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SERV · Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/

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$4.96 -0.04 (-0.70%)
Market Cap
$432.67M
Shares
86.71M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/ Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 11, 2026 Audio replay
Mar 11, 2026 40:13 18 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
40:13
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Serve Robotics reported Q4 2025 revenue of $0.9 million (up ~400% year-over-year) and full-year revenue of $2.7 million, above prior guidance of $2.5 million, as it scaled to 2,000 deployed robots across 20 cities while completing four strategic acquisitions. The company raised its 2026 revenue outlook to approximately $26 million, driven by delivery growth and the addition of Diligent Robotics.

Physical AI platform and flywheel strategy 84 Fleet scale and deployment milestones 55 Strategic acquisitions 16 2026 optimization and operational efficiency 15 International expansion 11 Marketplace partnerships (Uber Eats, DoorDash) 7

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +82 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “Today, a fleet of 2,000 cell robots have been activated across 20 distinct cities in six major metropolitan areas.”
  • “in Q4, we once again delivered revenue above guidance as we drove 400% year-over-year growth in the quarter.”
  • “we maintained a 99.8% delivery completion rate and a proud safety record.”
  • “I've never been more energized and excited about what's ahead for CERF”

Forward guidance

2 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $882,000 +400.3% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 -756.8% -385.1 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 -$34.27M

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 revenue grew roughly 400% year-over-year to $0.9 million, exceeding guidance; full-year revenue of $2.7 million topped the $2.5 million prior guide.
  • Raised 2026 revenue outlook to approximately $26 million, including $7 million from Diligent Robotics recurring healthcare revenue.
  • Fleet scaled to 2,000 deployed robots across 20 cities in 6 major metros, achieving 99.8% delivery completion rate.
  • Added DoorDash alongside Uber Eats, covering over 80% of the U.S. food delivery market.
  • Merchant base expanded to 4,500+ partners (from ~400 a year ago), and underlying recurring revenue grew over 4x from ~$200K in Q1 to over $800K in Q4.
  • Completed four strategic acquisitions (Vayu Robotics, Phantom Auto, Diligent Robotics, Vebu) to strengthen data, models, deployment, and monetization steps of the flywheel.

Risks & pressure points

  • The press release excerpt is truncated and does not disclose net loss, operating expenses, or cash burn figures for Q4 or full-year 2025 in the visible text.
  • International expansion (Canada, Australia, Japan, Spain and others) is framed as a 2027 opportunity, indicating no material near-term international revenue.
  • The company is delaying additional robot manufacturing until existing fleet is fully activated, signaling utilization of current robots is not yet optimized.
  • Revenue base remains small at $2.7 million for full-year 2025 despite 400% growth, and the $26 million 2026 outlook represents a step-up that depends on successfully integrating Diligent Robotics and ramping delivery operations.

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 11, 2026.

Metric Guided
2026 revenue
2026
at least $26M
2026 capital expenditures
2026
at least $25M
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