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HOG · Harley-Davidson, Inc. · Short Interest

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$27.19 +0.46 (+1.72%) At close · Oct 20
S&P 400 member Russell 2000 member Rebalance outlook locked
Market Cap
$2.83B
Shares
104.07M
Volume · Oct 20 1.56M Avg daily vol (3M) 2.06M

Shares sold short and not yet covered, reported twice monthly. Days to cover is the reported short position divided by average daily volume.

Pull short interest history through the short interest API or MCP →

HOG Latest Reported Short Interest

FINRA reported 21,105,753 HOG shares sold short as of the September 30, 2026 settlement date, an increase of 2,588,642 shares. Days to cover was 10.60 based on FINRA's reported average daily volume.

Official FINRA short-interest data · share counts are restated for subsequent splits of this listing

HOG Short Interest Forecast

Equibles' model estimates 22,140,307 shares sold short for the October 15, 2026 settlement, +4.9% versus the latest reported position, with a likely range of 20,073,797 to 24,381,111 shares. This model prediction uses FINRA data through October 15, 2026; FINRA's official release is expected October 26, 2026.

Model estimate

Expected Oct 15 short interest

as of Oct 15 High confidence 63% chance it rises
22,140,307 +4.9% vs reported
Likely range 20,073,797 to 24,381,111 The latest estimate appears in the chart below. Official release expected Oct 26. Methodology
Short Squeeze Score
87/100
Short interest 20.3% of shares — P98 Days to cover 10.6 — P92 Price vs VWAP +2.2% — P81 Short-volume trend +3.2% — P65 Short interest change +14.0% — P77 Worst FTD 0.41% of shares — P93

Positioning score 86.6 + catalyst boost 0 (total capped at 100). This is a screening index, not a probability of a squeeze.

Method and coverage limits

Factor percentiles compare eligible primary operating-company stocks reporting short interest at the latest settlement date (2026-09-30). The weighted mean uses short interest 30%, days to cover 20%, price vs VWAP 15%, short-volume trend 15%, short-interest change 10%, and fails-to-deliver 10%. Missing factors redistribute their weight; incomplete coverage is not evidence of low risk. Price, volume, and earnings boosts add 10 each, capped at 20.

Shares outstanding are not free float. Borrow fees, utilization, lendable supply, recalls, and dealer inventory are not measured. Short-sale volume does not measure the change in open shorts; fails to deliver are not a borrow-cost measurement; price vs VWAP does not establish short sellers' entry prices. Earnings can move prices in either direction.

The weights are judgment-based, not calibrated to future squeeze outcomes. The separate options assessment below does not change this universe ranking.

Options positioning & squeeze sensitivity

Nearest expiration after today within 30 calendar days; same-day expirations and later maturities are excluded.

Open interest is incomplete, stale, or dated inconsistently; positioning totals are unavailable.

Open interest has both a buyer and a seller; it does not reveal dealer hedge direction. Gross gamma sums both calls and puts without netting and uses a local 1% price-change approximation. It measures sensitivity, not predicted buying or a squeeze probability.

Assessment prepared 2026-10-21 06:32 UTC. Options model values may come from a cached snapshot; their original computation time is not supplied. Open interest has its own effective date.

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    • Short Interest History

    Settlement Date Current Position Previous Position Change Days to Cover
    2026-10-30 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Nov 10
    		 — — — —
    2026-10-15 Scheduled
    FINRA publishes Oct 26
    		 — — — —
    2026-09-30 21,105,753 18,517,111 +2,588,642 10.60
    2026-09-15 18,517,111 17,687,984 +829,127 12.09
    2026-08-31 17,687,984 18,713,594 -1,025,610 9.99
    2026-08-14 18,713,594 18,247,405 +466,189 9.29
    2026-07-31 18,247,405 17,121,897 +1,125,508 5.68
    2026-07-15 17,121,897 17,069,560 +52,337 8.49
    2026-06-30 17,069,560 16,326,529 +743,031 4.43
    2026-06-15 16,326,529 15,839,526 +487,003 7.24
    2026-05-29 15,839,526 14,567,253 +1,272,273 6.83
    2026-05-15 14,567,253 13,743,651 +823,602 4.21
    2026-04-30 13,743,651 16,057,020 -2,313,369 4.49
    2026-04-15 16,057,020 19,195,724 -3,138,704 4.93
    2026-03-31 19,195,724 18,319,090 +876,634 4.99
    2026-03-13 18,319,090 18,045,637 +273,453 4.20
    2026-02-27 18,045,637 19,648,934 -1,603,297 5.61
    2026-02-13 19,648,934 18,153,058 +1,495,876 4.24
    2026-01-30 18,153,058 15,883,851 +2,269,207 6.18
    2026-01-15 15,883,851 16,530,955 -647,104 5.65
    2025-12-31 16,530,955 19,406,604 -2,875,649 6.30
    2025-12-15 19,406,604 17,461,064 +1,945,540 6.51
    2025-11-28 17,461,064 16,800,488 +660,576 6.99
    2025-11-14 16,800,488 12,380,006 +4,420,482 7.28
    2025-10-31 12,380,006 12,241,767 +138,239 8.68

    Full FINRA short interest reporting calendar

    Showing 1–23 of 23 settlements
    Key facts CIK 793952 CUSIP 412822108 13F (30d) 64 filings 63 filers Visit website Investor relations