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STGW · Stagwell Inc

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$9.12 -0.19 (-2.04%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$2.23B
Shares
244.48M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Stagwell Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Stagwell Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Mar 10, 2026 Audio replay
Mar 10, 2026 35:54 24 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
35:54
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Stagwell reported FY25 net revenue growth of 6% (9% ex-Advocacy) with adjusted EBITDA of $422M and free cash flow more than doubling to $187M, while announcing a $350M increase to its buyback program and guiding 2026 to 8–12% net revenue growth and $475–525M adjusted EBITDA.

Organic growth and momentum 35 Political cycle and advocacy 24 Free cash flow 17 Adjusted EBITDA and margin expansion 14 Share buyback and capital return 10 Stock valuation gap 8

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +85 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “With accelerating XAdvixie growth, record net new business, expanding margins, firm cost controls, and doubled free cash flow, Our 2025 results show that what we are doing is working and why we are a compelling investment built for these new times.”
  • “adjusted EBITDA surged 16% to $377 million, a new company record, and more than 10% higher than the previous best”
  • “LTM net new business grew 25% to $476 million, another company record with wins at Starbucks, Target and NASCAR.”
  • “I can say with some confidence that our Q1 2026 net new business is shaping up to be the strongest in the history of the firm bolstered by a recent $40 million win with an existing client.”

Forward guidance

6 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $807.44M +2.4% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $12.66M +291.3% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • FY25 net revenue grew 6%, with Digital Transformation up 13% and Marketing Services up 6%; two-year organic net revenue growth stacked over 10% in Q4, up 250 bps sequentially
  • FY25 adjusted EBITDA ex-Advocacy surged 16% to $377M, a new company record and 46% above the last non-political year (2023)
  • Free cash flow more than doubled to $187M in 2025; FY25 adjusted EPS rose 5% to $0.83, ahead of consensus
  • LTM net new business grew 25% to a record $476M; top 25 customers grew 20% with $28M average relationship
  • Marketing Cloud segment exceeded $105M revenue and grew 34% organically (41% in Q4); Quest/Barra up 58% and Unicepto up 168% organically in Q4
  • Company announced $350M increase to buyback (now $400M available) and guided 2026 adjusted EBITDA up ~20% to $475–525M and free cash flow conversion of 50–60%

Risks & pressure points

  • FY25 reported revenue grew only 2% and net revenue growth ex-Advocacy of 9% was held up by roughly $50M of EBITDA dropping off from the biannual Advocacy rotation, signaling non-Advocacy top-line softness
  • GAAP EPS of $0.08 for FY25 reflects thin reported profitability despite adjusted EPS of $0.83
  • Management plans to be 'M&A lighter' and is prioritizing buybacks and AI CapEx over acquisitions, potentially limiting inorganic growth optionality
  • Stock described as undervalued by management, indicating persistent valuation discount and unresolved share-price weakness despite operating results
  • 2026 outlook assumes Advocacy rebound and political super cycle; any shortfall in Advocacy-driven margin lift would pressure the ~20% adjusted EBITDA growth guidance

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Mar 10, 2026.

Metric Guided
Total Net Revenue growth
2026
8% – 12%
Adjusted EBITDA
2026
$475M – $525M
Free Cash Flow Conversion
2026
50% – 60%
Adjusted EPS
2026
$0.98 – $1.12

Guidance from the call

Stated verbally and extracted from the transcript.

Metric Guided
Total net revenue growth
2026
8% – 12%
Adjusted EBITDA
2026
$475M – $525M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$29.08M
Full-screen source Call document