Operator
Welcome to the Rank Group H1 2026 conference call. Please note the call will be recorded. During today's call, webcast participants will be in a listen-only mode while we conduct the question and answer session. If you wish to ask a question, we ask that you please use the raise hand function at the bottom of your Zoom screen or, if you've dialed in, star 9. Further instructions will follow at the time of Q&A. I would now like to turn the call over to Maximilian König, Senior Investor Relations Manager. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much, Operator. Good morning and welcome everyone to our H1 2026 Results Conference Call. With me today are our CEO, Dr. Alexander Sagel and our CFO, Anja Mencipier. Alexander and Anja will guide you through today's presentation. Afterwards, we will open the floor for your questions. Let me now hand over to Alexander. Alexander, please go ahead.
Hello, Max. Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, also from my side, a very warm welcome and many thanks for joining today's H1 2026 conference call. For the sake of time, let me start directly by going into the presentation. However, please allow me just some very quick personal remarks up front. The last six to seven months were very successful for RANK in regards to financial performance, credibility, technological milestones and major steps forward towards strategy execution. We are fully on track to deliver our 2026 guidance and to position us, as always communicated, in the upper half of the adjusted average range. Having said this, ladies and gentlemen, let's move now to slide 1, showing a selection of highlights for the second quarter. The strong order intake is clearly one of these highlights, and therefore let me start directly with a quick review of some of the larger key order intakes during Q2. First, we extended our framework agreement with Rheinmetall on the LINX program, including transmissions and final drives worth up to 270 million euro and including further options in the range of 63 million euro furthermore rank america was awarded the follow-on thor four frame contract by the u.s army up to 691 million u.s dollar over five years and also including further upside options. In Q2, we already booked around 121 million euro as order intake according to contract terms. In addition, and staying in the domain land for a moment, we saw further orders for engines from an international customer, more spare parts orders in our lead plant here in Augsburg, and the very first Patriot track series orders, which were further supported by a recent collaboration agreement between Finland, Norway and Latvia during the NATO summit in Ankara. Last, but certainly not least, also our Navy business showed strong order momentum with orders from various international free trade programs, for example the Frem in Italy or the Milgram in Turkey, just to name a few of them. In total, we enjoyed a record H1 order intake of roughly 1.2 billion euro, clearly demonstrating continued strong and international demand for our products and technologies. For your information, approximately 13% 1.3% of the order intake from H1 comes from the German customer. Also during Q2, we proudly celebrated the 4000th Leopard 2 transmission going into production. Needless to say that the Leopard 2 is one of the most relevant MPT platforms worldwide and ranked Julius a proud sole-source supplier for this program in over 20 countries in over 40 years. A very important highlight of the second quarter was certainly the Eurusatory in June. Together with Patria, we presented our concept of a heavy-tracked UGV, where the digitalization of our transmission is the core enabler for future unmanned mobility. The strong interest from various customers, MODs and the media was not only very impressive, but also underlining the leading role of rank in this new product segment in combination with our today's strong market position. one milestone i'm personally very proud of the signing of david brown defense where we are doing nothing less than building the global leader in naval power transmissions with unique access to the five eyes markets and so far at least for us uncovered new product segments and technologies or in different words consequently executing our m&a strategy ladies and gentlemen Let's move now to slide two, which summarized the crew performance for H1. Before we are going into a more detailed discussion, sorry, I was on the wrong page. As you can see in the orange boxes at the top, all relevant KPIs are showing a quite positive development, starting with the order intake. As mentioned before, a very strong H1 performance with a book to bill ratio of 1.9, where the approximately 1.2 billion euro order intake is almost on a similar level as 2025 after nine months. On the revenue side, growth is fully in line with our fixed order backlog and customer delivery schedules. Please let me remind you at this point of our well-known Israel effect. In the first two quarters of 2025, we had approximately 20 to 25 million euros of revenues per quarter related to Israel. For 2026, the deliveries were and are scheduled, according to our customer contracts, to start at the end of Q2 and peaking during age two. For your information, the deliveries have started as planned. Adjusted EBIT grew strongly by around 10% year on year, once again clearly outpacing revenue growth, and the margin continued to expand to 15.4%, driven by the operating impact of our modular production line and group-wide performance measures. Finally, our defense business is slightly up to now 75%, while our high aftermarket share remains stable with a strong aftermarket performance in Q2. For your information, we are currently in the process to finalize our aftermarket strategy 2035. From today's perspective, we are confident to secure a stable aftermarket share of approximately 35% to 40% by 2030, despite a significant increase of new business. Beyond 2030, we do see further substantial growth potential of in total up to €2 billion of revenues per year towards 2035. Ladies and gentlemen, before we are going into a more detailed discussion of our business performance, please allow me to briefly put a couple of recent and important events during H1 into our rank perspective. The bigger picture is straightforward. NATO and relevant member countries are clearly on the move, committed to increasing defense spendings and defined capability requirements, and growing into a new role of responsibility or so-called burden-sharing. The NATO summit in Ankara confirmed the 5% total defense spending target from last year, and the focus has shifted from deep hate to implementation, with faster execution and faster delivery expectations. The United States will further increase defense spending, and the same is true for countries like, for example, Germany and UK, which are planning to invest more than 900 billion euro during the next four years. Equally important is the so-called capability mix the alliance had defined already during last year's summit in Den Haag, including, besides air defense, long-range precision strike, ISR, and space, the so-called conventional mass, which covers land and sea platforms, ammunition, drones, and unmanned platforms. Nothing more, but also nothing less was confirmed in Ankara. From a strategic perspective, it is important to understand that armoured land and sea platforms continue to play a key important role in the future combat readiness of the Alliance. Germany, for example, already awarded during the last 12 months contracts for armoured land platforms of more than €18 billion, while the so-called procurement authorizations are with more than €44 billion still on a very high level. From a rank perspective, it is important to understand that the current budgets and capability mix are fully in line with our scenarios and midterm targets for 2030 and beyond. Let's move now to slide number four. As you all know, defense is the core of our business and the main driving force behind our crew performance. Defense-related order intake grew strongly to roughly 1 billion in H1 plus 48% compared to last year, driven by strong and ongoing demand across our international core markets. On the revenue side, defense grew to around €488 million or plus 6% versus H1 2025. Normalizing the H1 2026 defense revenue for the before mentioned Israel effect, the underlying growth would be higher in the mid-teens. Ladies and gentlemen, please allow me to have a quick and really only a quick few in our division starting with VMS on page 5. more details will come later of course from Anya. VMS is once again our clear and absolute growth engine. Revenue grew by around 8% in H1 2026, fully in line with customer contracts and delivery schedules. Order intake showed a new record H1 of 970 million, so almost 1 billion, which is plus 43% year-on-year and related to a book-to-bill ratio of 2.3. The modular assembly line in Augsburg, no news, is up and running, showing good performance and supporting strong margin improvements. Moving now quickly to our marine and industry division. Regarding revenues, 2026 started slow during Q1, but showed a significantly better performance during Q2, including a partial recovery of customer-induced delays from Q1. The Navy business is clearly the driver of the M&I performance, while the industrial part remains under cyclical market pressure. As a result, H1 revenues came in 6% below last year's performance. Regarding order intake, we do see a similar picture. Strong Q2 performance compared to Q1, but overall with 164 million euro for H1 at a lower level compared to H1 2025. Last but not least, a few words on slight bearings. Revenues came in slightly below prior year, reflecting ongoing headwinds from weak industrial end markets and lower aftermarket business in H1 2026. Ladies and gentlemen, let's move now to the last slide of my introduction, our total order backlog. Despite a strong revenue conversion, our fixed order backlog further increased to now 2.8 billion euro, driven by a strong order intake, and finally leading to a total order backlog of 7.4 billion euro, which is roughly 5.3 times our LTM revenues. Also important to note that approximately 75% of our total order backlog is widely spread across our international customer base, where Germany contributes with approximately 24%. This geographic diversification truly is, besides our strong aftermarket business, a very important USP of rank. Having said this, I would like now to hand over to Anja for a deeper look into our Q2 financials. Anja, over to you.
Thank you, Alexander. And a warm welcome from my side as well. The first half of 26 combined record order momentum with further progress in profitability. Group order intake reached almost 1.2 billion, book to bill improved to 1.9 times, and fixed order backlog increased around 2.8 billion. Revenues grew more moderately, reflecting a strong execution in VMS and lower volumes in MNI and slight variance. Adjusted EBIT increased by 10.1 percent, clearly ahead of revenue, and the margin improved to 15.4 percent. This was driven by higher output and better capacity utilization in VMS. Reported earnings, however, were affected by higher M&A and transformation-related expenses. At divisional level, VMS delivered strong growth across orders, revenues, and earnings. M&I remained below the prior year for the first half, but improved materially in the second quarter. Slide bearings continued to face pressure from weak industrial demand, lower utilization, and product mix. Free cash flow increased to approximately 42 million, while networking capital remained broadly stable and leverage stayed at 1.5 times. Overall, the first half confirms strong demand, improving operating leverage and significantly strong cash generation. Let's start with our group performance in the first half of 26. Order intake increased by 29.7% year over year from 921 million to a record high of around 1.2 billion. The second quarter was particularly strong with order intake increasing by 64% to 613 million. As Alexander described already in more detail, this development was mainly driven by VMS and continued high demand for land-based defense mobility solutions. Revenue increased moderately by 2.7%, from $620 million to $637 million. In the second quarter, revenue grew by 2% to $354 million. Higher output and continued execution in VMS more than compensated for lower first half revenue in marine and industry and slight bearings. As a result, our book-to-build ratio improved from 1.5 times to a very strong 1.9 times for the first half year of 26. With a second quarter ratio of 1.7 times, order intake remained at a high level. This strong demand environment translated into further growth in our fixed order backlog. Compared with year-end 25, fixed-order backlog increased by 25.9% from approximately 2.3 billion to approximately 2.8 billion. This provides us with a high degree of visibility for the coming periods. The key takeaway is that RENC continued to strengthen its future business base. Demand remains very strong. Backlog reached a new level, and we are progressively translating this demand into higher revenue through the ongoing production ramp-up. Moving on to profitability and leverage. Adjusted cross-profit increased by 7.8% from 171 million in the first half of 25 to 184 million in the first half of 26. The adjusted cross-profit margin improved from 27.6 to 28.9%. This development was primarily supported by higher output and positive scale effects in VMS, which more than offset the volume and mix-related pressures in M&I and slight bearings. The second quarter confirms the same pattern. Adjusted cross-profit increased by 8% to 100 million, while the margin improved from 26.7 to 28.3%. Adjusted EBIT increased even more strongly by 10.1% from $89 million to $98 million. As a result, the adjusted EBIT margin expanded by one percentage point from 14.4% to 15.4%. In the second quarter, adjusted EBIT increased by 10% to $56 million with the margin improving from 14.6% to 15.8%. This is an important point because earnings growth, again, clearly outpaces revenue growth. It demonstrates the operating leverage within the group and, in particular, the benefits from the continued production ramp-up and higher capacity utilization in VMS. On the balance sheet, net debt increased moderately by 16 million or 4.1% from 391 million at year end to 407 million at the end of June 26. At the same time, leverage remains stable at 1.5 times last 12-month adjusted EBITDA. This development also needs to be seen in the context of the 58 million dividend payment during the first half of 26. In summary, RANK continued to deliver profitable growth and margin expansion while maintaining stable leverage and a disciplined financial position. Let us turn to VMS, where business momentum strengthened further during the first half of 2016. Its role as our growth engine was already highlighted by Alexander. The division secured 970 million of new orders, an increase of 42.6% compared with the prior year period. Almost half of this amount was booked in the second quarter when order intake rose by 73% to 492 million. This reflects the sustained pace of customer demand for land-based defense application and further enhances the vision's already strong revenue visibility. Revenue reached 419 million, up 7.6% year-over-year. Second quarter revenue increased by 5% to 227 million. The progress reflects tangible improvements in production throughput, including the modular setup in Augsburg, together with a strong contribution from our operations in Muskegon. The quality of this growth is particularly visible in earnings. Adjusted EBIT rose by 20.5% to $80 million, considerably faster than revenue, and the adjusted EBIT margin increased from 71.1% to 19.2%. In the second quarter, the margin reached 19.9%, supported by higher volumes, improved utilization, and the resulting fixed cost absorption. The widening gap between revenue growth and earnings growth illustrates how the ongoing industrial ramp-up is translating into stronger operating leverage. VMS combined exceptional order momentum with higher output and a further step-up in profitability. Turning next to M&I, the first half-year figures show a mixed picture with a noticeably strong second quarter. New orders total 164 million, 9.9% below the prior year level of 183 million. The quarterly development, however, moved in the positive direction. Second quarter order intake reached 94 million, up 57% year over year. This rebound was supported by the naval and aftermarket businesses and materially reduced the shortfall recorded after the first quarter. Revenue for the first month period amounted to $165 million compared with $176 million a year earlier. The decline narrowed to only 3% in the second quarter when revenue reached $100 million. Some planned deliveries were not finalized within the reported period and will therefore contribute in later quarters. Adjusted EBIT came in at 16 million versus 19 million in the first half of 25, corresponding to a margin of 9.9% compared to 10.7% in the prior year period. Lower first half volumes limited fixed cost absorption and consequently weighed on earnings. In the second quarter, adjusted EBIT increased by 5% to 12 million and the margin improved from 11.1% to 11.9%, supported by a stronger business mix and higher margin naval activities. Overall, the first half comparison remains below last year, but the direction of travel improved materially during the second quarter. The recovery in order intake and profitability supports the view that naval business remains fundamentally sound, while the remaining revenue gap is predominantly linked to delivery phasing. Slight bearings continued to face weaker industrial headwinds during the first half with limited top-line movement, but a more pronounced impact on earnings. Order intake mounted to $64 million compared with $66 million in the prior year period. The second quarter was stable at $30 million, indicating that demand did not deteriorate fundamentally. Although the division has yet to see a mini-fungal recovery in its industrial end markets. Revenue came in at 60 million, 4.4% below the previous year. Second quarter revenue declined by 7% to 30 million. Overall, the top line remained comparatively resilient despite the lack of broader market growth. The earnings effect was more substantial. Adjusted EBIT decreased from 10 million to 8 million in the first half, resulting in a margin of 12.5% compared with 16.6% a year earlier. In the second quarter, adjusted EBIT was 3 million and the margin stood at 11.7%. This difference between the relative moderate revenue decline and the above average reduction in earnings reflects lower factory utilization and a less supportive product mix. With fewer volumes passing through the existing cost base, the division was unable to maintain the exceptionally strong profitability recorded in the prior year. In essence, slight bearings preserved a broadly stable business space, but the current industrial environment constrained both operating leverage and mix. A more visible improvement in profitability will therefore depend on a recovery in volumes and a normalization of the product mix. Now let me move on to our bridge from reported operating profit to the underlying earnings performance of the group. Operating profit was broadly stable at 58 million compared with 59 million in the first half of last year. Purchase price allocation effects were also virtually unchanged with 21.9 million. The main year-over-year movement therefore came from the remaining adjustments which increased from $7.8 million to $18.2 million, around $10 million related to M&A activities, primarily related to the acquisition of David Brown defense. The balance mainly reflects the implementation of group-wise process standard, system improvements, and severance-related expenses. After accounting for these items, adjusted EBIT reached around $98 million, up from $89 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA increased by a similar rate of around $115 million. The important distinction here is between the reported result and the underlying operating development. Reported operating profit absorbed a higher level of transaction and transformation expenditure, whereas the adjusted figure reflect the clear earnings improvement generated by the business. Looking at networking capital, the overall position was virtually unchanged over the first six months. Net working capital closed June 2026 at $344 million, compared with $345 million at year-end. Relative to last 12 months' revenue, the ratio adds down from 25.2% to 24.9%, despite the continued expansion of production activity. The composition, however, shifted meaningfully. Inventories rose by 71 million to 507 million as we increased work in progress and secured materials for the planned output ramp up for the second half year, particularly within VMS Augsburg. This build is therefore closely linked to scheduled customer deliveries and the conversion of our order book. This increase in inventory was offset by favorable movements related to the remaining components, mainly driven by cutoff effects. Customer receivables declined by 44 million to 331 million, while prepayments received increased by 25 million to 347 million. Trade payables also provided a modest contribution, rising to 147 million. Taken together, these developments kept groups' networking capital broadly flat while enabling a higher level of operational activity. Going forward, our priority remains to control the elevated inventory position and to turn it into deliveries, revenue, and cash as planned. The first half, cash flow bridge, shows a marked improvement in cash generation compared with the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA provided a starting point at around $115 million. From this amount, $18 million of adjustments were deducted, reflecting the transaction and transformation-related items covered in the previous slide. Working capital contributed approximately $6 million to cash flow. The positive overall effect resulted from lower receivables and higher customer prepayments, which more than compensated for the continued increase in inventories required for the production ramp up. Cash outflow was also included around 17 million to capital expenditure and around 20 million to tax payments. After other cash flow effects, unlevered free cash flow amounted to 54 million following the interest results of around 12 million. Reported free cash flow reached around 42 million. Compared with 11.5 million in the first half of last year, this represents a substantial step up. The improvement was supported by stronger working capital performance, although part of the development reflects payment patterns and reporting date effects. On a last 12-month basis, the cash conversion reached 65.9%. It is also worth noting that on a standalone Q2 basis, cash conversion rate reached an outstanding 130.1%. This demonstrates that the group generated meaningful cash while continuing to fund higher output inventory requirements and future profitable growth. Overall, the first half bridge shows that RANK's earnings were converted into significantly stronger free cash flow. Let me briefly cover the refinancing we successfully completed after the reporting date. We replaced our previous year financing structure with a new unsecured syndicated financing package of around $1 billion. The package consists of $450 million term loan, a $225 million revolving credit facility, and $375 million of syndicated guarantee lines, with a five-year maturity and two one-year extension options. Additional bilateral guarantee lines of 80 million were also agreed. The refinancing was strongly supported by our international banking consortium, with commitments clearly exceeding the required volume. We see this as a strong sign of confidence in rank strategic positioning, business development and future growth path. Economically, the new structure comes with significantly improved credit margin and is expected to reduce annual financing costs by around 7 million. This compares with one-off costs of around 2.5 million for the new financing and around 1 million for the unwinding of existing interest rate hedges. Equally important, the new financing is unsecured. The previous collateral package and restrictive conditions for raising additional financing have been removed. This gives us materially more flexibility for future profitable growth steps, investments, and potential acquisitions. In summary, thanks to the trust of our banking partners, place, and rank, we prolonged our robust capital structure, lowered financing costs, and gained more strategic flexibility. Said that, I would like to hand back to Alexander, who will proceed with our outlook.
Yeah, thank you, Anja. Ladies and gentlemen, let me now come back with a few concluding comments from my side and moving straight to slide 20. Starting first with our guidance for 2026. To make it short and crisp, we confirm our 2026 guidance with revenues above 1.5 billion and adjusted EBIT between 255 and 285 million. And we are clearly targeting the upper half of the adjusted EBIT range. The main operational levers are unchanged and should be familiar to you from our Q1 call. Full focus on operational execution, performance and delivery, while in parallel moving straight forward with our capacity expansion. In terms of phasing, we always communicated that 2026 will be very back-end loaded with a stronger H2. And this is still the case. And you know it, more than 90% of our planned 2026 revenues is already covered by our fixed order backlog. Therefore, let me continue now with a quick view on our order intake situation for 2026 and moving to the next page. Regarding order intake, we are looking at a very attractive pipeline for the rest of After roughly 1.2 billion Euro during H1, 2026, we are on track towards our full-year target to secure approximately 2 billion Euro of order intake in 2026. The H2 pipeline is geographically diversified and very tangible. On the naval side, we do expect further frigates and destroyers during Q3 and Q4, while for our land business, we do see more significant orders for various armored platforms. You find the selection on the right-hand side of this page, and if you want, we can go through this in the discussion afterwards. Regarding Q3, and driven by the timing of the specific projects, we do expect order intake on a lower level compared to Q1 and Q2, and also lower than expected for Q4, thus moving us in a range between 300 to 400 million euro. Please Please allow me a few words regarding our operations and follow me to the next page, page 22. To sum it up, we are absolutely focused on executing our capacity ramp-up plan in Germany for land transmission, and especially Q2 and Q3 26 are marking very important milestones on our way to almost triple our capacity towards 2030. Just to give you some quick impressions, and starting with our lead plant in Augsburg, where new fully automated and to be honest quite massive CNC machining centers are getting installed and starting to run in three shifts five days a week. Regarding our modular assembly line concept we are currently in the process to further roll out this very successful approach from our final assembly shop into the sub-assembly and spare part operations followed by the MRO operations during Q4 26 and in the beginning of Q1 2027. Also very important and related to David Brown defense, we started machining of the first Type 26 Freegate main gear here in Augsburg in order to prepare for future operational synergies regarding Type 26 deliveries and overall capex spendings. Leaving now Augsburg and going to Reiner, where we are step-by-step converting a former 100% industrial site into a defense operation by, for example, the installation of further CNC machining centers. Not new, but maybe important to mention again, we are executing our capacity expansion for converting order backlog into future profitable growth in a very disciplined way with limited capex needs. 3% on average until 2030, and below 5% for 2026. Let's move to slide 23 and some quick words on David Brown defense, or in short, DBD. As you already said in the beginning of this call, the acquisition of DBD is the consequent execution of our M&A strategy. With transmissions for large surface combatants and submarines, including the Type 26 program, DBD is providing us with a unique market access to the so-called Five Eyes nations, including US, UK, Canada and Australia. RANK will be the only Navy transmission system supplier serving all those markets, thus expanding our global leadership in the naval domain. Regarding the domain land, David Brown contributes with transmission systems and power pack integrations for tracked and wheeled armored vehicles, like the Challenger 2, 3, or the Boxer MIV myth. While I will not run you through all the numbers on that slide, we did it, by the way, during our call on July 3rd, let me emphasize that the preparations for the PMI phase have already started even before the signing on July 3rd. Closing is targeted for Q4-2026. After closing, David Brown will be integrated into the M&I division. Our integration is structured in different phases, first with a clear focus on improving operations, realizing operation synergies and safeguarding deliveries, followed by leveraging new growth opportunities from joint market access supported by new technologies and product segments like unmanned or less crude surface vessels. Ladies and gentlemen, I know it was long. We are finally close to the end of our today's presentation. So let's move on to slide 24 and very briefly look at the key takeaways of today's call. If I, Alexander Sargel, had to summarize H1 in one sentence, stellar order intake from strong demand for land and sea platforms, solid cash conversion, clear margin improvements, and a confirmation of our full year 2026 guidance with a clear, I repeat it, and unchanged target to land in the upper half of the adjusted EBIT range. Very last but not least, a quick view on our financial calendar, Our capital market activities, like always, continue to be very busy, and we are very much looking forward to meeting many of you in the coming weeks and months, at roadshows, conferences, and of course, tons of bilaterals. Some of the key data are shown on this slide. Again, from all of us, thank you very much for your attention. We are now looking forward to your questions.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin our Q&A session. If you have a question, we ask that you please use the raise hand function at the bottom of your Zoom screen. If you've dialed in by phone, please select star 9 on your keypad to raise your hand and star 6 to unmute. Once your name has been announced, please accept the unmute pop-up on your screen and ask your question. If you want to withdraw your question, please lower your hand using the raise hand function or select star 9. Please limit yourself to a maximum of two questions. If you have any further questions, please raise your hand to join the queue again. Our first question comes from Chloé Lemarie with Jefferies. Please unmute your line and ask your question.
