KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (KREF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Good morning, and welcome to the KKR Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key, followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. Please note, this event has been recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jack Sweethala. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks, Operator, and welcome to the KKR Real Estate Finance Trust earnings call for the first quarter of 2026. As the operator mentioned, this is Jack Svitala. This morning, I'm joined on the call by our CEO, Matt Salem, our President and COO, Patrick Matson, and our CFO, Kendra Decius. I'd like to remind everyone that we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in our earnings release and in the supplementary presentation, both of which are available on the investor relations portion of our website. This call will also contain certain forward-looking statements which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to our most recently filed 10Q for cautionary factors related to these statements. Before I turn the call over to Matt, I will go through our results. For the first quarter of 2026, we reported a gap net loss of $62 million or negative 96 cents per share. Book value, as of March 31, 2026, is $11.87 per share. We reported a distributable loss of $4 million, or negative $0.06 per share. Distributable earnings before realized losses was $13 million, or $0.20 per share. Finally, we paid a $0.25 cash dividend in April with respect to the first quarter. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Matt. Thanks, Jack.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. As we outlined last quarter, 2026 represents a transition year for the company. With the goal of narrowing the gap between share price and book value per share, our focus is on two key priorities. First, executing an aggressive resolution strategy across our watch list assets and certain legacy office exposures. And second, positioning a portion of our REO portfolio for liquidity. We have significant liquidity, sitting at $653 million today and extensive capabilities across KKR to execute both our asset management and REO strategies. Today, I want to provide additional detail on our progress against those objectives and what you should expect over the course of the year. This quarter, book value declined by 9% as we position our watchlist loans for resolution. Our action plan is designed to reposition the portfolio to optimize medium and long-term performance. However, as we execute, we may choose to incur book value declines as we seek liquidity on legacy assets to create a higher quality portfolio. As we complete this transition, we see a clear path to redeploy capital in the newer vintage higher quality investments, which we believe will support a return to book value per share stability and over time drive earnings and book value accretion. Overall, our specific goals for 2026, as outlined on page eight of the supplemental, are to reduce our watch list and legacy office exposure, rotate the portfolio into newer vintage, higher quality assets, and reduce our REO footprint. With that, I want to walk through our action plan for 2026 in further detail. First, reduce legacy office exposure from 21% to under 10%. We expect over half of this reduction to come from PAR repayments, with the remaining driven by resolution of our watchlist loans. We have already begun to action both prongs. Our largest office loan, a $225 million loan in Bellevue, was refinanced in the first quarter at PAR with a CMBS single-asset, single-borrower transaction. And the property securing our largest watchlist office loan is currently being marketed for sale. Second, we plan to resolve all of our current watchlist loans by year-end by positioning these assets for sale or modification and accelerating their resolution. Third, address our live science exposure. Our goal is to have 100% of this exposure modified. We already have made progress here, having modified 19% and, when including our Cambridge asset this quarter, we have modified 30% of our life science exposure. We also took a material increase in reserves for our Seaport loan in anticipation of a potential modification. Finally, we are continuing to originate new investments as we reposition the portfolio. As a result of this activity, loans originated between 2024 and 2026 are expected to represent approximately 50% of the portfolio by year-end. This highlights the significant turnover into newer vintage assets, which we believe will have improved earnings potential. Let me turn to liquidity and capital allocation, which is another priority for us as a management team for 2026. We announced a dividend reduction to $0.10 per share per quarter, payable on July 15th. This decision is not driven by liquidity constraints. In fact, as we look ahead through the year, we expect to have over $500 million of capital to invest, largely driven by over $2 billion of expected repayments in 2026. Rather, the dividend decision reflects a disciplined approach to capital allocation. At this stage, we see more attractive opportunities, including repurchasing our stock and funding new originations. When we have ample liquidity to pay dividends at the current level, the new dividend level has the added benefit of being aligned with our expectations for distributable earnings per share before realized losses as we work through repositioning our portfolio. While we expect $0.40 per year of dividends to be covered by earnings excluding losses, quarterly results may vary in the near term, with earnings expected to trough in the second half of 2026 into the first half of 2027. Once we get through this period, we expect distributable earnings per share to increase. Regarding capital allocation, given our current trading levels relative to book value, we believe share repurchases represent an attractive opportunity to drive accretion to book value per share, while also providing greater strategic flexibility. We were largely inactive with respect to share buybacks this past quarter due to trading restrictions while we were actively evaluating our dividend policy. With that process now complete and our dividend framework established, those constraints have been lifted. On April 14th, our board authorized a new $75 million share repurchase program, providing us with meaningful flexibility to deploy capital. As a management team, together with our board of directors, we have not taken this dividend decision lightly. But given where the stock is trading, we believe the dividend cut and meaningful share buybacks are in the best interest of shareholder value creation. With that, I will turn the call over to Patrick.

