Skip to main content
ETERNAL 364.5000 INR +0.14%
ETERNAL · ETERNAL LIMITED
364.50 INR +0.50 (+0.14%) At close · Nov 13
Volume · Nov 13 249.36K Avg daily vol (3M) 1.25M
All webcasts

Earnings call · FY2026 Q4

ETERNAL LIMITED (ETERNAL) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Apr 28, 2026 Audio replay
Apr 28, 2026 45:47 118 turns
Period
FY2026 Q4
Runtime
45:47
Sources
2 artifacts
Revenue 172.92B INR +196.5% YoY
Diluted EPS 0.19 INR/shares +375% YoY
Net income 1.74B INR +346.2% YoY

Transcript & audio

45:47 Audio
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, a very good evening, and welcome to Eternal Limited's Q4 F526 earnings conference call. From Eternal's management team, we have with us today Akshan Goyal, Alvindar Singh Dinsa, and Kunal Sarup. Before we begin, a few-week announcement for the attendees. Anything said on this call which reflects outlook for the future or which could be construed as a forward-looking statement may involve risks and uncertainties. Such statements or comments are not guarantees of future performance and actual results may differ from those statements. Additionally, please note that this earnings call is scheduled for a duration of 45 minutes and we will be starting directly with the Q&A section of the call. If you wish to ask a question, please use the raise hand feature available on your Zoom dashboard. We will announce your name on the call and unmute your line, post which you can proceed with your question. You will wait for a minute while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Gaurav Malhotra from Access. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Malhotra Analyst — Access

Yeah, hi. Thank you for the opportunity. I had three questions. So first question is on the overall EBITDA guidance or indication of, say, a billion dollars by FI29. Now, we do know that, you know, food is sort of at a steady clip, and it's also growing at that 19-20%. You know, we do know about district, you know, EBITDA guidance of FI30. So if I just take, sort of strip it back, right, then essentially, and we know what is the NOV growth of CIGR of 60% for quick commerce, then the implied margin for quick commerce comes to around, say, roughly 3%, 3, 3.5% give or take. So, is that the number which we are expecting from a margin perspective in the, say, next three, four years?

Yeah, broadly, I think, broadly, the maths is fine. We're not giving any specific guidance, but, and therefore, it could, the numbers could move a little bit depending on how things pan out. But, yeah, broadly, the way you did the maths, it's broadly in line with how we're thinking about it.

Gaurav Malhotra Analyst — Access

Thank you. Just two quick more questions. You know, we see that your fixed cost in quick commerce has been sort of flattish this quarter. And yet the MTU numbers have been quite, quite strong. So just wanted to get a sense as to, you know, how to sort of reconcile these two numbers. And the second question is just on the dark stores. You know, I remember you had mentioned that maybe you'll pick up the number, the additions in this quarter, but sort of flattish again. So just wanted to get a sense on the dark store guidance of 3000 by March. These are the only two questions.

Yeah, so Gaurav, I think the fixed costs, I mean, like the MTO addition remains strong because we continue to spend on marketing for new customer acquisition. So I think those spends haven't come down in the last quarter, and hence the overall fixed cost remains in line with the previous quarter, and the MTO addition also remains strong. So we are seeing, I think, a lot of our competitors in the market, we feel, have pulled back on this. So we are seeing extremely low cost of customer acquisition, and we continue to see, therefore, value in keeping the marketing spends high at this point. On the store addition, I think we are on track on our guidance for March for 2000 stores. I think we remain firmly on track. And beyond that, like, I don't think beyond that we're going to give any guidance, or at least at this point, we don't think it makes sense. I think we've given overall guidance of 60% CAGR, and that would obviously mean some reasonable store expansion, but we're not planning to give out any specific number guidance on that.

Gaurav Malhotra Analyst — Access

So, just a follow-up. So, essentially, if 3,000 store happens, that means the general growth for FI27 will not be 100% as you had indicated earlier. It'll be, say, in the 70% to 80% print, right? Is the understanding correct?

