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ALKT · Alkami Technology, Inc.
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Earnings call · FY2026 Q3

Alkami Technology, Inc. (ALKT) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Oct 28, 2026 Audio replay
Oct 28, 2026 49:45 55 turns
Period
FY2026 Q3
Runtime
49:45
Sources
5 artifacts
Revenue $134.91M +19.4% YoY
Diluted EPS -$0.06
Gross margin 57.5% +0.7 pp YoY
Net income -$6.75M
Open full screen Slides 22 8-K 10-Q

Transcript & audio

49:45 Audio
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Alchemy Technology third quarter 2026 financial results conference call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Steve Koch. Steve, you may begin.

Steve Calk Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. With me on today's call are Alex Schutman, Chief Executive Officer and Cassandra Hudson, Chief Financial Officer. During today's call, we may make forward-looking statements about guidance and other matters regarding our future performance. These statements are based on management's current views and expectations and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may be materially different. For a summary of risk factors, please refer to today's press release in the sections in our latest 10K entitled Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statements. Statements made during the call are being made as of today, and We undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. Also, unless otherwise stated, financial measures discussed on this call will be on a non-GAAP basis. We believe these measures are useful to investors in the understanding of our financial results. A reconciliation of the comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our earnings press release and in our filings with the SEC. I'd now like to turn the call over to Alex.

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. In the third quarter, Alchemy again delivered revenue growth and profitability ahead of our expectations. Our end market continues to invest in modernization, which gives us a consistent pipeline of opportunity. And the journey our market has taken from the chat GPT moment at the end of 2022 to Opus 4.6 in February supports our DSSP strategy and creates new product possibilities. I'll come back to that later in the call. In the third quarter, we signed five new digital banking relationships, three banks and two credit unions. Two of the five also contracted for DSSP are digital banking, account opening, and data and marketing products together. This brings our year-to-date total to 16 digital banking new logos compared with an average of 21 through the third quarter since becoming a public company. Our digital banking pipeline is consistent with historical norms. However, we believe speculation about Alchemy's future ownership created uncertainty for customers and prospects and has been an overhang on our new logo business. Providing clarity to our end market was an important reason we We publicly communicated the conclusion of our strategic review in September. The result of that review was a unanimous decision by the Alchemy Board that executing our long-range plan as an independent public company was the best path to maximize shareholder value. With this behind us, we believe that business has the potential to return to its normal cadence. Along with the Digital Banking new logos, we signed 14 new Mantle clients, five additional clients contracted for DSSP, bringing the number of clients contracted for all three DSSP products to 60. We also now have 544 unique clients contracted for Digital Banking or Mantle, including 86 contracted for both platforms. Core conversions are an example of the high-impact work we deliver. A core conversion is when an existing client switches their core banking system. We completed seven this year, a record, including six of our largest clients representing more than 3.5 million digital users. Next year, we will nearly double that. In Q3, we brought 10 digital banking clients and 26 mental clients live, and over the last 12 months, we added 2.8 million users to our digital banking platform. Last week, we launched four digital banking clients in a single day, a record for Alchemy. Five more follow, which will be nine launches in 12 business days. From 2020 through the end of Q3 this year, we've brought 229 financial institutions onto our digital banking platform, along with their 8.4 million account holders. I'm proud of our ability to execute critical client projects. When the real competitor is staying on a legacy platform, what changes an institution's mind is confidence that the migration will work. I'm hearing much more clarity from our clients about where AI matters to them. People will still save, spend, borrow, move money, and open accounts. Those jobs have been the same for 100 years. What changes