Yes, good morning. Thank you for taking my question. So I'll have two. The first one is on the VMS assumption for margin in H2, because obviously you had a pretty good momentum in H1 without the benefit of the sales to Israel or not much. So any thought on where the margin could get to in H2 would be great. The second one is on the 27 draft budget for Germany. There's a pretty significant drop in the procurement to solarization on armored vehicles. So I just wanted to see what your thoughts were there in terms of the demand and how it can be impacted, for instance, by the Arminius contract and the timing of the signing there.
This are many questions. In fact, you are doing a trick because you put 10 questions in one question, to be honest, but happy to answer. I will try my very best. if not please ask again if i missed something i'm getting older first on the vms margin i will not comment on the h2 because h2 is h1 plus h2 i will just comment on the full year expectation the full year expectation on vms is clearly well above the 21 this is the first answer i hope regarding germany procurement authorization budgets increase i think it's very important to So overall, armored land platforms, and this is independent if you look on procurement authorizations or if you look on the EPN14 development, are key and are vital, full stop. The procurement authorizations, for example, are currently at 44 billion up to the end of next decade. They were reduced, but again, get it, and I think this is really important. There is so much money considered in the EP14 in the next two or three years in the EP14 in the normal German national budget. And it's the same for the procurement authorizations. I think, at least according to our rank growth scenario and capacity expansion scenario, we have not expected and seen any surprises, to be honest. You just asked about the BOXER program. Well, the Boxer program, I think we have it still in our order intake. We reduced a little bit the amount, but to be honest, I do not believe that this order will come this year to rank. I think the parliamentary approval of the Boxer program Arminius will take place maybe in December. But happily, we even have this or we even have this capability to compensate this potential shift of the boxer order intake from 26 into 27 by other international customers. So underlining our approximately 2 million target on the order intake side. Overall, and I think I said it in the beginning, what you have seen on the Ankara NATO summit, the capabilities who were discussed and basically confirmed on what was decided in Den Haag, there is no surprise. It was always said there needs to be a lot of air defense. There needs to be a lot of long-range precision strikes. There will be a lot and tons of ISR projects running on. And of course, space is key. And there will be a lot of drones because the key is, besides all these air defense and long-range missiles, Conventional mass is key in order to increase future combat readiness of NATO. And this includes armoured land platforms, wheeled and tracked, manned, unmanned, and we're looking on a perspective beyond 2030. So, Chloe, I don't know if I managed everything, but feel free to ask.
No, absolutely. Sorry for the tricky question, but that was great. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Sebastian Grover with BNP Paribus. Please unmute your line and ask your question.
Hi, good morning. Hi Anja, hi Alex. Thanks for taking my questions. I hope you can hear me well and that you are well. I have two follow-ups to Chloe's questions. I hope we can count them as half a question or so that I have one more. The first one is on the orders part on Arminius. Sorry for bothering this point again. I was wondering whether there's been any change in the discussions with the customer for the number of vehicles under the firm order tranche. I think you had put out prior 1.8 thousand units. And on the VMS margin, the segment is running 200 base points above prior year and that without Israel really. So the question is is there anything to highlight from a mixed perspective i.e. transmissions as opposed to suspensions anything that might not be sustainable and can you also please remind us where you stand with regard to adding another shift in oxburg so these were the half questions we start then and have one other on on slide bearings if i may again unfair but anyway i'd love to answer your questions um we should stop this rule of the two questions by the way because So anyway, everyone is putting everything in there.
But on the order intake of Arminius, well, I think there is a vital discussion about the timing of the fixed orders for the Arminius project. There is a discussion, ongoing discussion, and we had it before, Sebastian, regarding the total quantities who will be covered in the Arminius contract, while on the other side, additional elements or volumes of the Arminius project might be procured and contracted under existing frame contracts, like, for example, the Chakal or the Sky Ranger. I think at the very end, I think the total number from my perspective, if we would add the demand for the boxer during the first phase now up to 2030, has not significantly changed. and i'm always talking about 1700 1800 the big question is to be honest how much of the 1700 1800 will go into a fixed arminius contract yeah and how many of them will be awarded and contracted through existing frame contract from other platforms um looking on rank as i just said we have still a certain order intake assumed for 2026 and as you have seen this before on our order intake chart but we are not relaxed but confident that we can compensate this to other international programs regarding the bms margin as i just answered for chloe and and of we see above the 21 percent i think the first half year was quite successful and this is coming from one part from from augsburg from the uh really good performing um modular production line i think the second part is also that we had good Q2 order intakes in regards to aftermarket business. And I think overall, the performance of the rest of the VMS group was as expected. So I think these are the main contributors for our half year one contribution. And of course, H2 will be very much back end loaded on the revenue side. So there will be additional impacts on the cost coverage let's see but i'm very very optimistic that we will be above the 21 percent and this is absolutely anyway our target um me too the question was more like this business seems to be doing 22 and and higher eventually and then that is basically where i'm coming from so to rather think about yeah i'm not i'm not excluding this sebastian i'm not excluding this option put it in this way okay sounds good on on the on the shift question and what was the shift question because i cannot read my my my hand writing the question was simply i think you're still operating on one shift only right right yeah yes absolutely we will drive the entire we will run the entire year 2026 in a single shift mode, which gives you an idea about the performance increases we have realized.