Yeah, it will not be 100%, but we are not guiding to a specific number. I think we need that flexibility in the medium term and short term to respond to how the market dynamics are. And hence, but we know that, you know, Street is looking for some guidance. So what we have done here is actually given a more longer term three-year guidance. And I think short term, we will respond to the market situation. And if there are opportunities for acceleration, we'll do that, right? So, we're not closing the door on any options for us now in the next 12 months. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Manish Adupia from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Manish Adupia Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. My first question is actually a follow-on from Gaurav's previous question. So, Kshant, like Gaurav asked, the 100% guidance now does not hold true for F27, given what you saw in the market in terms of competition, etc. So now when you give your medium term guidance of 60% CAGR, what margin of safety or room for error are you building in that guidance? I mean, if competition were to remain as is, or were to get slightly worse from here, what are the range of outcomes of that 60% CAGR? And the reason I'm asking is that because from a near-term perspective, you can maybe help us understand the building blocks as to where you could see the next three-year growth end up to get to that 60%. That may help us, you know, just build that number a little bit more conviction. That's my first question.

Yeah, hi, Manish. So I think we've addressed that in question three of the letter. I think we've sort of tried to give you the building blocks of what the 60% CAGR guidance sort of is based upon. So, it's a function of assortment expansion, geographical expansion, as well as more, you know, demand densification in our cities of presence today, and we might also get into newer cities, right? So, you know, we think three years out, you know, any sort of like increase or intensifying of competitive activity, I don't think we don't think it's going to last beyond the three year period that you mentioned. So we feel fairly comfortable and confident that over a period of three years, we should be able to deliver this stagger of growth.

Manish Adupia Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Sure. And thank you, Akshan, for that. And maybe where I was coming from also was the building blocks in terms of, and I know you don't want to give like a three-year store guidance, but if you were to think about user growth versus frequency versus average order value, if you can maybe give us a pecking order of what drives the most amount of growth versus followed by the second, followed by the third, that would also be helpful.

Yeah, we don't, we can't project with that accuracy at this point, unfortunately. So, we are also learning as we're building this market, right? So, these things might change. So, we don't want to put out numbers here, which we then have to define in the next call.

Manish Adupia Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Right. But let me just last question on that topic. From a user number perspective, given that there is a fair bit of competition and there are like a few well-capitalized players in the market, and given as the market already is today, you don't see a concern in terms of MTU or user penetration reaching closer to saturation levels in the foreseeable future? No, we don't. Very clear. Thank you. Second question on the June quarter where you're seeing a meaningful expectation of acceleration in quarter-on-quarter growth. But outside of the reversal of average order value and the fewer days that you had in the March quarter, are there any other drivers that we need to be aware of, whether it's greater store ads or anything else, or it's just these two factors of AOV and fewer days?

So the only other factor will be seasonality, right? So it's a different season. So we see different consumption patterns and summer drives growth in certain categories. So overall, that will also lead to a slightly higher growth other than the two you mentioned.

Manish Adupia Analyst — Goldman Sachs

Very clear. Thank you. Those are the questions that I had for now. I'll jump back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Ajatya Soman from CLSA. Please go ahead.

Ajatya Soman Analyst — CLSA

Yeah, hi. Good evening. So, two questions. So, firstly, when we look at the contribution per order in the quarter, we've seen a slight dip. This is largely a function of AOV or which obviously falls evenly or anything more to read in the sort of drop in contribution per order. And then the second question on the food side, we've seen Swiggy sort of rollout toying quite aggressively, which is obviously a different model with a different sort of price structure. Any plans for Eternal to do the same? Or what do you think of Bistro as being that option for affordability on the food delivery side? And if Bisto is the option, then any sort of updates on how that business is doing?

So on contribution, Aditya, I think there are multiple things that change sequentially quarter So you mentioned AOV, that is one, right? But I mean, we're not saying, I mean, that was a key driver, but there are other things also which keep changing. Last mile delivery is also seasonal in some ways. Availability changes with the supplier delivery partner changes during different months. Months in the year. And some of the other things like supply chain, cost, etc. There could be efficiencies that we are banking in. But net net, I think the movement is what you see in contribution. Overall, that doesn't change the trajectory of our business. Like so more longer term, I don't think there's anything to call out here.

Ajatya Soman Analyst — CLSA

I understand. So, in other words, as AOE goes up and some of the seasonality changes, your contribution direction should be upward for now, right?

