog up 141% to $1.3 billion and a 2.4 book-to-bill
  • Q4 Basics branded bookings reached record levels, with backlog up 141% year-over-year
  • Board authorized up to $100.0 million in share repurchases

Risks & pressure points

  • Full-year gross margin declined to 26.7% from 33.1% in 2024
  • GAAP diluted EPS fell to $1.29 in 2025 from $2.02 in 2024
  • Q4 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.39 reflected capacity expansion and ERP implementation costs
  • AAON branded sales declined 8% in 2025 against a 16% industry volume decline, indicating near-term friction
  • Incremental margins remain below long-term target due to Memphis ramp headwinds
  • 2026 outlook anticipates a softer start to the year before improvement

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Supported by robust Basics backlog and accelerating momentum in Longview and Memphis, we are positioned for 2026 to be a strong year for growth and margin expansion. We have a clear view of the drivers, our teams are executing, and we are confident in that trajectory.” Matthew Tobolski, CEO
“As returns on these investments begin to materialize, we are positioned for operating cash flow to improve significantly in 2026, driven by higher earnings and improved working capital efficiency. That flexibility supports our continued growth investments, including planned 2026 CapEx of $190 million.” Rebecca A. Thompson, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 2, 2026.

Metric Guided
YoY Sales Growth table
FY26
18% – 20%
Gross Profit Margin table
FY26
29% – 31%
Capital expenditure plans
2026
$190M
SG&A as a % of sales table
FY26
16%
Depreciation & Amortization table
FY26
$95M – $100M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.10
Full-screen source Call document