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TORNTPHARM · Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited
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Earnings call · FY2027 Q2

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited (TORNTPHARM) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Oct 23, 2026 Audio replay
Oct 23, 2026 41:59 104 turns
Period
FY2027 Q2
Runtime
41:59
Sources
2 artifacts
Revenue 49.79B INR +50.8% YoY
Diluted EPS 14.05 INR/shares -19.5% YoY
Net income 5.34B INR -9.6% YoY

Transcript & audio

41:59 Audio
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Q2 FY27 Earnings Conference Call of Torrent Pharma Ltd. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference call over to Mr. Sudhir Manan, Executive Director of Finance and CFO. Thank you and over to you, sir.

Thank you. Good evening and welcome to quarter 2 FI27 earnings call of Torrent Pharma. Consolidated revenues for quarter 2 were 4979 crores, up by 51%, while operating EBITDA at 1666 crores was up by 54%. Operating EBITDA margin for the quarter stood at 33.5%. During the quarter, R&D spend increased to 4.2% of the revenue compared to 3.5% in the previous quarter. As highlighted in the previous call, following the merger of JB with Torrent Pharma with effect from 8th of July, we had undertaken business level integration during this quarter. And as guided earlier, there was some transient impact on JB business top-line performance during the quarter. During the quarter, the underlying JB business reported revenues of 1,086, which was largely flat year-on-year. JB India-branded business grew at 7% for the quarter. International business were down by 7%. Torrent-based business continued its strong growth momentum with revenues growing 18% for the quarter. The Bayes India business with 20% growth continued to outperform IPM, while Brazil revenues were up 38%. On the generic side, U.S. delivered strong 24% growth, while Germany revenues were down by 7%. The overall leverage that is net debt to EBITDA now stands at 1.8x. I will now hand over the call to Aman for an update on India business.

Aman Other

Thanks, Sudhir. I will first talk about the JB integration update. Post the completion of merger in July 2026, we had initiated the next stage of integration activities, which involved merging of divisions and field force in the India business. We believe this has been executed well and as per expectations. Despite the nature of integration activities, the India business of JB delivered robust underlying growth, which provides comfort in the long-term J.B.'s international operations saw an impact from, again, the integration around plant network optimization and alignment of manufacturing and quality control systems. This led to postponement of deliveries in certain markets, and we see a gradual part of recovery in the subsequent quarters. We believe the impact is transient due to one-time nature of integration requirements, which were unavoidable. The objective here was to harmonize Torrent and JB systems, reduce redundancies, and enable long-term utilization and gross margin efficiencies. On overall cost synergies, we are tracking well ahead of our plan, which can also be seen from the EBITDA margins during this quarter. Sequentially, the JB business EBITDA margins have improved despite the transient impact on sales. Moving on to the Bayes business, Torrance's India revenues for Q2 were 2181 crores, registering a growth of 20% versus the IPM growth of 12% as per the PharmaTrack dataset. The high growth was delivered as a result of an overall increase in IPM growth, New launch performance and volume growth acceleration from field force expansion. The curatio business continued its strong growth trajectory, growing at 34% in Q2 and also in H1, driven by OTC ad spends and field force expansion. We are hopeful that this business should continue with a similar high growth trajectory for the rest of the year. Our combined field force strength at the end of Q2 for Thorin plus JB, the combined entity, is now 9,100. In the India business. On semaglutide, our India franchise recorded Q2 market share of 32% for the oral and injectable combined, as per the PharmaTrack dataset. For the oral segment, we continue to maintain more than 90% share within the generic layers. In the injectable tamaglutide segment, following the supply disruption, we were able to onboard a new manufacturing partner and fully restored market supplies by September. Due to being out of the market for nearly two months, we did see some market share loss, minor market share loss in the injectable space. However, the September month relaunch and sales recovery provide confidence that a large part of this loss should be recovered in the coming months. Our focus during H2FY27 will be to continue improving our market share in focused therapies, improving field force productivity in expanded divisions, and continuing the scale-up of the Q-Ratio business. I will now hand over to Mr. Sanjay Gupta for the international business.