As we move to 5-6% margin here that we are saying we will get to at some point, contribution margin will go up, right? And on a year-on-year basis, we'll see that trend consistently.

Ajatya Soman Analyst — CLSA

And if you were to help with that, I mean, so you said that in NCR, you're doing 5-6% margin, so which would imply like the contribution there is 8-9%, would that be the right assumption, or even higher?

We are not sharing that data point. I don't think it matters also, but yeah, broadly, it will be somewhere in that range.

Ajatya Soman Analyst — CLSA

I understand. And then maybe on Bistro and Toyn.

So I think so. I mean, at this point, we don't have any plans to do what Swiggy is doing with toying. We're not clear on what problem it solves for consumers or for restaurants, right? So in the time we don't get the clarity, I think we'll just stay put on our focus areas, which is Zomato. And I think bistro is still a small experiment for us. So we're seeing early signs of a business model evolving there, but still very small and early. So I won't want to showcase Bistro as a big bet at this point. But I think, yeah, we are watching the space and we are seeing what competition is doing. And if at any point we see a thesis there that makes sense, that unlocks a new market, yeah, we'll follow suit.

Ajatya Soman Analyst — CLSA

Very clear. Thanks, Ashant.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Ankur Rodra from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Ankur Rodra Analyst — JP Morgan

Hey, thank you. Thank you for the targets on growth and profitability this time. Firstly, in terms of, you know, the 60% growth guidance, and thank you for the color in terms of the building blocks, but in the more near term, are you seeing any signs of competitive activity or early signs of competitive activity easing, Which gives you any kind of visibility of this, you know, starting to play out from the next couple of quarters?

Hey, Ankur. I've been there. So, competitive activity hasn't meaningfully changed from when the last time we were on a call. And I think our stance about it is also the same, that we will sort of keep an eye out for it, but do the right things for the business. Uh, and to the extent, uh, you know, we've mostly delivered on what we thought we would be able to accomplish in face of whatever the competition is going on and, uh, whatever guidance you're giving, we're not really changing our outlook on that either.

Ankur Rodra Analyst — JP Morgan

Super helpful. In the, you know, you've given a three-year guide this time. If I look at the last two, three, two to three years, there's been a significant amount of linearity between store additions and growth. Is there anything to suggest that that will change over the I

mean, it's not a straightforward comparison. I think we are still, in some parts of the network, we're still in a store build-out phase. In some other, we just have to create supply in different ways to service customers when we are expanding assortment. So our job is to make sure that the supply is there, whether it's in, you know, smaller stores, bigger stores. I think that number becomes very complicated if you start doing the math that way. So it's hard to quantify it in that simplistic way.

Ankur Rodra Analyst — JP Morgan

I appreciate the color. Just finally, in terms of profitability for Blinkit, you know, approximately 3% is what you've said. It seems broadly fine. What are the biggest unlocks for you, either in terms of cost or monetization to get there on a three-year basis?

I think so far, we are not really assuming any further unlocks, which would really do it. I think if we just keep doing our job and executing the way we are doing, we should be able to get there.

Operator

Okay, appreciate it. Thank you. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Abhishek Banerjee from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Abhishek Banerjee Analyst — ICICI Securities

Hey, hi. I'm calling us on a great set of numbers. First on the growth in quick commerce, you seem to be still growing ahead of the market. So do you think that, you know, when you say about 60% NOV growth going ahead, are you actually happy to grow in line with the market in the future? And, you know, why is that? And I have another question, which is slightly backward looking. So now that you have, you know, you have achieved profitability rather steadily. So what do you think is the most non-negotiable KPI that you have to crack in order to get to profitability in QC? Is it orders per day per store or is it your NAOV number?

So, Abhishek, I think to your first question, right, I think we are in a fairly competitive market with a lot of different players. In that market, it is hard to figure out, you know, what is the actual market growth rate, apart from the two public players who actually have to share their numbers. So it's very hard to be able to say that, you know, this is where the market is growing at. Is it a healthy growth rate? Is, you know, what is unhealthy growth rate? I think we are more concerned with whether our quality of growth is maintained as we grow. And I think that's our biggest, that's actually something that the only thing that we worry about. And I think going forward also, I think quality growth, which actually meaningfully also takes the business towards profitability and sustainability. I think that is only non-negotiable here. And I mean, there are multiple ways to get there, but I think that's the only non-negotiable.

