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NFG · National Fuel Gas Co

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$81.92 +0.41 (+0.50%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$7.79B
Shares
95.05M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2026 Q1

National Fuel Gas Co Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

National Fuel Gas Co Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call

Concluded Jan 29, 2026 Audio replay
Jan 29, 2026 44:12 47 turns
Period
FY2026 Q1
Runtime
44:12
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

National Fuel Gas reported Q1 fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.06, in line with expectations, with adjusted EBITDA up 29% year-over-year on higher production and natural gas prices. The company reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $7.60 to $8.10 ($7.85 midpoint) and is progressing on the CenterPoint Ohio LDC acquisition and pipeline expansion projects.

Seneca Resources upstream operations 39 Natural gas demand outlook 27 CenterPoint Ohio LDC acquisition 22 Utility rate cases 22 Policy and regulatory environment 12 Takeaway capacity and infrastructure constraints 11

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +72 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “we're really excited about this transaction and the value creation opportunity it offers”
  • “we are very well positioned to help develop the resource and build the infrastructure needed to serve the growing demand for natural gas”
  • “the outlook for natural gas is as strong as it's ever been with demand at all-time highs”
  • “the potential for really big greenfield pipe is still pretty challenged”

Forward guidance

2 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue $651.51M +18.6% YoY
Diluted EPS $1.98 +304.1% YoY
Net income $181.65M +303.8% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Adjusted EPS of $2.06 in Q1, in line with expectations and keeping full-year guidance on track
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 29% year-over-year on higher production and natural gas prices
  • Reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $7.60 to $8.10 ($7.85 midpoint)
  • Capital efficiency on track for a 30% gain since 2023, described as far outpacing peers
  • Upper Utica delineation has essentially doubled core Tioga inventory estimate
  • Tioga Pathway project received notice to proceed from FERC; Shippingport Lateral Project received all required permits, on track for late calendar 2026 in-service

Risks & pressure points

  • Q1 results only 'in line' with expectations rather than an explicit beat
  • Pennsylvania rate case, if approved, would raise customer bills by about 11%
  • Supply Corporation plans to file a rate case later this year to recover costs from modernization and general expense inflation over the past 2 years
  • CenterPoint Ohio LDC acquisition closing in Q4 calendar 2026 carries earlier dilution and incremental interest expense, plus transaction and integration readiness costs
  • Risk factor: litigation and policy risks in New York, including the All-electric Buildings Act (delayed but pending court resolution)
  • Risk factor: general cost inflation pressures on regulated businesses since the last rate increase

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“Fiscal '26 adjusted EPS is projected to grow 14% over last year, and the setup for 2027 is for even more growth across the organization. Our balance sheet remains strong, which provides flexibility to capitalize on further growth opportunities that may arise.” Timothy Silverstein, CFO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Jan 29, 2026.

Metric Guided
Consolidated Effective Tax Rate table
Updated FY 2026 Guidance
25.5%

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Adjusted EPS
full year
$7.60 – $8.10

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.54
Full-screen source Call document