is who does them. Today, the account holder navigates menus and completes each task. In the AI era, they'll describe a goal in plain language, and the software will work out the steps and ask for permission to act. That shift shows up in two places, and we're building for both. The first is inside the institution's own app. Alongside the digital banking experience more than 24 million users rely on today, we're building an agentic conversational experience. It will spot a cash shortfall before a bill is due, suggest a safe amount to move into a CD, or line up a card pay These experiences need all three parts of DSSP. The agent reasons over the data and acts inside digital banking. Opening the account or originating the loan depends upon the institution's policy and where they want it, a human approval. The second is outside the app, because many account holders will also use general purpose AI assistance. I think those assistance will be excellent at conversation and limited at banking. To move money, open an account, or approve a loan, an agent needs government access, identity, entitlements, limits, approvals, and the systems of record underneath all of it. Alchemy runs that layer. We're building connectors into the leading AI assistants so that our clients' account holders can bank through whichever one they use. All of this comes back to control. Our clients want to decide which agents are allowed in, what those agents can do, and where a person has to sign off. Across more than 300 live clients, I hear the full range. Some want read-only access and nothing more. Others see agentic action with controls as the thing that lets them compete with a megabank. Even the enthusiasts move in stages. Assist first, then recommend, then prepare an action for someone to approve. Acting inside rules they set will come last. Here is why I think Alchemy is positioned for this. We run a single code-based multi-tenant SaaS platform. Every institution on it configures roughly 4,000 policy settings of its own across approximately 25 systems of record that are integrated into Alchemy. We built that so our clients could each run their own bank on shared infrastructure. It's also what an agent needs, one place to ask, one set of permissions to respect, and a record of every action taken. We're doing this now. There are three agents in Beta Insider Onboarding and Account Opening Platform built for the people who run the institution. A KYC agent summarizes a manual review and recommends a disposition against the institution's own policy. A document review agent reads borrower documents, flags mismatches with the application, and coaches the applicant on what to upload. And an MCP server lets a financial institution ask a question from an AI assistant and get an answer grounded in their own application and account data. The main conversation we are having with all of our clients is that every generation's front door to the bank has changed. It was a branch. It became a drive-thru. Then an ATM, the internet, and mobile devices. The next generation's front door will be an agent, and it will interact with digital banking the way the internet and mobile do today. Beyond deciding how agents interact with their customers, our clients share two other priorities. The first is their own transformation through the application of AI technology. As I mentioned on our last call, we built an internal platform in daily use by more than 100 people across our company. It understands roles and skills, protects sensitive data, carries company context, works across teams, and optimizes across models. In our target market, financial institutions average fewer than 200 employees. We're already running our internal platform inside a company several times their size, and some are asking if they can use ours as their AI-powered enterprise workspace. The second is new agentic applications. With SaaS, we build apps on rented infrastructure. With AI, we build apps on models. Our clients don't just want a helper agent stitched to our SaaS application. They want an AI app built on a foundation model that solves a problem SaaS applications can't solve. An example is the combination of data analysis and workflow optimization necessary to fight fraud. Roughly 10% of our revenue today comes from AI products already in our portfolio, including fraud management. So this is an extension of something that already works. Both client priorities will shape where we invest in 2027, which we will discuss on our Q4 call early next year. In closing, since our founding 17 years ago, Alchemy has proven itself as an industry innovator while driving sustainable growth and expanding profitability. Our next chapter builds on that foundation as we become the technology partner of choice for regional and community financial institutions. I'll now hand the call to Cassandra to discuss our financial results.

Thank you, Alex. For the third quarter, we outperformed our guidance across revenue and adjusted EBITDA, enabling us to raise full-year targets for both metrics. Our recurring revenue model continues to drive compounding expansion throughout our customer portfolio, translating into strong margin progression while continuing to invest strategically to support durable shareholder value creation. I'll start with our outlook. For the fourth quarter of 2026, we expect revenue of $139.7 million to $141.2 million, representing growth of 15.6 to 16.9 percent, and adjusted EBITDA of $30 million to $31 million, or a $21.7 margin at the midpoint. Our fourth quarter guidance reflects the timing of one-time revenue that benefited the third quarter and will not recur in the fourth. It also reflects slightly higher third-party costs based on the mix we saw in Q3. Those items are why our Q4 outlook is slightly below where some of you may have modeled it. They don't change our view of the year, which is why we are raising our full-year outlook. For the full year, we now expect revenue of $530.5 million to $532 million, representing growth of 19.6% to 19.9%, adjusted EBITDA of $98 million to $99 million, or an 18.5% margin at the midpoint, and stock-based compensation of less than 14% of revenue. Our revenue outlook reflects a heavier fourth-quarter launch schedule, continued cross-sell momentum, and mid-single-digit ARPU growth. For the year, we continue to expect over 500 basis points of margin expansion, driven by operating leverage and cost discipline, while we continue to invest in product innovation and AI. Alex's remarks on our future reinforce our path to Rule 45 by 2030, which assumes gross margin approaching 70%, roughly 300 basis points of annual adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and stock-based compensation falling below 10% of revenue. We will provide our full 2027 outlook with our fourth quarter results. We are sharpening our focus on profitability, and we expect that focus to drive Margin expansion in 2027. AI is also changing how we build products, support our platform, and serve our customers. We expect those efficiencies to show up across our cost structure in 2027. Our 2027 plan will be built on the momentum we see today. 19% live ARR growth this quarter, a backlog of approximately $56 million of ARR that we expect to mostly go live over the next 12 months, and continued ARPU growth driven by strong cross-sell and sustained interest in our DSSP offer. Now turning to third quarter results. Revenue was $134.9 million, up 19% year-over-year, and above the high end of our guidance. Subscription revenue grew 20% and represented 96% of total revenue. Our year-over-year growth was primarily driven by new customers going live and expansion within existing customers. Growth also benefited from an easier prior-year comparison and from higher third-party and core conversion revenue than expected. We increased live ARR by 19% to $533 million. Our $56 million ARR backlog represents 31 new clients and roughly 1 million digital users, and the majority is expected to go live over the next 12 months. As Alex noted, the strategic review created some uncertainty for customers and prospects this year. With the review concluded, our teams are fully focused on winning new business and executing for our clients. Our strategy is increasingly centered on expanding value per client, and our results reflect continued progress. In the third quarter, average ARR per client reached approximately 1.7 million, and we now have 56 clients at or above 2 million in ARR, up from 18 at the end of 2021. This illustrates the central premise of our long-term model. As megabanks and fintechs continue to innovate, our clients adopt more of the platform. We continue to see strong momentum with DSSP, which makes our clients more competitive and drives higher quality, long-term revenue for Alchemy. We exited the quarter with 323 live digital banking clients and 24.4 million registered users, an increase of 2.8 million users, or 13% year-over-year. Over the past 12 months, we implemented 36 clients supporting 1.4 million digital users, and existing clients increased their digital adoption by 1.5 million users. Digital user growth has been higher than we expected this year, and our clients continue to grow faster than the overall market. This is a testament to how our product helps our clients grow. Our digital banking contracts provide strong visibility into attrition, typically several quarters in advance. Over the In the past three years, we have churned less than 1% of our digital banking ARR annually, usually resulting from a client merger. ARPU increased to $21.88, up 5% year-over-year. Growth was driven primarily by cross-sell execution, increased user adoption among existing clients, and the increase in live banks, which tend to onboard at higher ARPUs, given the commercial-to-retail mix. Remaining performance obligations were approximately $1.7 billion, or 3.2 times live ARR, providing strong visibility into long-term revenue. Third quarter gross margin was 63.1%, below our expectations, and driven primarily by higher third-party product costs. Our cost of revenue includes third-party product costs, which fluctuate with product mix, hosting costs to run our platform, and the cost to implement and serve our customers. Roughly a third of our revenue is third-party products that are fully integrated into the Alchemy platform, so gross margin can move with mix. We remain committed to expanding gross margin as we scale and improve the efficiency of hosting, implementation, and client support. We expect AI to contribute to those improvements over time, with the benefits building gradually. Third quarter operating expenses were $59.4 million, or 44% of revenue, representing approximately 600 basis points of year-over-year improvement. That improvement was driven by personnel cost efficiencies as we achieved new levels of scale, and it was realized across all areas of operating expense. Adjusted EBITDA was $26.3 million, above the high end of our expectations, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.5% and an expansion of over 530 basis points year-over-year. Revenue grew faster than cost of revenue and operating expenses, which drove the expansion. In the third quarter, we generated operating cash flow of nearly $22 million, driven by improved profitability and disciplined working capital management. We ended the quarter with $85 million in cash and marketable securities. We also repurchased $10 million of stock for a total of $20 million through September 30, 2026. We remain committed to a disciplined and balanced approach to capital allocation across acquisitions, debt reduction, and opportunistic share repurchases funded by free cash flow. In closing, our third quarter reflects the strengths of our client base, disciplined execution, and a clear focus on profitability. Our clients' growth is driving ours, and we are building on that momentum as we convert growth into margin and create long-term value for our shareholders. We are excited about what lies ahead. With that, operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press a star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press the star, followed by the number two. With that, your first question comes from the lineup. Chris Kennedy with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Chris Kennedy Analyst — William Blair

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. New sales activity was very stable throughout the year, but Alex, you did mention some uncertainty, kind of pressured new logo wins. Can you just provide a little bit more color on that and the pipeline?

Operator

One moment, please, as we reconnect the speaker line. Ladies and gentlemen, please continue to stand by as we reconnect the speaker line.

Operator

Hi, Chris, would you mind if you could repeat your question?

Chris Kennedy Analyst — William Blair

Sure. Hey, guys, thanks for taking the question. New sales activity was pretty stable throughout the year, but you did mention kind of strategic uncertainty did pressure new logo wins. Can you just give a little bit more clarity as to that comment and talk about the pipeline?

Sure. This is Alex. Thanks for the question. As I mentioned in my opening comments, our pipeline remains consistent with other years. If you think about a customer decision when they are looking to switch off of a legacy digital banking platform onto a new digital banking platform, they're signing a five- to seven-year contract for what you could argue is the most strategic system that they have. And if they're looking at multiple options, and one of the options, the company within the market, there has been, you know, a for sale sign put around its neck, and a lack of clarity in terms of the company's future. It's a very reasonable thing for a bank or credit union CEO to make another selection that doesn't have as much risk for them as the perceived risk that they would have making a selection in a company that they don't know the future ownership of that company. I know this, Chris, because this is conversations that I had with CEOs while they were making decisions, and it was, you know, it was unfortunate.

Chris Kennedy Analyst — William Blair

Understood. Okay, thank you for that. And then, Cassandra, you did mention, you know, ARR growth, the backlog, continued ARPU growth. Is there any way to kind of bracket potential revenue growth as we think about 2027? Thanks for taking the questions.

Yeah, no problem. You know, thanks for the question, Chris. I'm not ready to guide for 2027 just yet, you know, but we, you know, we do feel that our plan will be based on the trends that, you know, we're talking about on this call today. You know, we have 19% growth in ARR this quarter, which was really strong. We have about 56 million in backlog that will likely go live over the next 12 months. And we're still driving really good ARPU growth. So kind of the underlying and fundamental drivers of our business will hold in 2027. And that's our expectation today. And we look forward to updating you further on next quarter's call with our 27 guidance.

Operator

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Aaron Kimson with Citizens. Please go ahead.

Aaron Kimson Analyst — Citizens

Great. Thank you, guys. It seems like there was some management turnover in 3Q. Your CTO, Deep, appears to have left and had his role rolled into the chief product officer's role. Chief accounting officer left, the chief customer officer for Mantle segment, and ACH Alert, who came over in the Mantle acquisition, left in the first week of October. The question I'm getting from investors is whether this is having any effect on the day-to-day of the business. I'd love any perspective you can offer there.

Yeah, all three of those are very unrelated. With the situation, Deep was a great hire for Alchemy and made a massive contribution to the company. Anthony, if you're the CTO of a digital banking platform with 24 million users, you are an emergency room doctor 24 by 7. And that was just a situation with Deep where he wanted to make a personal decision. There's two different organization models, one where you've got a CPO and a CTO, and one where you combine them. What I decided to do is combine those two organizations so that we could be more fully aligned in terms of customer delivery. So that was an organizational design decision. But these are – we've got a bunch of talented executives, and we've got a good bench when somebody like Deeps leaves, and I'm excited about Ben taking over the combination of the two.

Aaron Kimson Analyst — Citizens

That's helpful. And then as a follow-up, can you talk about progress you've made with the features and functionality around your treasury management solutions and how close you are to getting that where you need to be to compete more effectively with larger banks?

Yeah, thank you for that question. Just to kind of recap, in the middle of 2024, we benchmarked our treasury management software against what we consider to be the two or three leading contenders if a community bank in our ICP was making a decision to buy digital banking. And at that time, we determined that there were somewhere between 24 and 28 features that we wanted to build. Once again, those were not necessarily a new feature. It was a level of sophistication on a particular feature that would be necessary. For example, householding and how a community bank did their householding. We built those features with our customers. So we had a group of customers that actually sat through and reviewed every single sprint cycle to make sure that we were building them well. And the majority of those, I think with the exception of maybe six, went into customer usage through the third quarter, and we've got another six, I think, that are in beta right now. But by the end of the year, we should be largely complete with what we consider to be the feature set that allowed us to be able to be selected and have a happy customer within our ICP, which is community banks somewhere between $500 million and $10 billion in assets.

Operator

Awesome. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Jacob Stephen with Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jacob Stephen Analyst — Lake Street Capital Markets

Hey, guys. Appreciate you taking the questions. Cassandra, just wanted to touch on the Q4 adjusted EBITDA guide a little bit. I know you talked about some third-party costs, you know, pressuring gross margins a little bit, but maybe, you know, help us understand a little bit more in detail what those third-party costs are, and do you expect them to kind of continue over the next couple quarters?

