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ATI · Ati Inc

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$228.48 +1.26 (+0.55%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$31.12B
Shares
136.17M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Ati Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Ati Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 3, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 3, 2026 54:46 45 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
54:46
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

ATI reported Q4 2025 sales of $1.18 billion and full-year 2025 sales of $4.6 billion, with full-year adjusted EBITDA of $859 million, adjusted EPS of $3.24, and adjusted free cash flow of $380 million (up 53%). The company guided to $975M–$1,025M of adjusted EBITDA for 2026, representing roughly 16% growth at the midpoint, supported by aerospace and defense demand, nickel capacity additions, and contract-backed CapEx.

Defense Growth 37 Aerospace and Defense Demand 24 Margin Expansion and Profitability 19 Proprietary Alloys and Long-Term Agreements 18 Specialty Energy 18 Capital Returns to Shareholders 11

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +82 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “exceeded profit and free cash flow expectations, expanded margins, improved operational reliability, and deepened our customer relationships”
  • “We are entering 2026 with momentum across our core markets in aerospace and defense”
  • “a step change increase in order activity beyond what we would normally see in seasonal first quarter strength across both long-term agreements and transactional demand”
  • “We're confident in the path ahead and look forward to updating you on our progress.”

Forward guidance

6 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $1.18B +0.4% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 23.2% +2.0 pp YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $96.60M -29.5% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $232 million, 19.7% margin, above the high end of guidance and up 180 bps year over year.
  • Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA exceeded $859 million, up 18% year over year; adjusted EPS of $3.24, up 32%; adjusted free cash flow of $380 million, up 53%.
  • Aerospace and defense revenue grew 14% in 2025 to 68% of total sales; full-year jet engine sales grew 21% and defense revenue grew 14%, with missiles up 127%.
  • Isothermal forging content to Pratt & Whitney grew sixfold from 2023 to 2025, with further growth expected.
  • 2026 guidance midpoint of $1 billion adjusted EBITDA implies ~16% year-over-year growth; Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA guided to $216M–$226M.
  • New VIM furnace and remelt investments are ~80% contracted under long-term agreements with customer co-funding, targeting ~$350 million of incremental nickel revenue by mid-2028.

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 2025 GAAP net income attributable to ATI was $96.6 million ($0.69/share), down 30% from $137.1 million in Q4 2024; GAAP EPS down 27% year over year.
  • Q4 2025 results included $22.9 million of pre-tax charges for transformation-related costs, start-up/transaction costs, and receivables sale losses, plus an $18.6 million pre-tax pension remeasurement loss.
  • New nickel melt capacity (new VIM furnace) will not come online until 2027, with a 6–9 month qualification period, meaning the targeted ~$350 million of incremental revenue is not expected until mid-2028.
  • 2026 net CapEx guided to $220M–$240M with growth CapEx concentrated in nickel melt and proprietary engine alloys, exposing earnings to execution risk on these multi-year projects.

Key moments

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Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 3, 2026.

Metric Guided
Adjusted EBITDA table
Q1 2026
$216M – $226M
Adjusted EBITDA table
Fiscal Year 2026
$975M – $1.03B
Adjusted Earnings Per Share table
Q1 2026
$0.83 – $0.89
Adjusted Earnings Per Share table
Fiscal Year 2026
$3.99 – $4.27
Adjusted Free Cash Flow table
Fiscal Year 2026
$430M – $490M

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Capital investment net of customer funding
2026
$220M – $240M
Full-screen source Call document