Abhishek Banerjee Analyst — ICICI Securities

Good.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Swapnil Port Duque from JM Financial. Please go ahead.

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity. My first question is with respect to your warehousing capacity. You talked about 17 million of warehousing capacity spread across dark stores and supply chain, other apps, etc. Can you give a sense as to what was the number of quarterbacks or a year back? The reason I'm asking is it will help us understand what kind of an op-layer you can get by just utilizing the capacity or even if the additions close down going at it. Thanks.

We don't disclose that.

If you don't find it in a letter, it's not a mess.

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

Got it. Got it. But the other number I was tracking was your orders per day posto. I mean, that number has been broadly flat for a long period of time. Any sense as to when we can see some uplift in that number? Because, I mean, presumably, that is where you will get a decent bit of operating leverage.

So, see, as Albinder mentioned, I think, like, the contours of the business might keep on changing, right? So, we are not hung upon, like, certain metrics going in a certain way for the business to work, right? So, I think, you know, there could be arguments to be made on why that number, I mean, for that number to not go up and still the business might deliver 5-6% margin, right? That's also possible. So I think, you know, so we're not therefore constraining ourselves into a certain way of thinking about the business. I'm not saying that this metric will not go up, but I'm saying that the reason we're not providing a guidance for this metric and how this will bend up and instead we're giving a guidance of the overall growth of the business is because these variables and the building blocks of how we look at the business might evolve as we go along, right? So, it's a good number to track. That's why we disclose it. But, you know, we are not sure of, like, how this will trend, and therefore, we don't want to give a guidance on it, right?

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

Got it. This one metric, another metric that I track is, like, customer retention, the number of orders that every customer gives you. That number seems to have come down off for the last couple of orders. It used to be around 3.6. Now, it is down to 3.35. Okay. Is that to do with some retention getting impacted because of high competitive intensity? Or is it a function of significant addition in new customers and their ordering frequencies being lower?

Yeah, it's largely the latter. I think we haven't seen too much impact on customer retention, despite us being sort of more competitive, I mean, like more expensive for customers in certain geographies. So I think most of this is on account of the acceleration in new customer addition that we have seen in the last couple of quarters.

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

But just on your food delivery commentary, now you did say that you have been offering a lower MOEs of around 99 to make food more affordable. But at the same time, you have been consistently increasing your platform fees, you know, those kind of things. So how does that tie up? I mean, if you were to make it affordable, you should not be increasing platform fees.

Yeah, so I think what we mean by that is, see, the platform is applicable to all customers, but the offers or discounts can be targeted to a certain cohort of customers who are more price sensitive, right? Or in certain locations and geographies where these subsidies actually deliver growth, right? Right. So that doesn't work for all customers or all geographies. But I think what we're trying to do essentially is increase the overall revenue per order by increasing the platform fee and then channel that revenue to select a cohort of customers in select geographies where we're seeing growth.

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

Okay. And just a last one quickly on the district also. I mean, there have been constant media reports that some events getting cancelled because of inability of certain artists not coming to India because of the war. Any sense as to like, will the business still continue to deliver strong numbers despite all these macro challenges on that business?

I don't think this will impact the overall broad path of the business. Events is just a part of the business, and we have multiple categories now. So, I don't think few concerts getting delayed or postponed or even canceled will impact the outlook on the business.

Swapnil Port Duque Analyst — JM Financial

Perfect. Thanks a lot for taking my question on all the issues. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Ashwin Mehta from Ambit. Please go ahead.

Ashwin Mehta Analyst — Ambit

Yeah, hi. Can you hear me all right? Hi, thanks for the opportunity. One question. So, if I look at your consolidated financials, your advertising promotion cost in absolute terms was flat sequentially. So, any sense that you can give in terms of what proportion of this goes to Blinkit? And the follow-up to that is, philosophically, how are you thinking in terms of reacting to competition? Because news flow seems to suggest that one of your competitions seems to be growing much faster, sequentially at least. So, are you okay to let go of some market share near term and still focus on profitability? Or you will possibly react to some of them given the guidance of 60% plus growth?

