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INDIGO · InterGlobe Aviation Limited
5,587.30 INR -72.70 (-1.28%) At close · Nov 13
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2.16T INR
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Earnings call · FY2027 Q2

InterGlobe Aviation Limited (INDIGO) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Concluded Oct 29, 2026 Audio replay
Oct 29, 2026 57:59 86 turns
Period
FY2027 Q2
Runtime
57:59
Sources
3 artifacts
Revenue 233.64B INR +25.9% YoY
Diluted EPS -48.58 INR/shares
Net income -18.79B INR
Open full screen Slides 15

Transcript & audio

57:59 Audio
Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Indigo's conference call to discuss the second quarter of fiscal year FI-2027 financial results. My name is Neera, and I will be your coordinator. At this time, the participants are in listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow today's management discussion. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing start and zero on your touch-to-on phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your moderator, Ms. Richa Chavra, Head of Invest Relations at Indigo. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.

Richa Chavra Head of Investor Relations

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the second quarter of fiscal year 2027 earnings call. We have with us our Chief Executive Officer, Billy Walsh, and our Chief Financial Officer, Kiran, to discuss the financial performance and are available for the Q&A session. Please note that today's discussion may contain certain statements on our business or financials which may be construed as forward-looking. Our actual results may be materially different from these forward-looking statements. The information provided on this call is as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update the information subsequently. We will upload the transcript of prepared remarks by day in. The transcript of the Q&A session will be uploaded subsequently. With this, let me hand over the call to Willie Walsh.

Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us on this call. This is my first earnings The call is CEO of Indigo. I thought I would start by sharing a few thoughts from my first few months with the business. As you know, I joined Indigo just before the airline completed 20 years of operations, an important milestone, and also a good time to reflect on how far the business has come. Now, obviously, I knew Indigo well before joining and had always respected what the airline had built. My first few months inside the business have given me a much clearer of view of what drives Indigo's success, strong cost discipline, a relentless focus in operations, and an experienced team that knows how to deliver at scale. Now, moving to the quarter, let me start with the operating environment. The global aviation industry continues to face uncertainty, particularly from geopolitical events, which are affecting travel patterns, operating costs, and in some cases, the way airlines operate their networks. Now, we monitor these developments closely, both from a commercial and operational standpoint. Where conditions affect our ability to operate safely, we review the risks and make the necessary adjustments to our network. Safety will always be our top priority. And at the same time, the industry continues to operate with fuel costs well above historical levels. Airlines across the world, including Indigo, have responded through capacity and network adjustments and pricing actions, but cost pressures remain elevated. Moving to our financial performance, our reported results were primarily shaped by two factors. First, exceptionally high fuel costs continued to weigh on our financial performance. And second, a seasonally soft period falling between the summer and festive travel peaks and includes the monsoon season. In response, we acted decisively to rationalize capacity across parts of our network. Our pricing actions and disciplined capacity deployment, together with a 5% reduction in industry seats, supported stronger revenue performance. However, due to the elevated cost environment, we reported a net loss of 19 billion rupees. Our liquidity remains strong, with free cash of around 399 billion rupees, and this positions us to navigate near-term volatility while retaining the flexibility to invest in our long-term growth priorities. And those plans are supported by the significant opportunity we see in India. The near-term outlook may be challenging, but the foundations for long-term growth remain strong. And I've spoken about the opportunity in India on many occasions, and I continue to believe it represents one of the most compelling aviation markets in the world. Continued investment in infrastructure, increasing connectivity, and the growing importance of air travel within the broader economy provides a strong foundation for long-term demand. Indigo's strong base puts us in a good position to capture this opportunity, and our priorities are clear. First, to continue building on the core strengths that have made Indigo's India's preferred airline, and second, to maintain the operating and cost discipline that has been fundamental to the company's success. Third, to be disciplined about where and how we grow with a clear focus on long-term value creation. And fourth, to build our international footprint in a measured way, taking advantage of the capabilities of the XLRs and the A350s, while preserving the strengths of our low-cost model. Alongside this growth, we are strengthening our relationship with customers through Indigo Blue Chip. The program completed two years in October and is approaching 20 million members with more than 30 partners. So with that, let me hand over to Kieran, our new Chief Financial Officer, who will take you through the financial performance in more detail.

Kiran CFO

Thank you, Willy. I'd like to address performance in context. As Willy mentioned, the September quarter, we delivered strong revenues in a seasonally soft quarter amid significantly elevated fuel costs. While the reported results capture the combined effect of these factors, it's important to distinguish their near-term impact from the underlying earning strength of the business. First, the fuel cost remained elevated. The benchmark Singapore jet fuel index was 60% higher than Q2 last year. This increase, along with the rupee depreciation, flowed directly through to our cost base, a 69% increase in our fuel cost. Second, the quarter reflected a measured and disciplined approach to capacity in a period of seasonally softer demand, with seed deployment across the industry approximately 5% lower year-on-year. If you recall, the industry capacity in Q2 last year also reflected seasonal adjustments. Third, in this environment, we delivered a 31% increase in PRASC, which exceeded our guidance of more than 25% growth. While this represents strong revenue performance, it did not fully offset the abnormally elevated costs. Beyond ticket revenue, we are also strengthening ancillary revenues through a combination of broader range of customer choices, easier access to add-on services across our digital channels and prices. Performing well, revenue growth of 37% year-on-year growth. Moving on to the headline numbers, we reported an income of 243 billion rupees, representing a growth of 24% year-over-year, with a yield growth of over 34% and a 2% point reduction in. In terms of profitability, EBITDA came in at 25 billion rupees at a margin of around 11 percent, compared to an EBITDA of 11 billion rupees and a margin of 6 percent for the same period last year. On a like-for-like basis, MTM and hedging, EBITDA margin declined by 5 percentage points, largely driven by fuel and cost escalation. The quarter ended 30th September 2026. We reported a net loss of 19 billion rupees compared to a loss of 26 billion rupees in the same quarter last year. Excluding the MTM and hedging impact, we reported a net loss of around 7 billion rupees compared to a net profit of around 1 billion rupees in the same period last year. Turning to our cost performance, Kask XFuel X4X MTM came in at INR 3.45 for the quarter, approximately 15% higher year-on-year. The increase was largely attributable to the following factors. The 9% depreciation of India rupee over the past 12 months, which increased the rupee cost of our U.S. dollar-denominated expenses, which led to under-absorption of fixed costs and annual contracts. In this volatile environment, we considered it economically prudent to conclude our wide-bodied Amplies operations with effect from 1st of November. We have derived useful long-haul operating experience ahead of the arrival of our... Even as we respond to the near-term operating environment, we continue to invest in our long-term growth priorities. During the quarter, we announced Dar es Salaam as our newest international destination with daily direct services from Mumbai beginning in November in Africa and Moving to the fleet, we inducted a total of 22 aircraft from our original order books, all of which were inducted through our entity in Gift City. We re-delivered 10 aircraft and 2 Damplees aircraft during the quarter, resulting in a total closing fleet of 442 aircraft at the quarter edge. Turning to the balance sheet, we continue to maintain a strong liquidity Thank you. On the revenue side, the environment remains supportive, with pricing continuing to reflect the higher cost backdrop and the base impact observed in October, we expect CRASC to grow by more than 25% here on here. For the full financial year, we expect on the cost side, X4X MTM to increase in the high single digits to early double digits range, largely reflecting the impact of rupee depreciation in addition to the usual escalations. We remain mindful of the near-term challenges posed by elevated costs. At the same time, pricing remains supportive. We will continue to act with discipline, carefully managing capacity, allocating capital prudently Now,

Richa Chavra Head of Investor Relations

to answer as many questions as possible, I would like to request that each participant limit themselves to one question, and one brief call-up question if needed. And with that, we are ready for the Q&A.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on the touch on telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and 2. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. First question is from Lainov Bnei Singh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Lainov Bnei Singh Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Hi, team. The company is managing quite well in a pretty tough environment. Just two questions, one on Prask and one on the Whitebody announcement. On the RASC side, when we talk about 25% plus in Q3, which implies the usual sequential jump, how are the customers responding to it? How are the load factors when you look into the Diwali week and all? Could you share a little bit about load factor outlook, both on domestic and international? The second is on the white body exit that we'll do from November. What will be the impact of that on, you know, the spreads, RASC minus CASC? Is that a positive impact? Anything you could share on that? Thanks.

Okay. I'll comment first, and if Garen has anything to add. So we think low factors in the third quarter, and remember it is seasonally stronger, We'll be flat during the quarter based on our current position and forward bookings that we're witnessing at the moment. And in relation to the wide body, let me hand over to Kieran.

