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HOG · Harley-Davidson, Inc.

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$27.78 -0.07 (-0.25%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$2.90B
Shares
104.07M

Price & Indicators

20d MA 50d MA 200d MA Earnings Filing Insider Congress Investor day
Close$27.78 Open$28.12 Day$27.67–28.18 52W close$17.19–31.03 Avg vol 30d2.5M Short int18.2M · 17.5% float · 5.7d Short vol51% Last earningsJul 23, 2026 DataJan 2020–Aug 2026 Filing10-Q · Aug 5

Up next

Next earnings call
Oct 22, 2026 Est · unconfirmed · in 10 wks
FQ3-26 quarter ends
~Sep 30, 2026 Est
filed Aug 5, 2026

AI Brief

TL;DR.

Bullish
    Bearish

      AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice

      Ask ALVIS about this →

      Equibles Rating

      blended score · not investment advice
      Overall
      Buy
      SellHoldBuy
      Technical Buy Momentum Very Strong Sentiment Bullish Fundamentals Fair Quant / Vol High
      Market backdrop VIX 14.3 · calm Equity put/call 0.52
      Technical
      price trend
      Buy
      50 / 200-day cross No cross
      Price vs 200-day avg +21%
      above
      Price vs 50-day avg +8%
      above
      RSI (14) 61
      neutral
      MACD trend Positive
      52-week position 77%
      mid-range
      Momentum
      relative strength
      Very Strong
      1-month return +5%
      trailing
      6-month return +43%
      trailing
      YTD return +36%
      this year
      Relative strength +30%
      vs S&P · 6-mo
      Sentiment
      smart money
      Bullish
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $26 › 200d $23 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +7% holders QoQ · +90 funds added
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$1.4M over 90 days · 0% sells
      Short interest Rising
      17.53% of float · ▲ +6.6% MoM · 5.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      431 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Squeeze score 81
      high risk · 0–100
      Fundamentals
      Fair
      Revenue growth −14%
      Y/Y
      EPS growth −19%
      Y/Y
      Free cash flow $415.2M
      Buyback $200.0M
      authorized
      Balance sheet $884.6M
      net debt
      Quant / Vol
      risk profile
      High
      Volatility 39%
      annualized · 1-yr
      Max drawdown −45%
      past year
      ATR 3.8%
      of price · 14-day

      Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.

      Guidance & track record

      Latest guidance · from the 8-K filed Jul 23, 2026
      HDMC operating income · full year 2026 $10M – $50M
      Harley-Davidson, Inc. capital investments · full year 2026 $175M – $200M
      LiveWire operating loss · full year 2026 $-80M – $-70M
      HDFS operating income · full year 2026 $55M – $65M
      Prior guidance period ended · from the Earnings Call filed Jun 30, 2025
      HDFS operating income · this year $275M – $300M

      Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.

      Technicals

      trend & momentum for long-term holders Buy
      0 · 3 · 3
      50 / 200-day cross
      No cross Neutral
      Price vs 200-day avg
      +21% Bullish
      Price vs 50-day avg
      +8% Bullish
      RSI (14)
      61 Neutral
      MACD trend
      Positive Bullish
      52-week position
      77% Neutral
      Market signals — smart money & positioning
      Bullish · 3 of 6
      Trend (MA cross) No cross
      50d $26 › 200d $23 — 50d above 200d
      Institutional flow Accumulating
      +7% holders QoQ · +90 funds added
      Insider flow Accumulating
      Net +$1.4M over 90 days · 0% sells
      Short interest Rising
      17.53% of float · ▲ +6.6% MoM · 5.7 days cover
      Volume signal Normal
      Volume near normal
      Institution breadth Multi-yr high
      431 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
      Price context
      position in its 52-week range
      Range low $17 Now $28 · 77% Range high $31
      vs 200-day avg +21% vs 50-day avg +8%

      Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.