Hi, Ashwin. This is Kunalya. So, to your first question, look, consolidated ad promotions includes multiple things across our multiple businesses, right? So, there is promotional spend. So, let's say on the food delivery side, like Akshan said, we channelize some of our incremental revenue per order, you know, to a certain cohort of value-conscious customers that would sit there. There are, you know, obviously, customer acquisition spends for our quick commerce business, marketing spends for food delivery. So it's, you know, I think each business is also has its own nuances and dynamics. So I don't think we can, you know, strip that apart and get into each of those. I think, broadly, what the commentary we've given for each business kind of reflects a strategy for each business there.

And, yeah. And I'll answer the question on growth, Ashwin. See, I think to the best of our knowledge, we are growing as fast as we can in the market, adhering to the principle that the growth actually has to be meaningful and it has to be healthy for the business, both in the short term and in the long term. Of course, you can always make the argument that, you know, we can grow a lot faster by opting for unhealthy growth right now. We just don't think that that is the right thing to do and that that growth will eventually turn into, you know, healthy growth just by magic. So as far as we know, you know, this is the fastest that we've been able to grow this quarter, you know, in a way which still adheres to our core principles.

Ashwin Mehta Analyst — Ambit

Sure. Thanks, Alvinder, and all the best.

Operator

Thanks. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Jignanshu Gaur from Bernstein. Please go ahead.

Jignanshu Gaur Analyst — Bernstein

Hi, thank you for the opportunity. I have two questions. One is, as a large part of our growth narrative from here on depends in some sense on either growing the non-sort of grocery assortment and going deeper into outside of the metro cities. I have two questions related to these. One, is there possible to give some quantitative understanding of how some of the non-metro cities are doing in terms of size of business per store? I understand the profitability margin metric, which was in the letter, but in terms of size, either revenue or order per day, what kind of ratio can we expect in metro versus tier one or tier two town? I think that's question one. And let me ask the second one so that if there is any interdependence. The second is we see that inventory days seem to have gone up over the last few quarters after the transition as well, right, to 1P. So what would be the driver for this and where would we feel comfortable? Not from a working capital deployment, but just from a risk perspective. What would be comforting for us?

Jig Nanshu, we don't disclose the breakup intentionally for whatever our business is in the larger cities versus emerging cities. And on the second part, I think before we give more color, I don't think it is related, the inventory days are not related to in any ways to the split that we have between tier one and tier two or tier three cities. Yes.

And Jignanshu, just on that inventory build, when you said last few quarters, of course, we're aware that last few quarters from Q2, Q3, especially, we saw the shift to 1P, right? And the share of 1P also increased during that time. But Q3 to Q4, there hasn't been any meaningful increase, apart from the increase expected because of the growth in the scale of the business, right?

That doesn't change the inventory days anyways. So I think inventory days are fairly steady and we're not seeing that increase, unlike what you suggested.

Jignanshu Gaur Analyst — Bernstein

Okay, cool. Just then maybe a follow-up, just one small point. If we look at the standalone business, my understanding is that includes, and specifically looking at ad spends, it includes basically food delivery plus district ad spends. Is that the right assumption?

It's not the entire district, but a part of the going out business, largely the dining out business. Yeah.

Jignanshu Gaur Analyst — Bernstein

Okay. So even for dining out, it's a small part.

So our businesses are split across multiple entities. So generally speaking, I think it's hard to reconcile our MIS that we, the way we reported to our audit financials, you know, unless you have more

Jignanshu Gaur Analyst — Bernstein

I was trying to reconcile your statement that you are seeing a low CAC on the quick commerce business and hence trying to reconcile that with the MTU edition.

Yes, that's correct. So I think for the same marketing dollars, we are seeing more new customer edition, right? So that's what I meant when I said the CAC for us is reducing.

Operator

Yes. All right. Great. Thank you. Thank you. Next question is from the line of Gaurav Rateria from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Rateria Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Yeah. Hi. Congratulations on good performance and profitability in quick commerce. I have two questions. My first question is on your comments around competition, which probably hasn't changed much in the last couple of months. And still you expect a 60% plus CAGR in the quick commerce business. So, is it that you're not changing your stance and you still expect this healthy growth to continue at 60%? And at what point in time, you know, you need to kind of relook at the stance on your certain thresholds of MOV or other things? What is the North Star metric that you focus on, whether it is MTC edition, number of order growth, NOV growth, et cetera, or market share, to be able to understand that at what point in time you need to change your stance to react to the competition?

