Thank you for being here. Welcome to the Sprouts Farmers Market Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are currently in listen-only mode. After the presentation, we will have a question-and-answer session. Today's program is being recorded. Now, I would like to introduce your host for today, Susannah Livingston, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Please proceed.

Thank you and good morning, everyone. We are pleased you are joining Sprouts on our third quarter 2023 earnings call. Jack Sinclair, Chief Executive Officer; Chip Molloy, Chief Financial Officer; and Curtis Valentine, Senior Vice President of Finance are with me today. The earnings release announcing our third quarter 2023 results, the webcast of this call, and quarterly slides can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of our website at [email protected]. During this call management may make certain forward-looking statements, including statements regarding our expectations for 2023 and beyond. These statements involve several risks and uncertainties that could cause results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in our SEC filings and the commentary on forward-looking statements at the end of our earnings release. Our remarks today include references to non-GAAP measures. Please see the tables in our earnings release to reconcile our non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP figures. With that, let me hand it over to Jack.

Thanks, Susannah, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to announce another solid quarter for Sprouts Farmers Market. Our 31,000 team members' commitment to serving our customers, embracing operational excellence, and cross-functional teamwork drove comparable store sales growth of 3.9%, total sales growth of 8%, and adjusted earnings per share growth of 7% in the third quarter. Four years ago, we shifted our strategy. We started by defining our target customer segments, health enthusiasts and innovation seekers. Those two segments constituted a $200 billion marketplace in the United States, and we believe we could be the market leader in that space. We then set out to reach more of those customers by providing them with differentiated products and experiences that fulfill their needs and desires. During our journey, we focused on several critical initiatives, including developing a smaller, more profitable store prototype and accelerating store growth while evolving an efficient supply chain that provides more freshness. We focused on innovation in our assortment with a strong bias toward our differentiated Sprouts brand portfolio. We expanded our omni-channel strategy and also shifted our marketing approach from weekly unprofitable discounts to messages highlighting our differentiation. Additionally, we focused on implementing systems and processes to improve our operations, better utilizing store labor, and developing talent across the organization. We're beginning to see the fruits of those investments and they are driving our performance. However, there is still plenty of work to be done to capture the opportunities in front of us. We remain focused on improving all aspects of our business. In a moment, I'd like to turn it over to Chip, who will provide a closer look at our third quarter financial performance and outlook for the remainder of the year. Before doing so, I want to congratulate Curtis Valentine, our current Senior Vice President of Finance, who will take over as our new Chief Financial Officer on January 1st, 2024. Curtis has been with Sprouts for over eight years and possesses a wealth of retail experience. Our Board of Directors, Leadership team, and team members greatly respect and support Curtis, and we all anticipate a seamless transition. I want to congratulate Chip on his upcoming retirement and acknowledge his positive contributions to Sprouts, as a member of our board and executive leadership over the last 10 years. I am grateful for his partnership as we ushered in a new strategy and more importantly, his friendship. Since I have been at Sprouts, I wish you all the best. With that, I'll turn it over to Chip Molloy for what he says is his career's 40th and last earnings call.