Lainov Bnei Singh Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Sorry, this is flat on a YOY basis or on a quarter? Flat on a YOY basis.

Yeah, flat on YOY.

Lainov Bnei Singh Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Yeah, great. Thanks.

Kiran CFO

Yeah, on the white body removal, we expect it to be effective to spreads. This was always an investment case for us in the initial time period. And it was just, you know, a prudent economic decision in the current, you know, geopolitical situation of extremely high fuel costs.

Lainov Bnei Singh Analyst — Morgan Stanley

So, any numbers on that? Will it be around 3% or so of your ASKM, so higher percentage of CASC? Is that the right way to see?

So, I don't think we give an exact thing, but just to remind you that, you know, in the second quarter, our domestic ASKs were broadly flat, and our international ASKs were down about 2.9%. So, you know, it's really looking at the international ASKs, but the decision to end, at least, was an easy decision given the high fuel price, geopolitical issues impacting on the operation. As Kiran said in his opening remarks, we've learned a lot from the operation, which will stand us in good stead when we introduce the A350s in 2028.

Lainov Bnei Singh Analyst — Morgan Stanley

Great, great. Thank you. Thanks, Steve.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Next question is from Arvind Sharma from Citi. Please go ahead.

Arvind Sharma Analyst — Citi

Good evening, sir. Thank you for taking my question. This quarter, you actually reported a fuel task which was down quarter-on-quarter, but not so much, but still down quarter-on-quarter. While you did highlight that TF prices have been going up, what was the driver behind this slight decline on a quarter-on-quarter basis in fuel task? That was my first question. Second question would be on the winter schedule. Long haul is down. As you rightly said, whitebodies are concluding. We also see more and more slides from the new airport, especially in Abhi Mumbai. Does that help you or does that impact negatively the profitability? Those are two questions.

Kiran CFO

Sure. Yeah, why not address the question on fuel cask? As we indicated in the last quarter as well, the first quarter benefited from a 25% fuel cap that we had on domestic fuels, which the government had sort of provided support. So that's come off, you know, effective. Suppose that, you know, our prices are linked to market. That's the predominant driver versus what you would expect. But, you know, we've got a little bit of support from the government as well. There have been some back reductions.

And the new airports are very important to us in the long term. These are clearly strategically critical to support the long-term growth that we intend to pursue. So, you know, it's broadly, some of the charges are slightly higher, But to be honest, this is an investment in the long-term growth plans for the airlines. So very pleased to have the opportunity to move some of our operations to Navi and Mumbai. I think that's in bad need of redevelopment.

Arvind Sharma Analyst — Citi

Correct, sir. So essentially, your task coming down is primarily because of government carbon and water reduction. Is that understanding correct on a quarter-on-quarter basis?

Kiran CFO

In the first quarter. The first quarter had a fuel cap that the government had instituted. So they had supported the aviation industry by putting a cap on fuel prices to the extent of 25% over March prices. So we were buying, all of us were buying fuel in April, May, and up to June 8th on those cap prices. June 8th onwards, they come off. So June to now, we've been buying at market prices.

Arvind Sharma Analyst — Citi

But there's still low quarter-on-quarter. 2Q is below first quarter, the fuel task.

Kiran CFO

Singjet has come down. What we are trying to say is, the Singjet in first quarter was higher than the government prices on overall basis, right? So that's why you would have volatility within the month. So if you remember, in July, the prices would come down more significantly. So there is a little bit of volatility impact.

Arvind Sharma Analyst — Citi

One clarification on your guidance. The 3% ASK vote in the third quarter, are the cuts more in domestic or international operations?

It'll be more international in the third quarter. As you know, the third quarter is very strong in the Indian domestic market given the festive season.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. I request all the participants. Please limit yourself to two questions for participants and region for a follow-up. Next question is from Land of Kurpa Shankar from Aventus. Please go ahead.

Land of Kurpa Shankar Analyst — Aventus

Good evening, and thank you for the opportunity. My first question is for Vili. Just a strategic question. You know, given that you've built a lot of full-service carriers, and I want to understand how do you see Indigo balancing its low-cost score with its wide-body and long-haul ambitions?

