REFI · Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. · Short Interest
3 customers — 23.2% of revenue (six months ended June 30, 2026)
“As of and for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, the top three borrowers represented approximately 23.2% and 26.0% of the total interest income, respectively.”
3 customers — 26% of revenue (six months ended June 30, 2025)
“As of and for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, the top three borrowers represented approximately 23.2% and 26.0% of the total interest income, respectively.”
3 customers — 31.5% of receivables (June 30, 2026)
“Our total loan portfolio as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, was concentrated with the top three borrowers representing approximately 31.5% and 25.6% of principal outstanding, respectively.”
One customer — 11.8% of receivables (June 30, 2026)
“The largest loan represented approximately 11.8% and 11.1% of principal outstanding as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively.”
3 customers — 25.6% of receivables (December 31, 2025)
“Our total loan portfolio as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, was concentrated with the top three borrowers representing approximately 31.5% and 25.6% of principal outstanding, respectively.”
One customer — 11.1% of receivables (December 31, 2025)
“The largest loan represented approximately 11.8% and 11.1% of principal outstanding as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively.”
Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.
REFI Latest Reported Short Interest
FINRA reported 1,376,806 REFI shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 75,862 shares. Days to cover was 8.00 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.
Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing
REFI Short Interest Forecast
Equibles' model estimates 1,515,283 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, +10.1% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 1,298,977 to 1,785,104 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.
Expected Sep 30 short interest
as of Sep 30 High confidence 75% chance it risesPositioning score 63.8 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.
Method and coverage limits
Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.
Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.
The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.
Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity
Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.
Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.
Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.
Assessment prepared 2026-10-04 22:53 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.
Short Interest History
| Settlement Date | Current Position | Previous Position | Change | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2026-10-15
Scheduled
FINRA publishes Oct 26
|
— | — | — | — |
|
2026-09-30
Scheduled
FINRA publishes Oct 9
|
— | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | 1,376,806 | 1,300,944 | +75,862 | 8.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | 1,300,944 | 1,191,559 | +109,385 | 8.06 |
| 2026-08-14 | 1,191,559 | 1,145,743 | +45,816 | 6.49 |
| 2026-07-31 | 1,145,743 | 1,117,876 | +27,867 | 7.68 |
| 2026-07-15 | 1,117,876 | 1,246,032 | -128,156 | 7.38 |
| 2026-06-30 | 1,246,032 | 972,372 | +273,660 | 4.52 |
| 2026-06-15 | 972,372 | 1,021,752 | -49,380 | 10.22 |
| 2026-05-29 | 1,021,752 | 940,419 | +81,333 | 8.36 |
| 2026-05-15 | 940,419 | 909,608 | +30,811 | 5.41 |
| 2026-04-30 | 909,608 | 1,080,544 | -170,936 | 6.30 |
| 2026-04-15 | 1,080,544 | 1,169,415 | -88,871 | 7.52 |
| 2026-03-31 | 1,169,415 | 605,053 | +564,362 | 4.36 |
| 2026-03-13 | 605,053 | 518,776 | +86,277 | 5.40 |
| 2026-02-27 | 518,776 | 487,085 | +31,691 | 4.52 |
| 2026-02-13 | 487,085 | 476,085 | +11,000 | 3.15 |
| 2026-01-30 | 476,085 | 477,861 | -1,776 | 4.59 |
| 2026-01-15 | 477,861 | 680,117 | -202,256 | 3.68 |
| 2025-12-31 | 680,117 | 511,908 | +168,209 | 3.59 |
| 2025-12-15 | 511,908 | 592,115 | -80,207 | 4.35 |
| 2025-11-28 | 592,115 | 637,960 | -45,845 | 5.68 |
| 2025-11-14 | 637,960 | 643,592 | -5,632 | 6.48 |
| 2025-10-31 | 643,592 | 612,412 | +31,180 | 6.09 |
| 2025-10-15 | 612,412 | 721,988 | -109,576 | 3.53 |
Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar