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Equibles

BHP · BHP Group Ltd · Short Interest

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$81.49 -1.73 (-2.08%)
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$210.26B
Shares
2.54B
Volume · Oct 20 1.43M Avg daily vol (3M) 2.62M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

BHP Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 20,996,270 BHP shares sold short as of the September 30, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 3,739,581 shares. Days to cover was 7.44 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

BHP Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 21,515,947 shares sold short for the October 15, 2026 settlement, +2.5% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 19,168,141 to 23,854,226 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through October 15, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 26, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Oct 15 short interest

as of Oct 15 Low confidence 55% chance it falls
21,515,947 +2.5% vs reported
Likely range 19,168,141 to 23,854,226 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 26. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
54/100
Short interest 0.8% of shares — P38 Days to cover 7.4 — P85 Price vs VWAP -5.2% — P55 Short-volume trend -3.2% — P39 Short interest change +21.7% — P83 Worst FTD 0.00% of shares — P38

Positioning score 54.5 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-30). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

No listed expiration after today falls within the next 30 calendar days.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-20 16:19 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 20,996,270 17,256,689 +3,739,581 7.44
    2026-09-15 17,256,689 18,469,769 -1,213,080 7.25
    2026-08-31 18,469,769 18,502,132 -32,363 6.31
    2026-08-14 18,502,132 19,356,177 -854,045 7.34
    2026-07-31 19,356,177 15,686,869 +3,669,308 8.05
    2026-07-15 15,686,869 18,102,611 -2,415,742 6.39
    2026-06-30 18,102,611 17,463,286 +639,325 6.17
    2026-06-15 17,463,286 15,495,421 +1,967,865 5.47
    2026-05-29 15,495,421 15,488,337 +7,084 6.44
    2026-05-15 15,488,337 15,752,472 -264,135 6.05
    2026-04-30 15,752,472 14,598,097 +1,154,375 6.66
    2026-04-15 14,598,097 15,180,175 -582,078 5.63
    2026-03-31 15,180,175 16,373,637 -1,193,462 3.94
    2026-03-13 16,373,637 15,089,550 +1,284,087 3.64
    2026-02-27 15,089,550 18,023,857 -2,934,307 3.49
    2026-02-13 18,023,857 18,036,517 -12,660 3.87
    2026-01-30 18,036,517 16,636,342 +1,400,175 3.58
    2026-01-15 16,636,342 15,053,137 +1,583,205 4.11
    2025-12-31 15,053,137 15,139,267 -86,130 5.72
    2025-12-15 15,139,267 14,174,425 +964,842 4.73
    2025-11-28 14,174,425 17,633,372 -3,458,947 5.26
    2025-11-14 17,633,372 16,630,748 +1,002,624 6.49
    2025-10-31 16,630,748 14,764,447 +1,866,301 5.29

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 811809 CUSIP 088606108 13F (30d) 162 filings 146 filers Visit website Investor relations