Yeah, I don't really see it as being a particular challenge. I think where Ireland maybe got it wrong before is that they've accepted a compromise on their short haul operation, given the expected contribution that short haul feed makes the long haul. We're not going to make that mistake, and given the very significant short-haul network that we have in the Indian domestic market, I don't see any need for us to compromise on our short-haul model to facilitate feed into the long-haul. So, you know, we're very clear we have a very low call space today. That's going to give us the opportunity to expand into long haul off that low base. And we're not going to allow people internally to be distracted by the introduction into service of the wide body. And the simple outlook for India, I think, is very, very strong. I've been commenting on this. Last year, 78 million international passengers in India. Heathrow had 79 million. So you have one airport in Europe with more international passengers than the country here. So I think the long-term opportunity is very significant, and we want to participate in that. But we will remain absolutely laser-focused on our short-haul, low-cost operation and will not be distracted by anything that we need to do on the long-haul introduction.

Land of Kurpa Shankar Analyst — Aventus

The second question was lastly on recent news that government is planning to use strong rivers to prevent very sharp surges, and do you see any impact of this decision on peak season pricing and the overall free market pricing for the airline?

No, we don't see that at this stage. I think if there is a price stabilization fund that makes sense for us to participate in, then we clearly look to do that. But we wouldn't do anything that would artificially impact on taking the right decisions given the high fuel prices that we're encountering today. So if it makes sense, we will participate, and I give credit to the government for looking at an innovative way of trying to moderate the increase in the fuel price. But clearly, the terms of that will be the important issue for us.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

The line for the participant, Rod. Next question is from Lionel Sabri Hazarika from MK Global. Please, go ahead.

Lionel Sabri Hazarika Analyst — MK Global

Yeah, good evening. So, first question is, how do you see the elasticity of demand right now in terms of, given the increase in pay and increase in cost? So are you seeing some sort of, like, stimulation? How do you see it?

Yeah, I think it's a bit early to call that on the basis of one quarter, which is traditionally soft in India. You know, I've been very encouraged by what we've seen in the quarter and encouraged by what we're looking at going into Q3. And also encouraged by what other airlines are seeing across the world. So, you know, this situation isn't unique to us. I suppose what has hit us a bit harder than particularly the US carriers, who are also unhedged, has been our depreciation of the rupee against the dollar. But, you know, when we look at the actions that airlines are taking, I think we're all taking similar action. I think we're looking at that balance between yields management and load factor to ensure that we're maximizing the revenue generation for the airline. But demand has held up pretty well, and obviously we're going into a much stronger quarter with Q3, and haven't seen anything in the figures to date that would suggest there's an issue there.

Lionel Sabri Hazarika Analyst — MK Global

Got it. And second, small question. Any reason why other expenses have fallen sequentially?

Kiran CFO

There is a little...

Lionel Sabri Hazarika Analyst — MK Global

No, it's fine. It's fine. Yeah. Thank you so much, and wishing the new team all the best.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Pratek Kumar from Jefferies India. Please, go ahead.

Pratek Kumar Analyst — Jefferies India

Yeah. Hi. Good evening. I have a couple of questions. Firstly, on your task, XFUXXX guidance of 5Singles to Luhu WJS. Your first half numbers for this is, like, around 13%, which is, I guess, higher than loadable digits. So, we are looking at, like, sharp moderation on year-on-year basis in second half, or should be, like, work with higher, I mean, a 12% kind of number only for full year?

Kiran CFO

So, the primary reason for, you know, higher second quarter would be, like, we've been We have been talking about, and as we mentioned, we are looking at capacity increases to come up in the second half. So the utilization will catch up is what we are expecting, and that's why we are calling a late single digit, early double digit.

Pratek Kumar Analyst — Jefferies India

So it can still probably end at a midpoint at let's say 10%, which implies around only 7-8% year-on-year growth for second half versus 13% in first half. Sure. Yeah, okay. And the other international exit from Widebody could also be contributing to this assumption.

Kiran CFO

Other question?

Pratek Kumar Analyst — Jefferies India

One question on your exit from Widebody International, does this impact the preparedness for when you start launching XLRs because you lose, I don't know if you lose a London slot or a Heathrow slot or some other slots? Another related question is, are you also reviewing your aircraft delivery schedule with Evers?

The exit doesn't have any impact. We're using the XLR to maintain the slot as Amsterdam, so there's no longer-term impact as a result of the termination of the Norse wet lease, so it won't impact in any way on our plans going forward.

Pratek Kumar Analyst — Jefferies India

Another question?

No, we're not reviewing the fleet. Obviously, like every airline, there are some delays to the delivery schedules from Airbus, but no, we're still committed to the fleet orders that we have, and looking forward to taking delivery in 2028 of the A350s.

Pratek Kumar Analyst — Jefferies India

Thank you. We have a question.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Parasipans, can you name it to one question and one brief follow-up, and rejoin for the next question. Next question is from Lando Pramut Kumar from UBS Securities. Please go ahead.

Lando Pramut Kumar Analyst — UBS Securities

Yeah, thanks a lot for the opportunity, and welcome to Top Andment to the new role, and wish all the best for the future. My question is, really, regarding the capacity reduction that we've seen in 2Q, and given What is the framework you're using that decides how do you add back capacity over the next few quarters? Is there a particular purely margin threshold? I just want to understand what the framework which will guide you.

Yeah, obviously, we've got a very strong team who will look very carefully and take a prudent approach to the addition of any capacity. So we'll clearly do a detailed network analysis. So it's really on a flight-by-flight basis that we're looking at capacity. And, you know, I think the measures we took in Q2 were proven to be or have proven to be absolutely right, and we'll continue to apply that discipline as we go forward. But we do see much stronger demand in the third quarter to the seasonally soft second quarter that we've just come out of.

Lando Pramut Kumar Analyst — UBS Securities

Is there any particular numbers you've got, track internally, which will guide the expansion? And also related to that, could this also affect our F5, the next fiscal growth plans as well, the exceptionally high fuel prices, if they don't kind of normalize very soon?

You know, to be honest, I've no idea where the fuel price is going to be in a couple of months, never mind next year. What I can tell you is historically, as you know, the industry tends to adapt to the fuel price. So if the fuel price moves to a structurally higher level, and I think for jet fuel, it's particularly in relation to the crack spread. You know, we've seen food prices moderate a little. You know, they're in or around 110, 115, but it's the crack spread that has been significantly elevated. And I think some of that is down to the disruption in refining capacity, which should be corrected over time. So, you know, historically, the crack spread has been around 20 percent, a little over 20 percent. This year, we're seeing it, this year, on the average, around 60%, 65%. So while we would expect maybe to see some elevated crack spread, I don't think we'll expect to see it at such high levels going. But, you know, whatever the fuel price will be, the industry traditionally adapts to that change in the fuel price because it's such a key element of the overall call space of the industry.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Sir, thank you. Best of luck. From Jinesh Joshi, from PL Capital, please go ahead.

Jinesh Joshi Analyst — PL Capital

Yeah, thanks for the opportunity. Sir, I have a question which does not necessarily pertain to this quarter, but with respect to the ASKM guidance of 300 billion by FY30 that we gave some time ago. Now, given our 1H performance and the guidance that we have given for 3Q, that is in early single digit, we may end the year with an AAS game of, say, about $178 to $1 billion. What are the key drivers of growth here, given the fact that in domestic markets, given the current scenario where we are kind of slowing down a bit, growth lever with respect to achieving the long-term guidance that we gave?

Yeah, look, there's a lot of moving parts, but at this stage, I'm happy to stick to the long-term guidance. I don't see any change in our long-term approach to the business. We're starting with a very strong foundation. We're uniquely positioned in having fleets and aircraft deliveries that are well positioned over the next few years that gives us the opportunities to grow. There are lots of markets that we're not participating in today that we can't participate in where we see significant growth. We're all the time looking not just at the domestic market, which is clearly important for us, but also our ability to expand into international markets. I mentioned about the industry adapting to fuel prices. I think the industry also adapts very well to geopolitical issues. So, you know, we find our way around these issues. It may take a little bit of time. We may have to incur some short-term challenges and some short-term noise, but the long-term remains very positive in terms of the outlook for India. And I've seen nothing in my short time here and my knowledge of the industry, I've seen nothing that would cause me to say that those long-term targets are not achievable.

Jinesh Joshi Analyst — PL Capital

Sure. And so one last question from my side. I think this was asked earlier in the call as well, but just wanted some clarity on this bit with respect to the load factor and yield movement that we have seen in 1Q and 2Q. So, for example, in this quarter, our load factor was down by about 220 basis points, while the yield was up by about 34%. Even in 1Q, we saw a similar environment wherein yield jump was quite high, and we saw a 130 basis point decline in the lower factor. So, just wanted to kind of get some sense on this bit. Is it kind of fair to assume that the current reprising that we are seeing due to ETF inflation that is having an impact on demand, as evidenced by the declining lower factors, The moment the crude settles, we may revert back to our original pricing in terms of yield. What are your thoughts on that?

