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Equibles

OBE · Obsidian Energy Ltd. · Short Interest

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$10.40 -0.04 (-0.38%)
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$713.30M
Shares
66.73M
Volume · Oct 2 534.78K Avg daily vol (3M) 827.61K

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

OBE Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 8,261,031 OBE shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 385,025 shares. Days to cover was 8.07 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

OBE Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 8,211,529 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, -0.6% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 7,331,059 to 9,085,131 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Sep 30 short interest

as of Sep 30 Low confidence 62% chance it falls
8,211,529 -0.6% vs reported
Likely range 7,331,059 to 9,085,131 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 9. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
81/100
Short interest 12.4% of shares — P92 Days to cover 8.1 — P82 Price vs VWAP -3.2% — P61 Short-volume trend +16.1% — P90 Short interest change +4.9% — P61 Worst FTD 0.07% of shares — P80

Positioning score 80.9 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-02 20:29 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 9
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-15 8,261,031 7,876,006 +385,025 8.07
    2026-08-31 7,376,006 7,640,809 -264,803 10.86
    2026-08-14 7,640,809 7,658,521 -17,712 11.03
    2026-07-31 7,658,521 7,539,236 +119,285 7.40
    2026-07-15 7,539,236 7,765,045 -225,809 11.47
    2026-06-30 7,765,045 6,986,266 +778,779 8.99
    2026-06-15 6,986,266 6,895,497 +90,769 11.48
    2026-05-29 6,895,497 7,079,879 -184,382 8.32
    2026-05-15 7,079,879 7,228,051 -148,172 6.75
    2026-04-30 7,228,051 6,914,404 +313,647 3.65
    2026-04-15 6,914,404 6,822,176 +92,228 10.01
    2026-03-31 6,822,176 6,779,572 +42,604 6.19
    2026-03-13 6,779,572 6,689,215 +90,357 8.37
    2026-02-27 6,689,215 6,650,652 +38,563 14.86
    2026-02-13 6,650,652 6,416,069 +234,583 10.62
    2026-01-30 6,416,069 6,226,467 +189,602 11.88
    2026-01-15 6,226,467 6,174,909 +51,558 12.82
    2025-12-31 6,174,909 6,016,266 +158,643 18.10
    2025-12-15 6,016,266 5,467,873 +548,393 20.23
    2025-11-28 5,467,873 5,751,387 -283,514 16.79
    2025-11-14 5,769,703 5,708,872 +60,831 19.06
    2025-10-31 5,708,872 5,566,055 +142,817 14.26
    2025-10-15 5,566,055 5,034,084 +531,971 18.71

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1334388 CUSIP 674482203 13F (30d) 5 filings 3 filers Visit website Investor relations