Thank you, Jack. I appreciate the kind words. For the third quarter, total sales were $1.7 billion, up $122 million or 8% from the same period in 2022. This increase was driven by comparable store sales growth of 3.9% and the addition of new stores. Comp transactions are a proxy for traffic for positive every period of the quarter in stores and online. While as expected, sequential increases in average unit retails and decreases in units per basket lessened. As we progressed through the quarter, our E-commerce sales grew 16% during the quarter, representing 12.1% of our total sales, and we opened 10 new stores. For the first three quarters of the year, we've opened 24 new stores all in a new prototype, acquired two previously licensed stores, and closed 11. We ended the quarter with 400 in one store. From a category perspective, both perishable and non-perishables produced positive comp sales with particular strength in meat, grocery, dairy, and frozen. The quarter's performance was also supported by veteran stocks, especially on our Sprouts brand products. Sprouts brand sales grew 14% and represented 20.5% of total sales. As we continue to grow this innovative category of products only found at Sprouts. Unlike traditional grocers’ private labels, our Sprouts brand is positioned as better for you, high-quality, and attribute-friendly. The value of the Sprouts brand resonates with our core customers, as we continue to receive recognition and rave reviews. For example, the Sprouts brand organic vanilla creamer went viral on social media this past quarter for containing only four ingredients, all of which are considered clean, which is unheard of in the creamer space. Turning to gross margin, the third quarter gross margin was 36.5%. Excluding the impact of special items, adjusted gross margin was 36.6%, a decrease of approximately 10 basis points compared to last year. Slightly favorable merchandise margins were offset by expected pressure from our new and recently expanded warehouses in California and Texas. SG&A for the quarter totaled $503 million; excluding the impact of special items, adjusted SG&A totaled $502 million, an increase of $41 million, representing approximately 30 basis points of deleverage compared to the same period in 2022. This expected deleverage was predominantly driven by new store openings, wage increases, and labor investments in our Store Sampling program. Like most retailers, we expect wage increases to continue to imply some pressure for a couple more quarters when compared to the previous year. However, we are beginning to see labor markets loosen and wages stabilizing sequentially. Door closures and other costs totaled approximately $3 million for the quarter, while depreciation and amortization, excluding depreciation included in the cost of sales, was $32 million for the quarter. Our earnings before interest and taxes were $88 million for the quarter, while interest expense was $2 million. Net income was $65 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.64. Excluding the impact of special items, adjusted earnings before interest and taxes were $90 million and adjusted net income was $67 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.65, an increase of 7% compared to the same quarter in the prior year. Our cash flow and balance sheet remain strong. During the third quarter, cash generation of $114 million allowed us to continue to invest in our business. We spent $64 million in capital expenditures net of landlord reimbursements. We also paid down $25 million of our bank revolver and returned $32 million to our owners by repurchasing 831,000 shares. We ended the third quarter with $252 million in cash and cash equivalents, $150 million outstanding on our $700 million revolver, and $22 million of our outstanding letters of credit. As we evaluate our expectations for the remainder of the year, we continue to monitor customer spending and behaviors in the mixed economic environment. For the full year, we expect total sales growth of approximately 6.5% to 7%. Comp sales growth of approximately 3%, adjusted earnings before interest and taxes between $387 million and $393 million, and adjusted earnings per share of between $2.77 and $2.81, assuming no additional share repurchases. That said, we do expect to continue repurchasing shares opportunistically. We are on track to open 30 new stores this year, all of which are in our smaller, more cost-effective current prototype. Capital expenditures net of landlord reimbursements is expected to be between $190 million and $210 million. For the year's fourth quarter, we expect comp sales of approximately 3% and adjusted earnings per share between $0.42 and $0.46. But before turning it over to Jack, I too would like to congratulate Curtis. I've worked with Curtis for a very long time at multiple retailers and am confident he will serve this company and shareholders well for many years. I also want to thank my 31,000 teammates, our Board of Directors, and Jack for allowing me to play a small role in the Sprouts journey. With that, let me turn it back to Jack.

Thanks, Chip. Our results signal the alignment of our merchandising, marketing, supply chain, and operational initiatives propelling our strategy forward. The management team we have built up over the past few years is growing together, and our efforts are paying off. I'm particularly delighted by our solid traffic growth throughout the year. We are steadily making progress on the unit growth front. In 2021, we opened 12 stores; in 2022, 16; and this year we're on track to open 30, all in the new more cost-effective prototype. Our pipeline remains strong with nearly a hundred approved stores, 60 executed leases, and the expected opening of approximately 35 stores in 2024, with close to 70% in the back half. Our supply chain continues to evolve and improve. Our new Southern California DC is now fully operational and already improving freshness to our largest market. Our ripening rooms added in Arizona, Texas, and our new California DC this year increased sales and margins in avocados and bananas. Together with the stores, the teams have enhanced their processes with the help of added systems leading to better in stocks and forecasts. As we continue to expand east, we're closing our Georgia DC, optimizing our Florida DC network for more scale, and ensuring freshness with a new partner in the Northeast. We continue to focus on innovation and differentiation, which sets us apart from other food retailers. As Chip noted, our Sprouts brand grew 14% in the third quarter as we launched new meals, snacks, beverages, and seasonal items. Sprouts brand seasonal assortment expands yearly, bringing back classics like pumpkin spiced apple cider and adding new items like our gluten-free mini maple cookies making us more relevant each holiday. Additionally, we're one of the fastest-growing retailers of grass-fed beef making up over 50% of our beef sales. We continue to expand in categories like frozen with the release of our daily free prose and desserts, and we have revitalized sampling to drive customers to rediscover these items and other gems like our unique chili lime rolled tortilla chips. As well, our innovation center is becoming more popular as we highlight new vendors and products. We highlighted mocktails for dry July to great fanfare, taking advantage of this growing trend. Our merchants are rising to the challenge of bringing these products to life in the store and online. New category management capabilities have helped us analyze more trends and insight data to understand customers' shopping habits and desires. Our teams are planning earlier and aligning the organization even stronger behind key themes and seasons like Back to School, which was up high single digits this year. These events reflect our unique customer mindset as they think and shop differently when they come to Sprouts. As this quarter progressed, these changes resulted in improved brick-and-mortar traffic. Digital and online marketing have been leaning heavily into video and social, emails, and searches, in telling our unique story. Marketing hand in hand with merchandising has been driving our salt to buy Sprouts campaign, which ties into how our products address our discerning customers' needs. E-commerce has remained solid at over 12% of our total sales, a dramatic increase from 2% in 2019. Our research shows an online delivery customer is a valuable omni-channel customer, as nearly 80% of our online customers also shop in store. And as a bricks and mortar customer starts using e-commerce, their spending increases more than 30%. Our awareness scores have also seen a 10% lift since the beginning of the year. All these initiatives have resulted in more frequency from our existing customers and growth in new customers. We are in the early days of our digital initiatives, but are encouraged by the initial results. In-store, improved operational systems aided ordering and planning. As Chip mentioned, our in stocks are improving, and our store teams are delivering our objectives. In-stock sampling and service stores were added to the store goals at the start of the year, resulting in the highest customer service stores in our company's history. Since 2019, we've invested almost $400 million in our team members in the form of increased wages, training, and bonuses, resulting in improved retention and enhanced store experience for our customers. We are also in the midst of developing a loyalty plan to further engage our customers. Our initial research told us our customers strongly desire a program from Sprouts. They want a program that helps them live and eat better while driving our innovation and differentiation for them to explore. We're working through the structure and expect to release a summer pilot next year. In the meantime, we continue to build more muscle around personalization with added data and improved knowledge. Overall, our results demonstrate that our strategic initiatives are taking hold as we become a leader in the natural and organic space. When we recently asked why customers shop at Sprouts, they said, 'we own natural and organic and we carry differentiated products.' This sentiment is precisely what we wanted when we started this journey four years ago. We still have a lot of opportunities to grow, but all our combined efforts are beginning to resonate with our customers. With that, I'd like to turn it over for questions. Operator?

Our first question comes from Ken Goldman at JPMorgan. Please go ahead with your question.

Thank you. Good morning, everybody. Just curious if we could get a little more detail on how you see the path ahead for your gross margin. This was the first quarter in almost two years in which it didn't expand year on year. It's still doing quite well, obviously, but just curious how we think about or should think about modeling into the fourth quarter. And I know it's a little early to talk about 2024, but any basic thoughts you would have on that line item would be helpful.

Yes, Ken. This is Chip. We are really confident that we can manage the gross margin right around flat. This quarter, it was down 10 basis points; that was really a drag from the expansion of our distribution centers, both in Texas and California. There is a little deleverage there. But our merchandise margins are hanging in there. In fact, they were up some and steady, and traffic is up. So, we feel good about that. And our merchandising is really laser focused between mix and pricing, etc., that we think will remain flat next year.

Thanks. And just a quick follow-up. How is the competitive environment right now within produce? Are you seeing anything unusual in terms of competitors discounting, doing anything to gain customers in a way that might not be rational?

We haven't seen anything irrational so far, Kenneth, and produce has always volatile categories. So, things go up and down in different parts of the category, change at different times. But we have certainly not seen any significant investments from anybody in the produce space.

Thanks, so much.

Thanks, Ken.

And our next question comes from Leah Jordan from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead with your question.

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I just wanted to ask a follow-up around gross margin. Understand the pressure from the warehouse expansion. But just curious, what was the biggest surprise since it did come under a little bit to your flat guide? And then how did promotions track to your plan? And I guess when should we start thinking about your ability to leverage the warehouse expansion costs and when store growth support that?

Leah, it's Chip. So, the gross, as it relates to any surprise, we did guide to flat. I mean, it was de minimis plus to flat; could be plus 10 or minus 10, that's the way we look at it. Any surprise there? Shrink was a little higher, nothing scary. We are a pretty low-shrink business in general. It was a little higher than we expected. But other than that, our gross margins are really solid. As I said, they continue to stay solid. The D&T will continue to be a drag for probably a couple of quarters. And so, we will have to manage through that. The merchants are working hard to try to manage through, and we feel really confident. I suspect Q4 might look similar to Q3. We might be flattish to maybe down a couple of basis points. And then going into next year, we are feeling pretty good that we can manage around that to be really close to flat.

And, Leah, we are very confident that the investment in our distribution centers is going to pay us dividends in the long run in terms of both the capabilities of driving freshness to the customer and in terms of getting our costs, for long-term costs done.

Okay. Thank you. And then my follow-up is just on quarter-to-date trends. If you could provide any color there, just as your guide implies some deceleration.

So, we are guiding to about a three comp, and so we feel really good. I mean, we are one month in and feel solid around that three comp, and we will keep working towards there.

And our next question comes from the line of Rupesh Parikh from Oppenheimer. Your question please.

Good morning, and thanks for taking my question. So first on new stores, as we look at new store productivity, at least how we calculate, it was above our expectations. So curious how new stores are performing versus your internal expectations? And then what your specific new store productivity calculation is.

This is Chip. So, we don't, there's a timing if you're looking at any given quarter and trying to look new store productivity because of the timing of when they open can throw the numbers off. So, as it relates to us, we're just looking on average; we look on average how our sales per square foot averaging, considering that we're putting new stores in the ground. And we're doing that, we're continuing to see that stay relatively flat despite the fact that we're accelerating our store growth at lower volumes. And we look at how our performance of new stores are relative to our pro formas, we feel that we're working towards those pro formas and they're on track to deliver the shareholder value that we've outlined in our long-term guidance with our store model, new store models. So, and to sit here, and I apologize, but to go through the new store productivity, we would probably be here 15 minutes trying to go through a spreadsheet that I don't think would be of a lot of value to any of us. So maybe offline we can walk through it. Yeah, I certainly spent more than 15 minutes talking to Chip about this for a patient.

But I'm really pleased with the new store performance. I mean, there's ups and downs across the different, across the country in our less established markets and our more established markets. But we're opening stores right across the country at the moment, and I'm pretty encouraged where we're at, and the way we set this off a few years ago and moving to smaller stores, I think is definitely de-risked the program going forward. And we're feeling pretty confident with where we're at.

Great. And then maybe just one follow-up question. So, on an almost 4% comp there was de-leverage this quarter. Just any insight, you know, as you look into next year in terms of what type of comp you may need to deliver to leverage expenses.

Yeah. Well, as you remember, we did guide to de-leverage for the year, which implied the back off was going to have some de-leverage. The acceleration of new stores combined with just wage pressures, a bubble of wage pressures that we've all been working through is probably going to create a need to have slightly higher comp for the next couple quarters to deliver some high single-digit earnings growth without share buyback. So, it's going to take a little bit more, but I think once we get steady state and get through this timing of going from 16 to 30 to, 35 plus is just getting through that and then these wage pressures, but we're working hard at it.

Great. Thank you. I’ll pass it on.

Thank you. One moment for our next question and our next question comes from the line of Edward Kelly from Wells Fargo. Your question please?

Yeah. Hey, good morning, guys, it's Anthony on for Ed here. Thanks for taking our question. I just wanted to dig in on the Q4 guidance a little bit. It looks like it implies continued softness in margins. I'm getting something like 20 bips to 30 bips of EBIT margin compression at the midpoint, I guess, one, do you guys agree with that? And then two, can you just dig in a little more on what's driving that assumption and the different puts and takes, just across gross margin and SG&A?

Yeah, well on the gross side will probably be flattish to similar to this quarter, maybe down just to error. And then there'll be some delivered de-leverage on SG&A as we implied all year, the back half was going to be some deleverage on SG&A, but what's causing that again is as again, we've had a really back half loaded new store growth here. That bubble's coming through and we've got some wage increases that we're working through.

Okay. And then just on inflation, I guess, are you still contemplating inflation in that mid-single digit range for Q4? And then any early reads in terms of how we should be thinking about ‘24?

Regarding inflation, we stated in the previous call that we anticipated it would be in the low to mid-single digits for the second half of the year, which represents an average for that period. This rate has been decreasing year over year as we expected. Prices are stabilizing, and we see that the number of units purchased per transaction is also stabilizing. Looking ahead to the comparable period for Q4, we are nearing what I would define as normalization. We expect some positive customer traffic and anticipate slight increases in average unit retail compared to last year. Furthermore, the units should be in a less dilutive environment.

And the thing that encourages us, Antony, about going into next year is the traffic trends. We're seeing pretty strong traffic in both bricks and mortar and strong traffic in our e-com business. And it kind of gives us confidence that the assortment that we've been putting together has got differentiation. So, the context of the marketplace that Chip just outlined, I think is bang on. We're not going to see the level of inflation in 2024 that we've seen in the last couple of years. But the unit trend has been encouraging in that sense in that the slowdown's been slowing down, and the context that we're really encouraged about is traffic going into 2024, which should sustain our top-line business going forward.

And our next question comes from the line of Mark Carden from UBS. Your question, please.

This is actually Zain for on for Mark. Thanks a lot for taking our questions. Just on the quarter, what have you seen with respect to the consumer behavior through the quarter in light of some of the recent pressures customers are facing any change in patterns relative to last quarter? Or is it pretty consistent overall, whether it be UPTs trade down to more affordable options and more private label?

I don't think we've noticed any significant changes in trends during Q3 compared to Q1, aside from what Chip mentioned earlier about inflation. Inflation levels are stabilizing somewhat, and we're still experiencing the inflation we anticipated, with unit changes not slowing down as much. Customers are continuing to spend on food, and we’re encouraged by the trends toward our product assortment. The pandemic played a role in this shift, as people are increasingly focusing on immunity and attribute-based products. We're observing strong demand for various attribute-specific products like plant-based, grass-fed, keto, paleo, and gluten-free options. There has been some trading down in certain meat cuts, but overall, the trends in Q3 align with what we've been seeing previously. As I mentioned in our last discussion, we are optimistic about the traffic trends, which we believe are influenced by macro issues related to our target customers, differing from trends in other markets.

Thank you. Appreciate that. And secondly, in the event comp slow next year, I was curious if you would prioritize market share gains or protecting your margins. And also, can you please remind us some of the levers you can pull to manage expenses if comps slow next year?

First of all, the context of market share and margin is not the way we think about our business. Our market share, we concern ourselves with the target customer that we have, which remembers only something like $200 billion of the $1.2 trillion marketplace. We are concerned ourselves with the target customer, and growing share of wallet with that target customer. And that's the entire focus. And the market share that we really pay attention to is the market share of natural and organic, and that's something that we feel we have got or had a good run on that over the last few years, and we are encouraged by the trends at the moment in that space. So, when you talk about market share, we think it is all about looking after our target customers and being increasingly relevant to them. And we don't see a promotional solution or a margin investment solution to do that. The way to do that is to get the right products in the store, deliver in stores, and make sure your customer service scores are high. And we are getting some really good scores on that, in terms of looking after the customer and giving them what they want in this target customer environment that we are in. So, we don't see this dynamic of we are going to have to invest margin to get growth in top-line sales. We talk about how can we look after that target customer better and better. In terms of efficiency, we have got some opportunities to be more efficient in our business going forward. I mean, there are clearly some wage pressures, which is actually not such a bad thing. We will be driving our business to make sure that we get as much efficiency as we can in terms of the replenishment into our stores, in terms of handling pricing in our stores, in terms of handling our registers and the checkouts in the stores, there are several things that we can do in our distribution centers that we have invested in going forward to and some investments in systems and IT. So, we have got some opportunities to drive some efficiencies going forward that maybe covers some of the SG&A challenges that we are going to face over the next couple of years.

Very helpful. Thanks very much and good luck this quarter.

And our next question comes from Mike Montani from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead with your question.

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask about SG&A dollar growth into the fourth quarter, and then understand it's early, but into CY '24 as well. So, if we think about store growth accelerating towards 10%, even though they are a little bit smaller stores, should we be thinking about double-digit increases in SG&A at the total company level? And then, does that suggest 2.5% to 3% comps or more to lever? Just wanted to ask that and then had a follow-up.

As we look at the rest of this year, the growth in SG&A dollars for the fourth quarter will be similar to what we saw in the third quarter. This is primarily due to the opening of new stores and wage-related factors. Regarding next year, we are just starting our budgeting process, so it’s too soon to give a definitive answer. However, we are committed to creating value for our shareholders. We recognize that wage pressures will persist into next year, and we are actively searching for efficiencies to ensure we achieve significant results again next year.

Okay. And then just in terms of the comp of 3.9% for this quarter, can you share what was the traffic contribution to that as well as how much inflation was there year-over-year on the number?

Well, we don't give specifics on traffic, but we had solid positive traffic, and as we had said, the inflation has come through similar to what we said at the end of Q2, that we expected low to mid-single digit inflation through the back half of the year. And it's on the high end of that in Q3, but it's been coming down.

Thank you. One moment for our next question, and our next question comes from the line of Scott Mushkin from R5 Capital. Your question, please.

Great. Thanks, guys. And Chip, I'm going to miss you, but I'm sure you've got big plans for retirement going forward, so congratulations.

Thanks, Scott.

So, I guess you guys are trending a little bit different than the industry because if you look at the industry overall, volumes really are not budging as inflation comes down. And as a result of that, at least our data is showing competition is ramping up in certain markets just the way it's very regional. So, I guess as you look at ‘24, you know what will make you guys look much different than the industry if these trends continue?