Well, the critical issue is the revenue, and that obviously, as you know, is a combination of both the yield and the load factor. And we look at the trade-off all the time, and not just across the network, but we'll take a view on operating on opportunities to generate additional revenues, through the premium product that we've introduced. Now, in the second quarter, it's small. We'll be growing on this. That's something that we've not seen historically, but I think the early indications of the performance of the stretch products, which I think is excellent, gives us reasons to be optimistic there. So that's going to be a feature of the business going forward. And obviously, the other thing we need to look at is our ability to generate ancillary revenues. So it's not just to focus on the fare. It's on the total revenues that we can generate. And we believe that there's scope for us to increase our average ancillary revenue per passenger as well as we go forward.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Thank you so much. Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ankara Peravan from Access Capital Limited. Please, go ahead.

Ankara Peravan Analyst — Access Capital Limited

Yeah, hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. First question on, you know, your thoughts on ASK growth for financial year 28, given that the aircraft deliveries have been slightly, you know, back-ended, and I'm combining the international expansion here, given that most of the incremental supplies were supposed to be absorbed in international, Given the fuel volatility, is there a possibility that ASK growth could be slightly back-ended even next year, given the fuel-led volatility and the macro?

We keep all of this under review, and I think we've demonstrated our flexibility during the second quarter and also our ability to move quickly to respond to any opportunities or challenges we see. So right now, we're not changing the financial year 28 growth guidance of mid-teens, but clearly we keep that under review. The aircraft deliveries are coming. There may be some short-term delays to some aircraft given some of the issues we see with the OEMs, but we're looking at more than one per week. So, you know, we can and we have played with utilisation, you know, as we've gone through this year, and we'll continue to look at that. So, all of our decisions will be taken to ensure that we take a prudent approach to the growth that we're adding to the network.

Ankara Peravan Analyst — Access Capital Limited

Sure, Vili. And just one follow-up there on the non-fuel cask inflation. This year, we are expecting high single-digit, low double-digit. But what should be a steady-state number here? Let's say 28 onwards.

Kiran CFO

So, like I mentioned before, we're talking about emergency depreciation, which is very, very sharp this year. And then there is, which you have seen, so that will sort of continue.

Ankara Peravan Analyst — Access Capital Limited

Thank you. Yeah, so my question was more on FY28, while I appreciate your comment on the current year inflation, but more on a steady state basis, 28. So INR depreciation may continue, but yeah, structured.

Kiran CFO

If you, yeah, if you back that out, it's in the mid-single-digit range.

Ankara Peravan Analyst — Access Capital Limited

Sure, that's helpful. Thank you and all the best.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Joseph George from IFL Capital Services. Please, go ahead.

Joseph George Analyst — 3A Capital Services

Thank you for the opportunity. The question that I had was, when you look at the pricing lever that we have exercised this quarter and projected into 3Q, it's pretty significant. We're talking about a 30% increase in yield, even though it's at a small cost in terms of volumes. Now, theoretically, if crude were to fall back to, say, $60 or $70, the scope for improvement in profitability is immense, that is, if you maintain current pricing. So, in that kind of a situation, what is a guiding factor you would look at, maybe in terms of sustainable spreads that you would like to operate?

Well, the first thing I'd say is it's not the crude price that's going to really impact us, Because as we've said, jet and crude have somewhat verged. We're not seeing the same movement in jet as we see in crude, principally because we've seen widening, crack spread. So we clearly have to be much more focused on the jet fuel price rather than the crude price. Yeah, I think if crude price comes down, that will probably play into lower general inflation, which would be a positive, given the impact that inflation would have on disposable income. So I'd see that as a positive for us. So, you know, we'll continue to monitor the fuel price and take pricing action that we think is appropriate in the environment in which we're operating. And obviously, we'll be looking at what other airlines do around the world, because I think we're all responding in pretty similar ways. So, going forward, we see opportunities, as I mentioned earlier, to grow the revenue contribution of the premium products and opportunities to grow the contribution that we get from ancillary. And the other thing we've seen in the second quarter, which is strong cargo that we can carry on long haul, but the underlying trends on cargo have been encouraging as well. Sure.