Sure. I mean, those costs are related to about 35 different products that we fully integrate into the Alchemy platform and sell to our customers. And from time to time, we can see mixed shifts that happen that move the margin a little bit. And, you know, that did happen in Q3, and, you know, I've forecasted that to continue in Q4. You know, in addition to that, you know, I would just call out that we did have some one-time revenue that I had expected in Q4 that actually ended up coming in Q3. So there was a little bit of shift that way. So just a little bit of timing, but on the whole, feel really good about the year, which is why we raised our guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. And on the timing of revenue, you know, some of that is related to core conversions. And we've done a high number of those this year. And they've gone very well, which has been great. But the timing of which can be somewhat difficult to predict. So that's what drove the shift between the quarters. And that also had an impact on adjusted EBITDA.

Jacob Stephen Analyst — Lake Street Capital Markets

Okay, got it. Maybe just on capital allocation, you know, as we eclipse the review period here, I guess, how are you kind of thinking about buyback pace versus, you know, delevering or if M&A is even part of that equation right now?

I would describe our posture on M&A as opportunistic. Our net leverage ratios are coming down, but we're still focused on fully integrating the mantle business and making that a very successful part of our DSSP, so we don't want to distract from that strategy. In terms of share buybacks, you know, it really is opportunistic, you know, when the share price is attractive, and it will be funded by excess cash flow. So, you know, we do intend to use our authorization, and we'll do that when it's prudent.

Operator

Great. Thank you.

Operator

No problem.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Jeff Banry with Craig Hallen. Please go ahead.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

Great, thanks. Thanks for taking the questions. A few for me. I realize you're not going to give a 27 outlook, but you printed a 5% ARPU growth this quarter. I'm curious, as you look into 27, how do you think about factors that might accelerate that, and how do you think about factors that might decelerate it? At least give us some things to think about when we're building a plug for 27.

Sure. I guess in terms of things that would accelerate it, it would really be around our new customers going live. You know, right now we see those customers coming on at a really high ARPU. And, you know, one thing I would just point out is there can be variability quarter and quarter on new customers going live in terms of that ARPU. And just for an example, when we onboarded new customers in Q2, their ARPU was nearly double the new customers that went live in Q3. So there can be some meaningful swings on the new customer side. Growth from existing customers in ARPU is much more steady, right? We just see that steadily tick up quarter on quarter, and that's really driven by our very successful cross-sell motion and expansion of existing customers. Um, so, you know, that is another lever that we have, um, that would continue to, to accelerate or continue to drive growth and potentially accelerate it, um, would be the pace at which our customers adopt new product, um, and our ability to deliver that to them.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

And, and on the inverse, just things that might be a pressure to ARPU?

A pressure to ARPU would be our success in the bank market, which has been going very well. Banks tend to onboard at a much higher ARPU. So if we saw more of a shift to credit unions next year, you could see ARPU growth slow down. Now, I think overall, we'd net-net be fine because they tend to have very similar ARR overall, but it could drive a change in the ARPU growth as a result. And then conversely, on existing customer growth, you know, if we saw the pace of cross-sell and product adoption slow, you know, that would impact our ARPU growth.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

Got it. Got it. And then, Alex, on the prospects taking a pause during the strategic review, can you just revisit that? You know, there have been on again, off again, at a minimum, rumors about possible sales for quite a while. When did you really see the prospects start to delay in a meaningful way? And then on the deals that were affected by it, were those deals pushed or have, in fact, most of them gone ahead, closed, and just gone with another provider?

You know, if you think about a customer's buying cycle, it could be nine to 12 months. The public commentary about Alchemy started in December of last year. I've had many conversations with existing customers and with prospects, and I respect the questions that they're asking. You know, the questions that they're asking are, I'm making a long-term investment. Can you categorically tell me exactly what's going to happen? And you know better than I, as a public company, you know, there's not a lot of commentary that you make, you know, about interest in the company or lack of interest in the company. And so as follow-ups with some of those customers that made a different decision, I talked to them, and they said this weighed heavily on them because they have, look, there's three or four really good companies in this space. Alchemy's got great software. We've got great people. We've got customers that stay with us. Other companies have the same thing. And when faced with making a strategic multi-year decision, like I said, a five to seven-year decision, I can empathize with the customer decision maker, and I can understand the decision that they make when there's a set of uncertainty around the company. That's why it was so important that we issue the press release that we issued. We issued that really for our end market to understand that the board of directors made a unanimous decision that the company should pursue shareholder value as a standalone company. So those have gone away for good, Jeff. And like I said, I spent a lot of time with those decision makers, and I understand why they made the decision, and I respect it.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

Mm-hmm. Yeah, that's helpful. So should we, as I'm thinking ahead in terms of new bookings, then in terms of pipeline, should we expect a quarter or two of continued light new client bookings, just as you weren't maybe putting people into the funnel and working them through? I'm trying to think about how that air gap might present.

Yeah, I think it would be irresponsible for me to forecast a number of new logos. I think our job is to continue to try to sell and give you a solid update after Q4, and that will show whether it's been continued headwinds for us or we're able to compress that. When you think about it, your question has a lot of logic to it because it's basically where are customers in their buying cycle, and are they early enough in their buying cycle that this can change their mind, or are they so late in their buying cycle that they've already decided? So your question has a lot of logic to it. I think it would be irresponsible for me to forecast something right now. We just need to be heads down, close out Q4, and then we can spend time reviewing Q4 and kind of give you a view of the 2027 opportunity set.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

Yep. Okay. Fair enough. Maybe one last quick one for you, Cassandra. On the one-time items in the quarter, can you size the one-time revenue that shifted from one quarter to another, and just what was that related to?

Um, it was about 800,000 or so. Um, and, uh, most of it was tied to core conversion revenue. Um, and these are projects that we do on behalf of our customer when they have to, when they're switching to a new core, we have to do work in our digital banking application to, um, make that work. And, uh, we've had a high number of those this year. Um, and there can be variability into when they actually get completed.

You know, when those core conversion projects, we may go through four or five different mocks because the core, essentially, over the weekend, they're switching out their back-end core, and we have to come up live on Sunday and Monday morning. And so based upon how that testing goes, we'll either extend out the work for the conversion to happen two weeks later, or we'll be doing really well on the conversion, and we'll decide together with the customer to convert two weeks earlier. So, we have a schedule, but because it has to go so right, just like a logo has to go, there is some variability in terms of the date that we actually do the conversion versus the original 4-year-old conversion is going to happen.

Jeff Banry Analyst — Craig Halen

Yeah, yeah. Well, I mean, judging from the go-lives that you outlined in the very recent past here, it sounds like you've really found your rhythm there. So, I'll leave it there. Thanks for answering the questions. Appreciate it.

Operator

All right. Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Ella Smith with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead. Good evening. Thank you so much for taking my questions.

Ella Smith Analyst — J.P. Morgan

So first for Alex, can you please remind us how you were thinking about the database conversion that moved from this year into 2027? Are you expecting any duplicative costs into next year, and does it change your margin expansion targets in any way?

That's still something that we, you know, that we investigate, and we'll make a decision to do that when we feel like it's the right time to do that. You know, this year, we also pushed through, there's a new PCI compliance, PCI 4.0, and we made some significant architectural enhancements to the way that we handle PII data on behalf of our customers. And so that was a thing that we decided that was more important for our customers than doing the database conversion. So right now, I wouldn't forecast you that we are or aren't going to do that conversion in 2027.

Ella Smith Analyst — J.P. Morgan

Very clear. Thank you so much. And for Cassandra, I was hoping to hear your philosophy surrounding buybacks. Are your buybacks meant to offset dilution, or is it purely opportunistic in the market?

Um, you know, I guess, I guess it's both. Yes, we're opportunistic. You know, we're very focused on managing cash flow. You know, we, we obviously have had a good year for cash flow generation, you know, especially as our profitability has really ramped up, which has been great. But we still have less than 100 million of cash. So we have to be mindful of that. But, you know, in addition to it, the nice benefit of buybacks is that it does offset dilution. So, you know, it really is with those two goals in mind. And, yeah, I think that's the answer to your question.

Ella Smith Analyst — J.P. Morgan

Very clear. Thanks so much.

Operator

All right. Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions. Oh, one moment. We do have another question coming from the line of Andrew Schmidt with Quebec Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Andrew Schmidt Analyst — Quebec Capital Markets

Hey, Alex. Hey, Cassandra. Thanks for sneaking me in here. Apologies, I hopped on a little bit late, but maybe if you talk through just the gross margin visibility here, I think there was a question on this, but also about the exit rate. Are we still thinking about the 65% exit rate and, you know, I guess just stability on a go-forward basis? And I know some of this is database costs moving around, some other things, but just, you know, thoughts on gross margin progression going forward. Thank you.

