DHT Holdings, Inc. Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 2025 DHT Holdings, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Laila Halverson, CFO. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Good morning and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome, and thank you for joining DHT Holdings third quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm joined by DHT's President and CEO, Svein Moxnes Harfjeld. As usual, we will go through financials and some highlights before we open up for your questions. The link to the slide deck can be found on our website, dhtankers.com. Before we get started with today's call, I would like to make the following remarks. A replay of this conference call will be available on our website, dhtankers.com, until November 6. In addition, our earnings press release will be available on our website and on the SEC EDGAR system as an exhibit to our Form 6-K. As a reminder, on this conference call, we will discuss matters that are forward-looking in nature. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations about future events as detailed in our financial report. Actual results may differ materially from the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements. We urge you to read our periodic reports available on our website and on the SEC EDGAR system, including the risk factors in these reports for more information regarding risks that we face. As usual, we will start the presentation with some financial highlights. In the third quarter of 2025, we achieved revenues on a TCE basis of $79.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $57.7 million. Net income came in at $44.8 million, equal to $0.28 per share. After adjusting for the $15.7 million gain on the sale of a vessel related to the sale of DHT Peony and the noncash fair value loss related to interest rate derivatives of $0.4 million, the company had a net profit for the quarter of $29.5 million, equal to $0.18 per share. Vessel operating expenses for the quarter were $18.4 million and G&A for the quarter was $4.1 million. For the third quarter, the average TCE for the vessels in the spot market was $38,700 per day. The vessels on time charters made $42,800 per day, while the average combined TCE achieved for the quarter was $40,500 per day. DHT has a robust balance sheet with low leverage and significant liquidity. The third quarter ended with total liquidity of $298 million, consisting of $81.2 million in cash and $216.5 million available under two of our revolving credit facilities. At quarter end, financial leverage was 12.4% based on market values for the ships and net debt was just below $9 million per vessel, which is well below estimated residual ship values. Looking at our cash flow for the quarter, we began with $82.7 million in cash, and we generated $57.7 million in EBITDA. Ordinary debt repayment and cash interest amounted to $17 million and $38.6 million was allocated to shareholders through a cash dividend. Maintenance CapEx amounted to $1.6 million, and we invested $26.2 million in our newbuilding program. Additionally, we placed a $10.7 million deposit for the acquisition of DHT Nakota. The sale of DHT Peony generated proceeds of $51 million, and we used $22 million for prepayment of long-term debt. Positive changes in working capital and other items amounted to $6.8 million, and the quarter ended with $81.2 million in cash. Now let's move on to our quarterly highlights. Many of these have already been communicated as subsequent events to the second quarter or as part of our recent business update. We entered into a $308.4 million secured credit facility to finance our four newbuildings. The facility is co-arranged by ING and Nordea with backing from K-Sure. It is competitively priced at SOFR plus a weighted average margin of 132 basis points. The facility has a true 12-year tenure and a 20-year repayment profile. We have also entered into a credit facility with Nordea to finance the vessel acquisition announced in June. This is a $64 million reducing revolving credit facility with a 7-year tenure and a 20-year repayment profile. It is priced at SOFR plus a margin of 150 basis points, and it's consistent with our established financing approach. The vessel to be named DHT Nakota was built in 2018, and we hope to take delivery in a couple of weeks' time. In September, we made a $22.1 million prepayment under the Nordea credit facility covering all scheduled installments for the fourth quarter of 2025 and all of 2026. The facility matures in the first quarter of 2027 with only $3.7 million remaining, representing the final installment. Eight vessels serve as collateral for this facility with a current combined market value of about $650 million. During the quarter, we entered into eight 3-year amortizing interest rate swap agreements totaling $200.6 million. The average fixed interest rate is 3.32% compared to current 3-month term SOFR of 3.84% with maturity in the fourth quarter of 2028. As a subsequent event and as announced on October 13th, Svein Moxnes Harfjeld was appointed to the Board of Directors. He will, of course, continue to serve as President and CEO of the company. And now over to capital allocation and dividend. In line with our capital allocation policy of paying out 100% of ordinary net income as a quarterly cash dividend, the Board approved a dividend of $0.18 per share for the third quarter of 2025. This marks our 63rd consecutive quarterly cash dividend. The shares will trade ex-dividend on November 12, and the dividend will be paid on November 19th to shareholders of record as of November 12th. On the left side of this slide, we now present our estimated P&L and cash breakeven levels for 2026. These figures include all true cash costs, and the difference between the two is estimated at $7,500 per day for next year. This discretionary cash flow will remain within the company and be allocated to general corporate purposes, primarily to fund the remaining installments under our newbuilding program. On the right side of the slide, we illustrate the accumulated dividend since we updated our capital allocation policy in the third quarter of 2022. The total accumulated amount is $2.93 per share, which reflects strong shareholder returns during a period of share price appreciation. Finally, let me update you on the bookings to date for the fourth quarter of 2025. We expect to have 901 time charter days covered for the fourth quarter at $42,200 per day. This rate includes profit sharing for the month of October and the base rate only for the months of November and December for contracts with profit-sharing in the future. We anticipate 1,070 spot days in this quarter, of which 68% have already been booked at an average rate of $64,900 per day. The spot P&L breakeven for the fourth quarter is estimated to be $15,200 per day. And with that, I will turn the call over to Svein.