Patrick O' Thanks, Matt. Good morning, everyone. Let me start with a few changes to the watch list. This quarter, we downgraded our Philadelphia office assets with two smaller Texas multifamily loans from risk rate at 3 to 4. As previously previewed on last quarter's earnings call, we also downgraded our Boston Life Science asset from risk rate at 3 to 5. We upgraded our Cambridge Life Science from risk rate at 5 to 3 following the loan restructuring that includes new sponsor equity commitment and a loan pay down. As a result, we recorded CECL provisions of $74 million, bringing our total allowance to $260 million. These actions are part of our broader action plan to proactively reposition the portfolio. Turning next to our REO portfolio, we are actively managing these assets with a clear focus on monetization and value realization. To help frame it, we've grouped these assets into near, medium, and longer-term monetization buckets. Starting with the near-term bucket, West Hollywood condos, where units are currently listed and actively being marketed, with proceeds returning equity as closings occur. raleigh north carolina multifamily where we're completing targeted upgrades to common areas and expect to list the asset for sale by year end philadelphia office where our business plan is largely complete the asset is now approximately 85 percent leased and we plan to sell the property this year in the medium term bucket we have mountain view california office where our platform platform, market positioning, and patience have driven meaningful value creation. As we announced in March, we signed a long-term full property lease with OpenAI. We expect to bring this asset to market within the next 12 to 16 months as we complete the remaining work and the tenant takes occupancy. Portland Redevelopment, where we've executed on our plan and our near final entitlement on over 4 million square feet of mixed-use space and expect to begin our monetization strategy over the course of the year. And finally, in the longer-term bucket, Seattle Life Science, where our focus is on leasing and stabilizing the asset, and we expect to hold it longer given current market conditions. Boston Life Science, currently a risk-rated 5 loan, which we expect to transition to REO in the second quarter. This is expected to result in a realized loss of approximately $37 million, though we were adequately reserved as of the first quarter. Similar to Seattle, we plan to stabilize the asset and hold the property until market conditions improve. As we monetize these assets and redeploy the capital into new investments, we estimate the potential to generate more than $0.15 per share of incremental quarterly earnings over time, nearly half of that being driven by our Mountain View REO asset. This reinforces our focus to convert these assets into liquidity and redeploy that capital into higher earning opportunities. Turning to financing and liquidity, at quarter end, we had $653 million of liquidity, including $135 million of cash on hand and $500 million of undrawn capacity on our corporate revolver. Additionally, we had over $500 million of unencumbered assets on the balance sheet. Total financing availability was $7.2 billion, including $2.6 billion of undrawn capacity. Originations totaled $184 million for the first quarter, while repayments were $415 million, with approximately 75% of the repayments driven by legacy office. Looking ahead, in the first three weeks of the second quarter, we've already closed or circled over $400 million of new loans. We continue to benefit from our connectivity with KKR Capital Markets. and 77% of our financing remains non-mark-to-market, providing stability across market environments. We believe we remain well-capitalized and positioned to manage the portfolio. Importantly, we have no final facility maturities until 2027 and no corporate debt due until 2030. Our debt-to-equity ratio was 2.2 times, and our total leverage was four times, consistent with our target range. As we move through this transition year, we believe we are well-positioned. Our focus remains on executing our resolution strategy and redeploying capital into high-quality opportunities, including share repurchases, with a clear path to improving and rebuilding earnings power. we believe the actions we're taking today position the company for long-term value creation with that we're happy to take your questions we will now begin the question and answer session to ask a question you may press star then one on your touchstone telephone if you're using a speakerphone please pick up your handset before pressing the keys

To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Question is from Tom Carverwood, BTIG.

Thank you, and good morning, everybody. Maybe starting with the portfolio target of 50% newer vintage loans by year end. And by our math, that implies something in the neighborhood of a billion to a billion two of origination activity over the coming quarters. Are we in the ballpark with that?