Yeah, I think Scott, we've talked about this a lot. We just don't think we're the same as everybody else in this grocery space as the way things are evolving and developing. We've got a very specific assortment that's very different from other people. We sell a lot of bulk. We sell a lot of vitamins and supplements. We sell a huge amount of produce relative to the rest of the industry. Those kinds of dynamics make the mix that we evolve and what happens in our business very different. So, I find it very difficult to compare comp sales across the grocery sector. We look at our own comp sales and our own ability to grow within the target customers that we have. And that's the entire focus of the business. We do get some context with that in terms of where the natural and organic mix goes and where the share goes in that space. But we feel that if we continue to do, and we're on a good trend at the moment, we continue to do what we're doing, which is doubling down on assortment differentiation, doubling down on customer service and sampling, and creating an environment inside the store that's exciting. Doubling down on the digital side of our business in terms of communicating more directly and in a more personal way, that we've got the ability to grow a little better share of wallet of our target customers and what happens within the rest of the grocery industry. Whether some region's having a battle on pricing or not hasn't really got, I know it sounds a little, and I don't mean it to sound in this way, kind of dismissive, but ultimately it doesn't really matter because if we do the right thing by our target customers, we can grow our business and we can make sure that we deliver against the aspirations of our shareholders and the team here in Phoenix, but the opportunities in front of us, but the opportunities about the target customers that we have, and it's less about us being very promotional against an environment that's changing or that kind of dynamic that we kind of get sucked into that conversation. Our priority is our target customers and delivering against that target customer in assortment, in service, and in the quality of our store business in front of the customers. If that helps.

And so, still a little thunder for my follow-up question, but I guess, looking at the deck you had on your website and the economic model going forward where it said low single-digit comps is kind of what you expect, which is to say that this idea that specialty is going to grab more share and you as part of that industry will grab more share. And then we look at this, the store base and the growth in the number of stores. Talk me through why it wouldn't be higher than low single digits. It seems like you could be setting the stage for four or 5% comp, not 2%, 3%.

That's a valid perspective considering our current efforts. I genuinely believe that the number of health enthusiasts will increase in the future compared to today, and it’s clear that there are more than there were five years ago. This trend aligns with our goals. It’s crucial that we are careful with our projections and the models we present to our investors. I fully agree with your main point and acknowledge our ambition as a business to reach a significantly different position. We aspire to achieve more, but it's important that we set realistic expectations that we can base our business operations on, rather than overly optimistic numbers that are not fundamentally supported by our future algorithm.

And our next question comes from the line of Robbie Ohmes from Bank of America. Your question, please.

Thanks for taking my question. My first question, Jack, I just wanted to clarify, I think you said 35 stores for next year, and I thought you guys had been saying that you might be working towards 40 stores for next year. Is, is 40 off the table for next year?

This is Chip. Not really. Where we are is, as we look at the stores and the opening stores, our expectation is we could have more than 35. We have several in the tail end of the year, so it's pretty back half loaded. And if we have any slippage, we just don't want to provide a number out there if there is slippage in the middle of the year. So right now, we feel really confident on 35. We have more in the pipeline. It's just we are kind of managing it. There is Q4 slippage.

And I think it's appropriate to do that in the context of the marketplace. The construction is a little bit uncertain at certain locations. And that's the only reason we have been a bit cautious about it. Like we said in the script, we have got 100 signed-off sites that are being signed through our real estate committee, and we have got, I think, 65 or 70 leases already signed. So, we have got plenty in the pipeline to make this work. This is just really trying to reflect what might happen in November, December next year as opposed to January, February, and for $0.35 comfortable, maybe we get a few more.

Got it. That's really helpful. Can you talk more about what you are doing to drive digital growth, or is it related to the DoorDash partnership? Are Instacart's better-than-expected results also contributing to this? Any insights would be appreciated.

We are pleased with our partnerships with Instacart and DoorDash, as they have added value by enhancing our understanding of customers and utilizing that information. I believe we will leverage this more in the future. I am quite excited about our relationships with both partners, not just in e-commerce, which has been strong, but also regarding data and how to use it for digital communication. Over the past three to four years, we have significantly transitioned from paper-based to digital communication. We have made progress in personalizing our digital outreach. I am particularly satisfied with the marketing communication, as we have a wide array of attribute-based stories to share—whether it is gluten-free, Keto, Paleo, or plant-based—and we have successfully brought these stories to life through effective digital communication. We have updated our media agency and adjusted our approach to be more tailored in our media strategy, which has also shown progress. Going forward, digital communication will be crucial for our efforts. We have made strides but still have much work ahead.

Got it. Thanks, Jack.

Our next question comes from Krisztina Katai from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead with your question.

Hey guys. Thanks for taking the question. And my congratulations to you two as well. So, question on the customer engagement focus that you have had in '23, right? You have launched new marketing, you have personalization efforts. And with that, as we think about the consistent positive traffic that you have been seeing, can you maybe talk about how much incremental wallet share you are taking, and what are you seeing on customer frequency across your various cohorts, and just how to think about the runway there to engage the lowest quartile or quintile of your customer base?