      Key metrics

      the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings
      Metric Latest Period YoY
      Discretionary share repurchases $158M Six Months ended June 30, 2026
      Dividends paid $41M Six Months ended June 30, 2026
      HDMC Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP $115M Q2 2026
      HDMC Adjusted EBITDA margin non-GAAP 10.4% Q2 2026
      LiveWire Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP -$15M Q2 2026
      Total quarter-end net finance receivables $2.6B Q2 2026
      Worldwide Total retail motorcycle sales 42.5K Q2 2026
      Effective tax rate 43% Q1 2026
      Net cash use from operating activities -$228M Q1 2026
      Strategic changes costs $15M Q1 2026
      Capital returned to shareholders $434M Full Year 2025
      HDFS operating income $490M Full Year 2025
      HDMC operating loss -$29M Full Year 2025
      LiveWire operating loss -$75M Full Year 2025

      Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period

      Versus peers

      Recreational Vehicles — same industry group
      Open screener →
      Company Mkt cap YTD Rev growth Y/Y P/E Short % shares
      HOG
      Harley-Davidson, Inc.
      this stock
      $2.90B +35.6% -13.8% 17.5%
      BC
      Brunswick Corp
      $5.36B +11.4% +2.4% 8.2%
      DOO
      BRP Inc.
      $4.73B -8.8% 1.4%
      THO
      Thor Industries Inc
      $4.11B -23.1% -4.6% 15.9 10.0%
      PII
      Polaris Inc.
      $3.90B +9.9% -0.3% 6.3%

      Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding

      At a glance

      key data from every section
      Ownership
      Institutional Holders Accumulating
      Holders
      431
      % held
      107.1%
      Net QoQ
      +849.9K sh
      Top holder
      BlackRock, Inc.
      Held Float
      View
      Held by Funds
      Fund positions
      493
      View
      Short & Settlement
      Short Interest Rising
      Shares short
      18.2M
      Days to cover
      5.7d
      Change
      +1.1M sh
      View
      Short Volume
      Short vol %
      51%
      As of
      Aug 14, 2026
      Short Total
      View
      Fails to Deliver
      FTD shares
      643
      Value
      $16.2K
      As of
      Jul 13, 2026
      View
      Off-Exchange
      Off-exchange %
      40.3%
      Week of
      Jul 6, 2026
      Off-exch Lit
      View
      Smart Money
      Insider Trades Cluster buy
      Net (90d)
      +$1.4M
      Buyers / Sellers
      3 / 0
      Buyers Sellers
      View
      Congressional Trades Sell
      Member
      Tim Moore
      Amount
      $50.0K–$100.0K
      Traded
      Apr 7, 2026
      View
      Financials
      Financials
      Revenue (FY)
      $4.5B
      Net income (FY)
      $338.7M
      EPS diluted
      $2.78
      View
      Buybacks
      Authorized
      $200.0M
      View
      Filings
      SEC Filings
      Latest
      10-Q
      Filed
      Aug 5, 2026
      This year
      11
      View
      Proposed Sales
      Value
      $100.7K
      Shares
      3.8K
      Filed
      Aug 13, 2026
      View
      Earnings & Events
      Earnings Calls
      Last call
      Jul 23, 2026
      View
      Investor Relations
      Latest news
      Harley-Davidson Delivers Second Q…
      Published
      Jul 23, 2026
      View

      Performance

      5D 20D 120D MTD YTD
      HOG +6.8% +4.5% +43.4% +13.2% +35.6%
      SPY +0.4% +4.5% +13.8% +3.9% +13.9%
      vs SPY +6.4% +0.1% +29.7% +9.3% +21.7%

      Capital returns

      Latest dividend
      $0.188 / share · ex Jun 8, 2026
      Raised 4.4%
      Paid (TTM)
      $0.736 / share · 4 payouts
      Dividend yield (TTM, derived)
      2.65%
      Buyback program · as of Nov 5, 2025
      Authorized
      $200.00M
      Spent (derived)
      Remaining

      Dividends per share over the trailing 365 days by ex-date · buyback figures as last reported in SEC filings ("spent" derived as authorized − remaining; when several programs run concurrently, authorized is their combined total per the newest filing) · components shown separately — trailing-year buyback spend isn't tracked, so no combined shareholder yield is derived.

      Key facts CIK 793952 CUSIP 412822108 13F (30d) 426 filings 399 filers Visit website Investor relations