Sanjay Gupta Other

Thanks, Samad. We will start with the branded generics market of Brazil. Based on internal sales, Q2 constant currency revenues were at Brazilian REIS 236 million, registering a 21% year-on-year growth. IQR data shows Q2 market growth at 5.7%, with Torrent growing at 26%. This is aided by the strong performance of our top brands, our recent launches, as well as the strong growth in the generics division. In Brazil, Torrent has This is a rich pipeline of 53 molecules under Anvisa review, and we should be getting, we expect approval in the next three years. In the US, we registered constant currency revenues of 44 million, up by 13%. Growth is coming from our new launches, where we have achieved or exceeded our target market share. In Germany, our business registered a constant currency revenue of 26 million, down by 13%. The growth continues to be impacted by the loss of high-value tenders and disruption at third-party suppliers. With that, I would like to conclude the opening comments and open the call up for questions.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and 2. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Neha Manpuria from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Neha Manpuria Analyst — Bank of America

Yeah, thanks for taking my question. My first question is on JB. Given the disruption of the impact on growth because of disruption, If you could give us some color in terms of how we should think about the recovery, both in the India business and also I think you mentioned some postponement of supplies in certain markets, you know, would that take, you know, slightly longer to recover? You know, just wondering, you know, the flat growth that we've seen, should we continue to see similar trends, you know, in the near term or we start seeing improvement here?

Aman Other

Yes, on the India side, we had guided in the earlier quarter that this would be the kind of impact that would be estimated. It's been pretty much in line with how Q1 was at 13%, Q2 was at 7%. So it's more or less been as expected, and we think this will recover gradually quarter on quarter from here. So if H1 is at 10% growth for the India-branded business, I would expect that H2 should be perhaps higher than that. On the international front, yes, there are definitely some one-time challenges that we faced, and it was part of the integration that we had taken a call to take these decisions. These are all one time in nature. So while the actions have been taken, the recovery may take slightly longer in the international business. But overall, we still feel that in H2, the overall JV growth should be double digit. While India would be higher than double digit, we believe the total JV business growth should recover to double digit in H2.

Neha Manpuria Analyst — Bank of America

Okay, that's good to know. And my second question is, you know, you mentioned cost and earnings running ahead of expectation. I think our estimate was about 450 crores. It seems like, you know, pretty much half of that is already reflected in margins. Would that be a fair assumption? And given that, Sudhir, is there an upside to our cost energy number that we are expecting over the next three years?

So, Nia, I think you're right when you say we are tracking higher than what we had initially guided. And possibly when you say half of that seems to be getting realized in this year, I think it's fair to assume that. And having said that, we believe most of it could come through by the next year.

Neha Manpuria Analyst — Bank of America

And therefore, do you see, you know, upside from a three-year perspective, can you, some of the synergies that you were thinking probably will take up later, probably on the revenue side, etc., does that come forward or, you know, revenue synergies will still take some more time outside of the cost?

Aman Other

No, I would think we'll maintain the current synergy view on 450 crores. Perhaps next year, if there's a more concrete reason to believe there's further upside, we can comment, say, like Q1, Q2 next year. And revenue synergies will continue to be, or rather, we believe they should be on track for next year as well, on the India business first, and then followed by the international.

Neha Manpuria Analyst — Bank of America

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the liner Damyanthi Kirai from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Damayanti Kelkar Analyst — HSBC

Hi. Thank you for the opportunity. My question is again of JV. So, you mentioned sequencer. Despite the transient impact on the business, it reported higher EBITDA margin. I just wanted to understand what has led that sequence of improvement, whether it was more on, say, the gross margin part, or it was more on rationalization of other operating expenses, and how should we look at the JV EBITDA margin in the coming quarter? Yeah, that's my question.

Aman Other

So, but that's a small part of it, overall sequential improvement. So, from Q1 to Q2, the biggest component is the field force series.