Joseph George Analyst — 3A Capital Services

Just one follow-up on the ATF bit. So, if I look at the average, you know, ATF and 2Q, could you guide us on where that number would be compared to 2Q as things stand today, you know, maybe the average for October, some, you know, guidance there based on the current crude and jet car.

Kiran CFO

Look, in line with, you know, being a guidance, obviously, but largely the differential would follow the…

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Next question is from Achal Kumar from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Achal Kumar Analyst — HSBC

Yeah, hi. Thanks for taking my question. First of all, I wanted to understand a bit more about the domestic market. You mentioned that demand is very strong in the domestic market. Then, obviously, you know, you have a Tier 1, Tier 2, Tier 3 cities. Tier 1 is more, you know, have strong penetration from the cargo, sorry, from the corporate, which are least price sensitive. But Tier 2, Tier 3 is actually more leisure, where Indigo has a very strong presence as computers appear. So now with the higher fares, of course, Tier 1 will still continue to sort of travel and, you know, you see more demand strength. But how do you see Tier 2, Tier 3? And have you done or are you thinking about doing any sort of network restructuring within the domestic market? Any color on that, please?

Yes, I don't see any need to do any major restructuring on the domestic market. But you've highlighted our approach to reviewing our capacity. Obviously, if we see any softness in certain areas, we can adjust capacity there. And that's pretty much the approach we took during the second quarter, and we'll continue to do that. So we'll be very agile in terms of how we manage our capacity, and we'll make corresponding adjustments, both positive and negative, depending on where we see the demand. And I think that's one of our strengths. We're able to respond very quickly, and I think the measures we took in the second quarter had a positive impact on the overall financial performance of the business. And we'll continue to do that as we go through the third quarter and fourth quarter as well.

Achal Kumar Analyst — HSBC

Right. And then I have follow-up on the products, different products which Indigo launched recently, including your loyalty, including your business class, including ancillaries. So how has been the performance? Of course, the business class has not been performing so well, your stress product, on some of the routes. International was doing great. So now, can you please give a bit of a color in terms of how these products are doing, and what kind of potential upside do you see, especially in ancillary? You know, the land where you are coming from really has a very strong ancillary venue, but in India, I think there are some government restrictions, so there are some limitations where they can reach. So can you please give a bit of a color on all that, please?

Yeah, no, you're right. Like the European environment, if you look at rhinos and ancillaries, I think they're about five, six times the average ancillary revenues per passenger that we generate, and much of that is because of what must be offered as part of the fare in India compared to Europe. But, you know, we have seen growth in the per passenger ancillary during the second quarter, went up from about 525 rupees to 590, which is encouraging, and I think there's still scope for further development than that. And obviously, we're only scratching the surface of the contribution that loyalty can make. Now, it'll take us a bit of time, but when you consider the number of members that we have now coming up, close to 20 million, the ability to generate additional revenues through a structured program there, and we've brought in a new leadership there, very encouraged by the early developments. And then if I look at the premium, the stretch product, it's actually very encouraging. I think we've probably been a bit shy about promoting the product in the premium market. I think it's an excellent product. More and more people are getting to know about it. People are very encouraged when they experience it. The research we've done is encouraging. And the figures on international are very positive as well. So, you know, without question, there's scope for growth in revenue per passenger.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Next question is from the line of Aditya Monglia from Kodak Institutional Equities. Please, go ahead.

Aditya Monglia Analyst — Kotak Institutional Equities

Yes, thank you for the opportunity. My first question was especially on the interplay between pricing strategy and your capacity. As in the context is that some of the U.S. majors have started talking about kind of ensuring that their capacity planning depends on where crude is, with the end game of maintaining price points in the market from where they are today. You talked about near-term following this kind of strategy with next one to fourth, but thinking about FY28, what are your thoughts on kind of continuing to kind of tinker with capacity addition so that the pricing in the market remains pretty much where it is at this point of view?