Okay. Sounds encouraging. So I'll go back in the line.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Christophe Munal with Deutsche Bank. Please unmute your line by selecting star six and ask your question. Christophe, your line is now open. Please select star six. We will move on to the next question for now. Your next question comes from Sven Sauer with Kebler-Chevreux. Please unmute your line by selecting star six.
Yes, hello. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one is on the Patriot tracked UGV. You mentioned in the beginning that there was already an order received. I was wondering if you could give some more information on who ordered this, how many units and when will it be delivered. And the second question, sorry, again, is on the order intake for 2026. You mentioned that the Arminius project will likely slip into 2027. My understanding is that the F-127 will also slip into 2027. Those are just two of the orders that you list on this slide. to get to the 2 billion if we would have the Leopard 2 or the Panzerhaubitzel also slip into 2027? How confident are you to really reach the 2 billion order intake?
Yes, well, hi. Good question. I will start directly to answer your second question. In our scenarios, and as I just said, I mean, the Arminios are most likely to not expect that we get it. The F-127, I think this is a very complicated, complex contract which needs to be negotiated. Despite maybe a personal view on the question if these kind of massive 12,000 ton destroyers are really needed in the future. But this is a separate thing. We are quite optimistic and positive that we could even compensate these two shifts of the Boxer and the F-127. For example, the F-127 could be and will be partially compensated from the F-128, the four Thyssen Group MECO A200, and I think also on the land side. So even in considering a shift of the Arminius programs and even a most realistic, likely shift of the F-127, we do confirm our approximately 2 billion euro order intake target. and the second and the first question sorry the first question on the track side they're very positive the first customer is not unexpected finland and we are in the range of a high double digit number of units it's a kind of pre-series order deliveries will start at the end of q2 2027 by the way the number of potential customers in the interest they are stockpiling in the meantime we also talk about um opportunities and for this reason we are very focused to to to get and to deliver the very first hswl 076 transmission for the tracks as soon as possible because there is strong interest from ukraine by the way all right that's great to hear thank you you're welcome thank you we're going back to christophe minna with deutsche bank Please unmute your line by pressing star six.
Yes, good morning. Can you hear me?
Okay, perfect. No, I had an issue earlier. Two questions on my side. I may have missed it, but is there any update on the Abraham's repowering opportunity? I was thinking we could have news in recent weeks. And on the service strategy or the aftermarket strategy, I understand that you've not come to a conclusion yet in your assessment, but when could we expect a view and on what occasion could you do this? Will you need to host a specific CMD or is it through an earnings release?
Christophe, bonjour. and I will answer where I can answer and I will not answer where I cannot answer because it's simply driven by the customer. So I'll start directly with the repowering of the M1A2. I would put it in the following words. We have prepared quite some R&D budget in order to start development of a very competitive power pack which could be applied in the M1A2 until a time frame to going into service production 2028. I cannot tell you more because I cannot simply. But as you could hear, maybe we are very positive, super positive on this. But don't quote me. Regarding the aftermarket 2035 strategy, to be honest, we are almost 85, 90% done. And the numbers I indicated in my introduction, so to have the 1 billion somewhere at 2030, so stabilizing our today's aftermarket share, despite increasing, significantly increasing new business and the potential to grow on an annual revenue level of up to 2 billion, if you look from 10 years from now, is these numbers, to be honest, are the extract of our aftermarket strategy. But there's, of course, there are many, many more details behind. And also, if you talk about the main strategic actions and measures, how to realize it. And to be honest, we do not have yet, and I will talk to my communication boss, defined how to roll out this really in order to inform you all. we could do and i'm just thinking in the air um maybe a separate call with our key analysts to to give a 30-minute introduction into the results of the aftermarket strategy to be honest i don't have an answer on this but we will find an answer on this thank you very much you're welcome christoph your next question comes from george mcguerter with berenberg please press star six to unmute
your line and ask your question good morning thank you very much for the questions to please as well from my side firstly on the german budget again um has there been any change in your expectation on the leopard 2 or puma orders linked to the budget outlook um in the next 10 or so years. And the next question is on the M&I business. You mentioned delivery delays have been catched up in Q2 versus Q1, but there's still some to go. So how much is there left to go on the delivery delay catch up? Thank you.
I have a fair question. Regarding the German budget and specifically looking on the Leopard, the main battle tanks, well, we have in our forecast additional 75 Leopard tanks from Germany. I'm not talking about the international one, but just staying on Germany, we have another batch of 75, but that's it, and that's it, I mean, at least until the beginning of the 2030s, as we always communicated in this two-phase approach from the German procurement strategy. for the second phase there is this opportunity for the next gen main battle tank former called brückenlösung bridge solution where we are by the way developing the powertrain and we just started by the way today at eight o'clock the first engine plus the new leopard upgraded um transmission for this bridge solution so we are moving forward in the development and then beyond 2030 i could expect another 100 up to 200 for germany how many could be ordered from international customers we have in scenario but we are just focusing on germany what should not be underestimated are the number of family vehicles like recovery i mean family vehicles based on the leper 2 chassis from a rank perspective we don't care if we supply to an mbt or if we supply to a family vehicle it's always the same transmission or the new one anyway and here we do expect quite some numbers in the range between three to five hundred uh in the next five to six years and we do expect in the beginning of next year quite some decent orders coming from these family vehicles regarding so this was the first question regarding m&i catch-up i mean as you know we had about i I think it was approximately in the 10 million range, we had customer-induced delays. You know the story about these guys and what was the reason. We could partially recover them during Q2, but partially will go anyway into Q3 and Q4 because this simply depends on the prioritization of what the customer is doing. So if he's taking out the transmission and executing this or if he's not executing the transmission because he had shifted his own building plan for whatever reasons. So from this approximately 10 million, I would say 50, 60%, we did recover during Q2 and the rest will come in the second half.
