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HLMN · Hillman Solutions Corp.

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$8.70 -0.10 (-1.14%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$1.71B
Shares
194.54M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Hillman Solutions Corp. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Hillman Solutions Corp. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 17, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 17, 2026 31:40 43 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
31:40
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Hillman delivered record full-year 2025 results with net sales up 5.4% to $1.55 billion and adjusted EBITDA up 13.9% to $275.3 million, and guided 2026 net sales to $1.6–$1.7 billion with adjusted EBITDA of $275–$285 million.

2026 Guidance 60 Pro Channel Expansion and Investor Day 57 Macro and Existing Home Sales Headwind 15 Robotics and Digital Solutions (RDS) / MinuteKey 3.5 12 Tariffs and Pricing 12 Hardware and Protective Solutions (HPS) Segment 10

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +55 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “put the best year in this company's 62-year history, delivering record net sales and adjusted EBITDA”
  • “This is a testament to our resilient business model and the hardworking folks at Hillman and strong partnerships we have with our customers”
  • “we are yet to see any meaningful changes in the macro that could produce tailwinds for Hillman, and therefore do not expect any help from the market this year”
  • “we're going to come out with a conservative guide given just what we've seen in the markets”

Forward guidance

4 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $365.14M +4.5% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $1.60M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year 2025 net sales rose 5.4% to a record $1.55 billion and adjusted EBITDA rose 13.9% to $275.3 million, marking the best year in the company's 62-year history.
  • Hardware and Protective Solutions net sales increased 7.8% to $1.2 billion with adjusted EBITDA up 26% to $196.3 million.
  • Robotics and Digital Solutions returned to growth with net sales up 1.6% to $220.2 million, supported by nearly 3,500 MinuteKey 3.5 kiosks installed.
  • Net debt to trailing twelve month Adjusted EBITDA improved to 2.4x from 2.8x, with gross debt down to $693.1 million.
  • 2026 guidance midpoint of $1.65 billion in net sales represents 6.3% growth over 2025.
  • Company plans first investor day on March 19 to detail its pro channel growth strategy, and expects one to two bolt-on M&A deals in 2026.

Risks & pressure points

  • 2025 market volumes were down about 5% and existing home sales remained at 30-year lows of 4.06 million, a headwind to home improvement demand.
  • Canada net sales declined 6.6% year-over-year with FX a two-point headwind and adjusted EBITDA margin just shy of 10%.
  • 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $275–$285 million implies only 1.7% growth at the midpoint versus 2025's tariff-inflated results.
  • Full-year 2025 free cash flow fell to $35.1 million from $98.1 million in 2024.
  • Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA rose only 2.3% to $57.5 million and net income was just $1.6 million ($0.01 per diluted share), with January/February trends softer than expected due to weather.
  • Management noted the tariff-related margin tailwind peaked in Q3 2025 and will be fully normalized by Q1 2026.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 17, 2026.

Metric Guided
Net Sales table
Full Year 2026
$1.6B – $1.7B
Adjusted EBITDA table
Full Year 2026
$275M – $285M
Free Cash Flow table
Full Year 2026
$100M – $120M

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Free cash flow
2026
$100M – $120M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$9.26M
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