Hey, Tom, thanks for the question. It's Matt. I can take that. And thanks for joining the call. That's certainly in the ballpark of what we're looking at. Obviously, it certainly will depend a little bit on the shared buyback amount, but that's a good projection for now.

Perfect, perfect. And actually, the fair point on the share buyback, and it's kind of the use of liquidity is something we're thinking of, you know, with leverage ticking up to, you know, kind of the top end of the range in Q1. And will those originations and, you know, the $75 million allocation for buybacks, will those be tied to REO asset sales or are you comfortable using liquidity on your balance sheet and then just kind of back funding that as you sell assets?

Yeah, I can start with that again. Let me start off a little bit. I think most of that liquidity, as we commented on the prepared remarks, is really coming from just natural loan repayments. So, over the course of the year, we think we're going to have $2 billion of repayments. We got about $400 million or so in the first quarter. Second quarter, and to be clear, it's always a little bit hard to predict these things quarter to quarter. But we look at the second quarter right now, and from what we can see, it could be close to half of that total repayment for the year could come through the second quarter. So I'd say most of this liquidity that we're looking at, which translates into like $500 million of investable capital, if you will, and then we can talk about the sources, to your point, is really going to come from that, from the just low repayments and natural velocity within the loan portfolio.

Okay. So, you don't need to line up the timing of REO sales in order to achieve that 50% new loan target? No. I got it. Perfect. And then last one for me on the watch list, you know, roughly six assets on there when you account for the Boston Life Science Loan in 2Q or that it's going to go REO. You obviously mentioned Minneapolis office is on the market. For the remaining six, what are your expectations as far as the amount that are repaid versus those you expect to modify or bring on balance sheet?

Yeah, let me jump in again. Maybe just looking on page 12 here, the goal is to try to monetize the vast majority of these. I think, on the live science piece of it, you know, we mentioned we will be taking, you know, title to one of those over the course of time here. But, you know, outside of that, I think a lot of this will be some combination of modifications, you know, note sales as well. But I think the goal really is to clear all this up by, you know, by the end of the year. And, you know, things like the multifamily component here, I'm sure we'll get questions on this later, so I can just address it now. These are just coming up on maturity, and these are in the process of getting sold. So, you know, sponsors outselling these assets, you know, we downgraded these just because the, you know, the sales price is going to be close to the debt, and we may take small losses or not on those loans. We want to make sure we, you know, we identify those. we don't think that's really indicative of the rest of multifamily. We've always been on these calls saying, you know, there can be noise in multifamily, but we don't think there's like material, you know, losses in that, um, in the loan portfolio on the multi, on the multifamily side. And this is probably a good example of what we're looking at of like, there's going to be a little bit of noise here. We could take small losses as they sell these assets into the market and, you know, it trades right around the debt. Um, but, um, um, you know, some of these will just be sales from sponsors, if you will.

Got it. Got it. Appreciate those answers. Thanks, Matt.

Thank you.

Next question is from Chris Muller, Cities and Capital Markets.

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. So, I just wanted to start with the dividend and just make sure I heard you guys right. So, the new 10-cent dividend is well below the 20-cent X loss that you guys put up in the quarter. I also heard the comments on both the new buybacks and also near-term pressure as you guys get more aggressive on resolutions. So I guess the question is, do you guys expect earnings X losses to be around that $0.10 level, or does that just give you some optionality? And I think I just missed what you guys said in the prepared remarks.

Yeah, Matt, let me jump in. And we think earnings are going to trough towards back half of this year into next year. And a lot of that, we start to come out of it as we think about liquidating more of the REO portfolio, especially as you think about Mountain View, you know, where we've obviously signed the lease there. And that'll be positioned for liquidity over the next, call it 12 to 18 months. So that's, you know, when you think about the lag at the end of the tunnel, that's a little bit of the timing as to we can build back up earnings. When we mentioned the 10 cents here, you know, part of this is just capital allocation, right? Like look about, think about where the stock trades today. And we've got pretty good uses of capital right now in terms of just share repurchases. So, you know, obviously it ties into some just overall capital allocation discussions. But when we think about it just versus earnings, we expect to cover that on, you know, kind of an annualized intermediate basis. But there certainly could be a little bit of noise in certain quarters where, you know, we're not fully covering that as we continue to push through and reposition the portfolio. got it and then i guess on the 42 million cmbs investment was that a more attractive investment than deploying into bridge loans or was it more just a place to park some cash until it can be redeployed and should we expect to see more of this going forward yeah so we've been that number sounds fine let me double check the amount um for the quarter um this we've been evaluating different options for portfolio diversification, whether that's expanding into Europe and leveraging the platform that KKR has built in that market, or just duration as well, and just access to different investing markets like CMBS. So from a relative value perspective, we thought that was a particularly unique opportunity for us. And I think you're right on terms of the 42. I just want to double check that. But yeah, I mean, we're evaluating everything on a relative value basis. The CMBS is providing a little bit duration. I think in this case, it was a little bit more single asset, single borrower. So, solving more of the relative value component of it.

Got it. Makes a lot of sense. And thanks for taking the questions.

Next question is from Jade Ramani, KBW.

Yes. Have you seen any green shoots in leasing in life science?

Thank you for joining today. We are. I think it's a little bit market dependent. They're all in a little bit different stages of recovery. I think in South San Francisco, you're seeing two things happening. One, you're seeing a revitalization of office, particularly as it relates to AI tenants and growth, which is creating tension in the overall market. And as you well know, some of these assets, including some that we have, can be leased as office. So there's some pretty tight pockets of office there. And then we're also starting to see, you know, life science companies turn back on as well. When we think about our other exposure, our larger exposure in Boston, and I'd say there, it's probably a little bit behind what we're seeing in South San Francisco. but we are seeing tenants in the market. Most of the assets that we have there are oriented to big pharma. And there are tenants in the market today, like actively engaged, you know, trying to lease space, including, you know, one of the assets that we have. So we are seeing tenants starting to come back, but it still feels, you know, early and, but at least you're having some sense of recovery starting.

And in terms of your REO expectations, from your standpoint today, is it your view that there'll be just one additional life science REO?

That's the current expectation, yes.

And then can you discuss some of your approach to credit risk management? Because I have seen migration from risk three loans to five as maturity approaches. And usually what we see is a risk three to a risk four, then to a risk five. So the skipping ahead, you know, makes me a little worried about the risk three loans in the portfolio. I know it's multifamily and you don't expect material losses there, but just generally speaking, you know, how are you thinking about that?

Yeah, no, that's a great question. I would say the normal progression for us, and obviously the peers as well, is you go three, four, five. And I'd say the vast majority of cases, is that's what's happened. And by the way, we do analysis every quarter evaluating what's happened with our four loans. And it's obviously a dynamic number, but up to this point, roughly half have gone to five and half have gone to three, which is I think what a four is supposed to be, right? It's not just an indicator that it goes to five. Obviously, depending on the property type, it may be more heavily weighted to that over time. But in terms of – I think we've had a couple go from three to five. The only one we had this quarter was really the life science deal, which we flagged last quarter as going to get downgraded, depending on what these modification discussions look like. It would be a four or a five. We weren't exactly sure at the time, and we went ahead and moved it over to a five. So I'd say it's unusual. The multifamilies we put into the four bucket just because, one, it's not material, we don't think, and two, we're not exactly sure what's going to happen now as these sales processes play out. But I think you're right in the sense that the vast majority of time, you're going to have these natural linear progressions, but sometimes there's jump risk around a maturity date or around a modification discussion, and we obviously need to just reflect our best case scenario at the time. or best guess at the time.

Thank you. And then on the Minneapolis office, it's a risk five loan. So I believe there should be something around 23% loss assumption there reserves that you currently have. And I think that your slides show that the price per square foot at your basis is 182, but that's before CECL. So, you know, if we stress that for a 25% severity assumption, I'm just curious if you think that is where the market is, or if, you know, based on the sale process, there might be some further loss.

Jay, good morning. It's Patrick. I'll take that one. So, yeah, I think the number you're kind of backing into is a blend, is an average. Obviously, as we've seen in the office segment, some of those loss numbers have been higher than average, right? If you think about what's also in that bucket, we've got multifamily as an example. So, it's just a proxy. Clearly, that's an asset that we've been working for some time here, and we think it's appropriately reserved for. But the number that you're quoting is just an average.

Thanks a lot.

Again, if you have a question, please press star then one. Next question is from Gabe Poggi, Raymond James.

Hey, good morning, guys. I've got a couple questions. On capital allocation, capital management, as you guys think about the buyback versus making new loans to kind of keep a DE run rate going, how do you manage that relative to leverage, right? If your total capital right now to equities around 4X and your leverage to commons 5X plus, how much of that buyback, how do you think about leverage relative to that buyback?