That's really helpful. Sorry, just to get back on the first question. Just to get back on the first question, if I could. On the Puma, has there been any change in the Puma quantities that you expect?
No. No, I mean, I think for the next, I mean, we have, I mean, the industry has now the charge to produce 200 plus Pumas, including fascial Pumas for driverless and whatever Pumas, as soon as possible. And we, as I'm always saying, from our production capacity, we got the order intake for these 200 plus in Q1 2026. We could start shipment if required at the end of this year. But we have it in our business plan somewhere starting 27, 28 because our customers simply need time to build up their capacity and they are doing this. I could imagine a third batch on this Puma, but this third batch, I do not see a decision towards the next 24 months, to be honest.
Thank you. Thank you very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from Benjamin Healan with Bank of America. Please press star six to unmute your line and ask your question. Benjamin, your line is open. Please select star six to ask your question. we will come back to you at a later time the next question comes from david perry with david morgan with jp morgan apologies please unmute your line to ask your question by selecting star six i have to confess george basically asked the question i was going to ask um can i just maybe ask it in a slightly different way, maybe then a bit more philosophically.
I think you're still comfortable with your medium-term guidance through to 2030. I just wonder, it's been quite an eventful year, a lot of things have happened, a lot of new technologies and stuff, and guidance and government plans are always adjusted, because that's the world.
In terms of the three billion of sales do you see the composition but maybe slightly differently to how you saw it 12 months ago or broadly the same do you think it's going to be more unmanned in there or do you think it's slightly different in some of the platform numbers or some of the international sales versus german just wondered if you want to speak to that if you can thanks yeah david hi hope you're doing also will um regarding our medium term target i would like to start first if you talk about the decomposition if we look on what we have shown today on our total order backlog and this gives an indication um our composition our i mean the relevance of germany germany is relevant but it has a limited relevance in the range of 20 to 24 percent so what we see we see a strong international business and this international business is to be honest driving us in the next four to five years if you look back on our discussions what we had during the last year especially for the h1 call i think we showed a chart about our estimates on potential order intakes coming from the german programs if you look until 23rd 35 and i think we had a lot of discussions because we were considered we are conservative and we had we had oe potential between one or two billion nothing more if you're asking me how do i feel about um realizing our 2030 targets and giving the discussions in germany and and and and new tech versus old tech where I have a clear, absolute clear opinion, and I think you guys know all this, I do not see that this target is, from any perspective, under danger. We have a strong international business, and a really international business, including Asia-Pacific, for all the domains, on the land domain, on the sea domain. Germany will be an important contributor to our midterm target, but it will not be the finally decisive move if we can realize it or if we cannot realize it. In 2030, if you look about the composition, I'm very sure that 99% of our land business will be still manned. I mean, the activities what we have presented very successfully and also surprisingly from my point of view on the Eurosatory, the heavy-track UGV, this is something what will take time. We will, as communicated, 12 months from the Eurository, we will have a driving prototype who is driving and shooting, remote control and autonomy. We are here moving forward with Patria in a very closed and combined approach. But nevertheless, I do not expect that we will see a major share of our 2030 business coming from Unman. Beyond 2030, if you look, for example, towards 2035, the life is different. I'm 100% sure we will see a significant portion of our conventional platforms being unmanned. And by the way, independent, if we're doing this with Patria or if we're doing this with any other prime, because our key competence is providing the key asset for these kind of tracked vehicles in this weight range for autonomy and unmanned capabilities. our digitalized transmissions if you talk about 2035 and to be honest we communicated i think during the age to the 2025 call we are working not only on defining our aftermarket strategy we i also communicated we are working very hard to develop our picture of our business towards 2035 we are doing this and we are hopefully very soon ready to share it with you guys because in 2035 as i said we will have more unmanned but we also will have as i indicated in my introduction for aftermarket a significant amount of more aftermarket in our business so for 2030 i do not see any major relevant impact we are more than confirming our 2030 midterm targets taking everything into account what i said before on the development of the budgets on the permanent discussions old versus new etc and does this help you david yeah it's very clear as always thank you you're welcome thank you we're going back to benjamin
helen with bank of america please unmute your line by selecting star six hi can you hear me yes perfect then amazing thank you apologies about that um i wanted to come back to the questions on Arminius and just a broader question in terms of why do you think things continue to be debated and discussed around the setup of this contract it feels that you know every quarter for the last couple of quarters the the contract has been pushed to the right and pushed to the right and initially it was because of you know debates around the contracting and And now you're highlighting in the call that some of those vehicles could be procured under the existing arrangements. So can you just help us understand, you know, high level, why do you think these things continue to move? Why do the goalposts in terms of, you know, the structure of the contract continue to move? Thank you.