Damayanti Kelkar Analyst — HSBC

Got it. And how should we look at the margin trajectory for JV in second half of this year?

Aman Other

I would say it should continue gradual improvement as well, from here as well. It's difficult to give an exact number, but directionally, it's already improved substantially from Q4 last year to Q1, and now from Q1 to Q2, it's been more gradual. So I would expect quarter-on-quarter, this same run rate of improvement can continue maybe for the next two, three quarters.

Damayanti Kelkar Analyst — HSBC

Sure. My second question is clarity on your MR headcount after the merger. So, you mentioned 9,100. So, whether this is the level which we are looking to maintain, or there is some more room to optimize this number further? Where do you like to have your MR count in optimum situation?

Aman Other

Yes, this year, it will be maintained. So by the end of this financial year, we don't expect any change. We will review this maybe in a couple of months. We expect potentially some expansion may be required in the base business. So say maybe by 500 MRs or so. But we're not fully certain on what the next year's picture looks like. But it could be, say, something between 9,500 to 9,600.

Damayanti Kelkar Analyst — HSBC

Got it. And my last question is on your overall guidance, which you mentioned, 33 and a half kind of number we are doing. And should we assume like there is more room to improve from current level or it will be more steady, considering all the synergies at Petka which will come from the merger path?

So, I think there should be a gradual increase in the EBITDA margin, but I think we are not guiding on the number part, but at least definitely we feel H2 should be a little higher than 33.5.

Damayanti Kelkar Analyst — HSBC

Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. I'll get back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Dr. Kunal Dhamesha from Macquarie Capital. Please go ahead.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Hi, thank you for taking my question. The first one on the JV victim margin, which we suggested that there will be continued improvement from here as well for the next two, three quarters. So, once that is done, would it be fair to say that JB's India business profitability would be very similar to Torrent's India business?

Aman Other

Yes, that would be fair to assume. Torrent's India-based business versus JB-based business, right? Yeah, that's correct.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Sure, sure. And on JB, EBITDA margin this quarter, could you quantify the improvement on a sequential basis?

No, that's something which we are not guiding for.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Okay. So, would it be like meaningful, like 100 basis point plus or?

See, I think there's two data points which I can give, one data point which I can give you, right? I mean, what we've said is the R&D expenses versus quarter one has gone up by 0.7%.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Right?

On the quarter one, the return was 33.8, and this time was 33.5. That's one data point which I would like to leave. Having said, the increase in R&D which has come in quarter two, we believe it will continue for the rest of the quarters as well.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Sure, sure, sure. Thanks for that. And lastly, on the synergies part, Second, let's say cost synergies or initial guidance will be realized by 528 is what my understanding is, what you commented. If I'm wrong, please correct me. But without quantifying, you know, beyond the next year, what are some of the levers that you would have identified, which is not part of your 450 crore guidance? And secondly, you suggested the revenue synergies part for the next year. So, you know, if you could quantify the impact of the revenue synergies and some of that.

Aman Other

So, nothing, you know, incrementally new in terms of buckets that have been identified for cost synergies. Perhaps it's more of a quantum of costs that were estimated before and after where there may be some variation. So that's where we feel it's still premature to comment whether there's any higher scope of cost synergies compared to the 450 number. But directionally, yes, we've been able to achieve that much faster. Instead of three years, I think we should be able to get there in two years' time. And any upside to that, I think we'd wait for at least a couple more quarters. On the revenue synergy side, again, the same view. We believe that the India business Once now the large part of the integration is done, so the revenue synergy should start gradually coming through from cross-selling, from new territories where JB brands are added to torrent divisions and so on. These things normally take, you know, 6 to 12 months depending on the brand and the competitive intensity. So I think next year should see a reasonable improvement in the top-line growth through revenue synergies. Difficult to quantify at this stage, but if things go as per plan and as we expect them, then I think gradually, year on year, there should be acceleration in top-line growth in the India business. And on the international side, it will be a slightly longer journey for that to get achieved Because product filings take slightly longer in most markets that we're looking at. So, if, say, we're looking at JB territories to add some existing products that we have, those would take, say, you know, two to three years to materialize. So, that's why the timelines may be longer.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

That's extremely helpful. Thank you and all that is.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, before we take the next question, a reminder to all the participants, anyone wishes to ask the question, may press star and one. We will take our next question from the line of Binu from Alara Capital. Please go ahead.

Binu Analyst — Alara Capital

Deal that J.B. Chem has done with Novartis on the ophthalmology franchise. This was done, I think, about a couple of years back.

Operator

I'm so sorry to interrupt, Mr. Binu. Can you repeat your question, please?

Binu Analyst — Alara Capital

Hello. Can you hear me well now?

Operator

Yeah, we can hear you now. Please go ahead.

Binu Analyst — Alara Capital

Okay. Just a question on the ophthalmology portfolio deal that J.B. Chem had done with Novartis a couple of years back. Is there any risk to that deal given the changes happening in Novartis, India?

Aman Other

No, the contract is quite clear, so I doubt there will be that possibility.

Binu Analyst — Alara Capital

Okay, and if I remember correctly, there is a second tranche of payment of about 950-960 crores that is pending. Would that be due anytime soon?

Aman Other

That would be in December of this year, yes, that's right. Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Okay. Next question is from the line of Nathan Agarwal from Jam Capital. Please go ahead.

Nathan Agarwal Analyst — JM Capital

Thanks for taking my question, sir. On the increased R&D spends, any, you know, and you said this is going to be sustainable from here on at these levels. So any new avenues where we say looking to invest larger amounts than before, you know, from a priority perspective?

Aman Other

This is in line with what we had shared earlier, that we are looking at increasing our filings in the U.S., which are very low single digits right now to maybe high single digits for some years to kind of recover some of the lost time in the last couple of years due to our operational issues. So in that sense, it's more of a temporary spend that would be required for a couple of years. Two to three years. But in percentage spends, right now, this quarter is about 4.2% of revenues. We believe that the range should not exceed, say, between 4 to 4.5, even in the following year.

Nathan Agarwal Analyst — JM Capital

And then secondly, on the export business, you know, Brazil's business has done well. Germany still struggled. Any more color that you want to provide us in terms of the outlook for these two markets?

Sanjay Gupta Other

So, Brazil, we are optimistic. It will continue to grow double-digit, mid-teens or something in that range, because we have strong momentum from our new launches as well as from our other businesses. So, we have four business units in Brazil, Cardio and Abiti, CNS, Generics, and Non-Retail. So, all four business units seem to be doing well. So, again, a high level of optimism on Brazil. On Germany, I would say that we are struggling because there's been quite a lot of factors which have impacted us, from supply-related issues to government-mandated price decreases, which have severely impacted our non-retail business. You know, which is, so I really cannot say, give guidance today. Best case, I would say slight decline in the coming quarters, and eventually some stability after maybe three or four quarters. Okay.

Nathan Agarwal Analyst — JM Capital

And then on the other markets, the ROW markets or the non-Brazilian branded markets, I mean, any broad color on how last three, four quarters, any meaningful changes in the size scale of business in any of these businesses?

Sanjay Gupta Other

Yeah. So the rest of the world markets for us are examples of Philippines, Mexico, Russia, South Africa now. All these markets are going high single digits or double digits. So, we have a, I mean, underlying business is pretty strong in ROW markets. So, let's say conservatively, you can take 6% to 9% growth, not GB total.

Nathan Agarwal Analyst — JM Capital

And then lastly, on any color on the GLP launch, you know, some of our launches in Brazil, I mean, where are we, you know, in terms of what the timeline, our outlook on the approvals and launches?

Sanjay Gupta Other

So, there is one true generic launch in Brazil, which is by a local very large player. It's been three months since they've launched. They've accelerated the growth of the market. Optimistically, we expect to launch in the next six to nine months.