That's question one. Yeah, that's not – let me start out and try to answer that. I would say we're not changing our leverage targets. I think that's the first thing we're kind of solving for, right? We want to kind of stay in that three-and-a-half to four-times range. So I think we ended this quarter around four at the higher end of our range. If we didn't originate any loans, we could bring that leverage way down because we have so many repayments coming in. So we have a lot of flexibility on that, but that's probably the first thing we're solving for, which is like, okay, let's make sure we stay kind of leverage neutral, if you will. And then we're looking at excess capital beyond that. And then we're trying to think about, okay, what's the appropriate amount of share buybacks first? I would say just given where the stock price trades, how much should we be buying back? The board authorized $75 million. You put that in context, that's a lot of firepower, right? We have a lot of liquidity. We have $500 million of liquidity, so what are we going to do with it? $75 million we authorized for buybacks. I mean, that's roughly 25% of the public float. It's a lot of buyback. So that's probably what we're looking at next. And then we have excess capital, right? And that's like, okay, what else should we be doing and thinking about? And that's why we obviously want to think about the ongoing business, supporting a dividend, and not tricking the company too much. And that's where the final piece of it, I think, comes in, which is the loan origination side. So, hopefully, that gives you some context and kind of how we're, you know, from a decision tree perspective going through it.

Yeah, no, that's helpful. Thanks, Matt. Second question is, is there any contemplation from KKR, the manager, during this transition period regarding a fee cut, fee waiver, just as you guys get from point A to point B, call it, you know, mid-2027?

Yeah, thanks. Listen, I think we're evaluating, you know, everything, all options, I think, on the table at the KTR level as manager, at the KTR level as the largest shareholder in this company, and then obviously the KREF level and the board. So, you know, I wouldn't, you know, we're looking at a number of different, obviously a number of different options.

Yeah, and I've asked that just in the context of obviously getting from point A to point B, knowing KKR is a large shareholder and thinking about just kind of getting more oomph to the bottom line during the transition. There was nothing pointed in that question, just so you guys know. Last question is, is there any more detail you can provide around the Mountain View lease? Just any term details, things of that nature, to give folks some granularity on how you're thinking about the potential value there as you think about monetization over the next 12 to 18 months?

Yeah, we're subject to a pretty tight NDA, so we'd love to provide more, but obviously we have a contractual agreement with our tenant. it. What I can say is that it's a long-term lease that we think will trade like a net lease. And so we can effectively sell it to net lease type of buyers, right? On a long-term lease basis. So that's really what we're looking at. We think that, let's just take a step back, right? I mean, where the stock is trading, you know, today, there's a lot of uncertainty in the world, clearly. And so, it's hard to, like, project, kind of project forward, you know, what happens, whether it's in, with the war in Iran and oil prices and inflation, whether it's, you know, AI and, you know, impact on jobs or growth or GDP. So, there's just a lot out there, right, I would say right now. But when we look at, you know book value and we're willing to i think you saw it this quarter you know unfortunately and um you know we're willing to pay some bid offer to find liquidity to clean up the portfolio it is putting pressure on book value um and like we said we're gonna we've got a little bit ways to go here we're gonna choose to to do that going forward to get to a spot where we can you know we can feel good about it and have a portfolio that's earning well and and give the all clear but like when we're it's like we're sitting here and like looking at this portfolio and in our book value and saying oh this is gonna we can get down to like a single digit type of book value per share so like we're not exactly sure what the market's pricing and that doesn't include like back to this discussion around 350 ellis where we think we've got a big gain in that asset right um you know we've marked that down significantly now we have a tenant we've got a good lease. It's a long-term lease. We feel like we can sell that and liquidate that asset over time. And that'll be a creative to book value. So we can actually start building this back up a little bit. And then of course, with share buybacks, we can do the same. So that's a little bit of how we're thinking about it. And I know we've been pressed on this a number of times on Mountain View is timing. We'll sell this as soon as we feel like we can you know, optimized value. But we're giving the 12 to 18 months because that's kind of a stabilized moment. And if we have options before that, you know, of course, we'll look at those very, very carefully. But we want to be, you know, I think conservative and judicious as we think about the timing and what's realistic.

Thanks, Matt. That's helpful.

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jack Sweethala for any closing remarks.

Great. Thanks, operator, and thanks everyone for joining today. Please reach out to me or the team here if you have any more questions. Take care.

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.