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Equibles

YMM · Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. · Short Interest

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$8.17 +0.00 (+0.00%) At close · Oct 2
Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$8.56B
Shares
1.05B
Volume · Oct 2 5.06M Avg daily vol (3M) 6.54M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

YMM Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 20,086,179 YMM shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, a decrease of 3,476,699 shares. Days to cover was 3.92 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

YMM Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 20,249,345 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, +0.8% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 17,519,276 to 23,289,448 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Sep 30 short interest

as of Sep 30 Low confidence 50% chance it rises
20,249,345 +0.8% vs reported
Likely range 17,519,276 to 23,289,448 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 9. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
44/100
Short interest 1.9% of shares — P48 Days to cover 3.9 — P54 Price vs VWAP -6.9% — P43 Short-volume trend +1.6% — P53 Short interest change -14.8% — P17 Worst FTD 0.00% of shares — P23

Positioning score 43.6 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-04 13:02 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 9
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-15 20,086,179 23,562,878 -3,476,699 3.92
    2026-08-31 23,562,878 19,942,184 +3,620,694 2.56
    2026-08-14 19,942,184 20,147,894 -205,710 3.45
    2026-07-31 20,147,894 18,850,569 +1,297,325 3.00
    2026-07-15 18,850,569 22,471,981 -3,621,412 2.84
    2026-06-30 22,471,981 25,292,502 -2,820,521 3.27
    2026-06-15 25,292,502 17,654,323 +7,638,179 3.50
    2026-05-29 17,654,323 15,765,283 +1,889,040 1.00
    2026-05-15 15,765,283 15,854,150 -88,867 2.43
    2026-04-30 15,854,150 18,085,820 -2,231,670 2.90
    2026-04-15 18,085,820 18,644,115 -558,295 3.54
    2026-03-31 18,644,115 17,852,160 +791,955 2.56
    2026-03-13 17,852,160 18,540,782 -688,622 2.16
    2026-02-27 18,540,782 19,238,050 -697,268 2.81
    2026-02-13 19,238,050 18,496,973 +741,077 2.92
    2026-01-30 18,496,973 21,800,556 -3,303,583 2.34
    2026-01-15 21,800,556 20,308,803 +1,491,753 1.32
    2025-12-31 20,308,803 24,859,838 -4,551,035 4.77
    2025-12-15 24,859,838 20,977,535 +3,882,303 3.87
    2025-11-28 20,977,535 23,486,649 -2,509,114 2.07
    2025-11-14 23,486,649 22,579,080 +907,569 6.10
    2025-10-31 22,579,080 20,671,574 +1,907,506 3.50
    2025-10-15 20,671,574 25,373,649 -4,702,075 2.72

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 1838413 CUSIP 35969L108 13F (30d) 6 filings 6 filers Visit website Investor relations