I think we keep reacting according to what we feel is right, and it all depends on micro markets. So I don't think our stance is more around the principles that we have around building a healthy business. And, you know, there are places where our MOV is also lowered. There are places where we also offer pre-delivery. And I think these are not unidimensional calls for us. And we keep taking them.

Actually, Gaurav, I think we look at, you know, customer retention and customer frequency on our own business, right? I think as long as we don't see that being impacted in a meaningful way by what everyone else is doing, I think then, you know, the choice to stick to the principles Alvinder mentioned is still there, right? Right. So, so we haven't, you know, over the last few months seen our customers turn away from, from our platform too much. Right. And hence, I think at this point, we don't see the need to, to react more than what we've already done.

Gaurav Rateria Analyst — Morgan Stanley

My second question is on your tier top eight cities. You did give a very good data point on geographic coverage of 80-90% coverage in PIN codes. Does it mean that now from here on incrementally growth will be less led by the customer addition in these top eight cities and more by the wallet share and the average spend per customers and hence the growth rates? When we look at the MTC edition, it is going to be largely, largely driven by the non-tropied cities. Thank you.

Partly true, but I think even in these cities where we have high pin code coverage, it doesn't mean that we have maxed out on potential customers in that neighborhood, right? So, while assortment expansion will drive higher wallet share for existing customers, but I think equally or maybe even larger portion of growth will continue to be customer addition, given the low penetration that we have within the PIN codes that we cover.

Gaurav Rateria Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Thank you. All the best.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Garima Mishra from Kotak. Please go ahead.

Garima Mishra Analyst — Kotak Securities

Yeah, thanks for the opportunity. First question on Blinkit. How should we think about the discounting which is prevalent in the quick commerce market today? And how confident are you of maintaining your pricing discipline as well as a 60% growth CAGR in the business?

Garma, we are very confident of maintaining our pricing discipline. We're not sure what competition will do. I think it is very hard to estimate what is happening in the market. Thank you. How much of the market is froth? How much of it is artificially inflated by discounts? It's very hard to actually tell. So, very hard to comment on that.

Garima Mishra Analyst — Kotak Securities

But you remain confident in that you are already retaining that customer who you think is the more profitable customer and sort of sits well within what Blinkit stands for. Is that the right understanding?

Yes.

Garima Mishra Analyst — Kotak Securities

Got it. Second question was on district. You are already present in different verticals pertaining to the broad going out category. What new categories are you looking to add within district and particularly within travel?

So, Garima, I think we have no plans to add any more category to district than we already have. And I don't think travel is a focus area for us at this point.

Garima Mishra Analyst — Kotak Securities

Got it. And last question, maybe. Hyperpure reported a small margin in the quarter. You have, however, not included this segment when you talk about your future profitability. How should we read this and should we assume that this business remains insignificant from an overall, you know, profitability perspective?

Not really. I think, I don't know why you are saying that we haven't included this business when you're talking of, I mean, the overall billion-dollar profit statement that we have made includes all the businesses that we are into today, including Hyperforce. It will, of course, it might be the smallest, but it will still be meaningful and relevant.

Garima Mishra Analyst — Kotak Securities

Got it. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Rishi Junjunwala from IIFL. Please go ahead.

Rishi Junjanwala Analyst — IIFL

Yes, thank you. A couple of questions. Firstly, see, we look at our, you know, order growth in food delivery as well as in QC. So, in food, order growth was 15% YOY, but the active delivery partners on a monthly basis went up by 30%. In QC, also, the order growth was slightly above 90%, but the rider growth was 120%. While in QC, I can still understand that you're expanding rapidly and probably, you know, adding a lot more there. But in food, you know, what explains this gap, given that, you know, effectively, if I calculate right in number of orders per rider per month, it has come down by 10 to 15 percent in both the businesses over the last one year.

The issue is a nuance over here is the changing nature of how much people work every day on these platforms. So, we are seeing more and more part-timers also delivering, and that actually increases the active partners, but reduces the number of orders they do per ship, per day.