No problem. So, you know, we did have a small impact to our gross margin in Q3 with some of the third-party product mix. We have factored that into our Q4 guide, so expecting that to continue to have a small impact. And, you know, over the long term, we do expect to continue to drive gross margin expansion. For us, we really have three main categories of spend that impact our gross margin. One is our third-party product costs. We know that about a third of our revenue is driven by that line. So, if there is a shift in mix, that can definitely have an impact. And, you know, we largely expect that to be stable. We're not banking on huge improvement from third-party gross margin in order to hit our gross margin targets. The next largest category is our hosting costs that we use to run our platform. And we do expect to get more efficient with that time. And that's an area that we've had a lot of success in becoming efficient over the the past three or four years. And then lastly is around how we support and implement our customers. This is another area that we get more efficient, especially with being able to leverage AI more meaningfully in how we operate those two functions. We do expect that those improvements and efficiencies will show up gradually over time.

Hey, Andrew, this is Alex. Let me give you some insight into our thinking. Let's take hosting costs. We have done a really good job over a number of years of improving our posture from a hosting cost perspective, and we have a good sense of other things that we can do to improve our hosting costs. Those are all engineering activities, right? So we can say, here's a series of things that we can do to improve our hosting cost on the way to the target that Cassandra laid out, which is a long-term model of about 70% gross margin. But in any particular quarter, we're going to make decisions based upon the priority of the business. So as I said earlier on the call, we believed it was more important to make an architectural change in the way that we handle PII data on behalf of our customers than do an engineering project that might further optimize gross margin. So the thinking process of the management team is we've got a view of how we get to the long-term gross margin target. We've got projects that we can do to get there, but we might make a decision in any one quarter to prioritize something that's customer-facing versus something that gets us the next point of gross margin.

Andrew Schmidt Analyst — Quebec Capital Markets

Got it. Very helpful. Thank you both. And then maybe I could just ask about win rates. And I think this was discussed earlier to some extent, but obviously, I think as you noticed, the strategic review does tend to affect those. I'm curious, now that that's concluded, this probably takes time to sort out, but have you seen sort of any changes in terms of pipeline conversion, win rates, things like that? I'm just curious how more recent conversations progressing as we move past this strategic review, understanding it's still a little bit early. Thank you.

Yeah, I would tell you a bright spot for us is our win rate improvement in the bank market. So we set some targets for the first three quarters of the year in terms of our win rate, and we've hit those targets in the bank market. So we're very excited about the progress that we've made in the bank market. And as I said on earlier comments, I understand the decision that customers made. And I think that starts to change with some of the uncertainty getting behind us. But certainly, win rates in the bank market were a bright spot for us.

Andrew Schmidt Analyst — Quebec Capital Markets

Got it. Thank you for that. If I could just ask one last product-related question, obviously fraud, cyber, hot topic in everyone's minds. You have the ACH Alert product, which is helpful, but if you talk about maybe just any ambitions to sort of build beyond that, you're in a good position to bring those products, whether it's through your own products, through partners, but just curious how you're thinking about sort of the fraud. Thank you.

Yeah, thanks. Actually, I was at a customer's site yesterday, and I'll just share the conversation that we had with them, and these were in some of my prepared remarks. What our market is looking for is an AI product that solves a problem that, because it's built on a foundation model, that a SaaS product couldn't solve. And one of the big challenges for our customers when they're managing fraud is the fact that the combination of the analytics to figure out what the threat vector is, and then there's usually about four to five different functions in the company that are trying to sort out what their role is in addressing this particular fraud vector. And so if you think about the combination of a high degree of analytics over a pretty big surface area of data along with dynamic workflow, that is the kind of thing that building an AI application on top of a model solves very differently than how we would build a SaaS application in the past. So that's an area that's a high degree of interest to us. It's a high degree of interest to customers. And so, Andrew, that would be the kind of thing that we'd be doing research with six, you know, build customers to understand if we can truly solve the problem, which is the combination of data analytics and dynamic workflow management.

Operator

Understood. Thank you, Alex. Appreciate all the comments.

Operator

And thank you. We have no further questions at this time. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Analyst Q&A · 6 questions
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