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ABR · Arbor Realty Trust Inc · Short Interest

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$3.49 -0.07 (-1.97%)
Market Cap
$734.11M
Shares
186.56M
Volume · Oct 5 8.13M Avg daily vol (3M) 4.29M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

ABR Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 42,111,411 ABR shares sold short as of the September 15, 2026 settlement date, a decrease of 1,661,439 shares. Days to cover was 11.16 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

ABR Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 43,758,071 shares sold short for the September 30, 2026 settlement, +3.9% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 39,274,015 to 48,873,749 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through September 30, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 9, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Sep 30 short interest

as of Sep 30 High confidence 63% chance it rises
43,758,071 +3.9% vs reported
Likely range 39,274,015 to 48,873,749 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 9. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
67/100
Short interest 22.6% of shares — P99 Days to cover 11.2 — P90 Price vs VWAP -25.5% — P10 Short-volume trend -2.9% — P34 Short interest change -3.8% — P31 Worst FTD 0.39% of shares — P94

Positioning score 66.6 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-15). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-05 22:15 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

Short Interest History

Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
2026-10-15 Scheduled
FINRA publishes Oct 26
— — — —
2026-09-30 Scheduled
FINRA publishes Oct 9
— — — —
2026-09-15 42,111,411 43,772,850 -1,661,439 11.16
2026-08-31 43,772,850 44,463,359 -690,509 12.23
2026-08-14 44,463,359 44,217,994 +245,365 10.90
2026-07-31 44,217,994 45,354,391 -1,136,397 11.24
2026-07-15 45,354,391 42,286,853 +3,067,538 10.14
2026-06-30 42,286,853 43,346,064 -1,059,211 11.45
2026-06-15 43,346,064 44,351,438 -1,005,374 10.81
2026-05-29 44,351,438 43,249,976 +1,101,462 8.37
2026-05-15 43,249,976 46,545,692 -3,295,716 6.53
2026-04-30 46,545,692 45,767,193 +778,499 19.74
2026-04-15 45,767,193 47,821,116 -2,053,923 22.35
2026-03-31 47,821,116 46,126,858 +1,694,258 14.26
2026-03-13 46,126,858 45,887,357 +239,501 9.64
2026-02-27 45,887,357 47,239,140 -1,351,783 9.02
2026-02-13 47,239,140 45,623,920 +1,615,220 9.85
2026-01-30 45,623,920 46,011,387 -387,467 12.05
2026-01-15 46,011,387 47,147,570 -1,136,183 12.67
2025-12-31 47,147,570 46,154,723 +992,847 11.85
2025-12-15 46,154,723 46,771,217 -616,494 17.42
2025-11-28 46,771,217 48,027,712 -1,256,495 11.69
2025-11-14 48,027,712 45,969,693 +2,058,019 11.25
2025-10-31 45,969,693 45,476,191 +493,502 13.36
2025-10-15 45,476,191 47,004,613 -1,528,422 22.29

Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
Key facts CIK 1253986 CUSIP 038923108 13F (30d) 9 filings 9 filers Visit website Investor relations