Rishi Junjanwala Analyst — IIFL

Understood. The second question is on food delivery, right? So, we are close to that 20% mark from a growth perspective. We are at 5.5% from a margin perspective. We had taken a mid-quarter hike in platform fee, probably, you know, next quarter, it flows down completely to the bottom line. So how do we, you know, think about, you know, incremental operating leverage that you would get in the business, as well as some of these increase in monetization to flow through the food delivery P&L? Do you intend to utilize that incrementally in some sort to increase growth? And if yes, how? Or otherwise, do you believe there is actually, there could potentially be upside risk to that, you know, NOV margin guidance that you have provided in the past?

So, I think this is, I mean, this has always been the case that we are more leaning towards growth, right? So, if we can find ways of effectively reinvesting any incremental margins that we get in our business, any business, right, I think we would do that, you know, because the objective is to optimize for growth of absolute profit and not the profit margin percentage, right? So, that's always been the principle and it will remain that way. I think what we are seeing now in the last two, three quarters, especially in the food delivery business, is a good ROI on these investments for growth, right? And that's a function of like also like us innovating on how we look at these investments, right? And how we implement. So it comes down to execution also, and it's also a function of like market readiness, consumer readiness, and so on. So, at this point, therefore, we are seeing that if we reinvest in growth, we are getting outcomes and that growth quality is good. So, we'll continue doing that without worrying about what it does to the margin. I think net-net, this should ensure that our absolute profit continue to grow at the fastest pace possible for the food delivery business, right? But in future, again, applying the same principle, if that stops happening, we could see some of this incremental revenue flowing down to profitability, and that's also fine. So I think that's the sort of framework that we follow, and outcome could be either percentage margin increasing or growth going up. Both of them will actually optimize for the absolute dollar a bit.

Rishi Junjanwala Analyst — IIFL

Understood. Thank you so much. All the best.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, in the interest of time, we will now take the last one to two participants. Next question is from the line of Vijay Jain from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Vijay Jain Analyst — Citigroup

Yeah, thank you for the opportunity. My first question is, so, you know, within that guidance of 60% plus EGR on QuickCommerce, you know, the top 20 cities that you call out, would they still be, you know, above 40% within that? Any kind of, you know, broad assessment of what that embeds for top 20 cities that you could give would be helpful. That's my first question. My second question is, you know, within QC in terms of, you know, the ad monetization, I just want to get a handle on, you know, is in terms of the monetization, is it mostly, you know, driven by the SKUs that you stock and that you're able to, you know, surface to the customers or, you know, the ad loads at checkout and, you know, top of the funnel ads are meaningful? Cool. That's the second thing I wanted to ask. And third, if you could give more color on, you know, where, how you think about the whole supply chain automation, you talked about it, I think, in 3Q, and I just wanted to get a sense of, are we looking in the next two to three years at more of these automation KPEX for your business and any sort of guide you can give on how you're thinking about KPEX beyond the store additions that you would do? So those are my three questions. Thank you.

So Vijay, the first one, we don't give that breakup. And I think we won't be able to give you that color. I didn't really understand the second question.

Vijay Jain Analyst — Citigroup

So I just wanted to understand the ads business, right? The ad monetization that you achieve. My guess would be the biggest chunk of that is, you know, the brands themselves advertising on you for stock that you actually hold on the platform. Uh, but there will also be ads, uh, related to, you know, that you show on checkout or ads, uh, which are more, you know, like the brand page that you have. And I wanted to get a sense of, uh, you know, what the composition of your ad revenue looks like between these two, three different kinds of categories.

So, uh, non, you know, non-trade ads, uh, basically ads by brands or platforms which don't sell on the Blinkit platform. That's insignificant for us.

Vijay Jain Analyst — Citigroup

Correct.

Perfect.

Vijay Jain Analyst — Citigroup

And the last question was on, you know, CAPEX and how much of, you know, what CAPEX you plan to do for the next two, three years is related to, you know, automation that you might do. I'm just trying to get a sense of whether automation, you know, all the automation that I think you guys have shown in some videos as well. How much of that is scalable and is that something that you're planning to do across all of your warehouses and so on and so forth?

