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EXC · Exelon Corp

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$45.86 +0.26 (+0.57%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$46.92B
Shares
1.02B
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Exelon Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Exelon Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 12, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 12, 2026 48:55 57 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
48:55
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Exelon reported 2025 adjusted operating EPS of $2.77, above expectations, and initiated 2026 operating EPS guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share, supported by a $41.3 billion five-year capital plan with over 70% of the plan-over-plan increase in transmission.

Capital plan and transmission investment 60 Earned ROE trajectory 30 Earnings and growth guidance 29 Open regulatory items (Maryland, CAMT, New Jersey) 20 Operational reliability and storm response 20 Financing and balance sheet 13

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +62 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we delivered another strong year. For 2025, we reported adjusted operating earnings per share of $2.77, delivering above expectations”
  • “we expect rate base growth of approximately 8% and annualized earnings growth of 5% to 7% through 2029, with the expectation of being near the top end of that range”
  • “I have never been more confident that Exelon Corporation has the people, the discipline, and the platform to continue to lead the energy transformation and meet this unprecedented demand”
  • “This progress is further evidenced by our success in the recent PJM reliability window results, where $1.2 billion of incremental Exelon Corporation investment was recommended, including a jointly developed solution with NextEra”

Forward guidance

35 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $5.41B -1.1% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $594.00M -8.2% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • 2025 adjusted operating EPS of $2.77 delivered above expectations, continuing a track record of exceeding the midpoint of guidance each year as a standalone utility.
  • 7.4% annual earnings growth rate achieved since 2021 alongside 8% rate base growth in 2025.
  • Initiated 2026 operating EPS guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share, with expectations to be near the top end of the 5% to 7% annualized earnings growth range through 2029.
  • $41.3 billion five-year capital plan, with more than 70% of the plan-over-plan increase driven by transmission, and earned ROEs in the 9% to 10% range.
  • $1.2 billion of incremental Exelon investment recommended in the recent PJM reliability window, including a jointly developed solution with NextEra, on the heels of other large-scale awards including Brandon Shores, Tri County, and the MISO Tranche 2.1 project.
  • Maintained top quartile reliability metrics, ranked 1, 2, 4, and 7 amongst peers based on 2024 benchmarking, and delivered top quartile reliability for over a decade.

Risks & pressure points

  • CFO cited increasing financing costs as a factor tempering the guidance range.
  • Maryland 'lessons learned' process remains pending with no firm timeline, though Exelon expects it to occur in 2026; BGE rates expire in 2027 with a BGE rate filing expected in the first half of 2026.
  • CAMT resolution is hoped for in the near term but is not yet finalized.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Looking ahead, we now expect to invest $41.3 billion of capital to support our customers, with more than 70% of the plan-over-plan increase driven by transmission, where we continue to have a unique opportunity and significant momentum.” Speaker 2, CEO
“For 2026, we are initiating operating earnings guidance of $2.81 to $2.91 per share. Our continued progress is clearly demonstrated by the scorecard on slide five, where we have once again met or exceeded every goal we set at the start of the year.” Speaker 2, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 12, 2026.

Metric Guided
Adjusted Operating EPS
2026
$2.81 – $2.91
Adjusted Operating EPS*
2025E
$2.64 – $2.74
Adjusted Operating EPS* CAGR
2025-2029
5% – 7%
Adjusted Operating Earnings* CAGR
2025-2029
5% – 7%
Dividend per share
2026E
$1.68
Dividend Growth
2025–2029
5%
Credit metrics
2026-2029
14%
Adjusted O&M
2024-2026E
0.8%
Adjusted O&M
2029E
$4,675
Capital investment
2026-2029E
$41
Rate base growth
2026-2029
7.9%
Capex
2026
$9
Rate base
2029E
$88
Transmission opportunity beyond the plan
beyond the plan
$12 – $17
PJM RTEP investment
Window #1
$1
Consolidated operating ROE
2026
9% – 10%
Transmission opportunity
2030 and beyond
$12 – $17
Annual dividend growth
2025-2029
5%
Capital expenditure plan
2026-2029
$41.3B
Consolidated operating ROE
2026
9% – 10%
Rate base growth
2025-2029
7.9%
Capital being invested
2026-2029
$41.3B
Capital being invested (PECO)
2026-2029
$9.3B
Projected rate base growth
2025-2029
7.9%
Capital being invested (ComEd)
2026-2029
$15B
Capital being invested (Pepco Holdings Consolidated)
2026-2029
$8.7B
Capital being invested (ACE)
2026-2029
$2B
Capital being invested (BGE)
2026-2029
$8.3B
Capital being invested (DPL)
2026-2029
$2.8B
Equity issuance
2026-2029
$3.4B
Capital being invested (Pepco)
2026-2029
$3.9B
Equity issuance per year
per year through 2029
$850M
Corporate debt issuances
2026-2029
$3B

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Annualized earnings growth
through 2029
5% – 7%
Rate-based growth
through 2029
8%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.42
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