You know, I've heard some CEOs say they're going to keep the prices where they are even if the fuel price falls. You know, nice thing to say. I think it's going to be challenging to implement. I've heard CEOs say that before. You know, my experience is there's almost a direct correlation between the fuel price and ticket prices. As fuel prices go up, ticket prices go up. As fuel prices come down, ticket prices come down. Yeah, not exactly in line, but there is a correlation there, and I would expect to see that continue. I think what we've seen so far this year has been very encouraging. We're going to continue to be prudent. We'll look at the reaction to the markets when we do make adjustments to the pricing, be that in the price or in the fuel surcharge. But the bottom line, and, you know, we've been saying this very publicly, there's no way you can avoid increases in fares when you see such significant increases in the fuel price. You know, it's inevitable that the fuel price will ultimately get passed through to consumers, and that's the reality of the industry. So, you know, the response that you should expect to see will be similar to everybody participating in the industry because everybody ultimately has to pay the same price for fuel. And even if you look at the airlines in Europe that are hedged, you know, their hedging will start expiring. So while maybe European consumers have not seen the same degree of fare increases on the short haul, you've heard Michael O'Leary talk about unprecedented increases in fares next year. And what that reflects is the fact that the fuel hedges that the likes of Ryanair, EasyJet, and wheels have in place will start unwinding.

Aditya Monglia Analyst — Kotak Institutional Equities

The second question, the final question from my side. Again, I wanted to get your views on this aspect. There have been talks of airports being allowed to be only airlines in the country. I wanted to get a sense that if this was to become an eventuality, how do you think through the risks that emanate to Indigo in the very near term?

No, I think the issue there is there's a clear conflict of interest in terms of, you know, an airport that owns an airline and slot distribution, and I would expect regulators to look very closely at those. You know, like, this is a brutally competitive industry, and, you know, we've got a lot of experienced airline people who are doing a great job at running airlines that are very efficient and not making money. And if airports, you know, want to do that, they want to lose money, I'd suggest they reduce their prices, actually. You know, maybe that would be easier if they want to give money away. Why don't they give it to the customers that are using their airports at the moment rather than do something that's not necessary?

Aditya Monglia Analyst — Kotak Institutional Equities

Rota, thank you. It goes over to my question.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Kushagar Bhattar from CWC Advisors. Please go ahead.

Kushagar Bhattar Analyst — CWC Advisors

Yeah, hi. Thanks for the opportunity, and welcome to the new management. A strong show on the pricing. Just two questions. One is, if you can give some more color on, let's say, how many of your bookings came from the blue chip members, and a related thing would be, let's say, if you can give us some more sense as to, the base has already reached 20 million, but let's say the top 2 million, And then unique customers would be contributing meaningfully, given they would be high-frequency customers, right? So a color on that will be really helpful. And I have a second follow-up question as well.

Yeah, it's still very early days, and I think some of our early figures, you know, may not give you an accurate assessment of where we see the long-term value. You know, so I know from my previous roles that this can be a very significant contributor to revenue, and what you tend to find is active members tend to book and generate revenue that are multiples of what the sort of casual engaged customers are. So I think it would be too early for me to give you any figures that would be meaningful, but we do have, as I said, around 20 million. The opportunity is to turn those members into active members and to develop a scheme that's attractive for them and encourages them to fly with us, to earn points with us, and to redeem those points with us and with our partners. And we're going to follow the same business model that has been so successful with other airlines, including my experience at IAG through Avios. So we'll certainly give you a lot more information on this as we go forward, but it's very early now.

Kushagar Bhattar Analyst — CWC Advisors

Sure, Billy. Our second question would be on if you can give more color on the pricing and the utilization. So, you gave a lot of color, but let's say, if you can give us more sense on how the pricing and utilization trended out in the domestic market between the three segments, which you generally call out on your investor day, right? Metro to metro, metro to non-metro, and between, let's say, non-metro to non-metro, like where the revenue maximization worked out best for you versus your own expectations between these three sub-segments will be really helpful. And a related question would be how much of the yield increase would have come from increasing share of the premium products, right, would be really helpful. Yeah, that's it from my side. Thank you, and all the best guys.

Yeah, no, the second one, it wasn't meaningful. What I'm talking about in the premium project is where we see the contribution going forward, and that's why you may have seen we had an advertising campaign around Stretch. I think it started last week and it finishes up. But that's why we're encouraged by what we're seeing there. And actually, the experience was pretty consistent right across the network during the second quarter. So we'll keep that under review. But it was encouraging what we saw, and it was pretty consistent on the three segments that you've called us.

Neera Analyst — Coordinator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as a last question. On behalf of Indigo, that concludes today's conference. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

Analyst Q&A · 25 questions
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