Nathan Agarwal Analyst — JM Capital

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Sayan Mukherjee from Namura. Please go ahead.

Sayan Mukherjee Analyst — Nomura

Yeah, thank you for taking my question. Can you share how large your ratio is now as part of your domestic business? Because it's been going pretty rapidly since you've acquired India from color, and how should you think about the growth here, given all the initiatives going here at least?

Aman Other

I think this should be now between, say, 7% to 8% of the total Bayes India business without JV. When we acquired it, it was about, I think, 4% to 5% contribution. So the contribution of the Curatio portfolio has increased quite a bit in the last two, three years. And from where things are and the kind of strength that the brands have developed over the last couple of years through the additional marketing impetus, I think it should be possible to sustain high growth for at least a couple of years. It's difficult to say what range, but whether 30% growth can be sustained beyond, say, three to five years, that's difficult to say, but definitely it seems that this is a trend which is, I mean, the demand is real and the trend is likely to continue for the foreseeable future.

Sayan Mukherjee Analyst — Nomura

Great. Thank you. And my other question was on the U.S. We have seen some improvement with new product launches. How do you see the outlook? I think last time you mentioned there are not many large high-value launches. If you can just update on that for this year and next year at least, and any comment you would like to make on pricing, environment, market dynamics in general?

Sanjay Gupta Other

So, on the second part of your question, no major change in U.S. market dynamics. It continues before. We've had a few good launches in the U.S., and, you know, our market shares, which we can consult in IQVIA, are actually above our expectations, which is why we are showing high rates of growth. The good part is that our filings are so far improved in the U.S. Year-to-date, we've filed already four products, and we think we can file at four to five at least more before this fiscal year ends. So there is optimism in terms of new product launches. I cannot give you color on the scale of these new launches. It will depend upon the number of competitors when these come to market. But they would keep up the momentum of new product launches, which is the most important factor for U.S. growth. I expect some new competitors on our recent launches in H2. So there would be a pricing pressure increase in H2, which is not atypical in the U.S. market, right? So there's always new people coming with existing molecules and which leads to price erosion. But price erosion accompanied by volume growth and new launches should keep us in the positive territory as far as growth is concerned.

Sayan Mukherjee Analyst — Nomura

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Tashair Manudhani from Motila Loswal Financial Services Limited. Please go ahead. Thanks for the opportunity.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

So firstly on semaglutide industry outlook, how do you see the growth in this molecule at industry level?

Aman Other

So I think it's been stabilized now the demand levels of generic semaglutide. And what I recall is that we had estimated a market size of generic SEMI at somewhere around 800 crores for the first year. So it seems that it's on track to get there. And then after that, it should be in line with some of the earlier new launches, how they have grown, which is a very high growth in the first couple of years of the market, followed by stabilization in, say, third or fourth year. If you just take the, you know, past reference of, say, Cetagliptin, where there is a shift happening from, say, an earlier-gen molecule to something new, which is what we expect to happen here as well. So it's, again, still very early to say what, you know, the market size may appear to be in five years or four to five years' time. But there's definitely a lot more room for market expansion from here as well.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

So, even if it grows, let's say, by 25%, let's say, next year, it's like 1,000, and then growth further lowering down. So, broadly, 2,000, 2,500, whatever market is what you're expecting over the next three to four years. Is that right?

Aman Other

Yeah, that should be possible. At least three to five years, that number is not out of range.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

So, secondly, on the India industry itself, the ITM growth has been on uptrend, UNFM, USAG, PSA-related base effect of the past year. How do you read this industry growth, and what do you think the growth would be for, let's say, next 12 to 15 months at the industry level?

Aman Other

Definitely, the H1 this year has been a far higher market growth than what we've seen in the couple of preceding years. 12% is the market growth this year so far. We think this market growth is likely to sustain for the rest of the year. And perhaps from next year, it may drop a little bit, say 1-2%, but minimum 10% is what we think should continue from here on as well, at least for the next financial year. This year may be potentially a one-off case in increase in IPM growth to this extent, but below 10% is, in our view, it's not looking likely at this stage.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

And this is relatively much better compared to earlier year. So, any factors you would like to call out which would drive this higher growth for the industry?