We've made significant strides in our communication efforts. We're attracting new customers and seeing increased purchases from our existing ones. As mentioned earlier, success in our business is linked to engaging customers through both e-commerce and physical stores. We're observing positive trends on both fronts, with new and existing customers contributing to our growth. Our focus remains on health-conscious consumers, and we're gathering more insights in that area to better understand our growing share of customer spending. While I can't provide specific numbers just yet, we are diligently working to clarify that information moving forward. Our efforts center on targeting and digitally engaging these customers. Although we currently hold a small portion of their total grocery spending, increasing this share will drive further success. Over the past few quarters, we're witnessing a rise in traffic across both online and brick-and-mortar channels. Notably, traffic growth is consistent nationwide, including in both emerging markets like Florida and established ones like California, which is encouraging for us.

Got it. That's great. And just a follow-up question on unit growth, it sounds like 35 is the number that you feel very confident in for 2024, but as it relates to opening the stores on time and staffing them, is there any difficulty that you might be having in terms of recruiting labor and retaining them, or that's really just you trying to be more sort of conservative with the opening schedule and potentially do better than what you're planning for?

Well, certainly the 35 is based on potential, either construction challenges going forward as opposed to labor challenges going forward. We, if anything, are seeing more applications for jobs in our company than we've ever seen before, and the quality of applications are getting better. As you know, it was quite a challenging environment through the pandemic in terms of filling our stores and filling the jobs that we had. We are catching up and caught up and beyond on that in terms of the quality of applications that we're getting and the number of applications; retention rates are as good as they've ever been in our company. And I think that's part of how we build the culture in here. One of the things that's, there's DNA about, there's DNA in our company that people actually like working in an environment where they think they're doing good for the planet and good for the customers and good for the community. So, we feel as if retention we know is in a good space, and applications are in a good space. So, labor isn't getting people in the stores isn't a challenge. The 35 is more based on is there going to be some slippage from November and December into January next year.

Yeah. But I would also add that I, yeah, I think our store operations teams, our HR teams, marketing teams are doing a really nice job of building that muscle of opening up quite a few stores in a short amount of time. If you just look at how many stores we opened this quarter, you know, that's a pretty big number for us, and we're getting better at it each and every quarter. So, I think, the talent's there and I think we've really developed the muscle in how to do it.

That's great. Thank you so much. Best of luck.

One moment for our next question and our next question comes from the line of John Heinbockel from Guggenheim Partners. Your question, please.

Morning, this is Anders Meyer on for Johnny Heinbockel. Can you walk us through how the produce distribution centers work, in terms of initial productivity and the path from margin dilution to accretion, and also how do you expect these DCs to benefit gross margin at maturity?

Regarding dilution, we are significantly influenced by the location of distribution centers and the distance they need to cover. In this case, we've chosen a larger distribution center in Southern California, which is currently underutilized as we plan to expand into it. We have also increased operations in Texas, with similar expectations. Initially, we anticipate a dilutive effect for the first 12 months once they are operational. Subsequently, we expect a balancing effect, followed by improved leverage as time goes on. Leverage is likely to begin emerging 24 to 36 months after opening, as we establish and utilize the increased capacity.

And the capacity will support the store programs that we've got in California. We've built the distribution center in Florida that's going to support it. We've built capacity in Dallas in Wilmer and Texas to support it. So, we've now got capacity to support the new stores that are coming on board, and going forward, it gives us some options in terms of distributing more broadly outside the produce space as well. So, it's given us a lot of options in terms of efficiency, and I'm anticipating that in the not too distant future, two or three-year window, we'll start to get some efficiencies in our distribution costs.

And to follow-up, what is the early read on the 2024 pipeline of stores, especially in the context of the new DC? So, I guess, the clustering by market?

Well we said in our release that we think we'll get approximately 35 stores in 2024. Beyond that, we've got a hundred sites that we've signed off in our real estate committees. And we've got 70 leases that are already signed. That continues. The real estate committee sees probably six or seven stores a month at the moment in terms of adding to this portfolio. So, we feel confident going through ‘24, ‘25, ‘26 that our store portfolio growth will be in line with what we've been anticipating all the way through. But ‘24 I think, specifically about we're seeing approximately 35.

And I think maybe your question was leaning in towards like what markets and if that's the case, it's probably going to be about a 50-50 between what we call established and non-established markets. So, think about it from Florida up the east coast, it's probably going to be 50% of those stores and the southwest to the west coast going to be the other 50%.

And our next question comes from the line of Chuck Cerankosky from Northcoast Research. Your question, please. Chuck, you might have your phone on mute. Still not hearing you, Chuck. Would you like me to move on to the next question?

Yeah, let's do that and then we can come back to Chuck if we can catch him at the end.

Our next question comes from the line of Kelly Bania from BMO Capital Markets. Your question, please.