Hi, Ben. I will try to do so because I'm only a poor T-minus-1 system supplier and, of course, I'm not a platform supplier. But anyway, I have an opinion. And I think we discussed this also during the last calls. I think, first of all, we should not underestimate the complexity of this contract. Because, independently, if you talk about 1700 or 1800 Boxer, we talk about at least six or seven different platforms. So you always have the same drive module, but you have a different mission module. And then you have some easier mission models like concepts or phases where you have a turret on the Boxer, or you have more complicated and challenging platforms like the Sky Ranger, for example, where you need to develop a totally new and quite unique capability on this fast-moving, incoming mobile air defense systems. And I think this complexity is putting quite some load on the BNBV, on the German procurement, but it's also putting a lot of load on the primes. Dime-Metallin KNDS, who needs to orchestrate the supply base, who needs to orchestrate their own calculation and to discuss it with the BNBV. And to be honest, I think from my knowledge as of today, there is still no BAFO submitted to the BNBB, best and final offer. So for this reason, I think to consider that the Boxer-Arminius contract will be discussed very late during 2026 in the German parliament is an absolute assumption. and i think from my point of view there is no question about the demand for the boxers but there is a question about how fast industry can deliver these boxes and i think this is one part from my outside in perspective um why the discussions between the primes and the german procurement agency are taking long because i think there's also a kind of acceleration component included in this negotiation so but overall the demand and the commitment i think is absolutely clear the budget is there however it takes time and the only reason why for example the german procurement organization is discussing and evaluating options to use simply existing frame contracts for the shakal or maybe for the sky ranger module um to expand it is is maybe there is a time pressure so better contract some of these volumes from the 70 to 1800 as soon as possible instead of waiting maybe until the final arminius contract is fully negotiated this sounds
complex i think everything is here complex but this is my opinion that that's great thank you Can I just follow up, I guess, putting, I mean, I think what a lot of people do is they look at what happened with the German draft budget and the delays around Boxer and infer something around, you know, warfare is changing and is the need for those vehicles really there or are those vehicles just needed to do a lot of different things to what we thought they were going to do nine to 12 months ago, given, you know, loitering munitions and everything that you're seeing in the Middle East and in Ukraine. Do you have any views around that?
Yeah, of course. I mean, first of all, and I tried to explain this in the introduction, maybe it's perceived different, especially in the media, but again, the capability requirement mix from NATO has not changed since the last summit in Den Haag. So nothing is new that we need drones. Nothing is new that we need more kamikaze loitering munition. Nothing has changed that we need a hell of air defense systems and that we need much more, much more capabilities and quantities on long-range precision strike. But also, nothing has changed from the perspective of having a strong conventional mass at the very end to provide the needed capabilities to defeat NATO territory. So in fact, there is no change. And there's also, to be honest, not a change. Do we need more modern warfare or what about the old stuff? You need both. And again, there is no new insight. And by the way, if you look on Iran, I think Iran war is the best example that you cannot end a war and you cannot win a war and you cannot make a decisive move just by drones, just by airstrikes and just by long range, smart missile attacks. This is not working. And for this reason, I'm saying the only way to stop this war is sit at the table and find an agreement on the street of Hormuz and better go home, to be honest. but there will be no decisive move forward no one will send troops in so for this reason all what i'm saying is we need to have modern warfare rank is positioned now i'm coming to rank in the conventional platforms we are making our market and driving the market with our unmanned platforms idea so i am i'm very calm relaxed to be very fine very clear thank you for the comments thank you welcome your next question comes from
joe orchard with rothschild and co redburn please unmute your line and ask your question hi there good morning thank you very much for taking my questions uh the first one would just be um really around how concerned uh or how concerned are you about the recent performance and the outlet for the non-defense parts of the business. So slide bearings, but also the non-defense portion of M&A as well. And then the second question would be on M&A and following that David Brown defense acquisition. Are you still actively looking for more opportunities or should we expect a bit of a pause on that front while you integrate that business into your existing operations?
Hi, Joe. Very good questions. I will start maybe with the M&A part of the piece. If you look back in the history of Rank, I think we are quite active and our entire international footprint, France, UK, US, was realized by merger and acquisition, which is good because then we have immediately a strong local supply chain. David Brown was from our point of view and is an absolute strategic asset and I think the defense investment plan is fully supporting this and especially if you look on market access by the so-called five eyes and what is the background of this five eyes for us we have US, we have UK, we have Canada, we have Australia. it's a unique position to be honest but I can confirm that we are not tired in looking for further targets we have a clear approach regarding our M&A strategy we are looking for further market consolidation which is on the land side and on the transmission side very limited possible to be honest so it's more on the navy side we have a strong view on our on our aftermarket business to develop our aftermarket business and maybe even develop our business model or change or or or expand our today's business model in the aftermarket side by by m&a and of course looking on new technologies which are part of our today's core mobility and where we can gain additional value and benefits by expanding the number of platforms and customer base and value proposition. So to answer this in short, yes, we are active, we are looking, we are talking with targets because I do believe in the next two or three years are really important. It's a really important time to drive this consolidation. Regarding our industry business, I start with our transmission segment. As I'm always saying, we are absolutely not targeting to sell our industry business. Why? I mean, we have in some areas key competences which might be relevant beyond 2030 and even are today relevant. If you talk about physical AI, where we are providing high-speed transmissions. But it's not our core business, but anyway, we need the capacities we have today in order to ramp up our land business. The reason why we are staying in this average 3% of capex until 2030 is pretty much also impacted by the fact that we are using industrial sites, we are converting them into defense sites, like our wonderful plant in Reine, for example. And for this reason, we don't need to build new plants. So we need the capacities from the industry business in order to ramp up the land business. And we are not giving up this business. We need to be more focused on cost performance, on product costs, because we have technologies who might be relevant in the next decade. For the slide bearing, please allow me one very, I mean, unsatisfying sentence. No comment at this time.
Okay, that's super helpful. Thank you very much.
Operator
Thank you. This was the final question of today. This concludes the Q&A session, and I will now hand back to Maximilian König for closing remarks.
Thank you very much for your questions and for taking the time to join us today. Should you have any follow-up questions, the entire RankIR team will be happy to assist. We look forward to speaking to you again soon. Have a great day. Enjoy your summer.