Aman Other

I think it's very difficult to pinpoint still. I mean, in our case, there are multiple factors that are also contributing to our growth, like summer launch and field course expansion. So, a large part of our growth difference can be explained through those, but what is causing the higher, say, 2-3 percent market delta is still difficult to pinpoint exactly.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

So, thirdly, just on Brazil, like how much of the growth in the 2Q would have come from new launches and how much from existing brands? Did I break that growth of 20%?

Sanjay Gupta Other

Correct. So, broadly speaking, it's one-third, one-third, one-third. One-third on price, one-third on volume, and one-third on new launches.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

Got it. And just lastly, any new products that Yeah,

Aman Other

there are many brand extensions launched in the OTC space, which are, I would say, reasonable in size. They're not very big, but the idea is to launch, you know, multiple of these where they can create a sizable base in two, three years. So, those are always part of our new product planning, part of the OTC business. Has there been any completely new product launch, which is not an extension? Probably not in the last six to eight months. I believe these are spaces where entering completely new is very challenging. So, we do keep a lookout for acquisitions wherever possible to bolt on to our OTC platform.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

Got it. And just lastly, if I may, with respect to the marketing expense within India for OTC and for prescription, any broad breakdown you could give, either as a percentage of total spend or absolute, whichever is currently it.

Oh, Prishal, we don't have the numbers separately, please.

Tushar Manudhane Analyst — Motilal Oswal Financial Services

Okay, sir. That's it for me, sir. Thanks. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Niharika Agarwal from Nirmal Bank. Please go ahead.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

Hello, thank you for the opportunity. So, I wanted to understand about the 13% constant currency growth we saw in the U.S. How much of this growth is coming from products with durable competitive advantage versus products where price erosion could accelerate as competition enters?

Sanjay Gupta Other

Thank you. Usually, the way to penetrate it is to offer a better price. Hence, I would say that I'm not sure how to tell you what is the durable, competitive advantage generic product in the U.S. However, that said, we are constantly working on improving our costs. And that is one way in which we are able to maintain a base business. And our base business generally has been flat. The growth is coming from new products, but our base business, the price and the volume etc. kind of neutralize each other. And I would say it's a decent result for mature products.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

So could we see this growth rate sustaining going forward or, you know, as the launches normalize, we will see some moderation?

Sanjay Gupta Other

So we have new launches planned, but again, when we forecast new launches revenue, we build scenarios based on the number of competitors. And honestly, before we launched, we are not 100% sure as to how many people show up at the opening. What I said earlier in the call is that we've so far, year-to-date, already filed four products in the U.S., and then we think we can file at least four to five more for the remaining of this fiscal year. These, let's say, nine, ten products would be higher than what we have filed in several previous years. Hence, this kind of gives me a positive optimism for future growth.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

Okay, thank you. And then just one quick question on Sema. So as the competition is increasing, you know, what matters more for your economics? Like, will we focus more towards defending our market share, or will we focus on maintaining realization per patient? And then on the share as well, like, can we expect to sustain the share even as profitability per unit declines?

Aman Other

So this is, I assume, about the India business. So we've launched SEMA only in India so far, and our objective would be to endeavor to expand the market as much as possible. So that would also mean that we would need to defend our share at the same time. And I think we're seeing good traction there on that front in the last couple of months. I don't think there will be any change in pricing per patient or pricing per product because these are all branded businesses. So there's no real price erosion in that sense. And in fact, the price will only be stable or gradually increase over the next couple of years.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

Okay, thank you. And then just one last question on the Brazil business. So we have approximately 53 products, right, that are waiting Anvisa approval. So, you know, how meaningful could these launches be to growth over the next two years per se? And what kind of growth can we expect for this geography? Any rough number?