Thank you, Laila. As you all have likely noticed, the VLCC market is demonstrating significant strength. This strength should positively impact our earnings for the latter part of the fourth quarter. The current freight market strength is driven by growing demand for seaborne transportation of crude oil in combination with an increasingly aging and fragmented structure of the fleet. Importantly, for VLCCs, the workhorse of the crude oil transportation markets, they are regaining their market share, though it's a competitive freight offering and efficiency. Geopolitics, trade and tariff dynamics, sanctions and conflicts are adding to the picture, creating disruptions and a focus on security of supply as the global fleet is reducing its efficiency and productivity. The U.S.-China meeting in Kuala Lumpur agreed to a one-year postponement on many issues, including the port fees. OPEC's decision to reduce spare capacity by reversing production cuts and bringing more crude oil to the market seems to be well absorbed, partly supported by Chinese demand for both consumption and stockpiling. Research suggests Chinese stockpiling to be not only short-term and optimistic, but a longer-term need to fill its increased storage capacity and meet defined requirements for strategic storage. Further, it suggests the need to boost its oil security with concerns of interruption in supply from sanctions and potential regional political conflicts playing a part. Lastly, a diversification in foreign reserves by buying oil and gold is said to be a consideration. Goldman Sachs reports that the world's biggest oil companies are expected to press ahead with plans to accelerate production growth when they report earnings. Analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg suggest planned output growth between 3.9% and 4.7% is on the cards. We have, as per usual, been traveling to spend time with our customers, and these reports mirror some of the key takeaways from our most recent trip. Several of our customers expect to expand their footprints and are presenting opportunities with demand for our services and more ships. We are grateful for this encouraging support, which leaves us highly constructive on our franchise and future. As always, we are looking into opportunities to develop DHT with continuous improvements in our service offerings and possible expansion. We have what we believe to be a resilient strategy with a focus on solid customer relations, offering safe and reliable services, maintaining a competitive cost structure with robust breakeven levels, a strong balance sheet and a clear capital allocation policy. The whole DSC team continues to work hard and operate with leading governance standards and a high level of integrity. And with that, we open up for questions.

We will now take the first question from Frode Morkedal at Clarksons Securities.

So on the port fees, that's interesting, suspended for a year. So I guess the question I had is like, is this a good thing for the market because I guess a lot of people had estimated some type of inefficiencies because of it, especially on the Chinese port fees, right? So maybe if things go back to normal, what's the impact on the market and maybe on your own positions?

