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TVRD · Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. · Short Interest

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$1.05 -0.03 (-2.78%)
Rebalance outlook locked
Going-concern doubt — flagged Aug 14, 2026

Substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.

“As a result, the Company has concluded that management's plans do not alleviate substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.”
View the 10-Q filed Aug 14, 2026
Market Cap
$14.41M
Shares
13.34M
Volume · Oct 8 160.04K Avg daily vol (3M) 533.47K

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

TVRD Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 255,526 TVRD shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, a decrease of 9,464 shares. Days to cover was 2.29 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

TVRD Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 269,700 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, +5.5% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 179,042 to 399,358 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Sep 30 short interest

as of Sep 30 High confidence 62% chance it rises
269,700 +5.5% vs reported
Likely range 179,042 to 399,358 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 9. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
38/100
Short interest 1.9% of shares — P48 Days to cover 2.3 — P38 Price vs VWAP -60.7% — P1 Short-volume trend -5.9% — P24 Short interest change -3.6% — P31 Worst FTD 0.17% of shares — P89

Positioning score 37.9 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-09 12:52 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

1M 3M 6M 1Y 5Y All
Dimensions
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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 9
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-15 255,526 264,990 -9,464 2.29
    2026-08-31 264,990 173,306 +91,684 1.87
    2026-08-14 173,306 262,477 -89,171 1.00
    2026-07-31 262,477 542,999 -280,522 1.00
    2026-07-15 542,999 507,431 +35,568 1.00
    2026-06-30 507,431 397,991 +109,440 1.00
    2026-06-15 397,991 436,072 -38,081 6.88
    2026-05-29 436,072 490,170 -54,098 7.99
    2026-05-15 490,170 508,941 -18,771 11.09
    2026-04-30 508,941 554,342 -45,401 14.85
    2026-04-15 554,342 653,882 -99,540 8.07
    2026-03-31 653,882 668,566 -14,684 13.37
    2026-03-13 668,566 636,750 +31,816 16.05
    2026-02-27 636,750 738,313 -101,563 15.22
    2026-02-13 738,313 663,746 +74,567 11.89
    2026-01-30 663,746 547,713 +116,033 13.20
    2026-01-15 547,713 632,646 -84,933 4.42
    2025-12-31 632,646 901,651 -269,005 3.90
    2025-12-15 901,651 925,143 -23,492 8.26
    2025-11-28 925,143 885,749 +39,394 8.80
    2025-11-14 885,749 1,024,770 -139,021 4.69
    2025-10-31 1,024,770 1,175,876 -151,106 2.43
    2025-10-15 1,175,876 850,911 +324,965 1.38

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1346830 CUSIP 140755307 13F (30d) 2 filings 2 filers Visit website Investor relations