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NI · Nisource Inc.

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$42.50 +0.42 (+1.00%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$20.38B
Shares
479.56M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Nisource Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Nisource Inc. Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 11, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 11, 2026 42:38 54 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
42:38
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

NiSource delivered full-year 2025 non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $1.90 and FFO/Debt of 16.1%, both above guidance, and is reaffirming 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.02–$2.07 with an 8%–9% CAGR through 2033.

Regulatory and legislative progress 61 Amazon agreement and customer affordability 51 Financial performance and 2026 guidance 25 Data center growth opportunity 22 Genco model and earnings drivers 17 Schaefer coal plant federal order 16

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +55 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “achieving a full-year adjusted EPS of $1.90 per share and FFO to debt of 16.1 percent, both results surpassing our guidance range”
  • “Our base business continues to deliver for our shareholders”
  • “we are reaffirming 2026 consolidated adjusted EPS guidance of $2.002 to $2.007”
  • “we believe significant upside remains across the outlook of our plan from developing projects supporting data center growth, more insuring of manufacturing, and robust economic development across our territories”

Forward guidance

4 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue $6.52B +23.5% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $257.80M +15.1% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Full-year 2025 non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $1.90 surpassed the guidance range, with FFO/Debt of 16.1% also exceeding guidance.
  • Landmark Amazon agreement anticipated to flow back approximately $1 billion to NIPSCO customers, equating to ~$7–$9 per customer per month upon full ramp.
  • Approximately $28 billion planned capital investment over 2026–2030, including nearly $7.0 billion in strategic data center infrastructure investments.
  • Pennsylvania rate case approval secured in December, with supportive Ohio utility legislation enacted to improve rate making and reduce regulatory lag.
  • Over 545,000 smart meters installed and 41,000+ miles of pipelines surveyed with advanced leak detection in 2025, both exceeding targets.
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.02–$2.07 reaffirmed, alongside an 8%–9% consolidated adjusted EPS CAGR and 9%–11% rate base growth from 2026–2033.

Risks & pressure points

  • Fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.51 was reported; analyst flagged Genco contribution sensitivity to financing costs and construction timelines that could push results to the lower end of the guided range.
  • Schaefer coal plant received a federal order in December directing continued operation beyond planned retirement, with additional orders expected ~every 90 days and uncertain environmental constraints limiting long-term operation.
  • Management noted uncertainty around MISO accreditation changes, EPA reliability regulations, and evolving data center load profiles, which could affect future earnings.
  • Financing costs and slower construction timelines are cited as scenarios that could position 2026 results toward the lower end of the EPS guidance range.

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 11, 2026.

Metric Guided
Consolidated capital plan investments
2026–2030
$28B
Strategic data center infrastructure investments
2026–2030
$7B
Non-GAAP consolidated adjusted EPS CAGR
2026 through 2033
8% – 9%
Consolidated rate base growth CAGR
2026 through 2033
9% – 11%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Dividend / share
$0.30
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