Yeah. So, we just keep testing for that. I think, like, we are not, we don't want to just pursue automation for the sake of it. I think the framework is that the CAPEX should have ROCE that we contract and that is visible, right? So, that's the fundamental principle. But directionally, yes, I think what we are seeing is that more and more, I mean, directionally, we are seeing the automation increasing in both our warehouses, in all our warehouses. So we will see that happening over the next few years as well. But how much of it is automated is a function of, again, the framework on ROC, right? So it's all a function of the cost and the efficiency uplift we get because of automation.

Vijay Jain Analyst — Citigroup

Okay. Thank you. Those are my questions. Thank you so much.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Last question is from the line of Sachin Salgaonkar from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Thank you for the opportunity and congrats on a great set of numbers. First question is on competition. Just wanted to understand, is competition also intense in Tier 2, Tier 3 cities? Or is it that there are few operators and hence competition is reasonably lower out there?

I think the competitive intensity is fairly high pretty much wherever everybody is.

I think a different kind of, I mean, different set of players in different markets, right? But someone is aggressive somewhere at this point, right? So, for us, it's comparative everywhere.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Got it. In terms of dark store additions, when we think about it, is the mix still 80% urban and 20% tier 2, tier 3? Or, you know, that has changed over a period of time?

That's changing, Sachin, and I think, I mean, we're not giving a specific guidance as we mentioned, but increasingly, I think, as we've also mentioned in the letter, a large part of our growth will come from geographic diversification. So, we will see that mix change over time.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

And, you know, other what you mentioned in your letter is obviously assortment expansion. So, does that mean we are looking to upgrade some of the dark stores to bigger size dark stores now or add more dark stores in the vicinity?

I think that means we are going to expand our assortment by whichever way we can.

So for us, it's like square foot space, right? So size of the store is a function of a lot of factors, availability, the specific neighborhood, the urban infrastructure in that neighborhood. So it's a very hyper-local call. There is no sort of one single sort of answer for this that applies to every city and every locality.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Got it. Pretty clear. Next question is on AI, on ads. You know, we are seeing multiple platforms globally, actually now seeing that the ceiling on ad revenue as a percentage of GOV has now started to move up because AI does allow them to do a lot more things and, you know, push ad per se from that point of view. So, you guys clearly are doing a lot on AI. So, does that mean that, you know, at some point in the future also, what are we expecting as a sort of a cap on ad as a percentage of GMV that might move up? And hence, there's room for your steady state margins also to move up in both food as well as with com?

Generally, we don't operate like with a cap in a mind, right? I mean, we don't know what the cap is, like, honestly, right? So I think we'll respond to the realities of the situation around us in the business, right? And if that means that we have an opportunity to have higher ad income in our business, so be it, right? And same framework. Then if we have that, we have more margins, can we invest in growth? Can that growth drive more profit? So that's the mental model, which is fairly fundamental and simple. But we don't operate with a set of metrics with some ceilings or target or goals in mind. So I don't have like any other color to share on this.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Got it. And when we talk about quick commerce margins at steady state being at 5% to 6%, is there an implied assumption in terms of, you know, how much add out here is in terms of that 5% to 6%?

No, no. As I said, I mean, like, we don't know we're discovering that. Like, we haven't, I mean, like, Whipalmers is a much younger business than food delivery. It's already doing more in terms of FAD as a percentage of NOV, right? So, we don't, I mean, we necessarily don't have a number in mind here on where does it land and finally go to.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Got it. And last question is, if there is any sensitivity on higher fuel prices to demand on food, historically, have we seen anything when fuel prices have increased, there has been an impact in demand?

So it depends on the quantum. Generally, you know, increase in fuel prices will lead to higher cost of delivery. The last mile cost goes up. Right. So now what percentage of that we decide to pass on to consumers is something that we'll decide when the time comes. Right. So it all depends on that quantum. In the past, if you see, going by the last 12-18 months' experiences and examples, like the GST hike happened, you know, we were fairly easily able to pass it on to consumers without too much impact on demand. So, unless it's a drastic increase, I don't expect fuel price increase to have a meaningful impact on margins on our business.

Sachin Salgaonkar Analyst — Bank of America

Got it. All the best. Thanks. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now conclude this conference call. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

Analyst Q&A · 13 questions
Full-screen source Call document