This is Ben Wood on for Kelly. Thank you for taking our questions. So, wanted to start by asking maybe the inflation question a little differently. We believe in the past; you guys have talked about Sprouts inflation tracking similar to food and home CPI, which we estimate decelerated about 300 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Wondering if that was consistent to the magnitude of slowdown you saw. And then can you provide any details on the subcategory level? Help us to understand pricing and units in some of your major categories like vitamins, produce, center store. And finally, you mentioned units are improving, but is that in the category’s you guys would have expected them to?

Regarding inflation, that's probably about right. It's not too far off. When it comes to units, they are continuing to stabilize. As mentioned many times, our biggest challenge was in produce, where customers were moving away from buying produce units. Produce has the highest number of units in the basket and is also the lowest price point unit. We are starting to see stabilization in that area as well. Overall, from a unit perspective, things are becoming healthier as they stabilize. What was the other question, Ben?

About the categories. So maybe I will be able to capture that a little bit, Ben. Our inflation number is always going to be a little bit different because of the mix dynamic in our business. There's a little bit of it. Produce is always a bit more volatile, and we have got a bigger proportion of produce in our business. So, we have got to watch that. We have been encouraged by what has been happening in our produce business, as Chip said, in terms of your declining units just slowing down a little bit. And we are seeing some strength in our bananas business and avocados business, given we have invested a significant capability in terms of improving the quality, the freshness, and the presentation of those products. So, our produce business has seen some encouragement. I have been really pleased by dairy, frozen grocery where we get real attribute differentiation, and that's flowing through really strongly in terms of our business. And it is probably slowing down a little bit in terms of inflation in that space as well, in line with what you talked about in terms of your question. So, we are feeling that, there is dynamics that change our inflation number. But the overall story that Chip has been, we have been talking about now in the call and in previous calls, where you see a slowing down of the level of AUR growth, and the decline in units is slowing down at the same time. So, it is coming into sync, which is what we think is going to happen going forward.

Great. That's helpful. And then just to follow-up on the previous line of questioning on digital. By our math, digital has been a pretty solid contributor to comp year-to-date. Wondering if you could help kind of quantify how much of digital growth has been driven by the incremental new partnership with DoorDash. And then, as we think about Q4, which I believe is when you would start to lap the initial DoorDash rollout, what are your expectations for digital growth as you start to lap?

We see omnichannel as crucial to our business moving forward. Customers are shifting between visiting stores and shopping online, which is enhancing their overall spending with us. Digital and e-commerce are essential to this dynamic. Our partnerships with Instacart and DoorDash have been beneficial this year. When I joined the company, our e-commerce share was at 2%, and it has now increased to around 12%. While it is growing steadily, customers who shop online are also visiting our stores, which is a unique mix. This gives us confidence that our curated assortment is relevant. We believe there’s more we can do with DoorDash and Instacart to better understand our target customer, allowing us to communicate more effectively through our digital channels. Overall, the situation is encouraging, but we view our business as omnichannel rather than simply e-commerce and non-e-commerce. We aim to offer our customers a service and assortment, regardless of how they choose to interact with us.

Great. Thank you, guys.

Thank you. One moment for our next question, and our next question comes from the line of Bill Kirk from Roth. Your question please?

Good morning, everybody. Chip, by my count, this is your third attempt at retirement, so hopefully third time's a charm.

Third time’s a charm. Very good, Bill.

And Jack, you touched on this and you just touched on it, but at times I think you've quantified like roughly how many shoppers that you have good data on. So, could you remind us like what that percentage is today? Like the percentage that you know, and then with these new programs that we've been talking about, what does that percentage become over time? So, you are this today and you go to what over a few years?

Yeah, well, I think we've talked about it in the past and the combination of different ways we get to it comes to around 13% of our customers that we've got good information on, which is pretty low. We anticipate the work that we're doing in terms of the loyalty that we've talked about, the work that we're doing in terms of understanding how this digital communication works, we can get that higher than where it is, but it doesn't need to get to the kind of numbers that you see in the more traditional grocery space. We can, we don't anticipate it going, it doesn't need to go terribly high for us to make a lot of progress on this in terms of communicating it. I don't want to commit myself to numbers on that because we haven't quite got that nailed, but we're doing a lot of work on it, Bill.

And we do have a pilot next year, the loyalty program. Part of the purpose of that is to actually be able to get a lot more information, be able to connect with our customers a lot more in the early stages of that. I suspect that number will grow pretty dramatically in the early stages of that. And we'll be able to talk to those customers at least on a broad basis. And then to be able to get down to the individual customer to probably be able to be a bit longer journey. But I think we're on the right road for that.

Thank you. That's the only question I had and good luck on all fronts, guys.

Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Jack Sinclair for any further remarks.

Yeah, thanks everybody for your interest in our company, and it'll not belong before we're giving you two-year numbers in a few months’ time, so we look forward to that. And I wish everybody a happy Halloween. Take care.

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.