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IMO · Imperial Oil Ltd

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$128.62 -3.32 (-2.52%) At close · Sep 4
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$62.20B
Shares
483.59M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

IMO Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 20,094,826 IMO shares sold short as of the August 14, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 131,138 shares. Days to cover was 45.63 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

IMO Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 20,337,100 shares sold short for the August 31, 2026 settlement, +1.2% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 18,703,020 to 21,602,201 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through August 31, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected September 10, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Aug 31 short interest

as of Aug 31 Medium confidence 64% chance it falls
20,337,100 +1.2% vs reported
Likely range 18,703,020 to 21,602,201 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Sep 10. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
69/100
Short interest 4.2% of shares — P68 Days to cover 45.6 — P98 Price vs VWAP +3.5% — P67 Short-volume trend +4.7% — P68 Short interest change +0.7% — P57 Worst FTD 0.00% of shares — P32

Positioning score 69.1 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-08-14). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-09-06 08:17 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-09-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Sep 24
    		 — — — —
    2026-08-31 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Sep 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-08-14 20,094,826 19,963,688 +131,138 45.63
    2026-07-31 19,963,688 20,199,258 -235,570 39.00
    2026-07-15 20,199,258 16,789,087 +3,410,171 37.14
    2026-06-30 16,789,087 16,199,716 +589,371 29.09
    2026-06-15 16,199,716 16,470,866 -271,150 26.81
    2026-05-29 16,470,866 16,272,209 +198,657 24.79
    2026-05-15 16,272,209 15,833,507 +438,702 29.61
    2026-04-30 15,833,507 15,417,668 +415,839 31.42
    2026-04-15 15,417,668 14,887,581 +530,087 25.58
    2026-03-31 14,887,581 18,630,640 -3,743,059 17.13
    2026-03-13 18,630,640 19,690,109 -1,059,469 16.95
    2026-02-27 19,690,109 18,636,109 +1,054,000 31.66
    2026-02-13 18,636,109 17,741,358 +894,751 26.15
    2026-01-30 17,741,358 18,259,186 -517,828 26.68
    2026-01-15 18,259,186 18,393,969 -134,783 19.70
    2025-12-31 18,393,969 19,776,429 -1,382,460 38.74
    2025-12-15 19,776,429 19,833,754 -57,325 34.65
    2025-11-28 19,833,754 17,936,177 +1,897,577 42.19
    2025-11-14 18,091,614 16,656,210 +1,435,404 37.98
    2025-10-31 16,656,210 17,475,716 -819,506 27.79
    2025-10-15 17,475,716 17,296,404 +179,312 50.70
    2025-09-30 17,296,404 18,094,681 -798,277 44.49
    2025-09-15 18,094,681 17,573,191 +521,490 42.32

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 49938 CUSIP 453038408 13F (30d) 239 filings 237 filers Visit website