Sanjay Gupta Other

Yeah, I think we have said that it should be at least superior to 10%, Closer to 15% growth in the coming years.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

Okay, and what is the key constraint for this geography? Would you say approval timelines or commercial execution? Like, what is the key challenge over here?

Sanjay Gupta Other

I would say both because approval timelines with Anmisa are taking at least two years. So, that's a long process. And then in terms of commercial challenges, of course, we are competing with at least very strong local companies who are entrenched in the Brazilian market with a much larger field force footprint than we have. And there also has started to be a trend in the last two-three years about price competition, which was historically quite benign, but it has become much more, I would say, aggressive and competitive in the last two-three years.

Niharika Agarwal Analyst — Nirmal Bang

Okay. Makes sense. Okay. Thank you. Thank you for giving me the opportunity. This is all for me.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Madhav Marda from MLP. Please go ahead.

Madhav Marda Analyst — MLP

Hi, good evening. I just had one question. For our combined business, including India's foreign-based business and J.B. chemicals, could you give any outlook on the data margin over the next maybe two to three years, given J.B. has your thermology portfolio savings, et cetera, lined up? So if you could just share on the basis and including J.B., how that will be okay, thank you.

So as a policy, we don't share geography-wise EBITDA.

Madhav Marda Analyst — MLP

No, just combined business, any outlook on the EBITDA margins from 33.5%? How that could track over the next two years?

That's what I called out earlier, that quarter to 33.5. For rest of the two quarters, it can improve a little bit for this year.

Madhav Marda Analyst — MLP

Okay, okay. And over FI 28 and 29, is there any outlook? Do you see any improvement measures lined up?

No, we are not giving any guidance for FI 28. We are just waiting for the full year base to come in, and then probably next year, quarter one, we will guide it.

Madhav Marda Analyst — MLP

Good. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Dr. Kunal Dhamesha from Macquarie Capital. Please go ahead.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Hi, thank you for the follow-up. On JB's international business disruption, could you localize in which segment the disruption was maximum? Was it ROW? Was it US? Was it CDMO?

Sanjay Gupta Other

So, JB, international business, I would say the disruption, if I was to say it was across the board because it was linked to issues which are not particular or peculiar to any one geography. So, it was linked to issues like software integration, accounting integration, merger of the companies, change of processes. And then you will also recall we had some quality issues linked to one product in the U.S. for which we had a recall. So, I would say, outside of the U.S. recall, it was a generalized cross-strography, so I would point the finger towards one more than the other. We're talking about back-office issues. We're not talking about front-office, customer-facing issues.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Sure. Thank you. And second question, while you have given out some outlook on the market that the strong growth would continue, Okay. But what has caused this sudden spike? Let's say if I look at GLP-1s, I think the impact would be probably not be more than 100% in terms of growth acceleration, right? So, is it a shift from market share shift, you know, happening, some of the smaller companies which were earlier operating, they are not operating anymore, or the focus from other players on trade generally has gone down, or general strategy, there is an abstraction. What is driving the sudden spike?

Aman Other

That's exactly the question that was asked earlier, but we are not too, I'm too sure on how to pinpoint or break up the spike in IPM growth by say this 2-3% difference in this year. It could be a factor of all of these, as you mentioned. But one indication at least that we have is that our trade generic business has not really slowed down materially. So our business is pretty small right now. But if that was some indication, we would have got a sense through that. So it's not really, you know, the trade generic that's slowing down and shifting to brands either. It seems that both segments are growing. But again, because of so many factors at play, it's difficult to pinpoint. What we did mention is that we believe perhaps it may not be able to continue next year, but certainly our view is that it should not go below double digits, the IPN growth.

Kunal Dhamesha Analyst — Macquarie Capital

Sure. Thank you and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as there are no further questions from the participants, I would now like to hand it back to the management for closing comments.

Sanjay Gupta Other

Thank you for participating today. With that, we conclude today's call. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. On behalf of Torrent Pharma Ltd. that concludes this conference, thank you all for joining us today and you may now disconnect your lines.

Analyst Q&A · 10 questions
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