CUK · CARNIVAL PLC
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AI Brief
Q1 FY26 earnings call · Mar 27, 2026TL;DR. Carnival's Q1 2026 results exceeded guidance with record revenues ($6.2B), net yields, operating income, EBITDA, and customer deposits (~$8B), prompting a ~$150M increase to full-year adjusted net income outlook. The company also introduced its PROPEL plan targeting >16% ROIC, >50% EPS growth, $14B in shareholder distributions, and a $2.5B buyback by 2029.
- + Q1 results came in ahead of guidance with record first quarter revenues, net yields, operating income, EBITDA, and customer deposits of nearly $8 billion (~10% above prior year high)
- + Current-year bookings increased 10% year-over-year with nearly 85% of 2026 already on the books at historically high prices
- + Adjusted EPS of $0.20 was up 50% versus prior year and record adjusted EBITDA reached $1.3 billion
- + Net yields (constant currency) rose 2.7%, outperforming guidance by over 1 point, with adjusted cruise costs ex-fuel better than guided
- + Full-year 2026 operational outlook increased by nearly $150M versus December guidance and company remains on track for ~$7B in adjusted EBITDA
- + Introduced PROPEL targets through 2029 including >16% ROIC, >50% EPS growth vs. 2025, ~$14B shareholder distributions, and announced an initial $2.5 billion buyback authorization
- − Q1 results included a $54 million ($0.04 adjusted EPS) unfavorable fuel and currency impact versus guidance
- − Company faces a ~$500 million fuel headwind against its ~$7 billion EBITDA outlook
- − Fuel consumption per ALBD decreased 4.7% but the company stated its guidance fuel price assumption was below current spot/forward curve, exposing EPS sensitivity to fuel moves
- − Operations are being conducted against an 'unpredictable macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop,' including the ongoing Middle East conflict
- − PROPEL targets net debt-to-EBITDA of 2.75x, implying a still-elevated leverage profile relative to historical norms
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD non-GAAP | $124.22 | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (constant currency) non-GAAP | 5.3% | First Quarter 2026 | — |
| Adjusted cruise costs per ALBD non-GAAP | $141.01 | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | 1.3B | First Quarter 2026 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Adjusted net income 275M
+291M Interest expense, net of capitalized interest
-12M Interest income
+17M Income tax expense, net
+696M Depreciation and amortization expense
= Adjusted EBITDA 1.27B
|
|||
| Adjusted EPS non-GAAP | $0.2 | First Quarter 2026 | — |
| Adjusted net income non-GAAP | $275M | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Net income (loss) attributable to Carnival Corporation & plc 258M
+0M (Gains) losses on ship sales and impairments
+0M Debt extinguishment and modification costs
+0M Restructuring expense
+16M Other
= Adjusted net income 275M
|
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| Adjusted weighted-average shares outstanding - diluted non-GAAP | 1.39B | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| ALBDs | 23.7M | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| Cruise costs per ALBD | $204.63 | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| Gross margin yields (per ALBD) non-GAAP | $64.63 | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
| Net yields (constant currency) non-GAAP | 2.7% | First Quarter 2026 | — |
| Net yields (per ALBD) non-GAAP | $197.44 | Three Months Ended February 28, 2026 | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Travel Services — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CUK
this stock
CARNIVAL PLC
|
$5.94B | — | — | — | 0.6% |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
|
$149.59B | — | +13.4% | 22.1 | 2.8% |
|
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.
|
$110.34B | +35.0% | +10.3% | — | 2.1% |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
|
$74.73B | +0.2% | +3.3% | 17.3 | 4.0% |
|
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
|
$39.54B | +16.3% | +7.6% | 20.6 | 4.6% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding