ADGM · Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. · Short Interest
Substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.
“As of the report date, we do not believe our existing cash and cash equivalents are sufficient to fund our operating and capital expenditure requirements for at least 12 months from the date of issuance of the audited consolidated financial statements included in this Report. Based on our current research and development plans, we expect to have sufficient resources to fund our planned operations into the fourth quarter of 2026. We have based this estimate on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could exhaust our capital resources sooner than expected. No assurance can be given as to whether additional needed financing will be available on terms acceptable to us, if at all. If sufficient funds on acceptable terms are not available when needed, we may be required to suspend or forego certain planned activities. Failure to manage discretionary spending or raise additional financing, as needed, could adversely impact our ability to achieve our intended business objectives and may have an adverse effect on our results of operations and future prospects. These factors raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern for the twelve-month period from the date of this filing with the SEC.”View the 10-Q filed Aug 11, 2026
Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.
ADGM Latest Reported Short Interest
FINRA reported 259,188 ADGM shares sold short as of the August 31, 2026 settlement date, a decrease of 66,227 shares. Days to cover was 1.00 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.
Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing
ADGM Short Interest Forecast
Equibles' model estimates 182,072 shares sold short for the September 15, 2026 settlement, -29.8% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 103,417 to 253,978 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 11, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected September 24, 2026.
Expected Sep 15 short interest
as of Sep 11 High confidence 91% chance it fallsPositioning score 28.1 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.
Method and coverage limits
Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-08-31). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.
Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.
The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.
Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity
Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.
No active listed options were found.
Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.
Assessment prepared 2026-09-13 09:53 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.
Short Interest History
| Settlement Date | Current Position | Previous Position | Change | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2026-09-30
Scheduled
FINRA publishes Oct 9
|
— | — | — | — |
|
2026-09-15
Scheduled
FINRA publishes Sep 24
|
— | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | 259,188 | 325,415 | -66,227 | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | 325,415 | 59,553 | +265,862 | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | 59,553 | 62,497 | -2,944 | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | 62,497 | 60,242 | +2,255 | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | 60,242 | 69,890 | -9,648 | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | 69,890 | 63,955 | +5,935 | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | 63,955 | 40,990 | +22,965 | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-15 | 40,990 | 62,765 | -21,775 | 1.00 |
| 2026-04-30 | 62,765 | 50,386 | +12,379 | 1.00 |
| 2026-04-15 | 50,386 | 24,396 | +25,990 | 1.00 |
| 2026-03-31 | 24,396 | 15,249 | +9,147 | 1.00 |
| 2026-03-13 | 15,249 | 74,890 | -59,641 | 1.00 |
| 2026-02-27 | 74,890 | 74,411 | +479 | 2.68 |
| 2026-02-13 | 74,411 | 56,600 | +17,811 | 1.33 |
| 2026-01-30 | 56,600 | 57,675 | -1,075 | 1.00 |
| 2026-01-15 | 57,675 | 327,918 | -270,243 | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | 327,918 | 441,789 | -113,871 | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-15 | 441,789 | 387,663 | +54,126 | 2.26 |
| 2025-11-28 | 387,663 | 479,968 | -92,305 | 3.73 |
| 2025-11-14 | 479,968 | 504,827 | -24,859 | 7.96 |
| 2025-10-31 | 504,827 | 133,416 | +371,411 | 4.49 |
| 2025-10-15 | 133,416 | 209,056 | -75,640 | 1.00 |
| 2025-09-30 | 209,056 | 152,465 | +56,591 | 1.00 |
| 2025-09-15 | 152,465 | 144,176 | +8,289 | 1.23 |
Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar