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CHRD · Chord Energy Corp

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$137.32 +2.87 (+2.13%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$7.51B
Shares
54.70M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Chord Energy Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Chord Energy Corp Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 26, 2026 Audio replay Verified speakers
Feb 26, 2026 40:21 68 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
40:21
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Chord Energy reported Q4 2025 results with oil volumes at the high end of guidance and capital below expectations, generating $175M of adjusted free cash flow. The company issued 2026 guidance of 157,000–161,000 Boe/d at $1.4B capital and ~$700M free cash flow at $64/bbl oil and $3.75/MMBtu gas.

Midstream, marketing and water disposal 32 Long lateral development and inventory 29 Free cash flow generation 13 Infill drilling and alternative shaped wells 12 Operational execution and capital efficiency 10 Shareholder returns and capital allocation 9

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +78 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “2025 oil volumes exceeded original guidance by more than 1,000 barrels per day, while capital came in approximately $60,000,000 lower.”
  • “adjusted free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $175,000,000, substantially exceeding expectations, and we returned approximately 50% of this amount to shareholders”
  • “we expect to generate approximately $700,000,000 of free cash flow in 2026”
  • “we have a compelling history of disciplined capital allocation, consistent execution, and high shareholder returns”

Forward guidance

16 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $1.17B -19.6% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $84.42M -59.9% YoY

Research materials

Open the source you need; every reader stays inside this workspace.

Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • 2025 oil volumes exceeded original guidance by more than 1,000 bpd while capital came in approximately $60M below expectations
  • Q4 adjusted free cash flow of $175M substantially exceeded expectations, with ~50% returned to shareholders
  • Generated ~$160M of run-rate free cash flow improvement in 2025 from controllable items, representing 23% of estimated 2026 free cash flow
  • Since 2021, returned $6.7B of capital to shareholders, higher than current market cap
  • Successfully TIL'd seven 4-mile wells in 2025 with three after 3Q25; ~40% of 2026 TILs planned as 4-mile laterals
  • FY25 LOE of $9.73/Boe came in below initial expectations; weighted average inventory breakeven lowered >10% year-over-year

Risks & pressure points

  • Severe weather in North Dakota to begin 2026, though plan remains in line with November outlook
  • 2026 is a low to no oil growth program at 157,000–161,000 Boe/d versus prior-year production
  • 2026 free cash flow guidance of ~$700M assumes benchmark prices of just $64/bbl oil and $3.75/MMBtu gas, exposing results to commodity weakness
  • Four-mile lateral reserves impact not yet fully captured in 2025 reserves; potential upside from longer laterals/infill drilling has not been quantified

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“At benchmark prices of $64 per barrel of oil and $3.75 per MMBtu of natural gas, we expect to generate approximately $700,000,000 of free cash flow in 2026.” Danny Brown, CEO

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 25, 2026.

Metric Guided
NGL Realization (% of WTI) table
1Q26 Guidance
5% – 15%
NGL Realization (% of WTI) table
FY26 Guidance
5% – 15%
Natural Gas Realization (% of Henry Hub) table
1Q26 Guidance
50% – 60%
LOE ($/Boe) table
1Q26 Guidance
$9 – $10
Natural Gas Realization (% of Henry Hub) table
FY26 Guidance
35% – 45%
LOE ($/Boe) table
FY26 Guidance
$9 – $10
Cash GPT ($/Boe) table
1Q26 Guidance
$3 – $3
Cash GPT ($/Boe) table
FY26 Guidance
$3 – $3
Production Taxes (% of Oil, NGL and Natural Gas Sales) table
1Q26 Guidance
7.5% – 7.9%
Production Taxes (% of Oil, NGL and Natural Gas Sales) table
FY26 Guidance
7.7% – 8.1%
Cash Tax (% of Adjusted EBITDA) table
1Q26 Guidance
0% – 3%
Cash Tax (% of Adjusted EBITDA) table
FY26 Guidance
1% – 5%
Adjusted EBITDA
FY26
$2.3B
Adjusted Free Cash Flow
FY26
$700M

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Capital
2026
$1.4B
Free cash flow
2026
$700M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$7.04M
Dividend / share
$1.30
Full-screen source Call document