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Equibles

PONY · Pony AI Inc. · Short Interest

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$6.15 +0.08 (+1.32%)
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$2.99B
Shares
434.41M
Volume · Oct 5 4.65M Avg daily vol (3M) 3.77M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

PONY Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 23,567,881 PONY shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 396,665 shares. Days to cover was 8.06 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

PONY Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 25,874,886 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, +9.8% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 23,115,394 to 29,547,150 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Sep 30 short interest

as of Sep 30 High confidence 78% chance it rises
25,874,886 +9.8% vs reported
Likely range 23,115,394 to 29,547,150 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 9. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
60/100
Short interest 5.4% of shares — P74 Days to cover 8.1 — P82 Price vs VWAP -16.1% — P20 Short-volume trend -2.9% — P34 Short interest change +1.7% — P52 Worst FTD 0.08% of shares — P82

Positioning score 60.0 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-05 19:26 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 9
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-15 23,567,881 23,171,216 +396,665 8.06
    2026-08-31 23,171,216 21,696,903 +1,474,313 4.86
    2026-08-14 21,696,903 22,972,817 -1,275,914 7.71
    2026-07-31 22,972,817 26,840,723 -3,867,906 6.12
    2026-07-15 26,840,723 29,569,764 -2,729,041 8.12
    2026-06-30 29,569,764 30,061,237 -491,473 7.10
    2026-06-15 30,061,237 30,212,219 -150,982 6.16
    2026-05-29 30,212,219 25,984,237 +4,227,982 4.89
    2026-05-15 25,984,237 25,934,707 +49,530 6.20
    2026-04-30 25,934,707 25,390,388 +544,319 7.71
    2026-04-15 25,390,388 24,540,083 +850,305 7.51
    2026-03-31 24,540,083 22,678,443 +1,861,640 3.15
    2026-03-13 22,678,443 19,514,373 +3,164,070 5.98
    2026-02-27 19,514,373 20,584,820 -1,070,447 7.66
    2026-02-13 20,584,820 18,980,489 +1,604,331 6.36
    2026-01-30 18,980,489 19,888,019 -907,530 4.97
    2026-01-15 19,888,019 18,286,971 +1,601,048 4.32
    2025-12-31 18,286,971 19,400,340 -1,113,369 4.25
    2025-12-15 19,400,340 21,281,071 -1,880,731 5.54
    2025-11-28 21,281,071 19,024,042 +2,257,029 3.36
    2025-11-14 19,024,042 17,466,200 +1,557,842 2.66
    2025-10-31 17,466,200 19,579,725 -2,113,525 2.95
    2025-10-15 19,579,725 19,674,097 -94,372 2.90

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1969302 CUSIP 732908108 13F (30d) 4 filings 4 filers Visit website Investor relations