So the jury, of course, is still out. But if I reflect on when the port fees were introduced, then the market typically took a time out, right? So you had a very quiet short period before people sort of got their heads around what was going on and then went on to continue fixing ships. Of course, some of that maybe improved the sentiment a little bit, and you have some replacement jobs and all that with short notice that could drive up rates. But as sort of the later period now, you would note that most of sort of the biggest shipowners are responding to the questionnaires that were presented by the Chinese authorities, including disclaimers on information and stuff like that. And I think it appeared that there was a relatively modest part or minor part of the fleet that were actually exposed to this and that would create sort of a true cost disruption. So right now, of course, with the news again that this is being put on hold for a year, we will have a little time out, and then I think people will restart to fix ships again. So let's see how it plays out. But as we said on the prepared remarks here, we do believe that the strength in the market in general is because there is simply strong demand and a fragmented and shrinking fleet. So, but exactly how it translates into TCE earnings is, of course, too early to say.

Yes. Clearly. I don't know if China still has the tariff on U.S. crude oil. I haven't seen any news on it.

Sorry, I didn't hear you.

China imposed a tariff on U.S. crude oil, which resulted in a significant decline in U.S. crude exports to China.

But U.S. crude oil exports to China have been very, very modest, right? It's just a small portion of total exports. So, and the two state-owned oil companies in China also use facilities outside China to store and transship oil and all of that. So, but I guess this truth sort of includes everything, I would assume. So that's at least what the commercial secretary suggested after the meetings. So if there were any, I think that will probably be out of the equation as well. So I would guess so.

Yes. Interesting. I guess question with spot rates now clearly very high, how is the effect on the time charter side? Do you see levels improving or maybe duration is improving? Or is it still a bit too early?

I think you've seen increased interest and there are some shorter-term charters that have been done at sort of improved rates. But of course, with the delta on spot voyages and yesterday's time charter rates, it's very hard to put the right price on it. And if you consider some of these long voyages that the VLCCs tend to perform, U.S. Gulf Far East cargo is 120 days. I mean the premium in the spot market will have a big impact on the balance earnings of a time charter and what would be required. So it's very hard to find a midpoint that sort of works for both parties. So I think, again, here, we will have to see a little bit. I would expect that if the firm market continues at sort of current levels for a while, then people will have to man up, so to say, and the bid-ask that will have to come in and in particular, on the customer side that they will have to pay up if they really want time charters.

Yes, that makes sense. I would expect that you might consider adding time charter coverage if that occurs. As we've mentioned before, we generally prefer to have some level of fixed income. We have several time charters expiring in the coming months, which presents an opportunity to adjust those charters, if desired, or potentially establish new charters with different customers for various ships. If we can reach an agreement on something substantial, I would lean towards a longer term. We are open to that and are currently in preliminary discussions about what customers are generally looking for. However, these matters can take considerable time to develop, so patience is necessary.

The next question comes from Geoffrey Scott from Scott Asset Management.

There's always been a reluctance from the more respectable charters to take ships that are over 15 years old. In 2009, 2010, and 2011, there were a lot of deliveries of these in those three years. They're coming up to or have just passed 15 years. As prices go up for charters, do you see any reduced reluctance of the major charters to take ships over 15 years? And is there any possibility that they'll actually go past 20 years to 21, 22, 22.5 in the next couple of years?

There's always been a bit of a dynamic when it comes to acceptance of the age or the perceived age limit of ships on the market. So in a stronger market when the customer has less choice, they seem to be a bit more pragmatic. I think as of late, most customers accept ships up to 17 or 18 years of age. We have three ships built in 2007. They are all on time charters to significant counterparties. But I think beyond 20, then at least for our sort of profile and what we do, the commercial opportunities are limited. There are other owners that can find some pockets and trades where they can use these ships, but it's somewhat limited, I would say. So our commercial life expectation of ships is up to the age of 20, although the quality of our ships could operate well beyond that if the market had opportunities. It's not really for us. But of course, the sanctioned trade has created a big market for older ships. I would think that market is somewhat satisfied now, and there are some people looking to even renew that fleet by seeing if they can scrap ships that are 25 years or even older and then look to buy ships that are 17, 18, or 19 years old to replace those ships that are 5 or 6 years older. So it's a bit of a dynamic environment, and it's evolving rather than changing very abruptly, I would say.

There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Laila Halvorsen for closing remarks.

Okay. I'll step in for Laila and say thank you very much for attending the call and wishing you all a good day ahead. Thank you. Bye-bye.

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.